"End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby Marie Laveau » Tue Aug 23, 2011 2:29 am

JackRiddler wrote:.

My favorite Roubini quote is from "Inside Job":

Q. Why do you think there hasn't been a more systematic investigation of wrongdoing?
A. Because then they would find the culprits.


http://www.alternet.org/newsandviews/ar ... ing_itself

Mainstream Economist: Marx Was Right. Capitalism May Be Destroying Itself

Nouriel Roubini is a mainstream economist who teaches at New York University and may be best known as one of the early predictors of the '08 crash.

He is no Marxist.

But today, in an interview with the Wall Street Journal, Roubini admitted that Marx was right about Capitalism and raised the possibility that Capitalism is destroying itself in the way Marx outlined more than a century and a half ago.

I've produced a rough transcript (Roubini's accent gives me some trouble) of the critical portion of this very interesting interview. I urge you to read each word carefully at least once, if not twice.

WSJ: So you painted a bleak picture of sub-par economic growth going forward, with an increased risk of another recession in the near future. That sounds awful. What can government and what can businesses do to get the economy going again or is it just sit and wait and gut it out?

Roubini: Businesses are not doing anything. They're not actually helping. All this risk made them more nervous. There's a value in waiting. They claim they're doing cutbacks because there's excess capacity and not adding workers because there's not enough final demand, but there's a paradox, a Catch-22. If you're not hiring workers, there's not enough labor income, enough consumer confidence, enough consumption, not enough final demand. In the last two or three years, we've actually had a worsening because we've had a massive redistribution of income from labor to capital, from wages to profits, and the inequality of income has increased and the marginal propensity to spend of a household is greater than the marginal propensity of a firm because they have a greater propensity to save, that is firms compared to households. So the redistribution of income and wealth makes the problem of inadequate aggregate demand even worse.


Karl Marx had it right. At some point, Capitalism can destroy itself. You cannot keep on shifting income from labor to Capital without having an excess capacity and a lack of aggregate demand. That's what has happened. We thought that markets worked. They're not working. The individual can be rational. The firm, to survive and thrive, can push labor costs more and more down, but labor costs are someone else's income and consumption. That's why it's a self-destructive process.



The full interview is here.
http://online.wsj.com/video/roubini-war ... F8735.html




Poor old Ayn. She's rolling over in her grave, dear thing.
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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby JackRiddler » Wed Aug 24, 2011 10:29 am

.

Choice bits from new thread
The Capitalists are starting to get it
viewtopic.php?f=8&t=32935



2012 Countdown wrote:
Fed Economists – “We see a 15 year Bear Market for Stocks”
Posted by: Bruce Krasting
Post date: 08/23/2011 - 10:03

The San Francisco Fed has come out with a research paper connecting the dots between the retiring baby boomers and stock prices. The thinking is that the boomers will divest themselves of stocks as they retire and eat into their savings. This is an old argument, but I still found it interesting.

The authors, Zheng Liu and Mark M. Spiegel have attempted to quantify the implications. Their principal conclusions:

We find that the actual P/E ratio should decline from about 15 in 2010 to about 8.3 in 2025.

The model-generated path for real stock prices implied by demographic trends is quite bearish. Real stock prices follow a downward trend until 2021.

On the brighter side, as the M/O ratio rebounds in 2025 (BK: M/O = Baby Boomers die), we should expect a strong stock price recovery. By 2030, our calculations suggest that the real value of equities will be about 20% higher than in 2010.


These conclusions are just horrendous! The suggestion is that there is a 15-year bear market in front of us. Multiples will fall by 50%!! I loved the “good news” from the report, that stocks might be 20% higher than 2010, but we have to wait 20 years to see that improvement.

Bloomberg interviewed Spiegel about this report. There was one comment that I thought was telling:

“We do see it as something of a headwind as the economy is attempting to recover.”

This is worst kind of "Fed Speak" in my opinion. These deep thinkers have it completely wrong. They think that the key to having a stronger economy is higher stock prices. So they spend all of their efforts dreaming up ways to keep the S&P ramping up. I think it is the exact other way around. If the economy were to be growing, it is reasonable to assume that stock price might rise. It is completely false to assume that attempts to jigger stocks higher will lead to a stronger economy.

---
http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/fe ... s%E2%80%9D


======


Consumer debt forgiveness needed for recovery

Published: Monday, 22 Aug 2011 | 1:05 PM ET
Special to CNBC.com

American consumers have too much debt, not enough savings and are afraid they will lose their jobs—if they haven't lost them already.

It might be time for something that hasn't been done since the 1930s to get Americans spending again: national debt forgiveness, Stephen Roach told CNBC Monday.

A stronger dollar or higher interest rates would encourage consumption and saving, Roach said, but he prefers the more "direct approach" of coming up with "ways to forgive the excesses of mortgage, installment and revolving credit, as what was done in the 1930s, that will help consumers get through the pain of deleveraging sooner rather than later."

The nonexecutive chairman at Morgan Stanley Asia and senior fellow at Yale's Jackson Institute said the American consumer makes up 71 percent of gross domestic product, but growth is up only 0.2 percent over the last 14 months.


"The American consumer...is going nowhere," he said. It’s a Japanese style balance sheet correction. If we don’t address that, all the public policy aimed at the fiscal and monetary stimuluses are going to be pushing on a string."

Debt forgiveness may hurt lenders, Roach said, but "they’re the ones who wrote the bad loans and they're the ones who had the free ride. There's no gain without some pain and we have to decide who in society has to bear the brunt of that."

At the same time, "politicians don’t want to inflict pain on any constituency," Roach said. "We have a leadership deficit. People are unwilling to take the tough choices and say, 'This is going to be painful for a while, but we’re going to come out the other side.' "

---
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44229642




seemslikeadream wrote:oh I believe the collapse was part of the plan or as Catherine Austin Fitts would say "planned economic re-engineering."

We meet at the borders of our being, we dream something of each others reality. - Harvey of R.I.

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I am by virtue of its might divine,
The highest Wisdom and the first Love.

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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby JackRiddler » Wed Aug 24, 2011 10:38 am

.

Interesting response to Latest Warren Buffett Lovefest in the media.


http://dissentingleftist.blogspot.com/2 ... ilege.html

Dissenting Leftist
I'm just a skeptical left libertarian out to dismantle irrationality and protect freedom. And I don't care whom I piss off in the process.


Monday, August 22, 2011
Don't Tax the Rich, Smash Their Privilege: A Response to Warren Buffett

Recently the progressive blogosphere was abuzz with approving links to billionaire investor Warren Buffett's latest New York Times op-ed, "Stop Coddling the Super Rich." In this piece, Buffett concisely exposes the various loopholes that allow the wealthiest Americans to pay far fewer taxes than their middle class, working class, and poor counterparts. While the tax code in all its complexity certainly privileges the wealthy at the expense of most Americans, this barely scratches the surface of the ways the state oppresses poor and working people to line the pockets of the opulent. Buffett's article never mentions direct corporate welfare or the numerous privileges that the wealthy hold thanks to intellectual property, the land monopoly, regulatory barriers to entry, suppression of labor movements, and imperialism, to name a few. To illustrate the extent to which government intervention privileges the super rich at the expense of everyone else, I will examine Warren Buffett's stock portfolio and expose how his wealth stems from violence, coercion, imperialism, and statism.

Coca Cola, Human Rights, and Labor Suppression

According to http://warren-buffett-portfolio.com/, the #1 corporation in Warren Buffet's stock portfolio is Coca Cola. Coca Cola has an abysmal human rights record, most noteworthy thanks to its colorful history of repressing labor organizing. According to an article by Jeremy Rayner for the John F. Henning Center for International Labor Relations:
There is mounting evidence that American companies are complicit in the persecution of trade unionists at their Colombian operations. In the case of the Coca-Cola bottling plant in Carepa, where Isídro Segundo Gil was murdered, the union Sinaltrainal argues that Coca-Cola knowingly stood by and allowed the plant's manager to bring in paramilitaries to destroy the union. The workers at the Carepa plant had been asking both Coca-Cola and its bottler, Bebidas y Alimentos, to intervene on their behalf for two months before Isídro Segundo Gil's murder. The plant manager, Ariosto Milan Mosquera had announced publicly that he had asked the paramilitaries to destroy the union. His declaration had been followed by a series of death threats from the paramilitaries, which had prompted the union to send letters to both Coca-Cola and Bebidas y Alimentos asking that they intervene to secure their workers' safety. And this was not the first time that threats against workers had been carried out. Just two years before, in 1994, the paramilitaries had killed two trade unionists at the same plant. It should have surprised no one when two and a half months after the union's plea for help, Isídro Segundo Gil was murdered and the union busted.

Unionists have also been assassinated at other Coca-Cola bottling plants in Colombia, both before and after the incident at Carepa. One unionist, José Avelino Chicano, was killed at a Coca-Cola plant in Pasto in 1989. In 2002, despite the limited publicity surrounding the events at Carepa, a union leader named Oscar Dario Soto Polo was killed during the course of contract negotiations at the plant in Bucaramanga. Despite the remarkable courage and perseverance of Colombia's labor activists, the campaign of intimidation has necessarily taken its toll on worker organizing. The president of Sinaltrainal, Javier Correa, reported last year that the number of unionized workers at Coca-Cola plants had dropped by more than two thirds since 1993-from 1,300 workers to only 450.


Such campaigns of violent intimidation have been aided and abetted by US tax dollars. Many of those involved with these anti-union campaigns of violence were graduates of the Defense Department's infamous School of the Americas. The right wing paramilitaries which regularly slaughter labor organizers are closely connected to the Colombian military, which receives huge amounts of aid from the US government so as to fight the drug war as well as a dirty war against the anti-capitalist Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC). Thus, even if Warren Buffett were to pay more in taxes, at least some of that money would go to violence against labor organizers.

In addition to brutality in Colombia, Coca Cola has been implicated in violence and intimidation against unionists in Guatemala. These and other Coca Cola human rights violations are profiled in detail at http://killercoke.org/.

Note that, contrary to Buffett's progressive image, he profits immensely off of Coca Cola's human rights violations. If Buffett really wants to "get serious about shared sacrifice," he should sacrifice the profits he has gained through the corrupt tactics of Coca Cola and use some of his immense wealth to help the Coca Cola workers suffering throughout the globe thanks to those tactics. He should also repudiate the US government's military aid and imperialist intervention in countries like Colombia.

Wells Fargo and the Prison Industrial Complex

The number two corporation in Warren Buffet's stock portfolio is Wells Fargo. Wells Fargo is a major beneficiary of corporate welfare. For instance, they received $43.7 billion in federal taxpayer bailout money. But far more destructive is Wells Fargo's investment in prison profiteers. Wells Fargo owns 4 million shares in the Geo Group, the second largest private prison corporation in America, and 50,000 shares in the Corrections Corporation of America (CCA), the largest private prison corporation in the country. These shares combined are valued at more than $120 million (Source: http://www.cjjc.org/en/news/50-immigran ... om-prisons ).

Companies such as the Geo Group and CCA do not earn their money by providing goods or services to customers. Rather, they make their money solely from the government, and solely for locking human beings in cages, mostly for non-violent offenses. Further, these companies actively lobby for unjust laws, largely using the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC), a corporatist conservative political group. As Bob Elk and Mike Sloan wrote in a recent article for The Nation:
ALEC helped pioneer some of the toughest sentencing laws on the books today, like mandatory minimums for non-violent drug offenders, “three strikes” laws, and “truth in sentencing” laws. In 1995 alone, ALEC’s Truth in Sentencing Act was signed into law in twenty-five states. (Then State Rep. Scott Walker was an ALEC member when he sponsored Wisconsin's truth-in-sentencing laws and, according to PR Watch, used its statistics to make the case for the law.) More recently, ALEC has proposed innovative “solutions” to the overcrowding it helped create, such as privatizing the parole process through “the proven success of the private bail bond industry,” as it recommended in 2007. (The American Bail Coalition is an executive member of ALEC’s Public Safety and Elections Task Force.) ALEC has also worked to pass state laws to create private for-profit prisons, a boon to two of its major corporate sponsors: Corrections Corporation of America and Geo Group (formerly Wackenhut Corrections), the largest private prison firms in the country. An In These Timesinvestigation last summer revealed that ALEC arranged secret meetings between Arizona’s state legislators and CCA to draft what became SB 1070, Arizona’s notorious immigration law, to keep CCA prisons flush with immigrant detainees. ALEC has proven expertly capable of devising endless ways to help private corporations benefit from the country’s massive prison population.


These laws increase the number of peaceful people locked in cages, as well as the lengths of their sentences. Those they lock up are almost without exception members of the working class, and they are disproportionately people of color. Meanwhile, Geo Group and CCA gather obscene profits from these racist and classist laws. Wells Fargo then profits by investing in these firms, and Warren Buffett profits by investing heavily in Wells Fargo. If Warren Buffett were to pay more in taxes, at least some of those taxes would go to the prison industrial complex and then head straight back to Warren Buffett's unfathomably large bank account.

Warren Buffett the War Profiteer

Never does the government "coddle the super rich" more than in times of war. In war, poor and working people are sent to fight and die in a foreign land. They are sent to kill the populations of poor countries, and those killed disproportionately represent the country's working class. Meanwhile, corporate executives and investors profit heavily by selling the weapons, vehicles, and other devices used to murder poor people in a distant land. It should not surprise you to learn that Warren Buffett is among the investors profiting off of the American military industrial complex.

According to http://warren-buffett-portfolio.com/, Buffett owns 7.8 million shares of General Electric stock. GE produces a wide variety of products, and their war profiteering portfolio is no less diverse. General Electric has sold the US military aircraft, missiles, bombs, and battlefield computer systems, to name a few. Further, GE has been charged multiple times with defrauding the US government in relation to their defense contracts.

Warren Buffett also owns 34.2 million shares in ConocoPhilips and 0.4 million shares in Exxon Mobil, both of which are oil companies which have profited from the invasion of Iraq. Earlier this year Buffett seriously considered investing in General Dynamics, a company which earns all of its revenue through military contracts.

An increase in Warren Buffett's tax burden would not change this dynamic in the slightest. Indeed, the bulk of tax dollars go to so called "defense spending," which amounts to nothing more than blood stained subsidies to these and other military industrial complex corporations.

Monsanto and the Patent Monopoly

CNN Money reported in 2010 that Warren Buffett owned stock in Monsanto. Monsanto is a controversial agribusiness and biotechnology firm, best known for developing genetically modified organism (GMO) crops. For this reason, they have been strongly opposed by many environmental groups. The impact of GMO crops is a topic for scientific debate which I will not discuss here. However, it is incredibly noteworthy that Monsanto has enlisted patent law to crush small producers, in a dramatic illustration of the "patent monopoly" long written about by individualist anarchists such as Benjamin Tucker.

Monsanto's genetically modified seeds are all patented, granting the company monopoly privileges and the ability to use state violence to harass any farmers who save seeds, or even those whose fields are cross pollinated by Monsanto's GMO crops. Monsanto has filed over 100 patent lawsuits against farmers. One, Kem Ralph, has had to pay $3 million dollars and serve prison time, simply for saving seeds, a common agricultural practice. Such aggressive tactics from Monsanto have prompted a group of farmers represented by the Public Patent Foundation to fight back:

On behalf of 22 agricultural organisations, 12 seed businesses and 26 farms and farmers, the Public Patent Foundation (PUBPAT) is suing the biotech company in the federal district court in Manhattan and assigned to Judge Naomi Buchwald.
The organic plaintiffs had to pre-emptively protect themselves from potential patent infringement in case of accidental contamination of their crops by genetically modified organisms (GMOs), said PUBPAT.
“This case asks whether Monsanto has the right to sue organic farmers for patent infringement if Monsanto’s transgenic seed should land on their property,” said Dan Ravicher, PUBPAT’s executive director and a law professor at Benjamin N. Cardozo School of Law in New York. PUBPAT is a non-profit legal services organisation based at Cardozo law school. Its stated mission is “to protect freedom in the patent system.”
“It seems quite perverse that an organic farmer contaminated by transgenic seed could be accused of patent infringement, but Monsanto has made such accusations before and is notorious for having sued hundreds of farmers for patent infringement, so we had to act to protect the interests of our clients,” he said in a press release.


It is disturbing that such a lawsuit is necessary. It is disturbing that a corporation can use the state to exercise this sort of control and intimidation against small farmers. It is perhaps more disturbing that a billionaire who invests in and profits from these coercive business practices is being held up as a progressive icon.

Time to Fight Back in the Class War

Warren Buffett famously said "There's class warfare, all right, but it's my class, the rich class, that's making war, and we're winning." Buffett was talking about the tax code, but that barely scratches the surface of the violent and rapacious class warfare the super-rich are waging against ordinary people. It becomes a bit difficult to make tax law your top priority when you realize that labor leaders are being murdered, unnecessary wars are being fought, peaceful people are put in prison, and farmers are coerced into bankruptcy, all for the sake of corporate profits. Changes to the tax code will never fix that. So what will?

Every problem I have identified here stems from the same source: Unaccountable centralized power. When a centralized state is granted the power to wage war, its killings are presumed to be "policy" rather than crimes, and corporations can influence state policy, wars for profit are the inevitable result. When a centralized state is given the power to lock up peaceful people in cages, it will. When businesses are owned and controlled by a few wealthy investors and CEO's rather than through workers' self management, the workers will see their material conditions suffer and their free association under vicious assault. People should have control over their own lives, rather than seeing their most important decisions made from Washington, DC or some corporate board rooms. It's time to build a real resistance to coercive power and authority. It's time to resist wars and prisons, to stand up for workers, to build networks of mutual aid, to create grassroots alternatives to government programs and capitalist corporations. It's time to build a new society in the shell of the old.

This is a message you won't receive from Warren Buffett. Surface changes to the tax code would give him a slightly more stable society with a happier population. But he would still be able to profit from rapacious violence and coercion against poor and working people. A real revolution, a society in which people organize from the bottom up and reject institutional violence, would be disastrous for Warren Buffett. Because in a free society, billionaires like Buffett might have to learn to work for a living.

Further reading:
http://www.corpwatch.org/
http://infoshop.org/
http://mutualist.org/
http://all-left.net/
http://www.iww.org/
http://libcom.org/

Posted by Quantum Tuba at 12:17 AM

We meet at the borders of our being, we dream something of each others reality. - Harvey of R.I.

To Justice my maker from on high did incline:
I am by virtue of its might divine,
The highest Wisdom and the first Love.

TopSecret WallSt. Iraq & more
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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby Joe Hillshoist » Wed Aug 24, 2011 7:15 pm

Thats awesome, cheers Jack.
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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby semper occultus » Thu Aug 25, 2011 8:15 am

Banks now dumping toxic assets onto their pensioners... :doh:

Pension conundrum at UK banks
By Patrick Jenkins, Banking Editor
www.ft.com

Last updated: August 21, 2011 11:41 pm

<snip>
The biggest innovation of recent times, though, has been the realisation that just as retailers have been able to use their property assets instead of cash to make pension contributions, so banks have also been able to use balance sheet assets.

The banks are shy to talk about the practice, since it may involve moving assets that were sometimes dubbed “toxic” amid the financial crisis off the banks’ own balance sheet and into the pension funds. Both Lloyds and Barclays declined to be interviewed.

But HSBC, which took the lead in this area, is convinced it makes sense for both sides. Many “toxic” assets, such as asset-backed securities may be only temporarily impaired in value and illiquid in terms of market appetite. That should not matter for a pension fund, whose liabilities are long-term. “The pension scheme has the ability to take liquidity risk,” says Mr Clark.

Last December, HSBC put £1.76bn of assets into the fund as part of a 10-year plan to close the £3.2bn actuarial deficit identified in December 2008. Lloyds has made similar transfers and RBS is believed to have considered the idea. Pension fund trustees appear to have been mollified by discounts applied to the assets’ book value.

Not everyone believes the mechanism is appropriate. “It’s a matter of whether trustees are happy to accept these assets,” says Alistair Asher, partner at Allen & Overy, the law firm. But if Mr Clark is right, it could be a crucial answer to the pension funding challenge, allowing pension funds to benefit in the long term and banks to benefit now.
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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby Canadian_watcher » Thu Aug 25, 2011 8:48 am

Satire is a sort of glass, wherein beholders do generally discover everybody's face but their own.-- Jonathan Swift

When a true genius appears, you can know him by this sign: that all the dunces are in a confederacy against him. -- Jonathan Swift
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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby JackRiddler » Fri Aug 26, 2011 7:32 pm

.

SLAD started new thread to archive another important story that should have caught a lot more fire, from Taibbi.

viewtopic.php?f=8&t=32921&p=423066#p423066
(Follow link to see inevitable WTC connection.)

I'm adding a piece in NYT that defended the SEC, Taibbi's response to that, and, finally, Taibbi's excellent analysis of the ongoing Schneiderman v. World.


http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/ne ... print=true

Is the SEC Covering Up Wall Street Crimes?

A whistle-blower claims that over the past two decades, the agency has destroyed records of thousands of investigations, whitewashing the files of some of the nation's worst financial criminals.

By Matt Taibbi
August 17, 2011 8:00 AM ET

Image
Pete Gardner/Getty


Imagine a world in which a man who is repeatedly investigated for a string of serious crimes, but never prosecuted, has his slate wiped clean every time the cops fail to make a case. No more Lifetime channel specials where the murderer is unveiled after police stumble upon past intrigues in some old file – "Hey, chief, didja know this guy had two wives die falling down the stairs?" No more burglary sprees cracked when some sharp cop sees the same name pop up in one too many witness statements. This is a different world, one far friendlier to lawbreakers, where even the suspicion of wrongdoing gets wiped from the record.

That, it now appears, is exactly how the Securities and Exchange Commission has been treating the Wall Street criminals who cratered the global economy a few years back. For the past two decades, according to a whistle-blower at the SEC who recently came forward to Congress, the agency has been systematically destroying records of its preliminary investigations once they are closed. By whitewashing the files of some of the nation's worst financial criminals, the SEC has kept an entire generation of federal investigators in the dark about past inquiries into insider trading, fraud and market manipulation against companies like Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank and AIG. With a few strokes of the keyboard, the evidence gathered during thousands of investigations – "18,000 ... including Madoff," as one high-ranking SEC official put it during a panicked meeting about the destruction – has apparently disappeared forever into the wormhole of history.

Under a deal the SEC worked out with the National Archives and Records Administration, all of the agency's records – "including case files relating to preliminary investigations" – are supposed to be maintained for at least 25 years. But the SEC, using history-altering practices that for once actually deserve the overused and usually hysterical term "Orwellian," devised an elaborate and possibly illegal system under which staffers were directed to dispose of the documents from any preliminary inquiry that did not receive approval from senior staff to become a full-blown, formal investigation. Amazingly, the wholesale destruction of the cases – known as MUIs, or "Matters Under Inquiry" – was not something done on the sly, in secret. The enforcement division of the SEC even spelled out the procedure in writing, on the commission's internal website. "After you have closed a MUI that has not become an investigation," the site advised staffers, "you should dispose of any documents obtained in connection with the MUI."

Many of the destroyed files involved companies and individuals who would later play prominent roles in the economic meltdown of 2008. Two MUIs involving con artist Bernie Madoff vanished. So did a 2002 inquiry into financial fraud at Lehman Brothers, as well as a 2005 case of insider trading at the same soon-to-be-bankrupt bank. A 2009 preliminary investigation of insider trading by Goldman Sachs was deleted, along with records for at least three cases involving the infamous hedge fund SAC Capital.

The widespread destruction of records was brought to the attention of Congress in July, when an SEC attorney named Darcy Flynn decided to blow the whistle. According to Flynn, who was responsible for helping to manage the commission's records, the SEC has been destroying records of preliminary investigations since at least 1993. After he alerted NARA to the problem, Flynn reports, senior staff at the SEC scrambled to hide the commission's improprieties.

As a federally protected whistle-blower, Flynn is not permitted to speak to the press. But in evidence he presented to the SEC's inspector general and three congressional committees earlier this summer, the 13-year veteran of the agency paints a startling picture of a federal police force that has effectively been conquered by the financial criminals it is charged with investigating. In at least one case, according to Flynn, investigators at the SEC found their desire to bring a case against an influential bank thwarted by senior officials in the enforcement division – whose director turned around and accepted a lucrative job from the very same bank they had been prevented from investigating. In another case, the agency farmed out its inquiry to a private law firm – one hired by the company under investigation. The outside firm, unsurprisingly, concluded that no further investigation of its client was necessary. To complete the bureaucratic laundering process, Flynn says, the SEC dropped the case and destroyed the files.

Much has been made in recent months of the government's glaring failure to police Wall Street; to date, federal and state prosecutors have yet to put a single senior Wall Street executive behind bars for any of the many well-documented crimes related to the financial crisis. Indeed, Flynn's accusations dovetail with a recent series of damaging critiques of the SEC made by reporters, watchdog groups and members of Congress, all of which seem to indicate that top federal regulators spend more time lunching, schmoozing and job-interviewing with Wall Street crooks than they do catching them. As one former SEC staffer describes it, the agency is now filled with so many Wall Street hotshots from oft-investigated banks that it has been "infected with the Goldman mindset from within."

The destruction of records by the SEC, as outlined by Flynn, is something far more than an administrative accident or bureaucratic fuck-up. It's a symptom of the agency's terminal brain damage. Somewhere along the line, those at the SEC responsible for policing America's banks fell and hit their head on a big pile of Wall Street's money – a blow from which the agency has never recovered. "From what I've seen, it looks as if the SEC might have sanctioned some level of case-related document destruction," says Sen. Chuck Grassley, the ranking Republican on the Senate Judiciary Committee, whose staff has interviewed Flynn. "It doesn't make sense that an agency responsible for investigations would want to get rid of potential evidence. If these charges are true, the agency needs to explain why it destroyed documents, how many documents it destroyed over what time frame and to what extent its actions were consistent with the law."

How did officials at the SEC wind up with a faithful veteran employee – a conservative, mid-level attorney described as a highly reluctant whistle-blower – spilling the agency's most sordid secrets to Congress? In a way, they asked for it.

On May 18th of this year, SEC enforcement director Robert Khuzami sent out a mass e-mail to the agency's staff with the subject line "Lawyers Behaving Badly." In it, Khuzami asked his subordinates to report any experiences they might have had where "the behavior of counsel representing clients in... investigations has been questionable."

Khuzami was asking staffers to recount any stories of outside counsel behaving unethically. But Flynn apparently thought his boss was looking for examples of lawyers "behaving badly" anywhere, including within the SEC. And he had a story to share he'd kept a lid on for years. "Mr. Khuzami may have gotten something more than he expected," Flynn's lawyer, a former SEC whistle-blower named Gary Aguirre, later explained to Congress.

Flynn responded to Khuzami with a letter laying out one such example of misbehaving lawyers within the SEC. It involved a case from very early in Flynn's career, back in 2000, when he was working with a group of investigators who thought they had a "slam-dunk" case against Deutsche Bank, the German financial giant. A few years earlier, Rolf Breuer, the bank's CEO, had given an interview to Der Spiegel in which he denied that Deutsche was involved in übernahmegespräche – takeover talks – to acquire a rival American firm, Bankers Trust. But the statement was apparently untrue – and it sent the stock of Bankers Trust tumbling, potentially lowering the price for the merger. Flynn and his fellow SEC investigators, suspecting that investors of Bankers Trust had been defrauded, opened a MUI on the case.

A Matter Under Inquiry is just a preliminary sort of look-see – a way for the SEC to check out the multitude of tips it gets about suspicious trades, shady stock scams and false disclosures, and to determine which of the accusations merit a formal investigation. At the MUI stage, an SEC investigator can conduct interviews or ask a bank to send in information voluntarily. Bumping a MUI up to a formal investigation is critical, because it enables investigators to pull out the full law-enforcement ass-kicking measures – subpoenas, depositions, everything short of hot pokers and waterboarding. In the Deutsche case, Flynn and other SEC investigators got past the MUI stage and used their powers to collect sworn testimony and documents indicating that plenty of übernahmegespräche indeed had been going on when Breuer spoke to Der Spiegel. Based on the evidence, they sent an "Action Memorandum" to senior SEC staff, formally recommending that the agency press forward and file suit against Deutsche.

Breuer responded to the threat as big banks like Deutsche often do: He hired a former SEC enforcement director to lobby the agency to back off. The ex-insider, Gary Lynch, launched a creative and inspired defense, producing a linguistic expert who argued that übernahmegespräche only means "advanced stage of discussions." Nevertheless, the request to proceed with the case was approved by several levels of the SEC's staff. All that was needed to move forward was a thumbs-up from the director of enforcement at the time, Richard Walker.

But then a curious thing happened. On July 10th, 2001, Flynn and the other investigators were informed that Walker was mysteriously recusing himself from the Deutsche case. Two weeks later, on July 23rd, the enforcement division sent a letter to Deutsche that read, "Inquiry in the above-captioned matter has been terminated." The bank was in the clear; the SEC was dropping its fraud investigation. In contradiction to the agency's usual practice, it provided no explanation for its decision to close the case.

On October 1st of that year, the mystery was solved: Dick Walker was named general counsel of Deutsche. Less than 10 weeks after the SEC shut down its investigation of the bank, the agency's director of enforcement was handed a cushy, high-priced job at Deutsche.

Deutsche's influence in the case didn't stop there. A few years later, in 2004, Walker hired none other than Robert Khuzami, a young federal prosecutor, to join him at Deutsche. The two would remain at the bank until February 2009, when Khuzami joined the SEC as Flynn's new boss in the enforcement division. When Flynn sent his letter to Khuzami complaining about misbehavior by Walker, he was calling out Khuzami's own mentor.

The circular nature of the case illustrates the revolving-door dynamic that has become pervasive at the SEC. A recent study by the Project on Government Oversight found that over the past five years, former SEC personnel filed 789 notices disclosing their intent to represent outside companies before the agency – sometimes within days of their having left the SEC. More than half of the disclosures came from the agency's enforcement division, who went to bat for the financial industry four times more often than ex-staffers from other wings of the SEC.

Even a cursory glance at a list of the agency's most recent enforcement directors makes it clear that the SEC's top policemen almost always wind up jumping straight to jobs representing the banks they were supposed to regulate. Lynch, who represented Deutsche in the Flynn case, served as the agency's enforcement chief from 1985 to 1989, before moving to the firm of Davis Polk, which boasts many top Wall Street clients. He was succeeded by William McLucas, who left the SEC in 1998 to work for WilmerHale, a Wall Street defense firm so notorious for snatching up top agency veterans that it is sometimes referred to as "SEC West." McLucas was followed by Dick Walker, who defected to Deutsche in 2001, and he was in turn followed by Stephen Cutler, who now serves as general counsel for JP Morgan Chase. Next came Linda Chatman Thomsen, who stepped down to join Davis Polk, only to be succeeded in 2009 by Khuzami, Walker's former protégé at Deutsche Bank.

This merry-go-round of current and former enforcement directors has repeatedly led to accusations of improprieties. In 2008, in a case cited by the SEC inspector general, Thomsen went out of her way to pass along valuable information to Cutler, the former enforcement director who had gone to work for JP Morgan. According to the inspector general, Thomsen signaled Cutler that the SEC was unlikely to take action that would hamper JP Morgan's move to buy up Bear Stearns. In another case, the inspector general found, an assistant director of enforcement was instrumental in slowing down an investigation into the $7 billion Ponzi scheme allegedly run by Texas con artist R. Allen Stanford – and then left the SEC to work for Stanford, despite explicitly being denied permission to do so by the agency's ethics office. "Every lawyer in Texas and beyond is going to get rich on this case, OK?" the official later explained. "I hated being on the sidelines."

Small wonder, then, that SEC staffers often have trouble getting their bosses to approve full-blown investigations against even the most blatant financial criminals. For a fledgling MUI to become a formal investigation, it has to make the treacherous leap from the lower rungs of career-level staffers like Flynn all the way up to the revolving-door level at the top, where senior management is composed largely of high-priced appointees from the private sector who have strong social and professional ties to the very banks they are charged with regulating. And if senior management didn't approve an investigation, the documents often wound up being destroyed – as Flynn would later discover.

After the Deutsche fiasco over Bankers Trust, Flynn continued to work at the SEC for four more years. He briefly left the agency to dabble in real estate, then returned in 2008 to serve as an attorney in the enforcement division. In January 2010, he accepted new responsibilities that included helping to manage the disposition of records for the division – and it was then he first became aware of the agency's possibly unlawful destruction of MUI records.

Flynn discovered a directive on the enforcement division's internal website ordering staff to destroy "any records obtained in connection" with closed MUIs. The directive appeared to violate federal law, which gives responsibility for maintaining and destroying all records to the National Archives and Records Administration. Over a decade earlier, in fact, the SEC had struck a deal with NARA stipulating that investigative records were to be maintained for 25 years – and that if any files were to be destroyed after that, the shredding was to be done by NARA, not the SEC.

But Flynn soon learned that the records for thousands of preliminary investigations no longer existed. In his letter to Congress, Flynn estimates that the practice of destroying MUIs had begun as early as 1993, and has resulted in at least 9,000 case files being destroyed. For all the thousands of tips that had come in to the SEC, and the thousands of interviews that had been conducted by the agency's staff, all that remained were a few perfunctory lines for each case. The mountains of evidence gathered were no longer in existence.

To read through the list of dead and buried cases that Flynn submitted to Congress is like looking through an infrared camera at a haunted house of the financial crisis, with the ghosts of missed prosecutions flashing back and forth across the screen. A snippet of the list:

PARTY MUI # OPENED/CLOSED ISSUE
Goldman Sachs MLA-01909 6/99 - 4/00 Market Manipulation
Deutsche Bank MHO-09356 11/01 - 7/02 Insider Trading
Deutsche Bank MHO-09432 2/02 - 8/02 Market Manipulation
Lehman Brothers MNY-07013 3/02 - 7/02 Financial Fraud
Goldman Sachs MNY-08198 11/09 - 12/09 Insider Trading


One MUI – case MNY-08145 – involved allegations of insider trading at AIG on September 15th, 2008, right in the middle of the insurance giant's collapse. In that case, an AIG employee named Jacqueline Millan reported irregularities in the trading of AIG stock to her superiors, only to find herself fired. Incredibly, instead of looking into the matter itself, the SEC agreed to accept "an internal investigation by outside counsel or AIG." The last note in the file indicates that "the staff plans to speak with the outside attorneys on Monday, August 24th [2009], when they will share their findings with us." The fact that the SEC trusted AIG's lawyers to investigate the matter shows the basic bassackwardness of the agency's approach to these crash-era investigations. The SEC formally closed the case on October 1st, 2009.

The episode with AIG highlights yet another obstacle that MUIs experience on the road to becoming formal investigations. During the past decade, the SEC routinely began allowing financial firms to investigate themselves. Imagine the LAPD politely asking a gang of Crips and their lawyers to issue a report on whether or not a drive-by shooting by the Crips should be brought before a grand jury – that's basically how the SEC now handles many preliminary investigations against Wall Street targets.

The evolution toward this self-policing model began in 2001, when a shipping and food-service conglomerate called Seaboard aggressively investigated an isolated case of accounting fraud at one of its subsidiaries. Seaboard fired the guilty parties and made sweeping changes to its internal practices – and the SEC was so impressed that it instituted a new policy of giving "credit" to companies that police themselves. In practice, that means the agency simply steps aside and allows companies to slap themselves on the wrists. In the case against Seaboard, for instance, the SEC rewarded the firm by issuing no fines against it.

According to Lynn Turner, a former chief accountant at the SEC, the Seaboard case also prompted the SEC to begin permitting companies to hire their own counsel to conduct their own inquiries. At first, he says, the process worked fairly well. But then President Bush appointed the notoriously industry-friendly Christopher Cox to head up the SEC, and the "outside investigations" turned into whitewash jobs. "The investigations nowadays are probably not worth the money you spend on them," Turner says.

Harry Markopolos, a certified fraud examiner best known for sounding a famously unheeded warning about Bernie Madoff way back in 2000, says the SEC's practice of asking suspects to investigate themselves is absurd. In a serious investigation, he says, "the last person you want to trust is the person being accused or their lawyer." The practice helped Madoff escape for years. "The SEC took Bernie's word for everything," Markopolos says.

At the SEC, having realized that the agency was destroying documents, Flynn became concerned that he was overseeing an illegal policy. So in the summer of last year, he reached out to NARA, asking them for guidance on the issue.

That request sparked a worried response from Paul Wester, NARA's director of modern records. On July 29th, 2010, Wester sent a letter to Barry Walters, who oversees document requests for the SEC. "We recently learned from Darcy Flynn... that for the past 17 years the SEC has been destroying closed Matters Under Inquiry files," Wester wrote. "If you confirm that federal records have been destroyed improperly, please ensure that no further such disposals take place and provide us with a written report within 30 days."

Wester copied the letter to Adam Storch, a former Goldman Sachs executive who less than a year earlier had been appointed as managing executive of the SEC's enforcement division. Storch's appointment was not without controversy. "I'm not sure what's scarier," Daniel Indiviglio of The Atlantic observed, "that this guy worked at an investment bank that many believe has questionable ethics and too cozy a Washington connection, or that he's just 29." In any case, Storch reacted to the NARA letter the way the SEC often does – by circling the wagons and straining to find a way to blow off the problem without admitting anything.

Last August, as the clock wound down on NARA's 30-day deadline, Storch and two top SEC lawyers held a meeting with Flynn to discuss how to respond. Flynn's notes from the meeting, which he passed along to Congress, show the SEC staff wondering aloud if admitting the truth to NARA might be a bad idea, given the fact that there might be criminal liability.

"We could say that we do not believe there has been disposal inconsistent with the schedule," Flynn quotes Ken Hall, an assistant chief counsel for the SEC, as saying.

"There are implications to admit what was destroyed," Storch chimed in. It would be "not wise for me to take on the exposure voluntarily. If this leads to something, what rings in my ear is that Barry [Walters, the SEC documents officer] said: This is serious, could lead to criminal liability."

When the subject of how many files were destroyed came up, Storch answered: "18,000 MUIs destroyed, including Madoff."

Four days later, the SEC responded to NARA with a hilariously convoluted nondenial denial. "The Division is not aware of any specific instances of the destruction of records from any other MUI," the letter states. "But we cannot say with certainty that no such documents have been destroyed over the past 17 years." The letter goes on to add that "the Division has taken steps... to ensure that no MUI records are destroyed while we review this issue."

Translation: Hey, maybe records were destroyed, maybe they weren't. But if we did destroy records, we promise not to do it again – for now.

The SEC's unwillingness to admit the extent of the wrong doing left Flynn in a precarious position. The agency has a remarkably bad record when it comes to dealing with whistle-blowers. Back in 2005, when Flynn's attorney, Gary Aguirre, tried to pursue an insider-trading case against Pequot Capital that involved John Mack, the future CEO of Morgan Stanley, he was fired by phone while on vacation. Two Senate committees later determined that Aguirre, who has since opened a private practice representing whistle-blowers, was dismissed improperly as part of a "process of reprisal" by the SEC. Two whistle-blowers in the Stanford case, Julie Preuitt and Joel Sauer, also experienced retaliation – including reprimands and demotions – after raising concerns about superficial investigations. "There's no mechanism to raise these issues at the SEC," says another former whistle-blower. Contacting the agency's inspector general, he adds, is considered "the nuclear option" – a move "well-known to be a career-killer."

In Flynn's case, both he and Aguirre tried to keep the matter in-house, appealing to SEC chairman Mary Schapiro with a promise not to go outside the agency if she would grant Flynn protection against reprisal. When no such offer was forthcoming, Flynn went to the agency's inspector general before sending a detailed letter about the wrongdoing to three congressional committees.

One of the offices Flynn contacted was that of Sen. Grassley, who was in the midst of his own battle with the SEC. Frustrated with the agency's failure to punish major players on Wall Street, the Iowa Republican had begun an investigation into how the SEC follows up on outside complaints. Specifically, he wrote a letter to FINRA, another regulatory agency, to ask how many complaints it had referred to the SEC about SAC Capital, the hedge fund run by reptilian billionaire short-seller Stevie Cohen.

SAC has long been accused of a variety of improprieties, from insider trading to harassment. But no charge in recent Wall Street history is crazier than an episode involving a SAC executive named Ping Jiang, who was accused in 2006 of enacting a torturous hazing program. According to a civil lawsuit that was later dropped, Jiang allegedly forced a new trader named Andrew Tong to take female hormones, come to work wearing a dress and lipstick, have "foreign objects" inserted in his rectum, and allow Jiang to urinate in his mouth. (I'm not making this up.)

Grassley learned that over the past decade, FINRA had referred 19 complaints about suspicious trades at SAC to federal regulators. Curious to see how many of those referrals had been looked into, Grassley wrote the SEC on May 24th, asking for evidence that the agency had properly investigated the cases.

Two weeks later, on June 9th, Khuzami sent Grassley a surprisingly brusque answer: "We generally do not comment on the status of investigations or related referrals, and, in turn, are not providing information concerning the specific FINRA referrals you identified." Translation: We're not giving you the records, so blow us.

Grassley later found out from FINRA that it had actually referred 65 cases about SAC to the SEC, making the lack of serious investigations even more inexplicable. Angered by Khuzami's response, he sent the SEC another letter on June 15th demanding an explanation, but no answer has been forthcoming.

In the interim, Grassley's office was contacted by Flynn, who explained that among the missing MUIs he had uncovered were at least three involving SAC – one in 2006, one in 2007 and one in 2010, involving charges of insider trading and currency manipulation. All three cases were closed by the SEC, and the records apparently destroyed.

On August 17th, Grassley sent a letter to the SEC about the Flynn allegations, demanding to know if it was indeed true that the SEC had destroyed records. He also asked if the agency's failure to produce evidence of investigations into SAC Capital were related to the missing MUIs.

The SEC's inspector general is investigating the destroyed MUIs and plans to issue a report. NARA is also seeking answers. "We've asked the SEC to look into the matter and we're awaiting their response," says Laurence Brewer, a records officer for NARA. For its part, the SEC is trying to explain away the illegality of its actions through a semantic trick. John Nester, the agency's spokesman, acknowledges that "documents related to MUIs" have been destroyed. "I don't have any reason to believe that it hasn't always been the policy," he says. But Nester suggests that such documents do not "meet the federal definition of a record," and therefore don't have to be preserved under federal law.

But even if SEC officials manage to dodge criminal charges, it won't change what happened: The nation's top financial police destroyed more than a decade's worth of intelligence they had gathered on some of Wall Street's most egregious offenders. "The SEC not keeping the MUIs – you can see why this would be bad," says Markopolos, the fraud examiner famous for breaking the Madoff case. "The reason you would want to keep them is to build a pattern. That way, if you get five MUIs over a period of 20 years on something similar involving the same company, you should be able to connect five dots and say, 'You know, I've had five MUIs – they're probably doing something. Let's go tear the place apart.'" Destroy the MUIs, and Wall Street banks can commit the exact same crime over and over, without anyone ever knowing.

Regulation isn't a panacea. The SEC could have placed federal agents on every corner of lower Manhattan throughout the past decade, and it might not have put a dent in the massive wave of corruption and fraud that left the economy in flames three years ago. And even if SEC staffers from top to bottom had been fully committed to rooting out financial corruption, the agency would still have been seriously hampered by a lack of resources that often forces it to abandon promising cases due to a shortage of manpower. "It's always a triage," is how one SEC veteran puts it. "And it's worse now."

But we're equally in the dark about another hypothetical. Forget about what might have been if the SEC had followed up in earnest on all of those lost MUIs. What if even a handful of them had turned into real cases? How many investors might have been saved from crushing losses if Lehman Brothers had been forced to reveal its shady accounting way back in 2002? Might the need for taxpayer bailouts have been lessened had fraud cases against Citigroup and Bank of America been pursued in 2005 and 2007? And would the U.S. government have doubled down on its bailout of AIG if it had known that some of the firm's executives were suspected of insider trading in September 2008?

It goes without saying that no ordinary law-enforcement agency would willingly destroy its own evidence. In fact, when it comes to garden-variety crooks, more and more police agencies are catching criminals with the aid of large and well-maintained databases. "Street-level law enforcement is increasingly data-driven," says Bill Laufer, a criminology professor at the University of Pennsylvania. "For a host of reasons, though, we are starved for good data on both white-collar and corporate crime. So the idea that we would take the little data we do have and shred it, without a legal requirement to do so, calls for a very creative explanation."

We'll never know what the impact of those destroyed cases might have been; we'll never know if those cases were closed for good reasons or bad. We'll never know exactly who got away with what, because federal regulators have weighted down a huge sack of Wall Street's dirty laundry and dumped it in a lake, never to be seen again.

Editor’s Note: The online version of this article has been amended from the print version to reflect that the SEC’s case against Deutsche Bank proceeded beyond a Matter of Inquiry to a full-blown investigation.





http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/08/22/ ... mode=print

August 22, 2011, 9:47 am

The S.E.C.’s Document Destruction Problem

By PETER J. HENNING

The revelation that the Securities and Exchange Commission had a history of destroying documents has once again raised questions about how well the agency has exercised its enforcement authority.

Although Matt Taibbi in Rolling Stone described the policy as “Orwellian,” the practice looks more like corner cutting to avoid cumbersome federal regulations on document disposal — the very type of conduct that the S.E.C. often criticizes companies for when it pursues an enforcement action.

The actual document destruction, which ended last year, probably had no significant effect on any continuing investigations because it only applied to inquiries dropped early. The greater effect is more likely to be on the S.E.C.’s reputation as a credible law enforcement agency, especially in cases involving corporate internal controls.

Its problem arises from what is sometimes euphemistically described as a “document retention policy,” which is another way of saying that documents and electronic files should be purged on a regular basis. Unlike a private business, federal agencies are required to maintain their records pursuant to the National Archives and Records Administration Act. Under that law, 44 U.S.C. § 3101, the “head of each federal agency shall make and preserve records containing adequate and proper documentation of the organization, functions, policies, decisions, procedures and essential transactions of the agency.”

The documents at issue are those gathered during the earliest stages of an inquiry, what is known at the S.E.C. as a Matter Under Inquiry, or MUI. The decision to open a MUI involves a low threshold of evidence, and according to the S.E.C.’s enforcement manual they “are preliminary in nature and typically involve incomplete information.”

The decision to open a MUI is usually made by low-level staff members, often without consulting senior managers. The inquiry can be initiated on just the suspicion that something wrong happened, such as unusual stock trading before an announcement or the abrupt resignation of an auditor.

The description required for a MUI can be quite general, and the potential subjects of the investigation might not even be known when it is opened. Overseas insider trading investigations, for example, are often referred to as “unknown traders in” a particular security.

Upon opening a MUI, the S.E.C. enforcement division gathers documents and may conduct interviews to determine whether there is enough evidence indicating a violation of the securities laws to warrant elevating the case to an “investigation.” Everything at this stage is obtained through voluntary cooperation or public records searches, and does not involve use of the S.E.C.’s subpoena power.

The S.E.C. guidelines for MUIs require a decision within 60 days on whether the matter should become a full-scale investigation or be dropped. There are a number of reasons a MUI might be closed at this point, including the lack of sufficient evidence or an ongoing investigation that covers the same conduct or participants.

The S.E.C.’s document destruction policy only applied to MUIs that did not become investigations. The fact that a MUI was opened is available in the S.E.C.’s internal records, along with any description provided about the subject matter and investigative subjects when it first commenced.

The documents that were not retained from a MUI appear to be items gathered before it closed, including trading records, interview notes and accounting documents. The enforcement division theoretically could obtain the information again if a new investigation were commenced, although it might not know what conclusions were reached in the earlier inquiry.

The National Archives and Records Administration has questioned whether the S.E.C. complied with federal laws on record retention, and an enforcement division lawyer has supplied information to Senator Charles E. Grassley, Republican of Iowa, about the agency policy. Senator Grassley sent a letter to Mary S. Schapiro, the S.E.C. chairwoman, asking whether the agency had broken the law and inquiring about its current document retention policy.

It appears that documents from at least some of the over 9,000 closed MUIs were destroyed from the early 1990s until 2010, when the policy changed. According to Senator Grassley’s letter, among the subjects of the preliminary inquiries were Bernard L. Madoff, Goldman Sachs and insider trading suspicions involving Lehman Brothers and SAC Capital.

Destruction of federal records can be prosecuted by the Justice Department as a violation of 18 U.S.C. § 2071, which makes it a crime to knowingly and willfully destroy “any record, proceeding, map, book, paper, document, or other thing, filed or deposited” in any public office. Staff members were following official S.E.C. policy in destroying MUI records, so it is unlikely prosecutors could show that any of them intended to violate the law.

One could claim that the document destruction was part of a conspiracy to cover up Wall Street wrongdoing, but that seems a bit far-fetched. The policy had been in place for over 15 years, and an internal S.E.C. Web site included instructions about document removal for closed MUIs. These are not the typical hallmarks of a nefarious plan to stymie investigations and shield powerful market players from being held accountable for potential violations.

Indeed, the S.E.C. has brought more cases from the financial crisis than the Justice Department. It sued Goldman Sachs over a collateralized debt obligation that resulted in a $550 million settlement. The agency pursued executives from leading subprime lenders including Countrywide Mortgage and New Century Mortgage. And it recently filed a case against the brokerage firm Stifel, Nicolaus & Company for the sale to school districts in Wisconsin of ostensibly unsuitable C.D.O.’s.

The problem with destroying documents from closed MUIs is that it appears the S.E.C. took the expedient way around the document retention regulations without considering how it might hamper future investigations, or how it might appear to the public and companies subject to its regulations.

Successful law enforcement sometimes requires putting together apparently unrelated bits of information to find a pattern of conduct that was otherwise well hidden. The information in a MUI file might show that the same players were engaged in violations that would not be visible from analyzing the cases separately.

A significant problem for the S.E.C. has been high employee turnover, so it may not be possible to consult with the person responsible for a closed MUI who has since left the agency. Without documents in the file, it might be impossible to figure out what was reviewed at an earlier time.

The S.E.C. is responsible for enforcing the internal controls rules for corporations, which require that their “books, records and accounts are kept in reasonable detail to accurately and fairly reflect transactions and dispositions of assets.” How does it look when a federal agency may have violated the law by destroying records related to one of its most important public functions?

No one can be sure whether the S.E.C. policy on disposing of records from closed MUIs had any concrete impact on other investigations because any missed leads will never be known.

What is clear, however, is a policy that may have violated federal law raises the specter that the S.E.C. was more concerned with making its life easier by getting rid of documents rather than complying with burdensome regulations. That is an often-repeated complaint about the S.E.C.’s own rules, a claim that might now gain greater resonance.


Peter J. Henning, who writes White Collar Watch for DealBook, is a professor at Wayne State University Law School.

Copyright 2011 The New York Times Company






http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/bl ... print=true

Why Is NYT's Dealbook Blog Defending SEC Misdeeds?
Taibblog
by: Matt Taibbi

Image
Image courtesy SEC.gov

From the moment I first heard about the SEC’s 17-year history of document-shredding, I started wondering what defense the agency would eventually offer. For surely there had to be one; no great bureaucracy, public or private, just sits back and lazily accepts allegations of gross incompetence and/or corruption. There is always blowback, usually in the form of an outraged denial, and sometimes in the form of an attack upon the messenger, but always something.

But in this particular case, in which one of the SEC’s own has come forward and told congress that the agency has been systematically destroying its own intelligence over the course of three presidencies, there hasn’t been any of this. My first clue came when I called the SEC before the story came out and asked them about the allegations by SEC attorney/whistleblower Darcy Flynn. I sent them a detailed questionnaire, both about the document disposal and the mini cover-up among SEC higher-ups like former Goldman executive Adam Storch (who was not sure he should “take on this exposure voluntarily,” because the SEC FOIA officer told him there “might be criminal liability”). Then, when I called back, I expected them to deny the whole thing and trash Flynn as an unreliable disgruntled employee.

They did none of that. Instead, to my amazement, SEC spokesperson John Nester copped to the document destruction right away when I got him on the phone. When I asked him how long it had been going on, Nester not only offered that it had been “at least the early nineties,” but volunteered, without my even asking about it, that he couldn’t be sure it hadn’t “always been the policy.” He didn’t deny any of Flynn’s allegations at all. It was a very weird call – I kept waiting for the other shoe to drop, and it never did.

Well, the SEC’s response finally did come down the pipeline yesterday, via the usual source – the New York Times’ banker-sponsored Dealbook blog, which is fast becoming the official mouthpiece of all guilty Wall Street. Although the Times in general has been home to some outstanding investigative journalism with regard to the financial services industry, the Dealbook blog occasionally feels like a thinly-disguised PR vehicle. This is one of those times, as Professor Peter Henning of Wayne University has now submitted what reads like a lengthy apologia on behalf of the SEC.

The crux of Henning’s argument is as follows:

The actual document destruction, which ended last year, probably had no significant effect on any continuing investigations because it only applied to inquiries dropped early. The greater effect is more likely to be on the S.E.C.’s reputation as a credible law enforcement agency, especially in cases involving corporate internal controls.


So the argument is going to be that the SEC destroying 17 years’ worth of case documents is not consequential. The only thing that is consequential, in Henning’s mind, is the damage to the SEC caused by the revelation of this policy.

Further down in Henning’s piece, he adds the following:

What is clear, however, is a policy that may have violated federal law raises the specter that the S.E.C. was more concerned with making its life easier by getting rid of documents rather than complying with burdensome regulations. That is an often-repeated complaint about the S.E.C.’s own rules, a claim that might now gain greater resonance.


Amazingly, Henning is using the SEC story as a means to argue that SEC regulations and reporting requirements are generally both burdensome and meaningless. It’s actually sort of a brilliant argument, when you think about it: if it’s too much of a bother for the SEC to follow its own rules, that means the rules must generally be stupid and, therefore, nobody should have to follow them.

Henning makes a lot of arguments in defense of the SEC, of varying levels of absurdity. Among them:

The S.E.C.’s document destruction policy only applied to MUIs that did not become investigations. The fact that a MUI was opened is available in the S.E.C.’s internal records, along with any description provided about the subject matter and investigative subjects when it first commenced.


Actually this is not true. We know for a fact, thanks to Flynn, that these descriptions he speaks of often did not survive at all, unless he’s talking about one like with a names, start and end dates, and a one or two-word heading (one example provided by Flynn read simply, “Deutsche Bank MHO-09356 11-1/01- 7/3/02 Insider Trading”). According to Henning, however, these one-line entries are not as useless as they might appear to be to the untrained eye [emphasis mine]:

The documents that were not retained from a MUI, appear to be items gathered before it closed, including trading records, interview notes and accounting documents. The enforcement division theoretically could obtain the information again if a new investigation were commenced, although it might not know what conclusions were reached in the earlier inquiry.


In other words, the fact that the SEC destroyed 17 years’ worth of work is no big deal, because we could always just do that 17 years’ worth of work all over again – if we knew where to start, that is, which we don’t, because we destroyed all the records containing the original leads. How is some future SEC investigator supposed to redo a MUI if the only information he has is a one-line entry that reads, “Goldman Sachs 6/15/99-4/28/2000 MLA-01909 Market Manipulation”? Is he supposed to call a psychic buddy line to find out the original source of the file? Is the phone number of the original complainant hidden in an anagram in that one line somewhere? This is really silly stuff.

The decision to open a MUI involves a low threshold of evidence, and according to the S.E.C.’s enforcement manual they ‘are preliminary in nature and typically involve incomplete information.’


In other words, these were not important cases. The problem with this is that we know for sure that many of these cases were very consequential. For example, at least two of these MUIs involved Bernie Madoff. Even Henning couldn’t possibly argue that the Madoff case was much ado about nothing. How about a fraud case involving Lehman Brothers in 2002? Or the three cases involving SAC Capital? Or the myriad cases involving companies like Goldman, Citi, Bank of America, and so on?

The wave of corruption that blew up in 2008, and has since gone almost completely unpunished, belies this argument. We know that there was massive corruption on Wall Street during this time period involving the very companies tied to these MUIs. I can’t imagine anyone takes seriously the idea that none of these 9,000 or so files contained valuable intelligence. If even a hundredth of them contained the names of potential witnesses or sources, we’re talking about a treasure trove of lost leads.

There were other issues with Henning’s piece, including the complaint that these MUIs could be created on the whims of low-level employees, without the apparently expert and impartial guidance of senior SEC personnel. “The decision to open a MUI is usually made by low-level staff members, often without consulting senior managers,” he deadpanned, adding that “the inquiry can be initiated on just the suspicion that something wrong happened, such as unusual stock trading before an announcement or the abrupt resignation of an auditor.”

In reality, many MUIs were only created after a self-regulating organization like the New York Stock Exchange or FINRA had already conducted an investigation, and had sent material to the SEC to evaluate.

Also, much of the import of revelations by SEC whistleblowers like Flynn, Gary Aguirre, and the examiners in the Stanford case down in Texas show that the “lower-level” staff members are often the more reliable SEC employees. They’re the career investigators, while “senior staff” are often appointees with ties to Wall Street – so it’s not exactly encouraging to know that the only cases that were shredded were the ones that were worked by the non-appointed, close-to-the-ground, career investigators in the agency.

There are so many revelations flying around Wall Street this week that it’s hard to keep track of all of them. When news that Lloyd Blankfein hired a hotshot criminal attorney leaked out, Goldman’s stock plunged nearly 5%.

Meanwhile, another whistleblower came forward within Moody’s,
http://www.whistleblower.org/blog/31-20 ... lower-news

confirming what we already knew from the investigations of both the FCIC and the Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/bl ... Report.pdf

– that the ratings agencies knowingly gave crappy instruments high ratings in order to keep their banker clients happy.

We hear also that the Obama administration is leaning on New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman to back off his investigation into securitization practices, apparently in the hope that he will sign on to the bogus settlement deal being cooked up by the other Attorneys General that would insulate the banks from liability for the massive securitization frauds that left millions of people in foreclosure.

The collective picture one draws from all of this is one of widespread chaos and lawlessness, in which only certain independent pockets within a generally compromised regulatory structure – a state Attorney General here, a Senate Subcommittee there – can be relied upon to fight crime and corruption in the financial services industry.

The SEC shredding story is a small but definite part of that grim overall picture, showing how the ostensible top cop on Wall Street systematically suppressed its own investigators while protecting would-be targets by destroying records of their past misdeeds. The agency’s only conceivable defense in this matter would have been that it didn’t happen, that Flynn was mistaken and in fact they did keep all those files.

Since they can’t say that, this Henning piece is more or less what they’re left with as a defense. I imagine readers can draw their own conclusions there.

Note: wanted also to post the link to my appearance on Democracy Now.
http://www.democracynow.org/2011/8/23/c ... rimes_matt




The DN piece is worth viewing.



http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/bl ... print=true


Obama Goes All Out For Dirty Banker Deal
Taibblog

by: Matt Taibbi

A power play is underway in the foreclosure arena, according to the New York Times.

On the one side is Eric Schneiderman, the New York Attorney General, who is conducting his own investigation into the era of securitizations – the practice of chopping up assets like mortgages and converting them into saleable securities – that led up to the financial crisis of 2007-2008.

On the other side is the Obama administration, the banks, and all the other state attorneys general.

This second camp has cooked up a deal that would allow the banks to walk away with just a seriously discounted fine from a generation of fraud that led to millions of people losing their homes.

The idea behind this federally-guided “settlement” is to concentrate and centralize all the legal exposure accrued by this generation of grotesque banker corruption in one place, put one single price tag on it that everyone can live with, and then stuff the details into a titanium canister before shooting it into deep space.

This is all about protecting the banks from future enforcement actions on both the civil and criminal sides. The plan is to provide year-after-year, repeat-offending banks like Bank of America with cost certainty, so that they know exactly how much they’ll have to pay in fines (trust me, it will end up being a tiny fraction of what they made off the fraudulent practices) and will also get to know for sure that there are no more criminal investigations in the pipeline.

This deal will also submarine efforts by both defrauded investors in MBS and unfairly foreclosed-upon homeowners and borrowers to obtain any kind of relief in the civil court system. The AGs initially talked about $20 billion as a settlement number, money that would “toward loan modifications and possibly counseling for homeowners,” as Gretchen Morgenson reported the other day.

The banks, however, apparently “balked” at paying that sum, and no doubt it will end up being a lesser amount when the deal is finally done.

To give you an indication of how absurdly small a number even $20 billion is relative to the sums of money the banks made unloading worthless crap subprime assets on foreigners, pension funds and other unsuspecting suckers around the world, consider this: in 2008 alone, the state pension fund of Florida, all by itself, lost more than three times that amount ($62 billion) thanks in significant part to investments in these deadly MBS.

So this deal being cooked up is the ultimate Papal indulgence. By the time that $20 billion (if it even ends up being that high) gets divvied up between all the major players, the broadest and most destructive fraud scheme in American history, one that makes the S&L crisis look like a cheap liquor store holdup, will be safely reduced to a single painful but eminently survivable one-time line item for all the major perpetrators.

But Schneiderman, who earlier this year launched an investigation into the securitization practices of Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and other companies, is screwing up this whole arrangement. Until he lies down, the banks don’t have a deal. They need the certainty of having all 50 states and the federal government on board, or else it’s not worth paying anybody off. To quote the immortal Tony Montana, “How do I know you’re the last cop I’m gonna have to grease?” They need all the dirty cops on board, or else the whole enterprise is FUBAR.

In addition to the global settlement, Schneiderman is also blocking an individual $8.5 billion settlement for Countrywide investors. He has sued to stop that deal, claiming it could “compromise investors’ claims in exchange for a payment representing a fraction of the losses.”

If Schneiderman thinks $8.5 billion is an insufficient, fractional payoff just for defrauded Countrywide investors, then you can imagine how bad a $20 billion settlement for the entire industry would be for the victims.

In that particular Countrywide settlement deal, it looks like Bank of New York Mellon, the New York Fed, Pimco and other players negotiated on behalf of defrauded investors. They told the Times they were happy with the deal, but investors outside the talks told Gretchen they weren’t happy with the settlement.

Schneiderman apparently listened to those voices instead of the Mellon-Fed-BofA crowd, which infuriated the insiders who struck the actual deal. In a remarkable quote given to the Times, Kathryn Wylde, the Fed board member who ostensibly represents the public, said the following about Schneiderman:

It is of concern to the industry that instead of trying to facilitate resolving these issues, you seem to be throwing a wrench into it. Wall Street is our Main Street — love ’em or hate ’em. They are important and we have to make sure we are doing everything we can to support them unless they are doing something indefensible.


This, again, is coming not from a Bank of America attorney, but from the person on the Fed board who is supposedly representing the public!

This quote leads one to wonder just what Wylde would consider “indefensible,” given that stealing is pretty much the worst thing that a bank can do — and these banks just finished the longest and most orgiastic campaign of stealing in the history of money. Is Wylde waiting for Goldman and Citi to blow up a skyscraper? Dump dioxin into an orphanage? It’s really an incredible quote.

The banks are going to claim that all they’re guilty of is bad paperwork. But while the banks are indeed being investigated for "paperwork" offenses like mass tax evasion (by failing to pay fees associated with mortgage registrations and deed transfers) and mass perjury (a la the “robo-signing” practices), their real crime, the one Schneiderman is interested in, is even more serious.

The issue goes beyond fraudulent paperwork to an intentional, far-reaching theft scheme designed to take junk subprime loans and disguise them as AAA-rated investments. The banks lent money to corrupt companies like Countrywide, who made masses of bad loans and immediately sold them back to the banks.

The banks in turn hid the crappiness of these loans via certain poorly-understood nuances in the securitization process – this is almost certainly where Scheniderman’s investigators are doing their digging – before hawking the resultant securities as AAA-rated gold to fools in places like the Florida state pension fund.

They did this for years, systematically, working hand in hand in a wink-nudge arrangement with clearly criminal enterprises like Countrywide and New Century. The victims were millions of investors worldwide (like the pensioners who saw their funds drop in value) and hundreds of thousands of individual homeowners, who were often sold trick loans and hustled into foreclosure when unexpected rate hikes kicked in.

In a larger sense, even the (often irresponsible) people who simply bought more house than they could afford were victims of this scam. That's because in many of these cases, credit simply would not have been available to those people had the banks not first discovered a way to raise vast sums of money dumping crap loans on an unsuspecting market.

In other words: if Bank of America hadn’t found a way to sell worthless subprime loans as AAA paper to the Chinese and the Scandavians in May, you can be sure that it wouldn’t be going back to Countrywide in June to lend out more money for more subprime loans.

And Countrywide, in turn, wouldn’t then have been sending masses of reps out into the ghettoes to offer juicy home loans to undocumented immigrants and refis to confused old ladies on social security.

This is as bad as white-collar crime gets. But to Wylde, it doesn’t rise to the level of being “indefensible.” Until they do something worse than this, we apparently should support the banks, and make sure they don’t have to pay more than a fraction of what they made off of this kind of crime.

What is most amazing about Wylde’s quote is the clear implication that even a law enforcement official like Schneiderman should view it as his job to “do everything we can to support” Wall Street. That would be astonishing interpretation of what a prosecutor's duties are, were it not for the fact that 49 other Attorneys General apparently agree with her.

In Schneiderman we have at least one honest investigator who doesn’t agree, which is to his great credit. But everyone else is on Wylde’s side now. The Times story claims that HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan and various Justice Department officials have been leaning on the New York AG to cave, which tells you that reining in this last rogue cop is now an urgent priority for Barack Obama.

Why? My theory is that the Obama administration is trying to secure its 2012 campaign war chest with this settlement deal. If Barry can make this foreclosure thing go away for the banks, you can bet he’ll win the contributions battle against the Republicans next summer.

Which is good for him, I guess. But it seems to me that it might be time to wonder if is this the most disappointing president we’ve ever had.
We meet at the borders of our being, we dream something of each others reality. - Harvey of R.I.

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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby JackRiddler » Fri Aug 26, 2011 9:08 pm

.

On the "capitalists getting it" thread, Plutonia snagged this on Buffett rescuing Bank of America.

Warren Buffett Bails Out the Evil Empire Bank of America
By DJ Pangburn Thursday, August 25, 2011

Forget a government bailout of Bank of America—Warren Buffett is its white knight and the enabler of America’s status quo.

Image
For some reason, Americans trust me.


There has been concern in some corridors of Wall Street that Bank of America doesn’t have sufficient capital and its shares responded by plummeting. Bank of America swore that nothing was wrong but whispers of a bailout were beginning to swell. The bailout did not come (so far) from the government, but from Warren Buffett.

We’ve long been opposed to Bank of America here at Death and Taxes for the nature of their business practices: predatory overdraft fee policies, predatory and fraudulent mortgage activity, investing in the mercenary army Blackwater (now Xe), new account policies to replace lost overdraft fee revenue and employing intelligence firms to investigate WikiLeaks as though they were the CIA.

(For more information on Bank of America’s shenanigans, read “4 Reasons to Close Your Bank of America Account”)

And as BofA’s stocks tumbled, we rejoiced and beseeched the U.S. government to let it fail.

Warren Buffett, however, doesn’t seem intent on letting such an outcome happen. The octogenarian multi-billionaire has stepped in with a $5 billion investment. As Reuters notes, Buffett also stepped in with General Motors and Goldman Sachs at the last minute following the financial carnage of 2008.

The result: BofA shares rose 15 percent to $8.03 in early trading.


Given all of BofA and Goldman Sachs’ questionable business practices (particularly in the realm of mortgages), we might say that Buffett had an ethical bypass at birth along with Gordon Gekko, and he attempts to atone for these sins by educating Americans about the unfair tax system.

Hidden behind that friendly, grandfatherly demeanor, however, is a ruthless disciple of money and order—a built-in public relations automaton whose true aim is to diffuse the class warfare bubbling below the crumbling veneer of the American Dream.

Indeed, Warren Buffett is the enabler of the status quo and should be recognized as such.

http://www.deathandtaxesmag.com/135283/ ... f-america/
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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby eyeno » Fri Aug 26, 2011 9:12 pm

JackRiddler wrote:.

On the "capitalists getting it" thread, Plutonia snagged this on Buffett rescuing Bank of America.

Warren Buffett Bails Out the Evil Empire Bank of America
By DJ Pangburn Thursday, August 25, 2011

Forget a government bailout of Bank of America—Warren Buffett is its white knight and the enabler of America’s status quo.

Image
For some reason, Americans trust me.


There has been concern in some corridors of Wall Street that Bank of America doesn’t have sufficient capital and its shares responded by plummeting. Bank of America swore that nothing was wrong but whispers of a bailout were beginning to swell. The bailout did not come (so far) from the government, but from Warren Buffett.

We’ve long been opposed to Bank of America here at Death and Taxes for the nature of their business practices: predatory overdraft fee policies, predatory and fraudulent mortgage activity, investing in the mercenary army Blackwater (now Xe), new account policies to replace lost overdraft fee revenue and employing intelligence firms to investigate WikiLeaks as though they were the CIA.

(For more information on Bank of America’s shenanigans, read “4 Reasons to Close Your Bank of America Account”)

And as BofA’s stocks tumbled, we rejoiced and beseeched the U.S. government to let it fail.

Warren Buffett, however, doesn’t seem intent on letting such an outcome happen. The octogenarian multi-billionaire has stepped in with a $5 billion investment. As Reuters notes, Buffett also stepped in with General Motors and Goldman Sachs at the last minute following the financial carnage of 2008.

The result: BofA shares rose 15 percent to $8.03 in early trading.


Given all of BofA and Goldman Sachs’ questionable business practices (particularly in the realm of mortgages), we might say that Buffett had an ethical bypass at birth along with Gordon Gekko, and he attempts to atone for these sins by educating Americans about the unfair tax system.

Hidden behind that friendly, grandfatherly demeanor, however, is a ruthless disciple of money and order—a built-in public relations automaton whose true aim is to diffuse the class warfare bubbling below the crumbling veneer of the American Dream.

Indeed, Warren Buffett is the enabler of the status quo and should be recognized as such.

http://www.deathandtaxesmag.com/135283/ ... f-america/



I saw this in another venu (not this forum) a day or two ago. Is Buffet that big? I think not. Or is he?
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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby JackRiddler » Sat Aug 27, 2011 1:12 am

.

eyeno: I don't know how big you're thinking any one of them could be. Probably no one's as big as you're thinking. Or as hidden. Buffett is as big as any single one possibly could be. Many of his moves effectively take on the position of informal spokesperson of the ruling class, at least for the old establishment (that's regardless of how new or old his fortune actually is -- note that he's bought into big established corporations in many different sectors). His statements about tax say, "tone it down" (not that the Koch brothers and their ilk care, or that Buffett has to worry he'll actually pay more tax any time soon as a result of making this essentially painless PR statement). Buying into BoA (which IS that big) looks like a strategic-minded rescue operation for a TBTF, the failure of which really could bring down the system (or cut the fortunes of a Buffett in half). Not that he didn't already make a theoretical new fortune for himself out of it already, thanks to the stock boost immediately after his move, so it could be just for the deal. But he could cause a stock price to jump by investing $5 billion in anything else. Why BoA? He probably does think of himself as a caretaker for the system.

.
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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby Wombaticus Rex » Sun Aug 28, 2011 7:08 am

Source: http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2011 ... y-the-past

Our economic future has already been decided by the past
The decade ahead will be a difficult one – because it has already in large part been shaped by 50 years of history

John Llewellyn

Image

That so much attention is paid to quarterly GDP data is not surprising. Events move fast these days, and the 24-hour news media have a voracious appetite.

However, such data tell only part of the story; economies also beat to a slower rhythm. Every decade since the second world war has had its distinctive characteristics, and each has served to shape its successor.

The 1950s were shaped by the re-integration of soldiers into civilian employment, reconstruction, and a more systematic management of demand. Exchange rates had been pegged. International trade grew rapidly. Public debt fell markedly. Economic growth got under way.

The 1960s seemed a golden era. The OECD was formed amid optimism that a new US-led world of free trade and capital movements would be much better than the old one. Animal spirits were buoyant. OECD economies grew fast: 5.3% per year on average.

But problems were building. With policy focused on demand management, prices were drifting higher: inflation doubled in the OECD over the decade. And inflation differentials were causing currencies to become misaligned. Sterling had to be devalued in 1967 by a seemingly massive 14.3%.

The 1970s, very much the product of the decades that preceded it, were a game-changer. Differentials in international competitiveness had become so serious that, in 1971, the US suspended gold convertibility: the fixed exchange rate system was dead. In 1973-74, the price of oil quadrupled. Accommodating fiscal and monetary policies, in combination with wage indexation, took inflation into double digits. Deficits soared, while real interest rates became strongly negative.

By the time of the second great oil shock, in 1978-79, policymakers had come to realise that they needed to reappraise their policies fundamentally: inflation control became the priority. Fiscal and monetary policies were tightened, the exact opposite of the earlier response. OECD growth slowed, averaging 3.7% per year.

The 1980s opened with real interest rates and unemployment soaring and output and inflation slowing. More fundamentally, however, they brought the realisation that OECD economies had a deeper problem: they had become unable to adjust efficiently to the changes in demand and production that the high price of energy required. Attention had to be paid not only to aggregate demand, but also to supply.

In 1982, under German exhortation, OECD countries began to see structural policies as the solution to supply-side rigidity. Liberalisation was on its way. But liberalisation went beyond the economic: Paul Volcker, the Fed chairman who had brought inflation down, was fired, and anti-regulation Alan Greenspan was appointed. OECD growth slowed yet further, to 2.8%.

The economic liberalisation begun in the 1980s proved constructive: it had been well thought through, and probably helped in the absorption of two shocks soon to hit: the IT revolution and the rise of China. But financial liberalisation, by contrast, had not been anything like fully thought through.

The 1990s saw the institutionalising of inflation targeting, and inflation, indeed, continued to slow. Financial liberalisation and deregulation, however, gathered pace. Faith was placed, not least by chairman Greenspan, in the supposed ability of markets to self-regulate. Credit and leverage grew rapidly. Stock markets boomed. And the decade produced its share of crises: Europe's exchange rate mechanism in 1992; the Asian blow-ups of 1997; and the Russian default of 1998. OECD growth averaged 2.5% over the decade.

The 2000s saw matters come to a head. Financial innovation pushed on to the point where, for example, more than half the world's debt securities were being deemed "risk-free" by the ratings agencies. Inflation-targeting central banks not only disregarded asset-price inflation, but cut rates to limit corrections in financial markets, such as the dotcom bust in 2001. OECD GDP growth between 2000 and 2007 averaged just 2.6%.

The rest, as they say, is history: history that in 2008 brought the largest crisis since the 1930s. The response – massive fiscal and monetary expansion – staved off the worst, and now most western economies seem to be experiencing a recovery, of sorts.

But don't hold your breath. To the extent that the future continues to be determined by the past, the west is in for a tough decade. Deleveraging, by households and governments, is almost certain to continue. Financial regulation will be tight. Capital will probably flow less freely. OECD growth has slowed every decade since the 1960s: why should that change now?

Emerging markets may continue to grow briskly, if they can come to depend more on domestic demand and less on exports. However, they are nowhere near large enough yet to drive the much larger economies of the US and Europe.


All is not a counsel of despair. On balance, postwar economic policy has done much more good than harm. But there are limits to what more can be done. Unless more or less everything suggested by economic history turns out to be bunk, the die for the coming decade would seem, in important part, already to have been cast.

John Llewellyn is a partner in Llewellyn Consulting and former global chief economist at Lehman Brothers.
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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby semper occultus » Sun Aug 28, 2011 8:48 am

Hey Jack hope your roof’s still attached....

Taibi’s article was mind-blowing at first reading but googling Schneiderman was slightly confused by the attached re the settlement – the gist of which is that it :
….was never intended to serve as a settlement for all the violations that the nation’s banks have engaged in

which seems at variance with Taibi's :
The idea behind this federally-guided “settlement” is to concentrate and centralize all the legal exposure accrued by this generation of grotesque banker corruption in one place, put one single price tag on it that everyone can live with, and then stuff the details into a titanium canister before shooting it into deep space.

One hopes Taibi is being overly pessimistic which maybe naïve given the previous article on the degraded capability resulting from deliberate starvation & atrophying of the SEC’s investigative sinews vs the S&L era

Also love the writer’s anti-septically hygienic euphemism :
….officials try to finalize the multibillion-dollar deal with the banks whose widespread mortgage servicing problems — from appalling customer service to hundreds of thousands of “robosigned” documents — sparked national outrage last fall.

which is rather like referring to Saddam Hussein’s widespread “feeding-political-opponents-feet-first-into-an-industrial-plastic-shredder”- problem.

Anyway fwiw :

N.Y. bumped from 50-state foreclosure committee

www.washingtonpost.com

By Brady Dennis, Published: August 24

Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller, who is leading foreclosure settlement negotiations with the nation’s largest banks on behalf of all 50 states, abruptly removed New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman from the coalition’s executive committee Tuesday, saying he had “actively worked to undermine” the group’s efforts in recent months.

Miller did not speak with Schneiderman before he sent word about the decision. Rather, Iowa assistant Attorney General Patrick Madigan e-mailed counterparts around the country just before 1 p.m. announcing that New York had been booted from the key group of states overseeing the negotiations, “effective immediately.”

Despite the move, New York could still support whatever deal emerges. At the same time, it makes the path more difficult for Miller and others if they are forced to move forward without one of the most influential states, not to mention one hit hard by the foreclosure crisis and home to many of the financial firms under scrutiny. The absence of New York also could diminish the size of any settlement.

Miller’s decision underscores tensions that have boiled over as officials try to finalize the multibillion-dollar deal with the banks whose widespread mortgage servicing problems — from appalling customer service to hundreds of thousands of “robosigned” documents — sparked national outrage last fall.

A central issue is how broad a release from future legal claims banks should receive in exchange for agreeing to overhaul their mortgage servicing practices and paying tens of billions of dollars in penalties.

Schneiderman, who has undertaken investigations into the way banks bundled and sold pools of mortgages, known as securitization, has said any settlement should not release banks from liability for all their mortgage-related sins committed before the financial crisis. Attorneys general from several other states, including Delaware, Nevada and Massachusetts, have expressed similar concerns.

Inherent in Schneiderman’s warnings was an implication that officials negotiating the current deal are willing to give away too much, a suggestion that those involved in the talks describe as inaccurate and infuriating. Several people familiar with the talks said those at the negotiating table have never considered granting banks immunity from claims related to the securitization process, nor have they sought to prevent Schneiderman and others from pursuing broader investigations into other issues, such as securitization, fair housing claims and criminal fraud.

“This investigation has been about robosigning and loan modifications for homeowners, so the release in the settlement should mirror that; it should be a narrow release,” said Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan (no relation to Iowa’s Madigan). “It was never intended to serve as a settlement for all the violations that the nation’s banks have engaged in.”

Schneiderman has insisted that too hasty a settlement could let banks off too easily. He wants a more comprehensive investigation into all aspects of the mortgage crisis, followed by a larger settlement that would bring relief both to struggling homeowners and large institutional investors who bought mortgage-backed securities that turned out to be worthless.

But some state and federal officials involved in the talks argue that such an approach would be unwieldy and could take too long. The logistics of having large investors and individual homeowners lumped together “are absolutely insane,” one of the officials said. “This was never intended to be everything under the sun. . . . This is about one aspect of this, and for that aspect, this is a . . . good settlement.”

Another person familiar with the situation, who like some others requested anonymity to speak more freely, said Schneiderman had been pressured by state and federal officials to drop his opposition to the potential settlement, which would force five of the nation’s largest banks to overhaul their servicing models and dedicate more resources to helping troubled homeowners. They also would have to pay about $20 billion in penalties to fund foreclosure prevention efforts.

Those pressing Schneiderman argue that despite the need for broader investigations over time, homeowners stand to benefit from a settlement in the short term. “We think the time for relief is short if we’re going to help people” facing foreclosure, said one Obama administration official. Madigan, the Illinois attorney general, said additional investigations such as Schneiderman’s “can continue and should continue.” But, she said, “It doesn’t have to be all at the same time.”

In a statement, Miller said New York had been “intimately involved in every aspect of this investigation and possible settlement” since October. He said Schneiderman also was invited in June to join a smaller “negotiation committee” but declined.

“Since that time, New York has actively worked to undermine the very same multistate group that it had spent the previous nine months working very closely with,” Miller said. “While we certainly respect the right of any state to choose to no longer participate in a multistate and to pursue another path, working to actively undermine a multistate while still a member of the executive committee simply doesn’t make sense, is unprecedented and is unacceptable.”

Schneiderman showed no sign of backing down Tuesday.

In a statement, spokesman Danny Kanner said Schneiderman remains “committed to a comprehensive resolution” to all mortgage abuses and that “ongoing investigations by attorneys general cannot be shut down by efforts to settle quickly.” He said Miller’s decision would not prevent Schneiderman from continuing “to be an active voice on these issues as a part of the 50-state coalition and in other forums.”

Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden praised Schneiderman for continuing “to raise important and legitimate concerns about the scope of the releases being demanded by the banks.”


Notwithstanding Schneidermann's stalking grizzlies with a pea-shooter & needs to be extremely careful as the implications for his future longevity & health seem utterly enormous.......& I do hope he hasn’t been patronising the Emperors VIP Club…
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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby JackRiddler » Sun Aug 28, 2011 6:33 pm


http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2011/ ... k-mchenry/

Revealed: Former Goldman Sachs VP Turned Issa Staffer Supervised Scheduling Of Elizabeth Warren Incident

By Lee Fang on Aug 23, 2011 at 7:00 pm

Image
Peter Haller, the former Goldman Sachs VP-turned Darrell Issa staffer, sits behind Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-NC) listening to Elizabeth Warren

Last week, ThinkProgress revealed that Chairman Rep. Darrell Issa (R-CA) hired Peter Haller, a former Goldman Sachs vice president, as one of his top aides. Haller, who adopted his mother’s maiden name in 2008 and had escaped public scrutiny until now, coordinated an Oversight Committee letter to regulators demanding that they justify new Dodd-Frank rules impacting investment banks like his old employer, Goldman Sachs. After publication of our story, the Project on Government Oversight discovered more of Haller’s Oversight Committee letters, again on issues directly related to Goldman Sachs.


ThinkProgress has now obtained more evidence that suggests that Haller’s employment under Issa is more akin to a bank lobbyist than a public servant entrusted with protecting the public interest. In May, GOP members on the Oversight Committee invited Professor Elizabeth Warren, then a special advisor working on the creation of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, to testify about the new agency. The hearing quickly became a media sideshow, with Republican lawmakers trying to trip Warren up and embarrass her. One congressman, Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-NC), became infamous overnight for berating Warren and accusing her of lying about her scheduling with the committee. It turns out that Haller, again carrying water for financial corporations afraid of new regulations, was behind the scheduling controversy at the heart of the McHenry confrontation with Warren.

According to e-mail correspondence obtained from Judicial Watch, Haller oversaw the scheduling of the Warren testimony. According to Flavio Cumpiano, a congressional liaison for the CFPB, Haller reportedly changed the time of the hearing at the last minute, then misled Warren staffers by promising to end the testimony by 2:15 pm that day. In the emails, Haller denies ever agreeing to 2:15. But, Haller had been informed that Warren could not go beyond 2:15:

– Monday May 23 8:43pm: Haller writes to Flavio Cumpiano, a congressional liaison for the CFPB, the night before the hearing to make “an [sic] late change to 1:00.” At 11:00pm, Cumpiano responds to figure out a better time.

– Tuesday May 24 morning: After Haller and Cumpiano go back and forth with e-mails about which time would be best, a phone conversation occurs between Haller and Adewale Adeyemo, chief of staff to the CFBP implementation team, and a schedule is set. At 10:11am, Cumpiano e-mails Haller: “Hi Peter. I understand from Wally -copied here- that you both spoke and she’ll [Elizabeth Warren] testify from 1:15pm to 2:15pm. Thanks, Flavio.”

– Tuesday May 24 afternoon around 2:15pm: McHenry, with Haller sitting behind him, accuses Warren of trying to evading the committee by trying to leave at the agreed-upon time. When Warren noted that McHenry’s aides had agreed upon the schedule, McHenry elicited audible gasps in the room by declaring Warren a liar: “You’re making this up, Ms. Warren. This is not the case.”

– Tuesday May 24 2:32pm: As Warren leaves the hearing room, Haller fires off an e-mail to Cumpiano demanding that he “please confirm” that he did not “confirm the end time.” Later that afternoon, Cumpiano responds by reiterating that Haller had confirmed the 2:15pm end time, and had even told Adeyemo that he would inform McHenry of the schedule during the call.

McHenry seemed to have a mission that day. As Crooks and Liars blogger Karoli pointed out, before the hearing started, McHenry appeared on CNBC and accused Warren of lying about the nature of her advice to the consumer protection agency. The scheduling controversy at the hearing appears to be little more than a cover for McHenry to smear Warren as untrustworthy.

Haller, who is visible to the C-SPAN camera in a seat near McHenry, shakes his head at Warren when she said “we had an agreement for the time this hearing” (time stamp 00:55). Watch here:



ThinkProgress reached out to Haller for comment on this story, but the Oversight Committee refused our request.

Goldman Sachs has spent millions this year lobbying on new Dodd-Frank mandates, and has sent its representatives to private meetings about the implementation of Consumer Financial Protection Bureau rules.

The Warren incident provides more fodder to critics who say Issa has turned his Oversight Committee over to lobbyists. In comments to the press, Issa’s spokeswoman did not deny that Haller worked previously Goldman Sachs or that he covers financial issues for the committee.

Public Citizen’s Bart Naylor commented on ThinkProgress’ story last Friday, noting “Chairman Issa must take every step to ensure that his investigations are unclouded by any appearance of conflict. The next time Chairman Issa sends a scolding letter to regulators and asks that they contact Peter Haller, he should disclose that Mr. Haller worked at Goldman Sachs.”

Peter Haller FOIA full

View more documents from lee_fang


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Exclusive: Goldman Sachs VP Changed His Name, Now Advances Goldman Lobbying Interests As Top Staffer To Darrell Issa

By Lee Fang on Aug 18, 2011 at 3:21 am

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Peter Haller, also known as Peter Simonyi, a former Goldman Sachs VP now working for Chairman Issa to block regulations on Goldman Sachs

Has Rep. Darrell Issa (R-CA) turned the House Oversight Committee into a bank lobbying firm with the power to subpoena and pressure government regulators? ThinkProgress has found that a Goldman Sachs vice president changed his name, then later went to work for Issa to coordinate his effort to thwart regulations that affect Goldman Sachs’ bottom line.


In July, Issa sent a letter to top government regulators demanding that they back off and provide more justification for new margin requirements for financial firms dealing in derivatives. A standard practice on Capitol Hill is to end a letter to a government agency with contact information for the congressional staffer responsible for working on the issue for the committee. In most cases, the contact staffer is the one who actually writes such letters. With this in mind, it is important to note that the Issa letter ended with contact information for Peter Haller, a staffer hired this year to work for Issa on the Oversight Committee.

Issa’s demand to regulators is exactly what banks have been wishing for. Indeed, Goldman Sachs has spent millions this year trying to slow down the implementation of the new rules. In the letter, Issa explicitly mentions that the new derivative regulations might hurt brokers “such as Goldman Sachs.”

Haller, as he is now known, went by the name Peter Simonyi until three years ago. Simonyi adopted his mother’s maiden name Haller in 2008 shortly after leaving Goldman Sachs as a vice president of the bank’s commodity compliance group. In a few short years, Haller went from being in charge of dealing with regulators for Goldman Sachs to working for Congress in a position where he made official demands from regulators overseeing his old firm.

It’s not the first time Haller has worked the revolving door to help out Goldman Sachs. According to a report by the nonpartisan Project on Government Oversight, Haller — then known as Peter Simonyi — left the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in 2005 to work for Goldman Sachs, then quickly began lobbying his colleagues at the SEC on behalf of his new firm. At one point, Haller was requiring to issue a letter to the SEC stating that he did not violate ethics rules and the SEC agreed. A brief timeline of Haller’s work history underscores the ethical issues raised with Issa’s latest letter to bank regulators:

– After completing his law degree in 2000, Haller was employed by Federal Energy Regulatory Commission as an economist, and later with the Securities and Exchange Commission in the Office of Enforcement.

– In April of 2005, Haller resigned from the SEC to take a job with Goldman Sachs. Although he was not a registered lobbyist, he soon began lobbying the SEC on compliance issues on behalf of Goldman Sachs.

– In 2006, Haller left Goldman Sachs, according to a Goldman official who spoke to ThinkProgress.

– In 2008, he took a job with the law/lobbying firm Brickfield Burchette Ritts & Stone.

– In January of 2011, Haller was hired to work for Issa on the Oversight Committee. Under the supervision of Haller, Issa sent a letter dated July 22, 2011 to bank regulators (including the heads of the Federal Reserve, FDIC, FCA, CFTC, FHFA, and Office of Comptroller) demanding documents to justify new Dodd-Frank mandated rules on margin requirements for banks dealing in the multi-trillion dollar OTC derivatives market, like Goldman Sachs.

When he took over the chairmanship of the Oversight Committee this year, Issa dramatically shifted the committee’s focus away from its traditional role of investigating major corporate scandals. Instead, Issa has used the committee to merge the responsibilities of Congress with the interests of K Street and Issa’s own fortune.

In June of this year, ThinkProgress broke the story about Issa’s own complicated relationship with Goldman Sachs. We revealed that Issa purchased a large amount of Goldman Sachs high yield bonds at the same time as he used the Oversight Committee to attack an investigation into allegations that Goldman Sachs had systematically defrauded investors leading up to the financial crisis. This conflict of interest, along with our exclusive story about Issa’s earmarks benefitting his own real estate empire, received coverage in a recent piece by the New York Times.

We also broke a story last month revealing other revolving door conflicts within Issa’s staff. Peter Warren, Issa’s new policy director, maintains some type of financial contract with a student loan lobbying group he led last year, and received a bonus from the lobbying group before leaving to work for Issa. Since joining Issa’s staff, Warren and his colleagues have fought to weaken the recently created Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the new agency charged with overseeing student loans.

The new revelations about Peter Haller, however, raise even more significant ethical concerns than Peter Warren and other ex-lobbyists working for Issa. Why did Issa hire a high-level Goldman Sachs executive to work on stopping regulations on banks like Goldman Sachs? Haller’s direct involvement in the July letter brings Issa’s ability to lead the Oversight Committee — charged with conducting investigations on behalf of the public interest — into serious doubt.

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I am by virtue of its might divine,
The highest Wisdom and the first Love.

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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby JackRiddler » Sun Aug 28, 2011 6:42 pm


http://www.counterpunch.org/2011/08/23/ ... mid-scheme



This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only.

August 23, 2011

How Obama Lost His Nerve
The World’s Largest Pyramid Scheme


by BORIS KAGARLITSKY

The United States managed to avert a default, and that is good news. But the partisan battle in Congress sent the stock market plunging, and the decision by Standard & Poor’s to downgrade the country’s credit rating has made matters far worse.

Party ambitions alone did not cause the bitter standoff in Congress. At stake is not just the size of the national debt or state expenditures but the entire social and political structure of the United States.

Democrats have traditionally championed social welfare programs, while Republicans put more emphasis on private business and the free market. So why do most working people in the Midwest vote Republican and members of the New York financial elite vote Democrat?

The answer lies in the way the U.S. social welfare system is organized. Unlike European countries, where the welfare state is financed with high taxes, the U.S. government keeps taxes comparatively low and goes into debt to finance a large part of its social expenditures.

Wall Street banks are also large recipients of welfare, only it’s called corporate welfare. Funds are dished out to banks even during the best of times, not only during economic crises.

These same banks lend money to the government, which helps it maintain its social welfare programs. The result is a classic pyramid scheme — one in which welfare recipients and the banking elite who finance the system both have a vested interest in maintaining.

The U.S. system of social benefits is complicated, expensive, ineffective and, most important, selective. European countries provide equal rights and identical access to all social programs, but the U.S. system serves only individuals who meet specific criteria. This is a brainchild of the Democratic Party, whose voter base includes welfare recipients.

Under this system, workers earning low wages often have a lower standard of living than welfare recipients or members of an “oppressed minority” who receive government handouts. In California and New York, for example, immigrants typically accept the low-paying unskilled jobs, but in the Midwest and northern states, that burden falls on members of the lower middle class. The problem is that these workers receive little or nothing from social programs, which is one reason the majority of them are Republican.

The world places trillions of savings and investments in dollars, but when the dollar is devalued, so is the world’s savings and investments. There is a limit to how far this global financial pyramid can grow.

The United States’ only option is to prop up the pyramid with new tax revenues. But any attempt to do so is met with resistance from that part of the business community that derives no direct income from the federal pyramid.

In the recent debt-ceiling standoff with Congress, U.S. President Barack Obama lost his nerve and caved in to the Republicans. It is a death sentence for an economy sustained by the infusion of state funding. Worse, nobody was satisfied with the compromise. Rating agencies wanted twice as many budget cuts, and the markets crashed.

The United States is on the brink of a recession, which makes the likelihood even greater that the next U.S. president will be a Republican.


Boris Kagarlitsky is the director of the Institute of Globalization Studies.

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To Justice my maker from on high did incline:
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Re: "End of Wall Street Boom" - Must-read history

Postby JackRiddler » Sun Aug 28, 2011 6:52 pm


http://www.counterpunch.org/2011/08/23/ ... t-bankers/

August 23, 2011

When Will the Walls of the Central Banks Fall?
The Cult of Incompetent Bankers


by DEAN BAKER

The world financial system had another serious scare last week. The immediate issue was the prospect that the euro could break up. With the debt crisis spreading from smaller countries such as Greece and Ireland to the eurozone giants of Spain and Italy, events were again getting scary.

A default by the smaller countries would create serious disruptions throughout the eurozone and the larger world economy, but no one doubts that these could be contained. The European Financial Stabilization Fund (EFSB) is large enough to paper over the mess that would be created by the default of Greece or Ireland.

However the default of Spain or Italy is an entirely different matter. If either country were to default, the repercussions would be enormous, dwarfing the resources of the EFSB. A default would almost certainly make several major European banks insolvent and lead to the sort of freeze-up of the financial system that we saw after the bankruptcy of Lehman in September of 2008. With the interest rate on Italian and Spanish debt soaring, the financial markets had to take this risk seriously.

The European Central Bank (ECB) rose to the immediate challenge, buying up large amounts of both governments’ debt and committing itself to buy more if necessary. This re-established confidence in the market and for the moment at least seems to have brought the crisis under control. Still, it is unlikely that anyone would bet that Europe and the world are through with this set of problems and for this the ECB bears an enormous amount of blame.

Just to be clear, this whole crisis came about because central banks did not take seriously their responsibility for maintaining the stability of the overall economy. They held the view that as long as the inflation rate was low and steady then everything else would take care of itself.

In the United States this meant ignoring the growth of an $8 trillion housing bubble, even though this bubble had clearly become the motor of the economy with near-record rates of construction and a housing equity driven consumption boom. In Europe, the ECB failed to notice housing bubbles through much of the eurozone, but most notably the ones in Spain and Ireland that were leading to massive borrowing and unsustainable current account deficits.

However, the Federal Reserve Board has at least been relatively aggressive in responding to the crisis, pushing its overnight lending rate to zero and buying up nearly three trillion dollars in long-term bonds through repeated rounds of quantitative easing. Last week it committed to keeping its overnight lending rate at zero for the next two years.

By contrast, the ECB seems determined to learn nothing from its past errors. It never lowered its overnight lending rate below 1.0 percent and never pursued quantitative easing as aggressively as the Fed. Even worse, it remains committed to its 2.0 percent inflation target as though nothing in the world had changed since the collapse of the bubble. As a result of this commitment, it has actually been raising interest rates in a deliberate effort to slow the eurozone’s economy and dampen inflation.

This policy is incredible for three reasons. First, Europe has no real inflation problem. The rise in the inflation rate targeted by the ECB comes almost entirely from the rise of the price of oil and other commodities. These price increases are the result of the growth in demand in places like China and India. They have almost nothing to do with growth in Europe and will not be reversed by a tighter ECB policy.

The second reason this policy is foolish is that the eurozone countries desperately need a boost from lower interest rates. The heavily indebted countries are all being required to implement austerity plans with large reductions in government spending and tax increases. This will further weaken demand in already depressed economies. Lower interest rates may not be the best way of boosting demand, but they are better than nothing. It is difficult to believe that the ECB would actually want to magnify the contractionary impact of fiscal austerity, but this is exactly what its policy is doing.

The third reason why this policy is foolhardy is that it will likely worsen the interest burden that the heavily indebted countries already face. If they have to pay higher interest rates on their debt then the problem of keeping the debt at a sustainable level becomes much more difficult. Of course the higher unemployment produced by fiscal austerity coupled with monetary contraction will also make it more difficult for these governments to hit their deficit targets.

A central bank that was committed to maintaining stability and laying the basis for future growth would be doing everything it could to promote expansion in the eurozone right now. This would mean at the least lowering the overnight lending rate to near zero. It would also mean large amounts of quantitative easing to directly reduce long-term interest rates. And it could even deliberately target a higher inflation rate (e.g. 3-4 percent) to reduce real interest rates enough to boost the economy. This is what a central bank would do if it was committed to economic growth and stability rather than worshipping a 2 percent inflation rate.

Unfortunately, there is no mechanism to force the ECB to end its obsession with its antiquated 2 percent inflation rule. It is a self-contained bureaucracy, just like the Communist Party in the days of the Soviet Union. The only people whose views matter are ones who have already committed themselves to the ideology, Communism in the case of the Soviet Union, 2.0 percent inflation in the case of the ECB. The inhabitants of the eurozone, like the rest of the world, will just have to wait for the wall to fall.

Dean Baker is the co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR). He is the author of Plunder and Blunder: The Rise and Fall of the Bubble Economy and False Profits: Recoverying From the Bubble Economy.

This article originally appeared International Relations and Security.



We meet at the borders of our being, we dream something of each others reality. - Harvey of R.I.

To Justice my maker from on high did incline:
I am by virtue of its might divine,
The highest Wisdom and the first Love.

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