Peak Oil

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trust Rockefeller

Postby Peachtree Pam » Mon Aug 01, 2005 3:50 pm

Could not agree with you more, Dreams End.<br><br>Sometimes the gullibility of Americans is staggering, and it has ALWAYS been so...the land of con artists, snake oil salesmen, and hellfire and brimstone preachers...all enjoying an easy sell in the good old USA. Nowhere else could the wife of an employee of an oil company say, with absolute sincerity, that "My ex-husband works in the petroleum industry and is very conservative and not at all inclined to conspiracy theories or "worst-case-scenario" thinking" and then continue to express the usual oil industry propaganda.<br><br>Could this happen anywhere else but US, I ask you?<br><br>Here is an idea for a thread. Let's list each person that we think is a disinfo agent, and Ruppert heads my list, and give the reasons we think so. What do you think?<br><br><br> <p></p><i></i>
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Re: trust Rockefeller and be suspicious of everyone!

Postby hmm » Mon Aug 01, 2005 5:00 pm

"Here is an idea for a thread. Let's list each person that we think is a disinfo agent, and Ruppert heads my list, and give the reasons we think so. What do you think?"<br><br>This is so dangerous,its one thing to call someone a dis-info agent if he/she consistantly gets some obvious facts wrong or obviously has a agenda.<br>But if someone doesnt go along with every aspect of some of the stranger conspiracy theories it doesnt make them a agent.<br>And to call out "agent agent agent" weakens the impact of that word.<br>It is also important to remember some of the work ruppert has done,he has been extremely vocal on the cia-drugs connections and one of the most important parts of the 9-11 conspiracy,the 9-11 exercises.<br>And unlike pods and remote controlled airplanes,the 9-11 exercises as evidence most likely will hold up in a court of law.<br><br>You really need some REALLY good facts before you can call someone a agent,because if you are wrong and you call a true fighter a agent you are doing the governments job for it. <p></p><i></i>
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re: We Trust You Rockefeller ...

Postby Starman » Mon Aug 01, 2005 5:33 pm

Dreams End said:<br><br>"Thank you, proldic for an excellent and ad hominem free post. Indeed, for people on this site to embrace so easily the word of the petroleum industry in terms of oil supply while we all worry about Rockefeller conspiracies is the height of irony."<br><br>????<br>Proldic's posts were completely cut-and-pastes, at least the 2 out of 3 that made the board.<br><br>I found McGowen's assertions and method of argument so disingenous, his deductions often flawed or not demonstrated by example, misleading, and in general belligerant and disrespectful -- Most of the critical issues I pointed-out weren't even addressed in this supposed critique of the PO thesis. What I found esp. objectionable was an inaccurate generalization of what PO is about and a discreditation of those assumptions which is then maintained as conclusively disproving PO in total.<br><br>As I've pointed out several times, US foreign policy has affirmed an unhealthy overreliance on Oil for much of the last fifty years, in its overt and covert military, political and economic intervention in dozens of nations with disasterous consequences, deliberately impeding and confounding economic development and genuine democratic institutions on behalf of neocolonial and hegemonic ambitions.<br><br>Among several quotations or quotes by McGowen or others that I DID agree with in the article Proldic posted, are:<br><br>McGowan:<br>‘…'Resource Denial Theory.' It's a sub-section of Geopolitical Theory, so beloved of the Bushite and Zbigniew Brzezinski crowds, and states you must take control of areas where strategic resources are located - like oil - and prevent rivals from entering. Your power derives from the control of these resources.’ In other words, it's not about seizing the resources that we need to survive; it's about denying our 'enemies' the resources that they need to survive…”<br>. . .<br>"The common white western perception of over-breeding 3rd-worlders ignores the primary economic dimension of birth rates – creating the need for larger families – and the key role of economic exploitation in forming and continuing those conditions of poverty. Birth rates naturally moderate given stable economic conditions." <br>--unquote--<br><br>In this regard-- When I see references to population management or control attributed to Peak Oil doomsayers (as attributed by McGowen) I don't think of eugenics, but of encouraging smaller families through an equitable participation in a state's economy and access to sufficient resources to increase third-world standard-of-living, improving health care to eliminate the need for a strategy of large-families to offset risk of disease and mortality rates. <br><br>As part of any solution to managing resources more equitably and to demilitarize the west's ruinous, destructive Militarization of foreign policy linked to control of energy and other strategic 'National Security' resources, would be the project of creating a truly genuine participatory democratic system of global governance -- One which IMO must acknowledge that all people are stakeholders in the public commons and equal partners in the global community (likely based on socialist principles) -- not the kind of global feudalism which today obtains as the US alone determines its 'legal' authority by manipulated and distorted interpretation of laws and defacto force-of-arms, or the neoliberal/neocon/Straussian/Bush Inc. version of a New World Order protecting the elitist privelege of wealth and power.<br><br>To reitterate -- I don't disagree with many of McGowen's basic points, but I take exception to his contemptuous and dismissive attitude towards those progressives and peace-and-justice activists/thinkers and other liberals he identifies as 'leftists' who share some concern about the politics of scarcity and which he lumps together as PO proponents -- attributing a false unanimity and common agreement.<br><br>As one example where he makes unsubstantiated claims <br>-- not all geologists and engineers, economic analysts and investment service providers who have reported on or discussed information on oil reserves and production shortfalls and current oil-drilling/energy technology are oil industry insiders -- that ONLY insiders have been supporting the PO theory is an incredibly specious and misleading assertion -- which shows McGowen's facility to bending truth to 'prove' his point.<br><br>Among the inconsistencies -- IF readily-accessable abiotic oil resources are as plentiful as McGowen alleges, or that there are abundant capped and unutilizied or untapped oil production reserves/capacity, then why has the US been spending exorbitantly, both human resources and political/wealth capital, on controlling much of the world's oil-production regions -- Since China and Russia and Venezuela and Indonesia should simply be able to ramp-up avalaible capacity and underbid US suppliers?<br><br>As I see it, if there's no incentive to re-evaluate the US's heavy dependency on oil, then there will never be the political will for conservation, recycling, and developing alternative energy/transportation/food production systems, let alone instituting more effective, representative and accountable political governance.<br><br>For a number of reasons, I suspect McGowen may be a disinfo agent, since his approach is to undermine the need or awareness that substantial change is necessary -- his delicate and subtle manipulation of the blame-game to deflect responsibility for past decades of ruinous policies that have increasingly benefitted an elite status-quo onto 'leftists' for not being an effective opposition, is quite clever. It's a way of disempowering people by essentially sayihg, "There's no problem here folks -- Plenty oil for all!" So then, why change? Basically, his premise is that we've been lied to and cheated -- but we deserve it because we haven't effectively challenged the abuses of power. But since the 'catastrophe' of resource depletion and shortfalls is a myth being opportunistically exploited by the oil cartels and the political bosses in concert with the Military Industry (and one would presume the International Banks and 'other' globalist interests), then where's the rush or impetus for change?<br><br>I'm suspicious of anything that deflects the guilt of the world's biggest war criminals and the subsidy of terrorists and treason and organized crime and warlords and dictators and arms-dealers and money-launderers, as the US political/economic infrastructure and its covert intelligence agencies have done, and blames Ruppert for being a disinformationalist instead of, say, top folks in or associated with the CIA and Public Media execs and Lobbying Groups and the Corporatocracy.<br><br>Ruppert also talks about and publicizes a LOT of other issues, like the use of poison weapons like Agent Green and Depleted Uranium, indicting the War-and-energy-and-drugs-and-terror 'industry' for its close collusion in territorial conquest and poisoning communities around the world, health-risk and social justice issues, the prison complex scam and fascist/corporate domination via 'trade agreements' (as example in passing).<br><br>Yeah, I guess I see why the PTB would want to discredit him. SO, who's using WHO?<br><br>It's like, apparently a few folks on this board have begun to suspect Griffin of all people for having a sinister hidden agenda, based on some very spurious claims by somebody who wrote the angieon911 article-reponse in which they made a gross error of attribution (did anybody catch it? Griffin never claimed the Rockefeller Group funded his five-week stay in Bellagio with his wife <br>-- the only 'support' the Rockefeller group gave him and his group (which he acknowledged in the resulting book) was four-five days accomodation/meals) -- yet, it's remarkable how the author of angieon911 overlooked Griffin's projects which criticized the system of global power and corporate-capitalism that has devastated the developing world, in order not to confound their pet-premise. In another context, Wolf Pauli made reference to 'scoffing' -- helluva way to discredit rigorous, independant thinking.<br>Starman<br><!--EZCODE EMOTICON START :smokin --><img src=http://www.ezboard.com/images/emoticons/smokin.gif ALT=":smokin"><!--EZCODE EMOTICON END--> <p></p><i></i>
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Trust Rockefeller

Postby Peachtree Pam » Mon Aug 01, 2005 6:05 pm

Hi Hmm,<br>I had written a long post but when I submitted it the pc crashed and I had not saved it. It is so late now I will not re-write it but I agree that you have to be careful about calling someone a disinfo agent without info to back it up. Starman just called Dave McGowan a disinfo agent!<br><br>The person who did the ground-breaking work on the different exercises on 9/11 was Nico Haupt and his colleagues at Team8plus.<br><br>The person who forced people to connect the dots about the CIA/drug racket was the late Gary Webb.<br><br>This is just my opinion, but I have always thought the confrontation between Ruppert and Deutch was staged, to give Ruppert credibility.<br><br>I heard an interview of Ruppert on Break for News and in it I believe he said he had worked for the CIA at one time, but I would have to listen to the entire interview to hear it again. I cannot say this is a fact.<br><br> <p></p><i></i>
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Condescending Attitude not necessary

Postby GDN01 » Mon Aug 01, 2005 6:05 pm

Peachtree Pam wrote:<br><!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>Sometimes the gullibility of Americans is staggering...Nowhere else could the wife of an employee of an oil company say, with absolute sincerity, that "My ex-husband works in the petroleum industry and is very conservative and not at all inclined to conspiracy theories or "worst-case-scenario" thinking" and then continue to express the usual oil industry propaganda.<br><br>Could this happen anywhere else but US, I ask you?</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--><br><br>I certainly don't post on this board expecting everyone, or anyone for that matter, to agree with me - but sometimes the attitude that those with a different point of view are of less intelligence <or add your own insult> takes away the enjoyment of entering into a dialogue on these issues. <br><br>Pam - you don't know me or my ex. The conversation I recounted is drastically different in nature and tone than anything I've ever heard him say. My former husband IS very conservative and not inclined to "worst-case-scenario" thinking. He would probably contemplate having me locked up in a mental hospital if he knew I frequented this website. (j/k) But he would certainly consider most of the people here gullible for the views they express. I fully expected him to discount the whole concern or suggest things are not as grim as predicted. And the fact that he didn't made me give this topic more consideration. <br><br>Why is it such a stretch to believe that affordable fuel is fast becoming a thing of the past? Why is it such a stretch to believe that as the cost of fuel rises drastically, as it already is, so will the cost of all things we need for daily living? Why is it such a stretch to believe that this could lead to an economic crisis? <br><br>I don't consider these points of view as gullible. Everyone has to decide for themselves who they believe and what sources can be trusted. For every point of view you find a source to support, someone can find another source that is in complete conflict. So sometimes we have to agree to disagree. Sharing information is helpful and what I think most people are here for - insulting people is neither. <p></p><i></i>
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Trust Rockefeller

Postby Peachtree Pam » Mon Aug 01, 2005 6:12 pm

GDN01,<br><br>I think I wrote "with absolute sincerity" and that is exactly what I meant: that you were completely sincere in what you wrote, and that you described accurately your husband's views. There is nothing to be upset about.<br><br>This is the third time I have written a post and each time it was lost in submitting it. Too late to re-write it all for a third time. <br><br> <p></p><i></i>
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Ruppert

Postby Dreams End » Mon Aug 01, 2005 6:54 pm

Ruppert has a very loyal following.<br><br>And starman's vision for sustainable communities in the future is a nice one. Too bad we only have 2 years to make it happen.<br><br>I don't take belief in Ruppert or peak oil as a sign of gullibility. I think that, if I'm right, it is an incredibly sophisticated disinformation campaign. It is incredibly close to y2k, to me, not in terms of content but in pattern...even down to partnerships with those peddling gold.<br><br>Let us be clear...Ruppert thinks population reduction is part of the need. He has never sought to clarify what that would look like. Maybe he has starman's vision in mind...but given the short timeframe...I doubt it.<br><br>I think I would have to suggest people become familiar with other such calls for population reduction and see what that's about. It is a huge red flag for me...I'm not sure why it's not for others. For Ruppert to refuse to clarify what he means given the insidious spin some of us paranoids are putting on it, even while engaging his critics (read the whole exchange with McGowan)...well, I can only say that if I were put in the camp that he's been put in by some of us, I'd be real clear about what I meant. I wrote to Ruppert myself and politely asked the question. No response. I'd think he'd have an automated response to that one by now.<br><br>As for proldic's post, why does it matter how much is cut and paste? First off, he did have his own commentary but secondly it was a pretty thorough discussion of the issues. Little of which, by the way, did you really respond to. Well, there was too much to respond to actually, but simply calling McGowan disingenous doesn't really prove much. (I used to debate in high school and there was a tactic called "spreading." Spreading was throwing so many arguments out there that the opposition can't answer them all. That's not really a valid criterion for judging a debate. So, really, no judgments on not being able to respond to it all...but I found there was a lot of substance in the post.)<br><br>And no one is really responding either to my concerns. Imagine, just for a moment, that you don't believe in Peak Oil. (Lennon left that one out of his song.) Can you see WHY some of us might find other agendas at work here? For my part, I can see why people would believe Peak Oil...I just don't get why folks on this site of all places are willing to take a position that is informed mostly (I'll have to take others' word for it that non oil company scientists are contributing to this) by oil companies and has increasingly become mainstream might not somehow be a game to push an agenda. It should at least cross people's minds. <br><br>I'd be particularly interested in your take on the '73 oil "shortage" and the analysis posted by proldic. If that one was engineered by Kissinger et al (but perhaps you dispute that) then why can we not consider that this one is as well.<br><br>As for GDN01, tell me. Your conservative husband. What is he DOING to prepare for the coming calamity? Is he concerned like "yeah, I guess one day we're in trouble" or is he concerned like "honey, we need to get solar panels by Christmas or we're screwed?" There's a difference, and I can't even figure out what the <br>"consensus" view is. <p></p><i></i>
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just do the math

Postby maggrwaggr » Mon Aug 01, 2005 7:01 pm

I find a great lack of logical thinking when it comes to those who pooh-pooh the idea of Peak Oil.<br><br>Just do the math:<br><br>It took us 125 years to use up the first trillion barrels of oil.<br><br>At current rates, we will use the second trillion in the next 30.<br><br>That's called exponential growth, and it continues.<br><br>The supply is unable to meet the demand. That is your basic bell-shaped curve of supply. <br><br>America used to be the world's largest supplier of oil. Now it is not. We passed the peak of the bell-shaped curve many years ago.<br><br>The world supply will do the same.<br><br>This is indisputable.<br><br>Just because you don't like some of the messengers doesn't mean the message is bogus.<br><br> <p></p><i></i>
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Re: Trust Rockefeller

Postby hmm » Mon Aug 01, 2005 7:05 pm

sorry to hear that about the pc,that is really frustrating..<br><br>i myself am really suspicious of anyone thats been in the belly of the beast so to speak and ruppert and i could never be friends,but there is the real danger we lose alot of useful information and thought if we spend to much time looking at the person.<br>The way i deal with this is by not posting much from <br> "conspiracy sites".<br>I read them to get information i dont see elsewhere,but then strip out all the wild editorialising,search for primary sources, and present that "raw"so intelligent people can make up their own mind.With everyone seeming to have a agenda i would prefer hearing the raw thoughts on raw information and maybe we can create our own agenda's instead of others? <p></p><i></i>
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The first Rockefeller

Postby robertdreed » Mon Aug 01, 2005 7:20 pm

A historical note-<br><br>Q. How did the first Rockefeller amass his fortune?<br><br>A. Selling "coal tar spirits" as a "patent medicine." That was how petroleum collected from seeps was used, before people figured out that it could be a source of energy and fuel. <br><br>The 19th century was a primitive and superstitous time, and the people of that era were really hard-up for a pharmacoepia. <br><br>So I don't know if the people selling bottled raw petroleum spirits thought of themselves as wittingly fleecing the suckers. At any rate, bottling and selling "coal tar" made the founder of the Rockefeller dynasty- I think that's J.D. the First- his first million. <br><br> <p></p><i></i>
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Hands Up

Postby proldic » Mon Aug 01, 2005 7:22 pm

How many believe that story? <p></p><i></i>
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Re: Dude, I'm peaking

Postby wolf pauli » Mon Aug 01, 2005 7:38 pm

<!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>Now, I am interested to learn that "peak oil" is the consensus opinion among petroleum experts. So what is their "when"?</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--><br><br>The consensus among experts is that it's in the cards, but there are differences as to precisely when. One of the most respected figures in the field, Princeton geologist Kenneth Deffeyes (whose writings anti-peakster McGowan is quite happy to make selective use of) is calling the peak for Thanksgiving day, 2005.<br><br>If you're interested in learning about the science, I recommend Deffeyes' highly readable new book <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>Beyond Oil: The View from Hubbert's Peak</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END-->. In the space of a few pages, Deffeyes manages to reduce a mass of complex mathematics and statistics to an explanation that can be understood by anyone with a knowledge of elementary algebra and a basic command of graphs, <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>without</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> dumbing it down to something useless -- no mean feat, that. (For the record, I'm not claiming Deffeyes' popularization is a substitute for the much more demanding professional literature, to which Deffeyes' himself has made lots of important contributions, but simply that as an overview for non-specialists, it's invaluable.)<br><br><!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>... if there is consensus, where are the behaviors that go with it? Where are the commercials from the nuclear power companies ("Nuclear power....because it's TOO LATE for anything else.")</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--><br><br>I'm reminded of Nicholson's line in "Easy Rider" about the authorities not letting on about the "Venutians" because "it would cause a general panic" -- also "War of the Worlds" and Orson Welles' lesson learned.<br><br>Honestly, I don't profess to have the answer, though I'd imagine it's multi-faceted, and a few things plausibly come to mind. First, never underestimate the power of denial. Second, much transpires under cover of darkness -- non-publicity doesn't imply non-existence (outside Hollywood, at least). Third, and perhaps most importantly, there seems to be a confusion about the consequences of the peak, which leads to false expectations. No serious thinker on the subject believes the peak will cause <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>instantaneous bedlam</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END-->. As Deffeyes put it, the peak will be observed only in the rear-view mirror. From your posts on an earlier thread, I got the impression you think Ruppert is from the instantaneous bedlam school; perhaps he is, but who says Ruppert's a serious thinker on this one? It's a scientific topic; read the scientists. As Deffeyes says, "It's a round-topped peak, so it doesn't just crash the day after Thanksgiving."<br><br><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK START--><a href="http://www.eande.tv/transcripts/?date=072705">www.eande.tv/transcripts/?date=072705</a><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK END--><br><br><!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>Let me add that, I really am open to some suggestion about peak oil. My concern is that Ruppert (again, it's main proponent) FEELS familiar.</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--><br><br>Main proponent? See above. You can bet that when petroleum scientists talk shop, the name 'Professor Ruppert' doesn't crop up much.<br><br>Stalin occasionally said very nice things about the music of Dmitri Shostakovich; let's not hold that against Shostakovich's music.<br><br> <p></p><i></i>
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On Drawing up Enemies Lists

Postby robertdreed » Mon Aug 01, 2005 7:46 pm

Within the context of Internet discourse, I think it's one of the most useless activities ever. It's something people do instead of pursuing productive activity and research- constantly reacting to someone else's activities. One end result is to draw energy away from keeping track of the activities of those who wield massive amounts of political power to keeping track of...each other. <br><br>I also shudder at the nebulous "criteria" typically utilized in order to label someone a "disinformationist." All too often, nothing more is required than disagreement with ones own pet theories, and then the knives come out- or the circular firing squad arranges...(and there's Karl Rove, eating popcorn in the gallery with a big grin on his face.) <br><br>Personal view: waay too many people are making adherence to 9-11/MIHOP or LIHOP the centerpiece of their case against the Bush regime, pretty much to the exclusion of a lot of skullduggery that's much, much more provable. <br><br>Former CIA agent Ray McGovern makes this point. I heard him on <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>Democracy Now</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END-->, saying that it's the equivalent of people hammering the Nazis for setting the Reichstag fire, as if it's the worst thing they ever did. McGovern said that in fact recently uncovered evidence indicates that Marinus van der Lubbe really did burn the Reichstag, just as the Nazis alleged...but does that revised historical turn of events mean the Nazis are blameless and justified for turning the country into a police state in response, embarking on a campaign of continent-wide pillage and plunder, and all of their other manifestly provable atrocities? Likewise with the Bush regime, in McGovern's analogy. <br><br>However, I'm fairly sure that McGovern's wanting to de-emphasize 9-11 provides sufficient "proof" of his running interference for the Bush Conspiracy that it would land him on the Enemies List of some "9-11 researcher." Simple disagreement being out of the question, apparently...<br><br>Imagine if <!--EZCODE AUTOLINK START--><a href="http://cooperativeresearch.org/">cooperativeresearch.org/</a><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK END--> had spent all the time and energy they're currently using to draw up a thorough and comprehensive historiography of recent events- to compose an Enemies List of their rivals, instead. <br><br><br>Still, I wouldn't dream of stopping another poster from doing it. <br><br> <p></p><i>Edited by: <A HREF=http://p097.ezboard.com/brigorousintuition.showUserPublicProfile?gid=robertdreed>robertdreed</A> at: 8/1/05 6:10 pm<br></i>
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illogical

Postby Dreams End » Mon Aug 01, 2005 7:58 pm

<!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr> I find a great lack of logical thinking when it comes to those who pooh-pooh the idea of Peak Oil.<hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--><br>Okay, let's play find the logic. <br><br><br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr>It took us 125 years to use up the first trillion barrels of oil.<br><br><br>At current rates, we will use the second trillion in the next 30.<br><br>That's called exponential growth, and it continues.<hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--><br><br>Assumption one: the supply of oil in the ground is not enough to keep up with this demand for at least long enough to transition to other energy forms.<br><br><br><br>Assumption two: We can know, with reasonable certainty, how much oil is in the ground at present waiting to be discovered and withdrawn. <br><br>Assumption three: Oil is a finite resource. I am not qualified to engage that argument, but it is a logical assumption you've made and is disputed by some.<br><br>Why is it "illogical" to question these assumptions? <br><br>Here's someone who does just that...and he works in the energy industry so I guess we can trust him.<br><br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr>Several websites (see Hubbert Peak of Oil Production) and books purport a similar model for the world’s oil supply, but they neglect key assumptions, according to Leonardo Maugeri, an energy analyst for the Italian energy company Eni Spa. First, a worldwide model would suggest that “the geological structure of our planet is well known and thoroughly explored, so that discovery of unknown oil fields is highly improbable.” Second, Maugeri explains that a bell-shaped curve (like in Figure 1) depends on a large number of random variables. Expressing production as purely random variables, however, ignores dynamic technological, economic and political processes that influence discovery.<br><br><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK START--><a href="http://www.jyi.org/features/ft.php?id=327">www.jyi.org/features/ft.php?id=327</a><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK END--><br><br><hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--><br><br>He basically calls into question most of your assumptions. Does that mean he's just stupid?<br><br><br><br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr>America used to be the world's largest supplier of oil. Now it is not. We passed the peak of the bell-shaped curve many years ago.<hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--><br><br>Assumption: this diminishing production is due entirely to dwindling supplies.<br><br>Yet we have the odd phenomenon of Shell Oil shutting down one of its own refineries despite the fact it on an immense sea of oil. (see McGowan in proldic's post). A logical person would wonder about this contradiction and logically conclude that this assumption may not be correct.<br><br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr>The world supply will do the same.<hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--><br><br>Well, stipulating, for now, that assumptions of finite oil are correct, it is still the timing that is of importance. Will this happen tomorrow or in 2057? How we react and how that is "spun" makes a big difference.<br><br>From Wikipedia (okay so my subscription to all the petroleum industry magazines ran out.)<br><br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr>Critics such as Leonardo Maugeri point out that Hubbert peak supporters such as Campbell previously predicted a peak in global oil production in both 1989 and 1995, based on oil production data available at that time.<hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--><br><br>If we used Campbell in 1988 to have this dispute then I would have made the correct assumptions. Maybe he's right this time, but it's not illogical to question his predictions.<br><br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr>This is indisputable.<hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--><br><br>If you check the first post in this thread, you will see you are incorrect. You may not agree with the critics, but to call something indisputable in the midst of a dispute is rather illogical.<br><br><br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr><br>Just because you don't like some of the messengers doesn't mean the message is bogus.<hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--><br><br>If George Bush tells me tomorrow that we must all subject ourselves to martial law due to an impending epidemic, I will likely not accept this message. I will question it thoroughly before I send my family into quarantine. It is, in fact, bad practice in the real world, to accept messages from unreliable messengers. I don't trust Enron to tell me that there's a shortage of electricity and I don't trust the oil companies who tell me oil is running out. <br><br>Logic really has to do with the validity of conclusions based on a given set of premises. The premises can be false and the conclusions still be logically sound. I'm suggesting that some of your premises are not, in fact, givens and may, in fact, simply be wrong. <ducking behind desk before Wolf lectures on logic!!!><br><br> <p></p><i></i>
Dreams End
 

William Rockefeller

Postby robertdreed » Mon Aug 01, 2005 8:01 pm

Consulting my references- Frederick Lundberg's <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>The Rockefeller Dynasty</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END-->, and Willam Hoffman's <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>David: Portrait Of A Rockefeller</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END-->- I note that I'm wrong about a fairly substantive detail. John D. Rockefeller didn't become a millionaire selling patent medicine. That was the occupation of his father, William, who advertised himself as a "cancer specialist" and sold his medicine for $25.00 a bottle. <br><br>William Rockefeller didn't become a millionaire. Sometimes he was "up", other times "down"- due in part to run-ins with the law. Eventually, he abandoned his family. But at different times and places, he managed to support his family in a comfortable degree of affluence, as a "patent medicine man." According to Lundberg, he also schooled John D. on money and business at an early age, building on his son's natural aptitude for numerical figuring. <p></p><i>Edited by: <A HREF=http://p097.ezboard.com/brigorousintuition.showUserPublicProfile?gid=robertdreed>robertdreed</A> at: 8/1/05 6:11 pm<br></i>
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