Project Willow wrote:sw, you just keep being you, because, well, I count on it for one, and not only is there nothing wrong with that, but you are generally inspiring to folks, (in case you didn't know it) soul warrior.
C2W, you are a star in the heaven of words (please do forgive me for that). IOW, just plain thank you.
You're welcome. But I didn't do nothing. I'm a close reader, it's just the way I am. FWIW, I think the coverage that's probably the most useful for divining auguries from is that of Donald Bradley, of
The Kansas City Star. Because either he too is a close reader or, being local, he has some kind of informal inside line about the prosecutorial status quo. Or both. In any event, for whatever reason and/or reasons, he's doing the best job in the daily-reportage category, imo. And to me, also the most interesting. In a quiet way, he seems to be marching to the beat of a slightly different drum than the rest of the pack, in terms of where he's putting the emphasis. It's almost as if he were thinking about the material he's writing up. Also, the precision of his word-choices when characterizing documents on file with the court have quite captured my heart, to be candid with you. I think I may be deeply in love with him.
Now then. About that overstated "fairly clear." I'd like to walk that back to something a little closer to "reasonable surmise." Because what it really looked like to me from the dox was:
They caught the case in August and spent two or three months (apparently) talking to and maybe quietly checking out the witness statements in some way. And, in fact, it does look to me like they probably are anticipating a credibility problem of some kind in connection with a recovered-memory issue, although that's just a guess, really. Because the phrasing really is capable of more than one explanation. Still. FWIW, that's how it feels to me.
However, I'd still definitely say that whatever the problem is (if there is one) they seem to have been very confidently counting on turning up something pretty fucking difficult to rebut when they executed that warrant. Like photographic or video evidence corroborating....Hmm. On consideration, it probably wouldn't actually have to corroborate the events described by the victims in any detail. Or maybe even at all. As long as it unmistakably corroborates that they were badly sexually victimized by the suspects, it's functionally corroborative. Because video or photographic evidence along those lines would be bound to make a very vivid impression on a jury, you have to figure. Sufficiently vivid that most jurors probably just wouldn't feel like giving that much weight to any standard RA and/or recovered memory defense arguments about how the witness statements were simply too-bizarre-to-be-true stories being peddled by unbalanced opportunists with springs coming out of their heads, all circumstantial evidence of which must somehow be explained away or ignored for the good of the nation and (you know the routine). Or so I'd imagine, anyway. A little vividness tends to go a long way when it's terrifying and unforgettable, in court as in life.
So that's my conjecture, along with the reasoning behind it. Which doesn't make it any less conjectural than profpan's story was, really. Because it's still one hundred percent conjectural, for one thing. And I have no idea whether they found what I speculate they were looking for or not, for another. Also, you can't ever underrate how much of the outcome is determined by institutional stuff that has nothing to do with the case at all, per se, ultimately. Some cops, attorneys, and judges are good at what they do and some aren't, just in their baseline states, even when vicious forces don't succeed in bribing or blackmailing or otherwise fucking with them. Not that I'm predicting that, btw. I just meant that the best-laid plans of mice and men aft gang agleigh, and so forth.
Also, I'd REALLY like to hear a little more (IOW, everything) about that church.
And...Oh, right. I should probably say that if this reads as if I were being defeatist or doubtful or negative, just ignore that. I'm just practicing cautiously superstitious pessimism in order not to accidentally jinx the suffering by having expectations on their behalf. And yes, I know that's crazy, but at least it doesn't hurt anyone. In reality, based on what's in the record right now, so far they definitely appear -- at least, to me -- to be acting like they have a case they think they can win, as well as a strategy for winning it. And, um....The future lies ahead. I think it's probably safe to say.
sw wrote:sw has a hard time being impartial about child abuse or suspected child abuse.
I do too. It's a coping mechanism. Not impartiality, exactly. More like ostentatious pragmatism. Anyway. As a general rule, the more reasonable I'm sounding, the more distressed I actually am. And that's a reflex that I'm not so sure I'd retain if I really had a choice about it. It's got its pros and cons. On the other hand, at least it's got some pros, though. I think. Or at least hope.