The equinox came and went with no darkside events. They have become so poorly organized and ineffective in the last few months that we no longer even anticipate these things.
There was a time when we could look at the calendar and see what the next opportune date was, and then discover what they had in mind. We successfully intervened against every plan since Katrina, and for the last couple of months, they don't even plan.
The October Surprise was discussed in previous log entries. That was the war that never was. When that flopped, and Rumsfeld had to resign, there were too many factions in the administration at war with each other to even think of doing some deed timed for New Year's Day.
So Bush has his back against the wall, sort of. His supporters are deserting him, and Congress is no longer his rubber stamp ally. Time to make a new plan.
His fall-back position is for Cheney to resign, which we forecast some time ago. His pending resignation is in the news yesterday and today. While this waits realization, Bush has moved spooks into position in preparation for the day when he can initiate action against Iran, or maybe Korea. Negroponte is number two at the State Department now, ready to take Condi's place when she becomes VEEP. And he is waiting for senate approval for the spook he selected to run the Defense Department.
While Dubya is doing all his selecting and "deciding" what to do about the situation in Iraq, there is another plan we don't hear about. This is the plan made by those who are really in charge. And those who are really in charge have been tired of Bush for a long time. They don't act with the decisiveness that you and I would use, because it isn't their children who are in the war zone. And it isn't their money being spent to wage the war. They're making lots of money on the war, so there's no real hurry from those issues.
Time is important, or should I say timing is important. There is another election coming up in two years. And even though they own all the candidates, the show must go on to keep the people satisfied. So, Condi will be in position to be a presidential candidate if they decide they need her for that. And George? He's history. He will likely exit the stage, one way or the other. He's a burden to the Republican Party and it's best that he just disappear from the scene. That'll give Condi two years to make a name for herself, and the public two years to get the taste of George Bush out of their mouths.
If they allow Bush to finish his term, he'll taint any Republican candidate foolish enough to try to run. It would be as uneven a contest as the one between Goldwater and Johnson. They don't like to do that any more. The public needs a good contest to get them interested and make the process seem legitimate.
The political theatre in D.C. plays on, and the sound track music in the background is a war against Iran. Bush is moving ships around, making military appointments and public pronouncements. Administration flunkies are on the talking heads shows. The internet fear peddlers are busy on their front, too. Keep the people on edge, that's the plan.
Keeping the people on edge is their only plan, though. There won't be a war against Iran this year. Next year doesn't look good, either. Now, don't go betting the farm on what I tell you!

This is just my little old blond head talking. But I have reasons for what I say.
As some of you know, we have not been content to let events take their course. Where possible, we've intervened on behalf of peace and humanity. The work on the nuclear reactors in the warships was discussed in a previous log entry. More recently....
I went to my special place in the War Room and visited for a while with Robert Gates, the gonna be new head of the Defense Department. Ol' Robert should never have come back to Washington. What's in it for him? He doesn't need the money. Now he's working with creepy, crawly creatures, some of whom may even be cyborgs. When I went to visit him, I could tell that he was out of his element.
I did a Vulcan mind meld on him, and asked a few questions. He confirmed that there is no plan for a war against Iran. Flash had been telling us the same thing, and my over-the-event-horizon radar was not picking it up, either.
Had a couple of visits with John Negroponte, and may have been able to dull his sword, so to speak. I know where he is and how to find him when he becomes the replacement for Condi. Let old George get his ducks in a row. I'll knock them down later.
The oil market knows that there won't be a war. Nothing in any of the Bloomberg reports ever mentions it, not even once have I seen it, as a factor in the price movement of stocks or commodities. Oil has been steadily going down over the last few weeks. It dropped below 50 dollars a barrel at least twice. No known connection, but certainly suspicious, the announcement that the government is going to double its strategic oil reserves. Price went up about five dollars after that.
War is a Broadway play that folded before opening night. The events to watch now are all on the economic front. We'll talk about that in Part Two.
Dragon