Alice wrote:
But what do you make of this? There was a recent article quoting an Iranian official saying basically the same thing, that there's no shortage of oil but that the prices were being driven up by speculators, but I can't find it now
This is as true as it can possibly be. I used to pay over 600 dollars a month for real time data feed from the futures market. I watched speculators drive up the price of oil. These people buy oil contracts but never take "physical delivery" of the oil. They simply create global chaos, drive up the price of oil, and then sell their contracts for more money.
People that think in terms of "supply and demand" are totally missing the oil game. Food commodities are now in play too, in the exact same way.
It was pointed out in an earlier comment that oil went from $20.00 a barrel in the year 2002, to over $130.00 now in the year 2008.
In six years oil suddenly became so short on the supply side that it warranted that sort of rise in price?
I think "not"........