Scottish Independence and the UK State

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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby vanlose kid » Thu Mar 22, 2012 7:44 am

semper occultus wrote:^ thanks for that ...slightly dubious about the all-seeing eye logo

but lets come clean Ahab - forget all this political shenanigans - isn't this really all about wanting to get your own slot on the Eurovision Song Contest ?

....isn't it long enough already for crying out loud....?

sadly having heard Engelbert's dire effort I fear for the future of our great union as never before...


knew there was something fishy 'bout Salmond.



great falsetto though.

Salmond and Thoms sing Caledonia.



*
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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby vanlose kid » Thu Mar 22, 2012 7:57 am

AhabsOtherLeg wrote:
gnosticheresy_2 wrote:...

vanlose kid wrote:
Stephen Morgan wrote:
vanlose kid wrote:three questions:

what about (1) the "Commonwealth"; (2) her high-weirdness the kween; (3) the royal bank of scotland?

*


1) who cares, 2) is Scottish with her Balmoral and James the first, 3) what about the Halifax Bank of Scotland, coming down here stealing our mutuals.


thanks, stephen. nice one. you're in form.

:rofl2

*


1/ We'll likely stay part of the Commonwealth for a time, which would allow Scottish troops to continue serving in the UK armed forces if they choose (as any other Commonwealth citizens can) but the Scottish government would no longer be obliged to follow the UK government into it's wars of choice, and would control it's own foreign policy overall, as well as it's own import/export regime, etc.

2/ Apparently we'll be keeping the Queen as head of state for a while after independence, but Salmond has promised a referendum on getting rid of her not too long afterward. Taking it one thing at a time, I guess. This arrangement prevents us having to negotiate over the income from the Crown Estates (I don't mean Balmoral or whatever, I mean the coastline, seabed, etc. which the Queen currently owns in it's entirety) and also avoids the worrying prospect of Salmond leading a campaign to make himself the head of state. :lol:

3/ As for HBOS, RBS, etc. neither the devolved Scottish government or the people of Scotland as a whole have ever had any direct control over these private banks, so there was nothing we could have done to stop them stealing the mutuals. Simply having "Scotland" or "Scottish" in the name of an institution does not automatically make it the responsibility of the Scottish government or people, especially since the Scottish government is not even currently allowed full control of it's own finances.


thanks Ahab.

re the RBS, why not nationalize it? then again that might not wash since the UKgov own it.

also this:

"...the Crown Estates (I don't mean Balmoral or whatever, I mean the coastline, seabed, etc. which the Queen currently owns in it's entirety)..."

and people think they live in a democracy.

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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby semper occultus » Thu Mar 22, 2012 8:44 am

^^.....Salmond & Susan Boyle.......what a thought...
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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby vanlose kid » Thu Mar 22, 2012 9:33 am

semper occultus wrote:^^.....Salmond & Susan Boyle.......what a thought...


:bigsmile
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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby AhabsOtherLeg » Sat Mar 24, 2012 5:11 pm

vanlose kid wrote:knew there was something fishy 'bout Salmond.


What's your opinion of Nicola Sturgeon then? :lol:

Fish are an interesting subject, because Thatcher conceded a huge portion of Scotland's fisheries to Spain, Norway, and Iceland in order to secure the UK's entry to the EEC, leading to the decimation of our coastal communities, and their subsequent descent into (in some places) heroin importation hubs, and in other places turning them into heroin use blackspots. At least it stopped them from voting Tory, though, which a lot of them used to do (seeing their boats as private enterprises, and themselves as rugged individualist entrepreneurs). They won't be making that mistake again.

Interestingly enough the Scottish Fisheries Minister is barred from attending EU meetings on the subject of fishing rights (by Westminster) so we have no chance of regaining the lost waters or rejuvenating our coastal villages without gaining independence (and our own representation at the EU level)first.

Also, did you know that I am the most boring man on earth?

vanlose kid wrote:Salmond and Thoms sing Caledonia.




Video wasn't showing, vk.

I like it, even if it could be seen as somewhat manipulative/populist for a politician to do this kind of thing - to his credit, Salmond doesn't even try to pretend that he can sing. He might've at least learned the song and stayed sober though.

It's weird that he can't sing it, 'cos he used to be a very talented chorister as a lad. I didn't realise that eating literally all the pies could have such an effect on the voice. :lol:

semper occultus wrote:sadly having heard Engelbert's dire effort I fear for the future of our great union as never before...


Jesys, I hadn't heard it before.

Forget the referendum, after listening to that I'm campaigning for a UDI.
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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby AhabsOtherLeg » Sat Mar 24, 2012 6:15 pm

vanlose kid wrote:re the RBS, why not nationalize it? then again that might not wash since the UKgov own it.


I'd happily burn the whole corrupt edifice to the ground to be honest, if people's money and savings could be be transferred elsewhere and guaranteed there. No point in nationalizing a liability (though of course that's exactly what the UK government has done). Salmond would not stand for the RBS being wrapped up entirely, unfortunately, as he used to work there (as an oil economist) and has a dumb sentimental attachment to it.

I'd nationalize the oil industry though, if I could, (slowly, by stealth) but the CIA would kill me so I cannae. :shrug:
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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby semper occultus » Sun Mar 25, 2012 7:43 am

AhabsOtherLeg wrote:Fish are an interesting subject, because Thatcher conceded a huge portion of Scotland's fisheries to Spain, Norway, and Iceland in order to secure the UK's entry to the EEC, leading to the decimation of our coastal communities.....


Heath surely....(?).

( ....although I obviously appreciate Thatch is in actual fact responsible for every woe that has ever afflicted Scotland...ever... :wink )


"The Government's guiding principle was...to swallow the lot and swallow it now."

Sir Con O'Neill, the British diplomat who led the UK's negotiations for EEC membership under Edward Heath.

http://www.global-vision.net/facts/fact2_1.asp


....if everything about Heath is true then bending over with his trousers round hs ankles was probably second nature...

actually here's an idea - why doesn't Scotland leave the EU & enter into some sort of free-trade area with some close neighbouring countries..you could call it something like..oh the united kingdom or something along those lines...?
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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby AhabsOtherLeg » Mon Mar 26, 2012 4:00 pm

semper occultus wrote:
AhabsOtherLeg wrote:Fish are an interesting subject, because Thatcher conceded a huge portion of Scotland's fisheries to Spain, Norway, and Iceland in order to secure the UK's entry to the EEC, leading to the decimation of our coastal communities.....


Heath surely....(?).


You're right Semper, it was Heath who took us into the EEC and the Common Fisheries policy, but there appeared to be minimal damage at first. When Thatcher renegotiated the CFP in 1983, though, Scotland, having by far the largest part of the UK's fishing fleet, did get seriously screwed:

The development of the CFP since the 1970s has been especially damaging to Britain. When, for example, the system of quotas on a species-by-species basis was introduced in 1983, it was estimated that even though the UK had, on some estimates, 80 per cent of the fish stocks the British quota allocation was a mere 37 per cent by volume and possibly as low as 12 per cent by value.
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/ruthl ... ntal_harm/


It's especially annoying because her private papers show that she was prepared to fight hard for a better deal over the CFP, even prepared to threaten leaving the EEC altogether. But when it came down to it she just gave it all away. I don't know why.

semper occultus wrote:( ....although I obviously appreciate Thatch is in actual fact responsible for every woe that has ever afflicted Scotland...ever... :wink )


Did you know she's the reason it rains up here all the time? It's true. Scotland used to be like Spain! :mad2 :lol:

actually here's an idea - why doesn't Scotland leave the EU


The UK government will never offer us a choice on that, so we would still have to leave the UK first.

& enter into some sort of free-trade area with some close neighbouring countries...


That's the plan. The remaining UK, particularly England, will still be our largest trading partner, and Europe beyond that will still be our largest market. But there is no reason to give them political control over us, or to give them the entirety of our revenue to spend as they see fit when we can manage it ourselves. Free trade shouldn't require an overarching political union. If it does, something's wrong.
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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby Searcher08 » Mon Mar 26, 2012 8:02 pm

Are there any parts of Scotland that want autonomy within an independent state?
When I visited Aboyne near Aberdeen, I got the impression from quite a few locals that they didn't see themselves as very connected to the folks from Edinburgh (even less than the pistol-wielding Highwaymen and Black Pudding-eating Ruffians of Yorkshire see a connection with the erudite civilization of London). There seemed to be a really curious class thing going on -The Laird was spoken of with great respect; he and his son lived locally and had always been honourable and employed quite a few people from the area.
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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby AhabsOtherLeg » Mon Mar 26, 2012 8:50 pm

Searcher08 wrote:Are there any parts of Scotland that want autonomy within an independent state?


That's a really good question. I think Shetland and Orkney in particular have a desire for (and of course a right to) greater self-government, and maybe even full independence. The idea of them "splitting" away from an independent Scotland isn't wholly a creation of the security services or the unionist press, even if both those groups have played on it to cause concern/uncertainty amongst Scots about our economic future after independence. It's quite funny reading the Shetlink forums - a lot of them really don't like Scots at all, and I must admit they have good historic reasons for it. "Never trust a Scottie!" is still a saying amongst the older generation, and from their point of view both me and say, Thatcher, would alike be considered "Sooth" and therefore untrustworthy.

The younger generation pretty much consider themselves Scottish though, and Shetland has been a part of Scotland since before Scotland joined the United Kingdom (the island was pledged as security on a wedding dowry by the King of Norway. He never paid the dowry, so Shetland remained Scottish, even if many of them still aren't very happy about that).

If Shetland or Orkney seek independence I will support them. I'd be a hypocrite not to. It would be a shame, though, 'cos they're cool.

Searcher08 wrote:When I visited Aboyne near Aberdeen, I got the impression from quite a few locals that they didn't see themselves as very connected to the folks from Edinburgh (even less than the pistol-wielding Highwaymen and Black Pudding-eating Ruffians of Yorkshire see a connection with the erudite civilization of London). There seemed to be a really curious class thing going on -The Laird was spoken of with great respect; he and his son lived locally and had always been honourable and employed quite a few people from the area.


It's an odd thing. I don't think many people in Scotland from outside Edinburgh itself feel particularly connected to it - and many actively dislike the place - but we still recognise it as the capital when push comes to shove. A bit like the English attitude to London, really. Aberdonians know better than anyone that they would be hugely economically better off as a tiny breakaway state on their own - but, as with Shetland and Orkney, there is no serious political party running on such a platform, and it seems the political will isn't really there, even if they like to talk about it for a wind up from time to time.

It seems like Ken Livingstone has been reading Gnostic's post in this thread, and is now seeking independence for London. Well, kind of:

22 March 2012

Ken Livingstone today announced he will “declare independence” for London if he wins the race to be Mayor.

The Labour candidate said he wants to take over the capital’s NHS, housing and benefits system if elected on May 3.

Mr Livingstone — campaigning in Croydon — said he would persuade the Government to “devolve everything”.

http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/news/mayo ... 81732.html


Bloody hell.
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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby AhabsOtherLeg » Thu Mar 29, 2012 5:35 pm

.
Mmmhh. It's beginning to look like Lord Fraser of Carmyllie was not entirely exaggerating the threat to Scottish airports:

Image

Image
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... -game.html

More war games scheduled off the Western Isles for this coming May, with GPS navigation again to be jammed for civillian boats in the area. The Stornoway emergency tug has been withdrawn (again) from service without explanation.

A spit in the eye of the Western Isles "Keep NATO Out" organisation.

Makes me feel safer knowing our brave boys are out there though, ruling the waves. We need them on that wall. :lol: Do we fuck.
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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby MacCruiskeen » Thu Mar 29, 2012 6:38 pm

I remember arguing with my father about Scottish nationalism in the late 70s and him saying, "Son, we cannot abandon the English working class to a permanent Tory majority!" He also felt that the upsurge of Scottish nationalism after the sudden discovery of "Scottish" oil was a bit shabby, like a spouse winning the lottery and immediately applying for a divorce.

That was Old Labour. The need for international socialism was taken for granted.

In the shabby year of 2012 the question is (one of the questions is) whether the Union has done the English working class any good since then, not to mention the Scottish working class, to say nothing of the South-East Asian working class*. There are innumerable other questions too. The example of Scottish independence might encourage the English regions to push for increasing autonomy too. No bad thing in itself, I think, because small countries tend to be more civilized, not least - no: precisely - because they have less power.

But none of them are going to survive without each other. Not least in the age of dwindling oil and hungry new empires, and hungry new working classes.

*The history of Trade Unions since the Eighties (at the very latest) has been shameful. Despicable, in fact. Zero solidarity with other unions, zero solidarity with the unemployed, not even the feeblest attempt to alleviate the Dickensian squalor of the Asian working class, or to support them in their struggles. Instead, a constant shabby hustling for minuscule pecuniary advantages for our members.

Thatcher alone cannot be blamed for this.
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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby gnosticheresy_2 » Thu Mar 29, 2012 6:55 pm

MacCruiskeen wrote:*The history of Trade Unions since the Eighties (at the very latest) has been shameful. Despicable, in fact. Zero solidarity with other unions, zero solidarity with the unemployed, not even the feeblest attempt to alleviate the Dickensian squalor of the Asian working class, or to support them in their struggles.

Thatcher alone cannot be blamed for this.


Yeah, it's almost like union leadership has been hopelessly compromised for years.....
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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby AhabsOtherLeg » Fri Mar 30, 2012 10:49 pm

MacCruiskeen wrote:I remember arguing with my father about Scottish nationalism in the late 70s and him saying, "Son, we cannot abandon the English working class to a permanent Tory majority!" He also felt that the upsurge of Scottish nationalism after the sudden discovery of "Scottish" oil was a bit shabby, like a spouse winning the lottery and immediately applying for a divorce.


I'm a relative newcomer to belief in full independence, Mac, and maybe I'm a bit fanatical right now (the zeal of the converted) but it sounds to me like you were right and your Dad was wrong. Scottish independence will not cause a permanent Tory majority in England. I can prove this, but I will show the evidence in a follow-up post. First I want to deal with the "socialist argument against Scottish independence" - it was recently advanced, in much the same form as your Dad put it, by Stewart Lee in The Guardian (http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree ... dependence) though I can't really tell if he was being serious. Obviously the article is half-joking, and seems to be doing the uncomfortability thing that makes his stand-up so great, but I think the last paragraph in particular is sincere, and sums up the British Socialist case. (The comments are good, btw, with a few terrible ones mixed in).

Anyway, this socialist argument for the Union is the only one that has ever swayed me at all, but to be honest it didn't for long. Like the Union itself, it doesn't stand up to scrutiny.

MacCruiskeen wrote:That was Old Labour. The need for international socialism was taken for granted.


Here's what I mean... Why would any form of international socialism have to - or want to - rely on a political/military Union between England and Scotland drawn up by self-interested feudal noblemen under a Crown backed by Divine Right 300-odd years ago? Labour's argument (and the socialist argument generally) against independence has always been fundamentally flawed for this reason. British socialists say we should unite with all the other workers of the world, and support them of course, but they never say that all the other workers of the world have to come under the British Crown and the British Parliament for this to happen, because that would be considered imperialist.

Only with the Scots/English/Welsh/Northern Irish do they add this weird and eccentric proviso, that socialism here somehow depends on the political union of the UK. Why should it?

I can feel solidarity with the workers of Spain without having to be governed from the Spanish Parliament. I can feel sympathy with the people of Nepal without having to be ruled by the Nepalese monarchy. Are British socialists really suggesting that the solidarity between the English and Scottish working classes is so abysmally and uniquely weak that it requires an official Treaty and the unrepealed 18th century Act of a unified Parliament under the Crown to exist at all? Why?!? And isn't that argument an admission of immediate failure anyway - failure on the part of socialism to unite us as a people, but also on the part of the Union itself, which was supposed to do the same thing? If we're united, why do we need the Act of Union to be in force forever?

Labour should've stuck with Keir Hardie's ideas on Home Rule, since at least his ideas made sense (and they pre-dated the discovery of oil by a long way, too, as did the founding of the SNP - but I know what you mean about the oil causing a shabby upsurge of "nationalism". There was a deeply embarassing survey recently that said the vast majority of Scots would vote Yes to independence if it could be guaranteed that they would be £500 a year better off. That's only about £1.80 a day. Those questioned are apparently prepared to decide the future of their country on the price of a Mars Bar and a Daily Record, the dozy, spineless gits. I'll still take those Yes votes though, ignoble as that might be.)

I will admit that if independence is achieved it might become slightly harder for, say, Scottish mineworkers to go down to London and support the Wapping printer's strike like they did in the 80s, or for Scottish students to cross the border to join tuition fee protests in England like they did much more recently (purely in solidarity, since tuition fees were never introduced up here). But that's the only realistic drawback to ending the Union I can see from a socialist perspective, and it'll be easy enough to get around.

TL;DR: We won't leave England to face a permanent Tory majority, and for any real believer in international socialism the fact that Scottish and English workers are no longer governed from the same Parliament or under the same Crown should make no difference at all. Worker's Solidarity, like love, or friendship, or sharing an ice cream, should not have to be predicated upon shared governance or nationality.

MacCruiskeen wrote:In the shabby year of 2012 the question is (one of the questions is) whether the Union has done the English working class any good since then, not to mention the Scottish working class, to say nothing of the South-East Asian working class*.


My question is - has the Union ever done any good for any working class person anywhere in the world at any time? There seems to me no reason why it should have done. It was certainly never intended to.

Looking at the history of the Union, how it was passed and what came after, I can't help feeling that asking if it has "done any good for the working class" is like asking the same thing about the East India Company or the Anglo-Persian Oil Co.

The overarching power structure that the Act of Union enshrined back then hasn't really changed all that much, certainly not as much as some people might like to think, and it was never supposed to be a boon to the workers, and I would say that it never has been. It was an imperial device then, and it still is now. (An imperial device dreamed up by the shared Anglo-Scots nobility, btw, not by England or English people or anything like that.)

I'm... kind of going on a bit here, eh? I wanted to answer all your points, and you're a lot, lot better at condensing your points than I am. I still haven't managed to answer them all yet. Need me bed.

EDITTED MULTIPLE TIMES IN AN ATTEMPT TO MAKE SENSE.
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Re: Scottish Independence and the UK State

Postby AhabsOtherLeg » Fri Mar 30, 2012 11:04 pm

Here's the facts on the "permanent Tory majority". I'm glad someone took the time to compile this, otherwise I would've believed the same thing your Dad did, and felt much worse about a Yes vote - which, believe it or not, I already feel quite bad about.

The 67 years since the end of World War 2 have seen 18 General Elections to the Westminster Parliament, with the following outcomes (sources below):

1945 Labour govt (Attlee)
————————————
Labour majority: 146
Labour majority without any Scottish MPs in Parliament: 143
NO CHANGE



1950 Labour govt (Attlee)
————————————
Labour majority: 5
Without Scottish MPs: 2
NO CHANGE



1951 Conservative govt (Churchill/Eden)
——————————————————–
Conservative majority: 17
Without Scottish MPs: 16
NO CHANGE



1955 Conservative govt (Eden/Macmillan)
——————————————————–
Conservative majority: 60
Without Scottish MPs: 61
NO CHANGE



1959 Conservative govt (Macmillan/Douglas-Home)
————————————————————————
Conservative majority: 100
Without Scottish MPs: 91
NO CHANGE



1964 Labour govt (Wilson)
————————————-
Labour majority: 4
Without Scottish MPs: -9
CHANGE: LABOUR MAJORITY TO HUNG PARLIAMENT



1966 Labour govt (Wilson)
————————————-
Labour majority: 98
Without Scottish MPs: 77
NO CHANGE



1970 Conservative govt (Heath)
——————————————–
Conservative majority: 30
Without Scottish MPs: 5
NO CHANGE



1974 Minority Labour govt (Wilson)
————————————————-
Labour majority: -33
Without Scottish MPs: -50
NO CHANGE



1974b Labour govt (Wilson/Callaghan)
—————————————————–
Labour majority: 3
Without Scottish MPs: -8
CHANGE: LABOUR MAJORITY TO HUNG PARLIAMENT



1979 Conservative govt (Thatcher)
————————————————-
Conservative majority: 43
Without Scottish MPs: 70
NO CHANGE



1983 Conservative govt (Thatcher)
————————————————-
Conservative majority: 144
Without Scottish MPs: 174
NO CHANGE



1987 Conservative govt (Thatcher/Major)
——————————————————-
Conservative majority: 102
Without Scottish MPs: 154
NO CHANGE



1992 Conservative govt (Major)
———————————————
Conservative majority: 21
Without Scottish MPs: 71
NO CHANGE



1997 Labour govt (Blair)
———————————–
Labour majority: 179
Without Scottish MPs: 139
NO CHANGE



2001 Labour govt (Blair)
———————————–
Labour majority: 167
Without Scottish MPs: 129
NO CHANGE



2005 Labour govt (Blair/Brown)
——————————————–
Labour majority: 66
Without Scottish MPs: 43
NO CHANGE



2010 Coalition govt (Cameron)
——————————————
Conservative majority: -38
Without Scottish MPs: 19
CHANGE: HUNG PARLIAMENT TO CONSERVATIVE MAJORITY


Sources:
All UK general election results
General election results in Scotland 1945-2001 (Table 1e, p.13)
General election results in Scotland 2005 and 2010


So in summary we can see the following:

- Scottish MPs have NEVER turned what would have been a Conservative government into a Labour one, or indeed vice versa.

- on only TWO occasions, the most recent of them being 38 years ago, (1964 and the second of the two 1974 elections), have Scottish MPs given Labour a majority they wouldn't have had from England/Wales/NI alone.

- the majorities of the administrations in question were incredibly fragile ones of four and three MPs respectively – the 1964 Labour government lasted barely 18 months, and the 1974 one had to be propped up by the Lib-Lab Pact through 1977-78 so in practice barely qualified as a majority. Without Scottish MPs but with Liberal support, Wilson would have had a majority of 12.

- and on ONE occasion (2010) the presence of Scottish MPs has deprived the Conservatives of an outright majority, although the Conservatives ended up in control of the government anyway in coalition with the Lib Dems.

- which means that for 62 of the last 67 years, Scottish MPs as an entity have had no practical influence over the composition of the UK government. From a high of 72 MPs in 1983, Scotland's representation will by 2015 have decreased to 52, substantially reducing any future possibility of affecting a change.
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