Joe Hillshoist wrote:I dunno if Benford's law "disproves" synchronicity tho...
yeah, it doesn't 'disprove' anything, I'm thinking what it points to is that there could be something of some sort going on. Benford's Law speaks on initial digits, (I don't know enough deep statistics to really follow Hill's proof) but we can assume that there may be other laws operative that we don't know about. For instance: on the set of numbers appearing in news reports and entertainment scripts. It might be interesting to trawl all lexis/nexis google news stories, etc. for numbers and do the stat tests. Surely some numbers are going to be a lot more common than others, 2008 has been showing up a lot lately, and I'm starting to see more and more 2009s, and other numbers rarely, I doubt we'd see many references to 13579.
The other thing to bear in mind is that in any sequence of "random" numbers, there is going to be times when the numbers fail to 'appear' random to us. For instance, somewhere out past the billionth digit of pi there's a sequence where you get 12 7s in a row. Eventually we'll get a lotto number that's all the same digit (who knows maybe it has been several times some-where/when).
Of course, NOTHING is actually random. True, some things may be pre-determined by so many previous conditions and so complex as to defy our ability to perfectly predict or even simulate, but ultimately, randomness is a human concept of convenience for dealing with situations too complex to accurately model in detail.
Anytime you're looking at data and trying to come up with a "norm" you have to remember, the average is constantly changing and at any moment a divergence from norm like the 12 7s could start up. So the norm you developed could prove to have been taken during a period of divergence from another norm you hadn't witnessed. Time for a new norm. Still, all kinds of statistical techniques work well when applied to specific aspects of specific domains.
So my feeling is forget about trying to find signal in the noise unless one wants to get into heavy duty lifting in statistics. Anyway, just statistics won't convince most anyone on much of anything.
So what's meant to be arranging these numerical 'syncromysticies' ?
1. Some god-like intervention in the whole cosmos to set these things up?
2. Hidden powers-that-be using them for social control or coded messaging to one another?
3. Personal selection bias or other psychological explanation?
4. ?
It's an old matter, and eventually has come around to guessing tomorrows lotto numbers. (They're hidden in the newspaper of the day before, look at the final digits of the world temperatures listing :)
In Itally there's a tradition known as La Smorfia Napoletana that is a numeric/symbol system for predicting the next winning numbers, and used by some for other things as well. Not well documented on the web in English.
Now enjoy some of the great Bob Dorough: Three is a magic number...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=11N-BD1aBo0
now for some reason this came up while writing this and demands inclusion, why? Well, I don't know, but it's got numbers in it anyway... time for some hand clapping or jump rope:
Sing a song of sixpence a pocket full of rye,
Four and twenty blackbirds baked in a pie.
When the pie was opened the birds began to sing,
Oh wasn't that a lovely dish to set before the king?
The king was in his counting house counting out his money,
The queen was in the parlour eating bread and honey
The maid was in the garden hanging out the clothes,
When down came a blackbird and pecked off her nose!
check out the Cattanooga Cats version:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qcotJgEHUUE
holy shit the Cattanooga Cats are amazing! check this one out for sure:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a-MkNy2Ii2A
I ask... who doesn't like bubblegum?