Wombaticus Rex wrote:Prediction: Aum Shinrikyo style terrorist attack on Dec. 22, 2012.
Prediction: The Pirate Bay finally shut down before Jan 1, 2013.
Prediction: Julian Assange suicided.
Unless you're working with actual rumor I find these pretty fucked up. I'll take you up as counterparty on the 12/22, but that's easy. What are your bet terms for plus-or-minus a week?
I don't want to even contemplate the other two.
Prediction: Hugo wins, clean.
Bet: No Iran war in October. But likelihood far from remote.
Prediction: New financial crash after 2012 election, by mid-January.
Prediction: The fire this time.
Prediction: Attempted Monica on Obama by 2014, on the basis of alleged youthful gay affair that he is found somehow to have lied about. Fizzles from majority apathy but eats the media during a barely-noticed bombing campaign in (take your pick: not Iran). Right apoplexy finally causes some well-deserve high-level strokes. (I'm just going by the persistent parallels to the course of the Clinton presidency, which evince a kind of system with identifiable drivers. Although, true enough, that one was "Hope and Change," not "Change and Hope.")
Prediction: At some point, though I won't specify exact time, a Holmes or Breivik style massacre in the United States will barely make a ripple in the headlines, on an ordinary news day. (This event will not be in New York City or due to a Muslim perpetrator, however.)
Prediction: It will be revealed that the Poindexter Terror Futures trading desk has, in fact, been running since soon after (or slightly before) the time the proposal was first aired out and prompted his resignation.
Prediction: Murdoch in auto-asphyxiation death, like Little Grasshopper. Pictures in Murdoch tabloids.
Notwithstanding I wish we could hold real-world RI seminars. Like in hotels. I've learned to like a lot about first-world consumer perks, when available, did you know? Besides, long as they're doing it for real estate and cosmetics and tax scams and corporate-style personal discovery...