Federal Reserve losing control

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Postby rrapt » Mon May 05, 2008 6:22 pm

Put it into something of real value like food, shelter, a place in the country with a big garden.

I've searched for good advice on that too but there isn't much out there. Money men seem to still retain confidence that you have only to weather the storm and things will turn up again as always. I disagree; perhaps they are too close to the monster to recognise it. But then, some of us are prone to expect disaster, and tend to group together, unanimous in our panic.

Money men: did they predict the dollar crash?
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Postby ninakat » Mon May 05, 2008 8:35 pm

HMKGrey wrote:Okay, folks. Marvellous thread. But what should I do with my cash?

Seriously, what should I be doing with my cash today given all of this?


Get it out of dollars. My choice is precious metals. And definitely get yourself out of debt.
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Postby ninakat » Mon May 05, 2008 8:40 pm

And, like rrapt said, things of real value -- food, shelter, garden, seeds. You might also consider solar panels or wind energy or other alternative forms to give you some energy independence from the current systems.
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Postby ninakat » Sun May 11, 2008 11:55 pm

Growing deficits threaten pensions
Accounting tactics conceal a crisis for public workers

By David Cho
updated 7:45 a.m. ET, Sun., May. 11, 2008

The funds that pay pension and health benefits to police officers, teachers and millions of other public employees across the country are facing a shortfall that could soon run into trillions of dollars.

But the accounting techniques used by state and local governments to balance their pension books disguise the extent of the crisis facing these retirees and the taxpayers who may ultimately be called on to pay the freight, according to a growing number of leading financial analysts.

State governments alone have reported they are already confronting a deficit of at least $750 billion to cover the cost of the retirement benefits they have promised. But that figure likely underestimates the actual shortfall because of the range of methods they use to make their calculations, including practices that have been barred in the private sector for decades.

Local governments use these same techniques for their pension funds and face deficits that further contribute to what some investors and analysts say may be shaping up to be a massive breach of faith with a generation of public employees.

Yawning gap
This gap is growing more yawning with the years. It has already presented taxpayers with a whopping bill that is eating up a vast portion of government budgets at the cost of other services. In Montgomery County, for instance, pension and retiree health care costs are already higher than the combined budgets for the departments of transportation and health and human services. Eventually, officials responsible for the funds will have to choose whether to continue paying out or renege on benefits promised to retirees.

more at the link
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roasting

Postby smiths » Mon May 12, 2008 2:36 am

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Postby barracuda » Tue May 13, 2008 10:57 pm

This is what deflation looks like in the aggregate among depository institutions in the U.S.:

Image

Non-borrowed deposits do not reflect losses in Level 3 assets or other CDO type investments gone south. Layman's interpretation - the banking system as a whole is underwater by roughly 90 billion dollars. Why aren't huge numbers of banks going belly up every day? Because the Fed is propping them up with your money, straight out of the treasury. This is the definition of a socialized financial system.
The most dangerous traps are the ones you set for yourself. - Phillip Marlowe
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um

Postby smiths » Tue May 13, 2008 11:47 pm

but with a little research, we discover this graph is misleading.

The explanation is pretty simple. The Federal Reserve decided to classify the TAF and the primary dealer credit facility as borrowed reserves (see this table).
http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h3/Current/

If we back out these collateralized borrowings, you get the total reserves, and that has been very steady. False alarm.
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Postby barracuda » Wed May 14, 2008 1:16 am

Smiths, the page you linked to still shows the banks as massively underwater, in fact showing "AGGREGATE RESERVES OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS AND THE MONETARY BASE", non-borrowed for May 7, 2008 as -84,136,000,000 (bottom of Table 3). Why do you feel it is appropriate to "back out these collateralized borrowings"? My understanding is that the collateralized borrowings you mention are collateralized with Level 3 assets and CDO's that are largely worthless. The volume at the TAF has pole-vaulted since opening it to these types of junk collateral, and that is what the chart I posted shows. The fed has done everything in it's power to see to it that this collateral is not marked to market, and is passing out treasuries like candy in exchange for the bad paper. Non-borrowed reserves are measures of total reserves (member bank deposits in Federal Reserve Banks, plus vault cash), less funds borrowed (borrowed reserves) at the Federal Reserve Discount Window. All reserves in the banking system (in aggregate) at this juncture are borrowed, whether from the discount window or the TAF. Where is the money going to come from to pay back these obligations? The bond market will let us know what it thinks of this chart, and if they don't like it, we'll find out soon enough, as the cost of government debt skyrockets along with mortgage rates. Honestly I hope you are right, but I fail to see the happy ending.

Straight from the horses mouth:
Recent Declines in Nonborrowed Reserves
2008-02-07

The H.3 statistical release indicates that nonborrowed reserves of depository institutions have declined substantially since mid-December to a level that is now negative. This development reflects the provision of a large volume of reserves through the Term Auction Facility (TAF) and has no adverse implications for the availability of reserves to the banking system. By definition, nonborrowed reserves are equal to total reserves minus borrowed reserves. Borrowed reserves are equal to credit extended through the Federal Reserve's regular discount window programs as well as credit extended through the TAF. To maintain a level of total reserves consistent with the Federal Open Market Committee's target federal funds rate, increases in borrowed reserves must generally be met by a commensurate decrease in nonborrowed reserves, which is accomplished through a reduction in the Federal Reserve's holdings of securities and other assets. The negative level of nonborrowed reserves is an arithmetic result of the fact that TAF borrowings are larger than total reserves.


I don't see anything reassuring here. The bolded text in the quote above from the fed web site means one thing: the banks have no money, and are surviving on fed credit. In other words, in aggregate, the banks have lost ALL of their depositors base money, and are keeping the lights on with taxpayers cash.
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look

Postby smiths » Wed May 14, 2008 4:20 am

hey fair enough, when i saw the graph i thought it was incredible,

then minutes later going over to a finance page i check daily i saw this post
http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/2008 ... lance.html

now the truth is i dont understand a lot of the very technical analysis,
so when i saw the clarifications about the graph i thought i'd post them,

in essence i fully agree with you that they are not only underwater but are lying daily about just how far underwater they are,
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Postby antiaristo » Thu May 15, 2008 4:44 pm

You should be VERY worried by that figure.

Part and parcel of banking is maintaining reserves to meet losses. The banks themselves have run out of reserves.

If you go to the bank to withdraw cash, the bank has to borrow from the Fed. It has no cash.

As a whole, the US banking system is INSOLVENT. That's why the banks will not lend to each other.

But they WILL knife each other.....


THE SECRET BAILOUT OF JPMORGAN:
HOW INSIDER TRADING LOOTED BEAR STEARNS AND THE AMERICAN TAXPAYER


Ellen Brown, May 13th, 2008
http://www.webofdebt.com/articles/banking-bailout.php

Post your comments here

The mother of all insider trades was pulled off in 1815, when London financier Nathan Rothschild led British investors to believe that the Duke of Wellington had lost to Napoleon at the Battle of Waterloo. In a matter of hours, British government bond prices plummeted. Rothschild, who had advance information, then swiftly bought up the entire market in government bonds, acquiring a dominant holding in England’s debt for pennies on the pound. Over the course of the nineteenth century, N. M. Rothschild would become the biggest bank in the world, and the five brothers would come to control most of the foreign-loan business of Europe. “Let me issue and control a nation’s money,” Rothschild boasted in 1838, “and I care not who writes its laws.”

In the United States a century later, John Pierpont Morgan again used rumor and innuendo to create a panic that would change the course of history. The panic of 1907 was triggered by rumors that two major banks were about to become insolvent. Later evidence pointed to the House of Morgan as the source of the rumors. The public, believing the rumors, proceeded to make them come true by staging a run on the banks. Morgan then nobly stepped in to avert the panic by importing $100 million in gold from his European sources. The public thus became convinced that the country needed a central banking system to stop future panics, overcoming strong congressional opposition to any bill allowing the nation’s money to be issued by a private central bank controlled by Wall Street; and the Federal Reserve Act was passed in 1913. Morgan created the conditions for the Act’s passage, but it was Paul Warburg who pulled it off. An immigrant from Germany, Warburg was a partner of Kuhn, Loeb, the Rothschilds’ main American banking operation since the Civil War. Elisha Garrison, an agent of Brown Brothers bankers, wrote in his 1931 book Roosevelt, Wilson and the Federal Reserve Law that “Paul Warburg is the man who got the Federal Reserve Act together after the Aldrich Plan aroused such nationwide resentment and opposition. The mastermind of both plans was Baron Alfred Rothschild of London.” Morgan, too, is now widely believed to have been Rothschild’s agent in the United States. 1

Robert Owens, a co-author of the Federal Reserve Act, later testified before Congress that the banking industry had conspired to create a series of financial panics in order to rouse the people to demand “reforms” that served the interests of the financiers. A century later, JPMorgan Chase & Co. (now one of the two largest banks in the United States) may have pulled this ruse off again, again changing the course of history. “Remember Friday March 14, 2008,” wrote Martin Wolf in The Financial Times; “it was the day the dream of global free-market capitalism died.”

The Rumors that Sank Bear Stearns

Mergers, buyouts and leveraged acquisitions have been the modus operandi of the Morgan empire ever since John Pierpont Morgan took over Carnegie’s steel mills to form U.S. Steel in 1901. The elder Morgan is said to have hated competition, the hallmark of “free-market capitalism.” He did not compete, he bought; and he bought with money created by his own bank, using the leveraged system perfected by the Rothschild bankers known as “fractional reserve” lending. On March 16, 2008, this long tradition of takeovers and acquisitions culminated in JPMorgan’s buyout of rival investment bank Bear Stearns with a $55 billion loan from the Federal Reserve. Although called “federal,” the U.S. central bank is privately owned by a consortium of banks, and it was set up to protect their interests.2 The secret weekend purchase of Bear Stearns with a Federal Reserve loan was precipitated by a run on Bear’s stock allegedly triggered by rumors of its insolvency. An article in The Wall Street Journal on March 15, 2008 cast JPMorgan as Bear’s “rescuer”:

“The role of rescuer has long been part of J.P. Morgan’s history. In what’s known as the Panic of 1907, a semi-retired J. Pierpont Morgan helped stave off a national financial crisis when he helped to shore up a number of banks that had seen a run on their deposits.”

That was one interpretation of events, but a later paragraph was probably closer to the facts:

“J.P. Morgan has been on the prowl for acquisitions. . . . Bear’s assets could be too good, and too cheap, to turn down.”3

The “rescuer” was not actually JPMorgan but was the Federal Reserve, the “bankers’ bank” set up by J. Pierpont Morgan to backstop bank runs; and the party “rescued” was not Bear Stearns, which wound up being eaten alive. The Federal Reserve (or “Fed”) lent $25 billion to Bear Stearns and another $30 billion to JPMorgan, a total of $55 billion that all found its way into JPMorgan’s coffers. It was a very good deal for JPMorgan and a very bad deal for Bear’s shareholders, who saw their stock drop from a high of $156 to a low of $2 a share. Thirty percent of the company’s stock was held by the employees, and another big chunk was held by the pension funds of teachers and other public servants. The share price was later raised to $10 a share in response to shareholder outrage and threats of lawsuits, but it was still a very “hostile” takeover, one in which the shareholders had no vote.

The deal was also a very bad one for U.S. taxpayers, who are on the hook for the loan. Although the Fed is privately owned, the money it lends is taxpayer money, and it is the taxpayers who are taking the risk that the loan won’t be repaid. The loan for the buyout was backed by Bear Stearns assets valued at $55 billion; and of this sum, $29 billion was non-recourse to JPMorgan, meaning that if the assets weren’t worth their stated valuation, the Fed could not go after JPMorgan for the balance. The Fed could at best get its money back with interest; and at worst, it could lose between $25 billion and $40 billion.4 In other words, JPMorgan got the money ($55 billion) and the taxpayers got the risk (up to $40 billion), a ruse called the privatization of profit and socialization of risk. Why did the Fed not just make the $55 billion loan to Bear Stearns directly? The bank would have been saved, and the Fed and the taxpayers would have gotten a much better deal, since Bear Stearns could have been required to guaranty the full loan.

The Highly Suspicious Out-of-the-Money Puts

That was one of many questions raised by John Olagues, an authority on stock options, in a March 23 article boldly titled “Bear Stearns Buy-out . . . 100% Fraud.” Olagues maintains that the Bear Stearns collapse was artificially created to allow JPMorgan to be paid $55 billion of taxpayer money to cover its own insolvency and acquire its rival Bear Stearns, while at the same time allowing insiders to take large “short” positions in Bear Stearns stock and collect massive profits. For evidence, Olagues points to a very suspicious series of events, which will be detailed here after some definitions for anyone not familiar with stock options:

A put is an option to sell a stock at an agreed-upon price, called the strike price or exercise price, at any time up to an agreed-upon date. The option is priced and bought that day based upon the current stock price, on the presumption that the stock will decline in value. If the stock’s price falls below the strike price, the option is “in the money” and the trader has made a profit. Now here’s the evidence:

On March 10, 2008, Bear Stearns stock dropped to $70 a share -- a recent low, but not the first time the stock had reached that level in 2008, having also traded there eight weeks earlier. On or before March 10, 2008, requests were made to the Options Exchanges to open a new April series of puts with exercise prices of 20 and 22.5 and a new March series with an exercise price of 25. The March series had only eight days left to expiration, meaning the stock would have to drop by an unlikely $45 a share in eight days for the put-buyers to score. It was a very risky bet, unless the traders knew something the market didn’t; and they evidently thought they did, because after the series opened on March 11, 2008, purchases were made of massive volumes of puts controlling millions of shares.

On or before March 13, 2008, another request was made of the Options Exchanges to open additional March and April put series with very low exercise prices, although the March put options would have just five days of trading to expiration. Again the exchanges accommodated the requests and massive amounts of puts were bought. Olagues contends that there is only one plausible explanation for “anyone in his right mind to buy puts with five days of life remaining with strike prices far below the market price”: the deal must have already been arranged by March 10 or before.


These facts were in sharp contrast to the story told by officials who testified at congressional hearings on April 4. All witnesses agreed that false rumors had undermined confidence in Bear Stearns, making the company crash despite adequate liquidity just days before. On March 10, 2008, Reuters was citing Bear Stearns sources saying there was no liquidity crisis and no truth to the speculation of liquidity problems. On March 11, the Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission himself expressed confidence in its “capital cushion.” Even “mad” TV investment guru Jim Cramer was proclaiming that all was well and the viewers should hold on. On March 12, official assurances continued. Olagues writes:

“The fact that the requests were made on March 10 or earlier that those new series be opened and those requests were accommodated together with the subsequent massive open positions in those newly opened series is conclusive proof that there were some who knew about the collapse in advance . . . . This was no case of a sudden development on the 13 or 14th, where things changed dramatically making it such that they needed a bail-out immediately. The collapse was anticipated and prepared for. . . .

“Apparently it is claimed that some people have the ability to start false rumors about Bear Stearns’ and other banks’ liquidity, which then starts a ‘run on the bank.’ These rumor mongers allegedly were able to influence companies like Goldman Sachs to terminate doing business with Bear Stearns, notwithstanding that Goldman et al. believed that Bear Stearns balance sheet was in good shape. . . . The idea that rumors caused a ‘run on the bank’ at Bear Stearns is 100% ridiculous. Perhaps that’s the reason why every witness was so guarded and hesitant and looked so mighty strained in answering questions . . . .

“To prove the case of illegal insider trading, all the Feds have to do is ask a few questions of the persons who bought puts on Bear Stearns or shorted stock during the week before March 17, 2008 and before. All the records are easily available. If they bought puts or shorted stock, just ask them why.”5

Suspicions Mount

Other commentators point to other issues that might be probed by investigators. Chris Cook, a British consultant and the former Compliance Director for the International Petroleum Exchange, wrote in an April 24 blog:

“As a former regulator myself, I would be crawling all over these trades. . . . One question that occurs to me is who actually sold these Put Options? And why aren’t they creating merry hell about the losses? Where is Spitzer when we need him?”6

In an April 23 article in LeMetropoleCafe.com, Rob Kirby agreed with Olagues that it was not Bear Stearns but JPMorgan that was bankrupt and needed to be “recapitalized” with massive loans from the Federal Reserve. Kirby pointed to the huge losses from derivatives (bets on the future price of assets) carried on JPMorgan’s books:

“. . . J.P. Morgan’s derivatives book is 2-3 times bigger than Citibank’s – and it was derivatives that caused losses of more than 30 billion at Citibank . . . . So, it only made common sense that J.P. Morgan had to be a little more than ‘knee deep’ in the same stuff that Citibank was – but how do you tell the market that a bank – any bank – needs to be recapitalized to the tune of 50 - 80 billion?”7

Kirby wrote in an April 30 article:

“According to the NYSE there are only 240 million shares of Bear outstanding . . . [Yet] 188 million traded on Mar. 14 alone? Doesn’t this strike you as being odd? . . . What percentage of the firm was owned by insiders that categorically did not sell their shares? . . . Bear Stearns employees held 30 % of the company’s stock . . . 30 % of 240 million is 72 million. If you subtract 72 from 240 you end up with approximately 170 million. Don’t you think it’s a stretch to believe that 186+ million real shares traded on Friday Mar. 14? Or do you believe that rank-and-file Bear employees, worried about their jobs, were pitching their stocks on the Friday before the company collapsed knowing their company was toast? But that would be insider trading – wouldn’t it? No bloody wonder the SEC does not want to probe J.P. Morgan’s ‘rescue’ of Bear Stearns . . .”8

If real shares weren’t trading, someone must have been engaging in “naked” short selling – selling stock short without first borrowing the shares or ensuring that the shares could be borrowed. Short selling, a technique used by investors to try to profit from the falling price of a stock, involves borrowing a stock from a broker and selling it, with the understanding that the stock must later be bought back and returned to the broker. Naked short selling is normally illegal; but in the interest of “liquid markets,” a truck-sized loophole exists for “market makers” (those people who match buyers with sellers, set the price, and follow through with the trade). Even market makers, however, are supposed to cover within three days by actually coming up with the stock; and where would they have gotten enough Bear Stearns stock to cover 75% of the company’s outstanding shares? In any case, naked short selling is illegal if the intent is to drive down a stock’s share price; and that was certainly the result here.9

On May 10, 2008, in weekly market commentary on FinancialSense.com, Jim Puplava observed that naked short selling has become so pervasive that the number of shares sold “short” far exceeds the shares actually issued by the underlying companies. Yet regulators are turning a blind eye, perhaps because the situation has now gotten so far out of hand that it can’t be corrected without major stock upheaval. He noted that naked short selling is basically the counterfeiting of stock, and that it has reached epidemic proportions since the “uptick” rule was revoked last summer to help the floundering hedge funds. The uptick rule allowed short selling only if the stock price were going up, preventing a cascade of short sales that would take the stock price much lower. But that brake on manipulation has been eliminated by the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC), leaving the market in unregulated chaos.

Eliot Spitzer has also been eliminated from the scene, and it may be for similar reasons. Greg Palast suggested in a March 14 article that the “sin” of the former New York governor may have been something more serious than prostitution. Spitzer made the mistake of getting in the way of a $200 billion windfall from the Federal Reserve to the banks, guaranteeing the mortgage-backed junk bonds of the same banking predators responsible for the subprime debacle. While the Federal Reserve was trying to bail the banks out, Spitzer was trying to regulate them, bringing suit on behalf of consumers.10 But he was swiftly exposed and deposed; and the Treasury has now broached a new plan that would prevent such disruptions in the future. Like the Panic of 1907 that justified a “bankers’ bank” to prevent future runs, the collapse of Bear Stearns has been used to justify a proposal giving vast new powers to the Federal Reserve to promote “financial market stability.” The plan was unveiled by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, former head of Goldman Sachs, two weeks after Bear Stearns fell. It would “consolidate” the state regulators (who work for the fifty states) and the SEC (which works for the U.S. government) under the Federal Reserve (which works for the banks). Paulson conceded that the result would not be to increase regulation but to actually take away authority from state regulators and the SEC. All regulation would be subsumed under the Federal Reserve, the bank-owned entity set up by J. Pierpont Morgan in 1913 specifically to preserve the banks’ own interests.

On April 29, a former top Federal Reserve official told The Wall Street Journal that by offering $30 billion in financing to JPMorgan for Bear’s assets, the Fed had “eliminated forever the possibility [that it] could serve as an honest broker.” Vincent Reinhart, formerly the Fed’s director of monetary affairs and the secretary of its policy-making panel, said the Fed’s bailout of Bear Stearns would come to be viewed as the “worst policy mistake in a generation.” He noted that there were other viable options, such as looking for other suitors or removing some assets from Bear’s portfolio, which had not been pursued by the Federal Reserve.11

Jim Puplava maintains that naked short selling has now become so pervasive that if the hedge funds were pressed to come in and cover their naked short positions, “they would actually trigger another financial crisis.” The Fed and the SEC may be looking the other way on this widespread stock counterfeiting scheme because “if they did unravel it, everything really would unravel.” Evidently “promoting market stability” means that whistle-blowers and the SEC must be silenced so that a grossly illegal situation can continue, since the crime is so pervasive that to expose it and prosecute the criminals would unravel the whole financial system. As Nathan Rothschild observed in 1838, when the issuance and control of a nation’s money are in private hands, the laws and the people who make them become irrelevant.


___________________
1 For many references, see E. Brown, Web of Debt (2008); and E. Brown, “Dollar Deception: How Banks Secretly Create Money,” webofdebt.com/articles (July 3, 2007).
2 Lewis v. United States, 680 F.2d 1239 (1982); Edward Flaherty, “Myth #5: The Federal Reserve Is Owned and Controlled by Foreigners,” www.geocities.com/CapitolHill/Senate/36 ... erty5.html.
3 Kate Kelly, et al., “Fed Races to Rescue Bear Stearns in Bid to Steady Financial System,” The Wall Street Journal (March 15, 2008).

4 John Olagues, “Bear Stearns Buy-Out . . .100% Fraud,” optionsforemployees/articles.com (March 23, 2008).

5 Ibid.

6 Chris Cook, “LQD: Bear-faced Robbery?”, eurotrib.com (April 24, 2008).

7 Rob Kirby, “A National Disaster,” lemetropolecafe.com (April 23, 2008).

8 Rob Kirby, “Further Thoughts on Bear Stearns,” lemetropolecafe.com (April 30, 2008).

9 “Naked Short Selling,” Wikipedia.

10 Greg Palast, “Eliot’s Mess” gregpalast.com (March 14, 2008).

11 Reuters, “Ex-Fed Official Criticizes Bear Stearns Rescue,” citing Wall Street Journal (April 29, 2008).


http://www.webofdebt.com/articles/banking-bailout.php
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Postby smiths » Thu May 15, 2008 9:30 pm

great article anti, made sense of a lot that hasnt made sense
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from

Postby smiths » Thu May 15, 2008 9:36 pm

from that site you linked

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eBIJH6--vsM

remember hoovervilles, it was only about three months ago that i read the grapes of wrath which i thoroughly recommend to anyone who hasnt read it,
and watching this video it seemed eerily close
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Postby barracuda » Thu May 15, 2008 10:21 pm

Not just Spitzer. Don't fuck with the banks on this "mortgage crisis" or they'll find out who you are fucking.

NY Times:
By CHRISTOPHER MAAG

Published: May 15, 2008



Under threat of impeachment, Marc Dann resigned Wednesday as Ohio’s attorney general, a consequence of a sex scandal that has consumed the Statehouse for six weeks.


Mr. Dann, whose admitted affair with one aide badly compounded his troubles after disclosure of sexual harassment complaints against another, had refused Gov. Ted Strickland’s repeated public calls for him to step down.

But, holding back tears, he stood in the governor’s cabinet room at a news conference in Columbus on Wednesday afternoon and, in Mr. Strickland’s presence, announced his exit.

“Unfortunately,” he said, “it is now clear that the last step I must take to fix these problems is to resign as attorney general, effective immediately.”

Mr. Dann was swept into office on an anti-corruption platform in 2006, becoming the first Democrat in a decade elected Ohio’s attorney general. He soon took aggressive steps to stop abuses by predatory lenders.

The scandal that resulted in his downfall began on April 6 when The Columbus Dispatch reported that two women in his office had filed sexual harassment complaints against Anthony Gutierrez, a leading aide and longtime friend.

Less than a month later, Mr. Dann — 46, married and the father of three children — admitted to an affair with his scheduler and acknowledged that it had contributed to an office atmosphere that led to the harassment claims.

Mr. Strickland and seven other prominent Ohio Democrats sent him a letter last week demanding his resignation, but he refused. “I am in the office, have rolled up my sleeves and am working on behalf of the people of the state of Ohio,” he wrote in an e-mail message to his staff.

But on Tuesday, Democratic legislators introduced nine articles of impeachment against him, accusing him of obstructing an internal investigation into sexual harassment. In a second inquiry, investigators for the state inspector general raided Mr. Dann’s office on Wednesday and confiscated a number of computers.

Mr. Strickland said at the news conference Wednesday that he would appoint a successor to Mr. Dann. That appointee will face a special election in November to fill out the remainder of the term, which expires in January 2011.

Asked what he wanted in a new attorney general, Mr. Strickland said, “Maturity.”
The most dangerous traps are the ones you set for yourself. - Phillip Marlowe
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Postby smiths » Thu May 15, 2008 11:12 pm

on the jpmorgan theme, and echoing what i said in the oil and iran thread,

if you knew that trouble was a comin, and you had a few money worries, plans to expand in commodities and energy trading would be a good bet



Derivatives monster Morgan to enter oil market

Reuters, Thursday, May 15, 2008

http://www.reuters.com/article/reutersC ... 85012008...

SINGAPORE -- JPMorgan Chase & Co will begin trading physical oil by year-end, increasing its exposure in a market that could rise to $200 a barrel, the bank's global head of commodities said on Wednesday.

The bank plans to expand in commodities and energy trading, Blythe Masters said, despite expectations of job cuts in other areas as it prepares to take on staff from Bear Stearns at the same time it deals with turbulent financial markets.

"We will start trading in physical oil and refined products by the end of this year," she told Reuters in an interview.

JPMorgan will join a growing list of investment banks from Goldman Sachs to Barclays Capital seeking to boost profits on their big derivatives trading desks by gaining a foothold in physical markets.

The third-largest U.S. bank added 50 people to its commodities and energy trading and investment team last year and is on track to hire a similar number this year, taking the strength of the total team globally to 450, Masters said.

Earlier this month, it hired former Goldman Sachs banker Oral Dawe as managing director and CEO of its Asia Pacific commodities group, in addition to hiring more than a dozen traders in Asia recently to oversee its expansion in energy and metals.

And with oil prices surging more than 30 percent this year to a record near $127 this week, Masters said the bank would look at more ways to boost its presence in energy markets.

"Oil rising to $200? It could happen. This year? You could see it, although it would take a further shock to expectations," she said.

"Supply disruptions, geopolitical events, increased demand for refined products, weather, additional investor inflows driven by shifting inflation expectations -- they could all contribute to high oil prices," she added.

... Limited impact

Masters shrugged off the impact of the U.S. credit crisis, saying robust growth in demand from emerging markets could more than offset a slowdown in demand in the United States.

"I think the prospects for the natural resources sector and commodity businesses are strong and are not really derailed in any sense by the credit crisis in the United States."

"Urbanizing populations in markets like India and China are driving the appreciation in commodity prices," she added.

In addition to oil, Masters expected prices of metals and grains to remain high in the near to medium term as supplies would take some time to catch up with rapidly rising demand.

"I think high commodity prices are staying for some time but you could also see corrections and you will certainly see high volatility. The current inflated prices are a reflection of fundamental factors, not just speculation," Masters said.

"On the supply side, there are still major shortfalls in infrastructure as a result of sustained period of under investment in commodities that has not yet been undone."

JPMorgan came under fire in March after it acquired a nearly insolvent Bear Stearns with involvement of the Federal Reserve and at a fire-sale price. It expects to complete its takeover of Bear around June 1.

The bank could cut as many as 4,000 of its own employees worldwide as it prepares to take on staff from Bear, people familiar with the situation said on Tuesday.
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Postby smiths » Thu May 15, 2008 11:27 pm

back to the fed and bank debt...

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid= ... 4hqPR.W5RE

Fed's Direct Loans to Banks Climb to Record Level (Update1)

By Christopher Anstey

May 15 (Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve's direct loans of cash to commercial banks climbed to the highest level on record in the past week, a sign of continued stress in financial markets that threatens to curtail credit for households and companies.

Funds provided through the so-called discount window for banks rose by $2.8 billion to a daily average of $14.4 billion in the week to May 14, the central bank said today in Washington. Separately, the Fed's loans to Wall Street bond dealers rose by $75 million to $16.6 billion.

The increase indicates financial firms' emergency needs for cash haven't receded. Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said two days ago that while markets have improved, they remain ``far from normal,'' adding that the central bank is prepared to increase its twice monthly auctions of funds to banks.

Fed policy makers in March created the Primary Dealer Credit Facility to offer direct loans to the 20 brokers that trade Treasury securities directly with the New York Fed. The central bank also provided $29 billion of financing to secure Bear Stearns Cos.' takeover by JPMorgan Chase & Co. to stave off bankruptcy.

The central bank's primary dealer resource allows Wall Street banks to borrow money overnight at a 2.25 percent interest rate, the same so-called discount rate charged to commercial banks.

As of May 14, there was $14.5 billion of loans outstanding in the primary-dealer program, while commercial banks had $13.4 billion of discount-window loans, the Fed reported.

Bear Borrowings

Bear Stearns had borrowed $32.5 billion from the Fed as of March 21, according to a JPMorgan regulatory filing on April 11. The central bank doesn't disclose who is borrowing from the discount window or other facilities.

Fed holdings of U.S. Treasury securities fell $22.3 billion for a daily average of $520.1 billion. The central bank had about $713 billion of Treasuries two months ago.

There was one net miss, on May 14, the Fed said. A net miss occurs when the actual reserve level in the banking system diverges from the Fed's projections for a day by $2 billion or more. If the level is outside expectations, the federal funds rate can deviate from target.

The central bank also reported that the M2 measure of money supply rose by $1.1 billion in the week ended May 5. That left M2 growing at an annual rate of 6.7 percent for the past 52 weeks, above the target of 5 percent the Fed once set for maximum growth. The Fed no longer has a formal target.

The Fed reports two measures of the money supply each week. M1 includes all currency held by consumers and companies for spending, money held in checking accounts and travelers checks. M2, the more widely followed, adds savings and private holdings in money market mutual funds.

During the latest reporting week, M1 fell by $7 billion. Over the past 52 weeks, M1 declined 0.1 percent. The Fed no longer publishes figures for M3.
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