by AlicetheCurious » Tue Oct 03, 2006 2:50 pm
Israel Shahak warned of "The Zionist Plan for the Middle East" back in 1982. It was chilling reading for me, because of its conformity to our present reality, 18 years later, here in the Middle East.<br><br>Some of those events are obvious even to the uninformed, while others can be observed in their embryonic or slightly more advanced stages. Some Egyptian and Arab analysts sounding the alarm about certain events, such as bizarre clashes between Copts and Muslims in Egypt, sparked by mysterious and suspicious provocations, have been accused of harboring a "conspiracy mentality". The same can be said of the bombing of the Shia Golden mosque, which is when talk of a Shia-Sunni civil war in Iraq suddenly became the accepted wisdom, despite the inconvenient facts.<br><br>Egypt's sovereignty over its oil and gas resources have been compromised by contracts that guarantee Israel's access to them at fixed prices for decades to come. These were signed by the Egyptian "government" despite howls of protest from the Egyptian people.<br><br>This essay was translated by Israel Shahak from the original Hebrew in 1982, and posted with this foreword:<br><br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr>The following essay represents, in my opinion, the accurate and detailed plan of the present Zionist regime (of Sharon and Eitan) for the Middle East which is based on the division of the whole area into small states, and the dissolution of all the existing Arab states. I will comment on the military aspect of this plan in a concluding note. Here I want to draw the attention of the readers to several important points:<br><br>1. The idea that all the Arab states should be broken down, by Israel, into small units, occurs again and again in Israeli strategic thinking. For example, Ze'ev Schiff, the military correspondent of Ha'aretz (and probably the most knowledgeable in Israel, on this topic) writes about the "best" that can happen for Israeli interests in Iraq: "The dissolution of Iraq into a Shi'ite state, a Sunni state and the separation of the Kurdish part" (Ha'aretz 6/2/1982). Actually, this aspect of the plan is very old.<br><br><br>2. The strong connection with Neo-Conservative thought in the USA is very prominent, especially in the author's notes. But, while lip service is paid to the idea of the "defense of the West" from Soviet power, the real aim of the author, and of the present Israeli establishment is clear: To make an Imperial Israel into a world power. In other words, the aim of Sharon is to deceive the Americans after he has deceived all the rest.<br><br>3. It is obvious that much of the relevant data, both in the notes and in the text, is garbled or omitted, such as the financial help of the U.S. to Israel. Much of it is pure fantasy. But, the plan is not to be regarded as not influential, or as not capable of realization for a short time. The plan follows faithfully the geopolitical ideas current in Germany of 1890-1933, which were swallowed whole by Hitler and the Nazi movement, and determined their aims for East Europe. Those aims, especially the division of the existing states, were carried out in 1939-1941, and only an alliance on the global scale prevented their consolidation for a period of time.<br><br>The notes by the author follow the text. To avoid confusion, I did not add any notes of my own, but have put the substance of them into this foreword and the conclusion at the end. I have, however, emphasized some portions of the text.<br><br>Israel Shahak<br>June 13, 1982<hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--><br><br><br>Here are some brief excerpts from the essay: "<!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>A Strategy for Israel in the Nineteen Eighties</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END-->" by Oded Yinon, which originally appeared in Hebrew in <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>KIVUNIM</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END--> (Directions), <!--EZCODE ITALIC START--><em>A Journal for Judaism and Zionism</em><!--EZCODE ITALIC END-->; Issue No, 14--Winter, 5742, February 1982, Editor: Yoram Beck. Editorial Committee: Eli Eyal, Yoram Beck, Amnon Hadari, Yohanan Manor, Elieser Schweid. <br><br>Published by the Department of Publicity/The World Zionist Organization, Jerusalem.<br><br><br><!--EZCODE QUOTE START--><blockquote><strong><em>Quote:</em></strong><hr><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>Failing to take steps towards the Arab population in the new territories, acquired in the course of a war forced upon us, is the major strategic error committed by Israel on the morning after the Six Day War. We could have saved ourselves all the bitter and dangerous conflict since then <!--EZCODE UNDERLINE START--><span style="text-decoration:underline">if we had given Jordan to the Palestinians</span><!--EZCODE UNDERLINE END--> who live west of the Jordan river.</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> <br><br>By doing that we would have neutralized the Palestinian problem which we nowadays face, and to which we have found solutions that are really no solutions at all, such as territorial compromise or autonomy which amount, in fact, to the same thing. Today, we suddenly face immense opportunities for transforming the situation thoroughly and this we must do in the coming decade, otherwise we shall not survive as a state.<br><br>... <br><br><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>(Regaining) the Sinai peninsula with its present and potential resources is therefore a political priority which is obstructed by the Camp David and the peace agreements. </strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> <br>...<br><br>Without oil and the income from it, with the present enormous expenditure, we will not be able to get through 1982 under the present conditions and we will have to act in order to return the situation to the status quo which existed in Sinai prior to Sadat's visit and the mistaken peace agreement signed with him in March 1979.<br><br>Israel has two major routes through which to realize this purpose, one direct and the other indirect. The direct option is the less realistic one because of the nature of the regime and government in Israel as well as the wisdom of Sadat who obtained our withdrawal from Sinai, which was, next to the war of 1973, his major achievement since he took power. <br><br>Israel will not unilaterally break the treaty, neither today, nor in 1982, unless it is very hard pressed economically and politically and Egypt provides Israel with the excuse to take the Sinai back into our hands for the fourth time in our short history. <br><br>What is left therefore, is the <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>indirect</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> option. The economic situation in Egypt, the nature of the regime and its pan-Arab policy, will bring about a situation after April 1982 in which Israel will be forced to act <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>directly or indirectly</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> in order to regain control over Sinai as a strategic, economic and energy reserve for the long run. Egypt does not constitute a military strategic problem due to its internal conflicts and it could be driven back to the post 1967 war situation in no more than one day.<br><br>...<!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>In the short run, due to the return of the Sinai, Egypt will gain several advantages at our expense, but only in the short run until 1982, and that will not change the balance of power to its benefit, and will possibly bring about its downfall. Egypt, in its present domestic political picture, is already a corpse, all the more so if we take into account the growing Moslem-Christian rift. <!--EZCODE UNDERLINE START--><span style="text-decoration:underline">Breaking Egypt down territorially into distinct geographical regions is the political aim of Israel in the Nineteen Eighties on its Western front</span><!--EZCODE UNDERLINE END-->.</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--><br><br>...The vision of a Christian Coptic State in Upper Egypt alongside a number of weak states with very localized power and without a centralized government as to date, is the key to a historical development which was only set back by the peace agreement but which seems inevitable in the long run.<br><br>The Western front, which on the surface appears more problematic, is in fact less complicated than the Eastern front, in which most of the events that make the headlines have been taking place recently. <br><br><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>Lebanon's total dissolution into five provinces serves as a precedent for the entire Arab world including Egypt, Syria, Iraq and the Arabian peninsula and is already following that track. <!--EZCODE UNDERLINE START--><span style="text-decoration:underline">The dissolution of Syria and Iraq later on into ethnically or religiously unqiue areas such as in Lebanon, is Israel's primary target on the Eastern front in the long run, while the dissolution of the military power of those states serves as the primary short term target</span><!--EZCODE UNDERLINE END-->.</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> <br><br>Syria will fall apart, in accordance with its ethnic and religious structure, into several states such as in present day Lebanon, so that there will be a Shi'ite Alawi state along its coast, a Sunni state in the Aleppo area, another Sunni state in Damascus hostile to its northern neighbor, and the Druzes who will set up a state, maybe even in our Golan, and certainly in the Hauran and in northern Jordan. This state of affairs will be the guarantee for peace and security in the area in the long run, and that aim is already within our reach today.<br><br><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong><!--EZCODE UNDERLINE START--><span style="text-decoration:underline">Iraq, rich in oil on the one hand and internally torn on the other, is guaranteed as a candidate for Israel's targets. Its dissolution is even more important for us than that of Syria</span><!--EZCODE UNDERLINE END-->.<br><br></strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> Iraq is stronger than Syria. In the short run it is Iraqi power which constitutes the greatest threat to Israel. An Iraqi-Iranian war will tear Iraq apart and cause its downfall at home even before it is able to organize a struggle on a wide front against us. <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong><br><br><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>Every kind of inter-Arab confrontation will assist us in the short run and will shorten the way to the more important aim of breaking up Iraq into denominat</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--></strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> as in Syria and in Lebanon. In Iraq, a division into provinces along ethnic/religious lines as in Syria during Ottoman times is possible. <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>So, three (or more) states will exist around the three major cities: Basra, Baghdad and Mosul, and Shi'ite areas in the south will separate from the Sunni and Kurdish north.</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> It is possible that the present Iranian-Iraqi confrontation will deepen this polarization.<br><br><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>The entire Arabian peninsula is a natural candidate for dissolution</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> due to internal and external pressures, and the matter is inevitable especially in Saudi Arabia. Regardless of whether its economic might based on oil remains intact or whether it is diminished in the long run, the internal rifts and breakdowns are a clear and natural development in light of the present political structure.<br><br>Jordan constitutes an immediate strategic target in the short run but not in the long run, for it does not constitute a real threat in the long run after its dissolution, the termination of the lengthy rule of King Hussein and the transfer of power to the Palestinians in the short run.<br><br>There is no chance that Jordan will continue to exist in its present structure for a long time, and Israel's policy, both in war and in peace, ought to be directed at the liquidation of Jordan under the present regime and the transfer of power to the Palestinian majority. Changing the regime east of the river will also cause the termination of the problem of the territories densely populated with Arabs west of the Jordan. <br><br><!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>Whether in war or under conditions of peace, <!--EZCODE UNDERLINE START--><span style="text-decoration:underline">emigration from the territories and economic demographic freeze in them, are the guarantees for the coming change on both banks of the river, and we ought to be active in order to accelerate this process</span><!--EZCODE UNDERLINE END--> in the nearest future.</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> <br><br>...<!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong><!--EZCODE UNDERLINE START--><span style="text-decoration:underline">Genuine coexistence and peace will reign over the land only when the Arabs understand that without Jewish rule between the Jordan and the sea they will have neither existence nor security</span><!--EZCODE UNDERLINE END-->. A nation of their own and security will be theirs only in Jordan.</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--><br><br>...<!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>It should be clear, under any future political situation or military constellation, that the solution of the problem of the indigenous Arabs will come only when they recognize the existence of Israel in secure borders up to the Jordan river and beyond it, as our existential need in this difficult epoch</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END-->, the nuclear epoch which we shall soon enter. It is no longer possible to live with three fourths of the Jewish population on the dense shoreline which is so dangerous in a nuclear epoch.<br><br>Dispersal of the population is therefore a domestic strategic aim of the highest order; otherwise, we shall cease to exist within any borders. <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>Judea, Samaria and the Galilee are our sole guarantee for national existence, and if we do not become the majority in the mountain areas, we shall not rule in the country and we shall be like the Crusaders, who lost this country which was not theirs anyhow, and in which they were foreigners to begin with.</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--> <br><br>Rebalancing the country demographically, strategically and economically is the highest and most central aim today. <!--EZCODE BOLD START--><strong>Taking hold of the mountain watershed from Beersheba to the Upper Galilee is the national aim generated by the major strategic consideration which is settling the mountainous part of the country that is empty of Jews today.</strong><!--EZCODE BOLD END--><br><br>Realizing our aims on the Eastern front depends first on the realization of this internal strategic objective. The transformation of the political and economic structure, so as to enable the realization of these strategic aims, is the key to achieving the entire change. We need to change from a centralized economy in which the government is extensively involved, to an open and free market as well as to switch from depending upon the U.S. taxpayer to developing, with our own hands, of a genuine productive economic infrastructure. If we are not able to make this change freely and voluntarily, we shall be forced into it by world developments, especially in the areas of economics, energy, and politics, and by our own growing isolation.<br><br>... Rapid changes in the world will also bring about a change in the condition of world Jewry to which Israel will become not only a last resort but the only existential option. We cannot assume that U.S. Jews, and the communities of Europe and Latin America will continue to exist in the present form in the future.<br><br>Our existence in this country itself is certain, and there is no force that could remove us from here either forcefully or by treachery (Sadat's method). Despite the difficulties of the mistaken "peace" policy and the problem of the Israeli Arabs and those of the territories, we can effectively deal with these problems in the foreseeable future.<br><br><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK START--><a href="http://www.the7thfire.com/new_world_order/zionism/zionist_plan_for_the_middle_east.htm">www.the7thfire.com/new_wo...e_east.htm</a><!--EZCODE AUTOLINK END--><br><hr></blockquote><!--EZCODE QUOTE END--> <p></p><i>Edited by: <A HREF=http://p216.ezboard.com/brigorousintuition.showUserPublicProfile?gid=alicethecurious>AlicetheCurious</A> at: 10/3/06 3:15 pm<br></i>