Moderators: Elvis, DrVolin, Jeff
JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO Jamie Dimon, 54, is set to receive $6.8 million worth of shares next month that were awarded for 2007. John Mack, 66, who served as CEO of New York-based Morgan Stanley until this year, didn’t take a bonus in 2007, 2008 or 2009. He will receive about $5.4 million of previously vested shares in January that Morgan Stanley awarded him for 2005.
Of the $111.3 million in restricted stock awards due to be doled out in January, $94.9 million was from 2007 grants, the filings show. While Vice Chairmen John S. Weinberg and J. Michael Evans will each receive $3.3 million from their 2009 bonus grants, their 2007 awards weren’t published in the proxy.
The executives will be restrained from cashing in the stock they receive. Blankfein, Cohn, Winkelried and Viniar were all required to keep 90 percent of their shares under an agreement reached with Berkshire Hathaway Inc., the company controlled by billionaire Warren Buffett, when it bought $5 billion of the firm’s preferred stock in 2008. That limit expires when Buffett’s investment is repaid or on Oct. 1, 2011, whichever comes soonest.
Even before the Buffett restrictions were imposed, Goldman Sachs’s CEO, CFO, presidents and vice chairmen were required to keep at least 75 percent of the shares they had received since becoming senior executive officers, with the exception of shares received in Goldman Sachs’s 1999 initial public offering or through any acquisition by Goldman Sachs. Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan also require top executives to retain 75 percent of the shares they are awarded.
About 88 percent of the 2007 awards were restricted stock units the firm granted for performance, which were vested at that time. The executives receive the shares underlying those units in January 2011. The remaining 12 percent are shares the executives purchased at a 25 percent discount using their 2007 cash bonuses. Those shares are either delivered or have restrictions lifted next month.
“The public will be outraged,” she said. “Wall Streeters will be excited that there’s still money being made on Wall Street, and there’s still a reason to be working so hard.”
December 8, 2010
Game Plan for a Flat Tax, Social Security Cutbacks and Austerity
Obama's Sellout on Taxes
By MICHAEL HUDSON
I almost feel naïve for being so angry at President Obama’s betrayal of his campaign promises regarding taxes. I had never harbored much hope that he actually intended to enact the reforms that his supporters expected – not after he appointed the most right-wing of the Clintonomics gang, Larry Summers, then Tim Geithner, Ben Bernanke and other Bush neoliberals.
But there is something so unfair and wrong that I could not prevent myself from waking up early Tuesday morning to think through the consequences of President Obama’s sellout in the years to come. Contrary to his pretense of saving the economy, his action will intensify debt deflation and financial depression, paving the way for a long-term tax shift off wealth onto labor.
In achieving a giveaway that Democrats never would have let George Bush or other Republicans enact, Obama has laid himself open to the campaign slogan that brought down British Prime Minister Tony Blair: “You can’t believe a word he says.” He has lost support not only personally, but also – as the Republicans anticipate – for much of his party in 2012.
Yet Obama has only done what politicians do: He has delivered up his constituency to his campaign backers – the same Wall Street donors who back the Republicans. What’s the point of having a constituency, after all, if you can’t sell it?
The problem is that it’s not going to stop here. Monday’s deal to re-instate the Bush era tax cuts for two more years sets up a 1-2-3 punch. First, many former Democratic and independent voters will “vote with their backsides” and simply stay home (or perhaps be tempted by a third-party candidate), enabling the Republicans to come in legislate the cuts in perpetuity in 2012 – an estimated $4 trillion to the rich over time.
Second, Obama’s Republican act (I hate to call it a compromise) “frees” income for the wealthiest classes to send abroad, to economies not yet wrecked by neoliberals. This paves the way for a foreign-exchange crisis. Such crises traditionally fall in the autumn – and as the 2012 election draws near, it will be attributed to “uncertainty” if voters do not throw the Democrats out. So to “save the dollar” the Republicans will propose to replace progressive income taxation with a uniform flat tax (the old Steve Forbes plan) falling on wage earners, not on wealth or on finance, insurance or real estate (FIRE sector) income. A VAT will be added as an excise tax to push up consumer prices.
Third, the tax giveaway includes a $120 billion reduction in Social Security contributions by labor – reducing the FICA wage withholding from 6.2 per cent to 4.2 per cent. Obama has ingeniously designed the plan to dovetail neatly into his Bowles-Simpson commission pressing to reduce Social Security as a step toward its ultimate privatization and subsequent wipeout grab by Wall Street. This cutback will accelerate the point at which the program moves into supposed “negative equity” – a calculation that ignores the option of restoring pension funding to the government’s general budget, where it would be paid out of progressively levied income tax and hence borne mainly by the wealthy, not by lower-income wage earners as a “user fee.”
So the game plan is not merely to free the income of the wealthiest class to “offshore” itself into assets denominated in harder currencies abroad. It is to scrap the progressive tax system altogether. The Democratic Congress is making only token handwringing protests against this plan, no doubt with an eye looking forward to the campaign contributors two years down the road.
Crises usually are orchestrated years in advance. Any economic recovery typically is shaped by the way in which its predecessor economy collapsed. Medieval Europe’s emergence from the Dark Age, for example, was shaped by ancient Rome’s debt crisis caused by its aggressive oligarchy. In a similar fashion, the coming epochal tax shift off finance and property onto labor will be introduced in response to the dollar’s crisis, in much the way that we have seen Ireland and Greece tap their pension funds to bail out reckless bankers. In America as in Europe, the large “systemically important banks” that caused the crisis will be given enough money by the government – at the expense of labor (“taxpayers”) to step in and “rescue” the bad debt overhang (i.e., toxic junk).
The tactics of this fiscal game sequence are so time-tested that there should not be much surprise. So President Obama’s deal is not only financial and fiscal in scope, it is a political game changer. When Congressional Democrats sign on to this betrayal of their major election promise, they will be re-branding their claim to be the “non-Wall Street party,”
Barack Obama was trained as a lawyer. I’ve rarely met a lawyer who understands economics. That’s not their mind-set. They make deals to minimize the risk of surprises, often settling in the middle. That is legal pragmatism. When candidate Obama promised “change,” I don’t think he had any particular change in economic policy in mind. It was more a modus operandi. I suspect that he simply thought of the Presidency as being referee on “bringing people together.” Probably this personality trait was formed as a teenager, in the kind of popularity contest that teenagers engage in student council elections. Obama’s aim was to be accepted, even admired, by negotiating a compromise. He probably didn’t care much about the content.
He did care about getting political campaign backing, of course, and the rules for this are clear enough in today’s world. He was given a policy to plead, and a set of experts to plead his case. There are always enough Junk Economics advisors to work on politicians to try and convince them that “doing the right thing” means helping Wall Street. It is not a matter simply of believing that “What’s good for Wall Street is good for the economy.” To hear Tim Geithner and Ben Bernanke tell the story, the economy can’t function without a “solvent” banking system – meaning that no bank is to lose money. All gamblers on the winning side (such as Goldman Sachs) are to be made whole in cases where they cannot collect from bad casino-capitalist gamblers on the losing side (such as A.I.G. and Lehman Brothers).
So should we say that Obama’s plan really helps the economy simply because the stock market jumped sharply on Tuesday? Or are we dealing with a zero-sum game, where the predator’s subsidy is at the cost of the host economy?
Contra Obama’s pretense, cutting taxes for the rich will not spur recovery. The wealthiest 2 per cent do not spend their income on consuming more. They invest it financially – mainly in bonds, establishing more debt claims on the economy. Giving creditors more money will deepen the economy’s debt deflation, shrinking “the market’s” ability to spend on goods and services. And part of the tax subsidy will be recycled into Congressional lobbying and campaign contributions to buy politicians who will promote even more pro-financial deregulatory policies and tax benefits. There still has been no prosecution of banking crime or other financial fraud by large institutions, for example. Nor is there any sign of Attorney General Holder initiating such prosecutions.
It is a travesty for Obama to trot out the long-term unemployed (who now get a year’s extension of benefits) like widows and orphans used to be. It’s not really “all for the poor.” It’s all for the rich. And it’s not to promote stability and recovery. How stable can a global situation be where the richest nation does not tax its population, but creates new public debt to hand out to its bankers? Future tax payers will spend generations paying off their heirs.
The “solution” to the coming financial crisis in the United States may await the dollar’s plunge as an opportunity for a financial Tonkin Gulf resolution. Such a crisis would help catalyze the tax system’s radical change to a European-style “Steve Forbes” flat tax and VAT sales-excise tax falling almost entirely on employment? Big fish will eat little fish. More government giveaways will be made to the financial sector in a vain effort to keep bad debts afloat and banks “solvent.” As in Ireland and Latvia, public debt will replace private debt, leaving little remaining for Social Security or indeed for much social spending.
The bottom line is that after the prolonged tax giveaway exacerbates the federal budget deficit – along with the balance-of-payments deficit – we can expect the next Republican or Democratic administration to step in and “save” the country from economic emergency by scaling back Social Security while turning its funding over, Pinochet-style, to Wall Street money managers to loot as they did in Chile. And one can forget rebuilding America’s infrastructure. It is being sold off by debt-strapped cities and states to cover their budget shortfalls resulting from un-taxing real estate and from foreclosures.
Welcome to debt peonage. This is worse than what was meant by a double-dip recession. It will be with us much longer.
Michael Hudson is a former Wall Street economist. A Distinguished Research Professor at University of Missouri, Kansas City (UMKC), he is the author of many books, including Super Imperialism: The Economic Strategy of American Empire (new ed., Pluto Press, 2002) and Trade, Development and Foreign Debt: A History of Theories of Polarization v. Convergence in the World Economy. He can be reached via his website, mh@michael-hudson.com
Usage of Federal Reserve Credit and Liquidity Facilities
This section of the website provides detailed information about the liquidity and credit programs and other monetary policy tools that the Federal Reserve used to respond to the financial crisis that emerged in the summer of 2007. These programs fall into three broad categories--those aimed at addressing severe liquidity strains in key financial markets, those aimed at providing credit to troubled systemically important institutions, and those aimed at fostering economic recovery by lowering longer-term interest rates.
The emergency liquidity programs that the Federal Reserve set up provided secured and mostly short-term loans. Over time, these programs helped to alleviate the strains and to restore normal functioning in a number of key financial markets, supporting the flow of credit to businesses and households. As financial markets stabilized, the Federal Reserve closed most of these programs. Indeed, many of the programs were intentionally priced to be unattractive to borrowers when markets are functioning normally and, as a result, wound down as market conditions improved. The programs achieved their intended purposes with no loss to taxpayers.
The Federal Reserve also provided credit to several systemically important financial institutions. These actions were taken to avoid the disorderly failure of these institutions and the potential catastrophic consequences for the U.S. financial system and economy. All extensions of credit were fully secured and are in the process of being fully repaid.
Finally, the Federal Reserve provided economic stimulus by lowering interest rates. Over the course of the crisis, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) reduced its target for the federal funds rate to a range of 0 to 1/4 percent. With the federal funds rate at its effective lower bound, the FOMC provided further monetary policy stimulus through large-scale purchases of longer-term Treasury debt, federal agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities (agency MBS). These asset purchases helped to lower longer-term interest rates and generally improved conditions in private credit markets.
The links to the right provide detailed information about the programs that were established in response to the crisis. Details for each loan include: the borrower, the date that credit was extended, the interest rate, information about the collateral, and other relevant terms. Similar information is supplied for swap line draws and repayments. Details for each agency MBS purchase include: the counterparty to the transaction, the date of the transaction, the amount of the transaction, and the price at which each transaction was conducted. The transaction data are provided in compliance with the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010. The Federal Reserve will revise the data to ensure that they are accurate and complete.
No rules about executive compensation or dividend payments were applied to borrowers using Federal Reserve facilities. Executive compensation restrictions were imposed by statute on firms receiving assistance through the U.S. Treasury's Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). Dividend restrictions were the province of the appropriate supervisors and were imposed by the Federal Reserve on bank holding companies in that role, but not because of borrowing through the facilities discussed here.
Additional information about the Federal Reserve's credit and liquidity programs is available on the Credit and Liquidity Programs and the Balance Sheet section.
Last update: December 13, 2010
Facilities and Programs
Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Purchase Program
Term Auction Facility (TAF)
Central Bank Liquidity Swap Lines
Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF)
Term Securities Lending Facility (TSLF) and TSLF Options Program (TOP)
Asset-Backed Commercial Paper Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility (AMLF)
Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF)
Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF)
Bear Stearns, JPMorgan Chase, and Maiden Lane LLC
American International Group (AIG), Maiden Lane II and III
Bank of America
Citigroup
Debt Riots Break Out in Greece
Wealth Daily - Adam Sharp - Dec 16, 2010
When the mob arrived at the Greek Parliament building, they spotted a well-known politician, Kostis Hatzidakis (pictured). ...
His fellow Athenians proceeded to stone the former MP. That's right, they stoned him.
The politician survived, but Greece and the EU may not. Not as we know them anyway.
The riots were violent, as shown in this footage. Riot cops can be seen clashing with large groups of protesters.
Gov't troops launch volleys of tear gas at protesters, who are busy launching their own attack — a barrage of Molotov cocktails.
In another display of populist anger, English protesters attacked a Rolls Royce carrying Prince Charles and his wife last week.
Some in the crowd could be heard chanting "off with their heads".
The Royals escaped unharmed, save some damage to their Rolls Royce; rowdy protesters did manage to bust out a side window and ding up the exterior.
There are lessons for the EU and United States in this mess.
Bond holders versus the populace
Social unrest like this isn't supposed to happen in the Western world. Yet, here we are.
Confusion remains about about how we got here. This is primarily a story about bonds, and who owns them.
Who owns the bonds of at-risk EU nations?
First and foremost: European banks. The banks are so exposed to EU debt that a default by just one nation would lead to a chain of events that would likely crush them.
By securing a "rescue package" for a troubled borrower nation, banks simply ensure that they are not forced to eat losses.
Debt is transferred directly onto the public's lap, preferably. In the case of Ireland, they did so by raiding the public pension fund to the tune of $35 billion.
But these rescues are likely to fail. Once a nation is in need, its alternatives to default are limited. You can only squeeze a bad debtor so much. At some point, bad debt must be forgiven.
Default is the risk banks take when they lend money to nations in the form of bonds, and it's happened countless times throughout history.
Games like the ones being played now by the EU only delay the inevitable for a few years, and spread the pain around a bit.
The Iceland example
Imagine if Greece had followed Iceland's example, telling creditors, "Sorry, we don't want to be saddled with unpayable debts for eternity."
I suspect we'd all be better off if they did default — and the sooner the better. Their debts are unsustainable; far too costly to maintain.
Banks would fail and need to be nationalized. Bond holders would take losses. The EU would be forced to evolve or dissolve.
Public sector jobs would take a hit. Low-productivity jobs (like many government positions) would begin flowing to sustainable industries. Smith's invisible hand would do its work, and after a few lean years, sustainable growth would return.
Take the case of Iceland. One of the first victims of the financial crisis is already recovering...
By turning down the big banks offer, the country has set itself up for growth. It's population, unlike much of Europe, won't be saddled with the massive debt spawned bailing out zombie banks.
Meanwhile, banks remain firmly in control in Europe and the United States...
Interesting times ahead
Unfortunately, I see riots in Europe as a sign of things to come.
The U.S. should expect similar unrest within three years. States are broke, pensions are horribly underfunded, and a Medicare disaster looms on the horizon.
Something has to give.
And when it does, social programs will be slashed along with everything else. Unemployment, welfare, food stamps — all these things will face cuts. Do you want to be in Detroit when that happens? Or any major urban center, for that matter? Nothing against Detroit, of course. It's my dad's hometown. Unfortunately, it's the hardest hit city in America, and would be vulnerable to social unrest.
My goal isn't to frighten anybody; it's to underscore the importance of these issues.
Because so far, nothing fundamental has changed (oh, the irony of that word change), nor has anything been fixed. TBTF banks are more fail-proof than ever, lining their pockets at 2007 bubble levels.
The power-elite financiers remain in control: the same group of Bob Rubin devotees who set the stage for the meltdowns of 2000 and 2007 — Tim Geithner, JPM & Goldman, and of course the Bernank, among others.
Paul Volcker has gained a little more respect in the Obama administration, which is a positive development. Even the Fed has a few rational folks, like Hoenig and Fisher. But they're outnumbered 20-1 by banksters, of course.
On the verge
Not to be overly dramatic, but we stand at a historic crossroads. If we choose the right path, America and the world could be on a path to sustainable growth in as little as two to three years.
If we choose the wrong one — the road we're currently on, by the way — we're looking at least a decade of poor growth, likely negative growth in real terms (after inflation).
As asset prices rise due to Fed printing, living costs will increase. Wages will not keep up — they never do. Corporate margins will be squeezed and compressed. Not a pretty outcome.
Unfortunately, stagflation, the economist's worst nightmare, seems increasingly likely in America.
The answer lies in drastic gov't spending cuts, starting with military. But the wheels of progress turn slowly in DC, and they usually turn in the wrong direction.
The only consolation prize from this scenario, as I see it, is the bull market in precious metals. Metals should continue to gain until pressure finally forces the Fed to change course, which I suspect is still a ways off.
And that's why we've been advising readers to own gold and silver for the last five years.
Play the hand you're dealt, not the one you wish you were.
Adam Sharp
Analyst, Wealth Daily
Six Greek banks warned of Moody's downgrade - 3 hours ago
(AFP) – 7 hours ago
ATHENS — Ratings agency Moody's on Friday said it had placed the deposit and debt standing of six Greek banks, including several leading lenders, on review for a possible downgrade after similarly placing Greece's own sovereign ratings on negative watch.
"Moody's Investors Service has today placed on review for possible downgrade the deposit and debt ratings of ... National Bank of Greece (NBG), EFG Eurobank Ergasias, Alpha Bank, Piraeus Bank, Agricultural Bank of Greece (ATE) and Attica Bank," the agency said.
"In addition, the standalone bank financial strength ratings (BFSRs) of NBG, Eurobank and Alpha, have been placed on review for possible downgrade," Moody's added in a statement issued in Limassol.
The move came a day after the agency placed Greece's sovereign bond rating, currently at Ba1, or junk status for investors, on a similar downgrade watch.
The two measurements are linked, as a lower grade on Greek government bonds could increase pressure on banks that hold these maturities, Moody's said.
"A possible downgrade of the government's rating could lead to a downward adjustment to the country's systemic support indicator (SSI), which is the measure Moody's uses to determine bank rating uplift," the agency said.
In particular, it noted that the total government exposure of NBG, Eurobank and Alpha ranges from 80 to over 200 percent of their capital base.
NBG, Eurobank, Alpha and ATE, which rank among Greece's leading lenders, also had their ratings cut by Moody's on June 15, a day after it had pulled down Greece's sovereign grade by four notches, from A3 to Ba1.
A month later, four of the banks named on Friday had passed with varying success EU-wide stress tests designed to show resilience to another financial crisis.
State-owned ATE failed to make the grade and Attica was not in the lineup.
Greece is caught in a debt crisis and a snowballing recession that followed a scare on the accuracy of government statistics and a resulting spike in its borrowing costs earlier this year.
It was forced to appeal for a massive loan from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund, in return for which it is currently pursuing tough and unpopular reforms to reduce a public deficit that stood at 15.4 percent of output last year, over five times the allowed EU level.
Ironically, Moody's noted Friday that "the additional fiscal adjustments now being implemented by the government may place further strain on the banks' asset quality."
Copyright © 2010 AFP. All rights reserved. More »
http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/ar ... b236ba.611
UPDATE 4-Two states sue Bank of America on mortgage servicing
5:26pm EST
* Accused of misleading customers on loan modifications
* Accused of wrongly blaming investors for mod refusals
* Suits seek monetary penalties and restitution (Adds Nevada lawsuit, Arizona AG comments)
By Dan Levine
SAN FRANCISCO, Dec 17 (Reuters) - The states of Arizona and Nevada sued Bank of America Corp (BAC.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) on Friday, accusing the largest U.S. bank of routinely misleading consumers about home loan modifications.
The two lawsuits, filed by each state attorney general in Arizona and Nevada state courts, seek potentially massive fines against the bank and compensation for customers.
Arizona accuses Bank of America of violating a 2009 consent judgment in which it committed to widespread home loan modifications. The bank failed to follow through, leaving borrowers in limbo, according to the suit.
The bank is also accused of violating the state's consumer fraud act.
Arizona is seeking $25,000 per violation of the consent decree, and up to $10,000 for consumer fraud breaches. Both states also ask that Bank of America pay restitution to customers.
The lawsuits could complicate Bank of America's efforts to quickly resolve inquiries into its mortgage foreclosure practices. The probes include a 50-state investigation that is also looking at JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), Ally Financial and other major mortgage servicers.
Last month Bank of America Chief Executive Brian Moynihan said a quick settlement of the 50-state probe would be the best solution for all involved.
Arizona Attorney General Terry Goddard, who is on the executive committee of the 50-state investigation, recently lost a run for governor in Arizona.
Nevada Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto won reelection this past November.
"This was an opportunity for the two states which have felt the biggest impact of the foreclosure crisis to stand up and say, 'This has got to stop,'" Goddard said in a phone interview.
Bank of America Home Loans spokesman Dan Frahm said the company is disappointed Goddard filed the suit during his last days as attorney general, and that the bank would continue to work with the multi-state process.
"That is the approach that will best broaden programs for homeowners who need assistance," Frahm said in an email.
Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller, who heads the multi-state probe, said the legal activity "neither changes, nor dilutes, the strong and resolute multi-state effort to address serious problems that have been identified with a number of mortgage servicers."
Mortgage servicers have come under fire in recent months for abuses of the foreclosure process. In another foreclosure probe, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission sent out a fresh round of subpoenas last week to big banks including Bank of America. [ID:nN17115205]
Bank of America temporarily halted home repossessions in October as it reviewed its internal processes.
James Tierney, director of the National State Attorneys General Program at Columbia Law School, said it would be difficult for incoming Arizona AG Tom Horne to simply withdraw the lawsuit when he takes office.
But if Bank of America cuts a deal with the multi-state investigation, Horne could decide to endorse it and argue against continued litigation.
"That's perfectly fine," Tierney said. "That's what AGs do."
According to Goddard, Bank of America representatives contacted Horne in a bid to head off a lawsuit. Goddard called the outreach "highly inappropriate," and said Horne took the same position.
Frahm said he was not aware of those interactions, and Horne did not respond to requests for comment.
In 2009 Bank of America agreed to a consent judgment over home loans made by its Countrywide unit. The bank committed to loan modifications which it valued at roughly $8.4 billion nationally, the Arizona lawsuit says.
The company violated the judgment by failing to make decisions on loan modifications, according to the suit.
Bank of America also misled consumers by telling them that their modifications were declined because investors in mortgage-backed securities had not approved them, even though in some cases no such permission was necessary, the lawsuit says.
Bank of America shares closed up 5 cents at $12.57 on the New York Stock Exchange.
The case in Superior Court of the State of Arizona, County of Maricopa is State of Arizona v. Countrywide Financial Corporation et al, 2010-033580.
The case in District Court for Clark County, Nevada is State of Nevada v. Bank of America Corp. et al, 10-631557. (Reporting by Dan Levine; Editing by Steve Orlofsky, John Wallace and Richard Chang)
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1711272720101217
© Thomson Reuters 2010. All rights reserved.
In the mid 1990’s it accounted for about 17% of the gross domestic product of the US. Now it accounts for over 60%.
JackRiddler wrote:I think that's a fine listing for Top 10, but how is it possible that this incredible error about the size of the financial industry was not caught:In the mid 1990’s it accounted for about 17% of the gross domestic product of the US. Now it accounts for over 60%.
Correct: The assets of the top 6 banks are equivalent to 60 percent of US GDP, up by a factor of 3+ since the 1990s. This stat, shocking enough in itself, has mutated through several misunderstandings, and I think this is the latest. Their liabilities would be about the same. The assets of the whole financial sector (as accounted on balance sheets, which are no longer mark to market and therefore more fictional than ever) are much higher than that. I think all US assets combined - all paper and real estate and capital - were valued at something like $55 trillion on the last Federal Reserve flow accounts report, or four times GDP. This is balance sheet value. It can't be sold for that, of course.
GDP is a measure of how much business is done in a year: annual product. The financial sector accounts for something like a quarter of what goes into GDP, up from 15 percent-ish in former times, and an even higher share of annual profit (I think 40 percent).
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vanlose kid wrote:Top 10 Economic Stories of 2010
By Maria Tomchick • on December 12, 2010 3:29 pm
1) In 2008 and 2009, the Federal Reserve functioned as the central bank for the entire world. Documents pried from the Federal Reserve in November show that dozens of foreign banks and an astonishing number of foreign governments lined up to get handouts from the Fed, who kept its client list a deeply protected secret. The recipients included most of Europe’s major banks: Barclay’s Bank, Bank of Scotland, RBS, Societe Generale, Dresdner Bank, Bayerische Landesbank, and Dexia. Also on the list are the central banks of Australia, Denmark, Mexico, Norway, Switzerland, Sweden, South Korea, Britain, and Japan.
If it had been publicly known at the time what the true, global extent of the crisis really was, the world’s economy would have completely collapsed. This is the biggest story of the year, perhaps of the entire past decade, but it’s received zero attention from the US press.
2) The Fed’s current policy of “quantitative easing” (QE I and QE II) are an under-the-table bailout of US corporations. By buying up medium- and long-term treasury bonds, the Fed is keeping interest rates near zero so US corporations can refinance a record amount of junk bonds that were set to come due in 2012, 2013, and 2014 (a total of $700 billion). Some corporations have been able to refinance their debt by issuing 50- or 100-year bonds. That’s insane. Most companies don’t stay in business for 10 years, much less 100 years.
3) The IMF rises from the dead…just in time to impose austerity measures on Greece, Ireland, and a host of other European Union countries. Of course, the one country that’s most responsible for the global economic crisis—the United States—doesn’t fall under the IMF’s purview. Instead, we get to do the opposite: extend the Bush tax cuts, extend the war in Afghanistan to at least 2014, and run up a record government deficit.
4) The financial industry is too big. Way too big. In the mid 1990’s it accounted for about 17% of the gross domestic product of the US. Now it accounts for over 60%. How did that change happen? Well, blame it on the worst Bush era tax cut ever devised: the 15% capital gains and dividend tax rate. When you give a tax cut for dividends and capital gains, you’re subsidizing the investment industry, which is now mostly composed of speculation: money in search of profits taxed at only 15%. So we get huge amounts of money invested in non-productive areas of the economy: derivatives, currency trading, speculation in commodities markets, hedge funds, and stupid venture capital investments that will never make a profit or provide a necessary service (i.e., Pets.com on steroids). Too big to fail? Yes, but it’s also too big to even comprehend.
5) More banks failed in 2010 than in 2009. The FDIC told us that 2009 would be the worst year of the crisis, but this year small and mid-sized banks continued to fail in record numbers. In 2008 the FDIC closed 25 banks; in 2009 the total was 140. As of November, the total for 2010 was above 150 and counting. Clearly, we still haven’t seen the worst of the crisis.
6) Meanwhile, the biggest banks are still misbehaving. From refusing to modify mortgage loans to using robo-signers and filing defective paperwork with bankruptcy courts, to sending a huge posse of lobbyists to Washington DC to gut the financial reform bill, the biggest banks have been operating as if the financial crisis never happened. And they’ve been racking up record profits and paying out enormous bonuses to their top management. Guess who’s really running this country?
7) Low-interest loans + bad banks = new perfect storm on the horizon. I won’t say more, or it will depress you.
8) Flash crashes are the wave of the future in the stock markets. (Yes, you read that right. “Stock markets,” plural. There are more than a dozen in the US alone.) If you don’t know what a “flash crash” is, then you should sell your stock right now and stick your money in your mattress, because you don’t know enough about investing to keep from losing your shirt. If computers have made it possible for everyone, including your grandma, to play the stock market, they’ve also made it possible for a few big sharks to crash the markets within milliseconds. And nothing’s being done to stop them.
9) Microcredit banks, which were heralded as the saviors of the poor in developing nations, are headed for a major collapse. It turns out that the nonprofits that extended small loans to poor people in developing nations from India to Sub-Saharan Africa have been operating just like the big US banks that caused the 2008 economic collapse. They saw a way to make a profit off the poor, and they went for it. Guess who’s going to pay for it all in the end?
10) It’s the end of 2010 and nobody’s been prosecuted for the mortgage meltdown, banking crisis, or the economic collapse. No one’s even been charged with a crime. Obama’s Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission has turned out to be toothless, powerless, and invisible.
If George Orwell could have seen the real dimensions of our Brave New World, he wouldn’t have been worried about governmental control. In fact, maybe we ought to give Barack Obama a break: there’s only so much you can get away with before your boss gets really pissed off.
The question is: who’s the real boss? Is it Citigroup, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs? Or is it you and me?
Maybe it’s time to stand up and show ‘em who’s boss.
http://www.eatthestate.org/top-10-econo ... s-of-2010/
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