Top Climate Scientist: Copenhagen Must Fail, Slams CapnTrade

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Postby Gouda » Mon Dec 14, 2009 12:34 pm

MacCruiskeen wrote:From Hari's article:

Dazed Chinese and Indian NGOs explain how the Himalayan ice is rapidly vanishing and will be gone by 2035 – so the great rivers of Asia that are born there will shrivel and cease. They provide water for a quarter of humanity.


well, a quarter of humanity figures into some people's giddy population reduction calculations...

...as the global rich fuckers continue to derail real, binding, radical action on climate. If only they can squeeze enough labor out of 'em before kill off.
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Postby Gouda » Mon Dec 14, 2009 2:19 pm

It's on again...

Developing countries end boycott at climate talks

COPENHAGEN – Poor countries ended a boycott of U.N. climate talks Monday after getting assurances that rich nations were not conspiring to soften their commitments to cutting greenhouse gases, European officials said.

...

Rich and poor countries "found a reasonable solution," he said.

Developing countries agreed to return to all working groups that they abandoned earlier in the day at the 192-nation conference, said Anders Frandsen, a spokesman for conference president Connie Hedegaard.

...

The move was largely seen as a ploy to shift the agenda to the responsibilities of the industrial countries and make emissions reductions the first item for discussion Tuesday.

...

"They are trying to put the pressure on" before Obama and other world leaders arrive, said Gustavo Silva-Chavez, a climate change specialist with the Environmental Defense Fund. "They want to make sure that developed countries are not left off the hook."
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Postby Jeff » Mon Dec 14, 2009 5:34 pm

Divide and rule: paving the way to an unjust deal

Oscar Reyes
Dec 14 2009

With thousands of activists gearing up to “turn Copenhagen into Seattle” at protests on 16 December, the UN climate negotiations are increasingly being driven by the type of “divide and rule” techniques that are commonplace in discussions on world trade. “It seems they are using WTO tactics,” says Angelica Navarro, Bolivia's chief climate negotiator, who also represents her country at World Trade Organisation (WTO) talks, “The WTO is very well known for its exclusive and untransparent, undemocratic processes, and that is what is happening here right now.”

As Climate Chronicle went to press, this had resulted in deadlock in both strands of the ongoing negotiations. Majority World countries blocked discussion in the Ad Hoc Working Group on Long-Term Cooperative Action (AWG-LCA) on Monday morning, while the developed countries prevented further debate about their future commitments under the Kyoto Protocol.

Inner circle

Connie Hedegaard, President of the Conference and former Danish environment minister, convened a closed door meeting of ministers from 48 countries on Sunday, with a broad remit covering emissions targets and short term climate funding for the poorest countries. It marked the return of the “Circle of Commitment” format, which caused controversy early in the talks when a draft declaration coordinated by the Danish government was leaked to the London-based Guardian newspaper.

The Danish hosts defend such moves as a technical means to speed up negotiations. But the flip side of this is the exclusion of a majority of countries from a key part of the negotiating process, including many of those most vulnerable to climate change and the economically poorest of the 194 signatories to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).

“We want to be part of the decision-making process, and we want our voices to be heard at all levels, not a solution crafted by a handful even if they are the more powerful,” said Navarro.

The informal meetings hosted by the Danish Presidency are similar to the “mini-ministerials” used by the WTO to set the agenda for global trade talks. Such meetings are typically coordinated by a grouping of rich, industrialised countries, with the participation of a regionally balanced (but unrepresentative) selection of developing nations.

No criteria for inclusion or exclusion from these meetings have been published, although an anonymous source close to the negotiations told the Climate Chronicle that the developing country participants were hand-picked for their willingness to sign up to short-term financing at the expense of longer-term climate finance and the ambitious domestic reduction targets that are central demands of a majority of developing countries.

...

http://www.tni.org/article/divide-and-r ... njust-deal
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Postby smiths » Mon Dec 14, 2009 8:51 pm

This is bigger than climate change. It is a battle to redefine humanity

This is the moment at which we turn and face ourselves. Here, in the plastic corridors and crowded stalls, among impenetrable texts and withering procedures, humankind decides what it is and what it will become. It chooses whether to continue living as it has done, until it must make a wasteland of its home, or to stop and redefine itself. This is about much more than climate change. This is about us.

The meeting at Copenhagen confronts us with our primal tragedy. We are the universal ape, equipped with the ingenuity and aggression to bring down prey much larger than itself, break into new lands, roar its defiance of natural constraints. Now we find ourselves hedged in by the consequences of our nature, living meekly on this crowded planet for fear of provoking or damaging others. We have the hearts of lions and live the lives of clerks.

The summit's premise is that the age of heroism is over. We have entered the age of accommodation. No longer may we live without restraint. No longer may we swing our fists regardless of whose nose might be in the way. In everything we do we must now be mindful of the lives of others, cautious, constrained, meticulous. We may no longer live in the moment, as if there were no tomorrow.

This is a meeting about chemicals: the greenhouse gases insulating the atmosphere. But it is also a battle between two world views. The angry men who seek to derail this agreement, and all such limits on their self-fulfilment, have understood this better than we have. A new movement, most visible in North America and Australia, but now apparent everywhere, demands to trample on the lives of others as if this were a human right. It will not be constrained by taxes, gun laws, regulations, health and safety, especially by environmental restraints. It knows that fossil fuels have granted the universal ape amplification beyond its Palaeolithic dreams. For a moment, a marvellous, frontier moment, they allowed us to live in blissful mindlessness.

The angry men know that this golden age has gone; but they cannot find the words for the constraints they hate. Clutching their copies of Atlas Shrugged, they flail around, accusing those who would impede them of communism, fascism, religiosity, misanthropy, but knowing at heart that these restrictions are driven by something far more repulsive to the unrestrained man: the decencies we owe to other human beings.

I fear this chorus of bullies, but I also sympathise. I lead a mostly peaceful life, but my dreams are haunted by giant aurochs. All those of us whose blood still races are forced to sublimate, to fantasise. In daydreams and video games we find the lives that ecological limits and other people's interests forbid us to live.

Humanity is no longer split between conservatives and liberals, reactionaries and progressives, though both sides are informed by the older politics. Today the battle lines are drawn between expanders and restrainers; those who believe that there should be no impediments and those who believe that we must live within limits. The vicious battles we have seen so far between greens and climate change deniers, road safety campaigners and speed freaks, real grassroots groups and corporate-sponsored astroturfers are just the beginning. This war will become much uglier as people kick against the limits that decency demands.

So here we are, in the land of Beowulf's heroics, lost in a fog of acronyms and euphemisms, parentheses and exemptions, the deathly diplomacy required to accommodate everyone's demands. There is no space for heroism here; all passion and power breaks against the needs of others. This is how it should be, though every neurone revolts against it.

Although the delegates are waking up to the scale of their responsibility, I still believe they will sell us out. Everyone wants his last adventure. Hardly anyone among the official parties can accept the implications of living within our means, of living with tomorrow in mind. There will, they tell themselves, always be another frontier, another means to escape our constraints, to dump our dissatisfactions on other places and other people. Hanging over everything discussed here is the theme that dare not speak its name, always present but never mentioned. Economic growth is the magic formula which allows our conflicts to remain unresolved.

While economies grow, social justice is unnecessary, as lives can be improved without redistribution. While economies grow, people need not confront their elites. While economies grow, we can keep buying our way out of trouble. But, like the bankers, we stave off trouble today only by multiplying it tomorrow. Through economic growth we are borrowing time at punitive rates of interest. It ensures that any cuts agreed at Copenhagen will eventually be outstripped. Even if we manage to prevent climate breakdown, growth means that it's only a matter of time before we hit a new constraint, which demands a new global response: oil, water, phosphate, soil. We will lurch from crisis to existential crisis unless we address the underlying cause: perpetual growth cannot be accommodated on a finite planet.

For all their earnest self-restraint, the negotiators in the plastic city are still not serious, even about climate change. There's another great unmentionable here: supply. Most of the nation states tussling at Copenhagen have two fossil fuel policies. One is to minimise demand, by encouraging us to reduce our consumption. The other is to maximise supply, by encouraging companies to extract as much from the ground as they can.

We know, from the papers published in Nature in April, that we can use a maximum of 60% of current reserves of coal, oil and gas if the average global temperature is not to rise by more than two degrees. We can burn much less if, as many poorer countries now insist, we seek to prevent the temperature from rising by more than 1.5C. We know that capture and storage will dispose of just a small fraction of the carbon in these fuels. There are two obvious conclusions: governments must decide which existing reserves of fossil fuel are to be left in the ground, and they must introduce a global moratorium on prospecting for new reserves. Neither of these proposals has even been mooted for discussion.

But somehow this first great global battle between expanders and restrainers must be won and then the battles that lie beyond it – rising consumption, corporate power, economic growth – must begin. If governments don't show some resolve on climate change, the expanders will seize on the restrainers' weakness. They will attack – using the same tactics of denial, obfuscation and appeals to self-interest – the other measures that protect people from each other, or which prevent the world's ecosystems from being destroyed. There is no end to this fight, no line these people will not cross. They too are aware that this a battle to redefine humanity, and they wish to redefine it as a species even more rapacious than it is today.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree ... e-humanity
the question is why, who, why, what, why, when, why and why again?
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Postby wintler2 » Mon Dec 14, 2009 8:53 pm

Monbiot gets points for rhetoric but i wonder does even he believe a meaningful outcome is possible? I see the same old imperialism, and the dividends of our apathy continue to be enough for most to ignore the consequent pain for others.

Free ipods for all the white folks in the house. Darkies: get back to work or back to the slum, and spare us your whining about droughts, floods and fires, the merely telegenic consequences of our entirely necessary consumption appetities. Remember, obesity is patriotic.
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Postby smiths » Wed Dec 16, 2009 3:59 am

My experience differed from many of the others arrested because I refused to sit still and join the lines of people waiting to be put on buses – I could not bring myself to co-operate with a humiliating, degrading procedure. It wasn't pleasant and I ended up with a few bumps and bruises and a punch to the face, but it was far more empowering than waiting for hours compliantly, and I felt much stronger because of this resistance.

Mass repression requires mass resistance and we have to be able to say no when dealing with large policing operations such as this. Many people understandably looked terrified, and for a large number, it was the first time they had been arrested. However, arrests on this scale required co-operation from arrestees – people were not actually physically forced to sit in lines, they could have moved. Where we were, detainees vastly outnumbered the police, and they would not have been able to handle large numbers of people being incompliant, and there certainly would not have been the resources to arrest so many people.

Spirits in the steel holding cages were high and resistance was in the air. Some broke down the doors of their cages, and the large warehouse echoed to caterwauling and chants of "No justice, no peace! Fuck the police!" The police nearly lost control of the situation, being forced to send in riot police and dogs, and it showed what could have been possible if more had resisted.

Unfortunately, we are too often the agents of our own repression. The culture of obedience and fear of reprisals is often too much for people to challenge. However, the rewards and sense of empowerment that come from refusing to co-operate far outweigh any consequences.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree ... liant-urge
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Postby Penguin » Wed Dec 16, 2009 5:03 am

Today on Cryptogon -
http://www.clickgreen.org.uk/news/inter ... cheme.html

New analysis released by climate change NGO Sandbag has revealed that the UK’s richest resident, Lakshmi Mittal, CEO and major shareholder of the steel giant ArcelorMittal, could make over £1 billion between now and 2012 from his company’s participation in the EU’s Emissions Trading Scheme.

ArcelorMittal has over 14 million emissions permits that it does not need in 2008, a figure which Sandbag estimates will rise to 80 million by 2012 making it by far the biggest beneficiary of the scheme across the EU.

Sandbag has written to CEO Laksmi Mittal urging him to commit to cancelling his company’s unneeded emissions permits in what would be the largest act of climate philanthropy on record. If cancelled the 80 million surplus permits would prevent 80 million tonnes worth of pollution going into the world’s atmosphere, equivalent to the annual emissions of Denmark, the country where critical climate change talks are just commencing. Such an act would also come close to matching the cuts required the UK’s whole carbon budget between now and 2012.

Anna Pearson, Head of Policy at Sandbag commented: “ArcelorMittal received its emissions permits for free and could choose to cancel them; we’re calling on them to trade in the windfall profits they could make, for positive action on climate change. This would set an example to not only business and industry worldwide but to our global leaders set to meet in Copenhagen in the coming fortnight.

http://greeninc.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/ ... in-europe/

Update | 12/11/09, 9:43 a.m. France has begun a criminal investigation into four men suspected of involvement in carbon-trading fraud, according to a report from Bloomberg. Two have been jailed.

Post Updated | 3:53 p.m. Europol, the European Union’s law enforcement arm against organized crime, announced on Wednesday that carbon-trading fraud has cost the bloc’s governments $7.4 billion in lost tax revenue over the last 18 months.

“We have an ongoing investigation,’’ said Soren Pedersen, Europol’s chief spokesman, in a telephone interview on Thursday from The Hague. “We’re afraid the fraud is not completely finished yet, unfortunately. But it’s positive to see that actions are being taken and we hope soon it will disappear.”

FourSix member countries have changed their tax codes to protect against a recurrence, the agency said. The fraud involved adding the European Union’s value-added tax to the price of carbon dioxide permits sold to businesses. Fraudulent brokers then disappeared before turning the tax over to the government, according to Europol.

Many polluting businesses in Europe are required to buy the permits, which are part of a cap-and-trade system to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and combat global warming. A similar system is under consideration in the United States.

----------------------------
Yeah, I had a feeling it would go like this...
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Postby smiths » Wed Dec 16, 2009 9:52 pm

a document i found pretty interesting on the brief history of emissions trading

(you get to the history on page 5)


http://www.mbs.ac.uk/research/engineeri ... ss2007.pdf
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Postby American Dream » Wed Dec 16, 2009 10:01 pm

http://www.actforclimatejustice.org/200 ... -critique/

Countering Critics of a Cap-and-Trade Critique

December 16th, 2009

By Bond, Patrick


Eight million people viewed Annie Leonard's The Story of Stuff video since December 2007, and her new nine-minute Story of Cap and Trade (http://www.zcommunications.org/zvideo/3310) received 400,000 hits in the two weeks after its December 1 launch.

The film, produced by Free Range Studios, was developed in collaboration with the Durban Group for Climate Justice and Climate Justice Now! networks, which joined Climate Justice Action and other networks to put tens of thousands of activists on the streets of Copenhagen, London and dozens of other cities in recent days, demanding large emissions cuts, the payment of ecological debt to climate victims, and the decommissioning of carbon markets.

But critics abound, so what trends can we discern from the sometimes venomous feedback to Story of Cap and Trade, and what do these tell us about US and global climate politics? Consider three categories:

libertarian climate change denialists;

Big Green groups and other carbon trading supporters; and

self-interested green capitalists.

To start, rightwing extremists are easiest to dismiss because they deny that climate change is a product of human/economic activity - but there's a schizophrenic double agenda. For although they're pro-business, libertarians like Fox tv's Glenn Beck oppose market-based cap-and-trade schemes.

The most dangerous, Oklahoma Senator Jim Inhofe, denies 'that we're going to pass a cap-and-trade or we're going to do something on emissions reduction,' as he told the rightwing NewsMax agency on Sunday.

Australian climate denialists now control the official opposition party, having overthrown its leader last month due to his cap-and-trade endorsement, in the process halting the state's proposed emissions trading scheme (http://agmates.ning.com/forum/topics/ca ... ent%3A9579).

Those of us fighting carbon markets certainly *don't* want alliances with cretins like Inhofe or intrepid videoblogger Lee Doran. After a clumsy rebuttal to The Story of Stuff, Doran offered another zany video-attack (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TWjGZNDEH-A), in which he first agrees with the demolition of cap-and-trade, but then replies to Annie's charge that rich-world overconsumption victimizes those least responsible for global warming:

Annie: 'Did you know that in the next century, because of the changing climate, whole island nations could end up underwater?'

Lee: 'Yes, and islands will emerge from the water too, it's part of the natural cycle of the planet.' (minute 6)

Enough said about flat-earth libertarian ideologues.

In the second group we find both pro-market 'green' ideologues - i.e., 'always find a market solution for a market problem!' - and well-meaning environmental advocates operating under conditions not of their own choosing within Washington's adverse balance of forces.

From at least 1997, when Al Gore shoved cap-and-trade into the Kyoto Protocol with the soon-to-be-broken promise that Washington would then endorse the climate treaty, many greens who earlier criticized market solutions concluded that the market was the only game in town, due to prevailing power relations.

But instead of trying to change those power relations, most of Washington's Big Green groups held their noses and went to work expanding carbon trading from London to the Chicago Climate Exchange, joined by like-minded academics and green policy wonks.

Along the way some turned eco-egotistical about their chosen trade. Eric de Place of Sightline Institute takes the policy critique personally: 'All these years that tens of thousands (sic) of folks like me have worked long hours at low pay (or no pay) to hash out a workable and effective climate policy and it turns out that our purported allies like Leonard would rather paint us as duplicitous bankers in pin-striped suits.'

Notwithstanding the long underpaid hours hustling cap-and-trade - wasted, if judged by the subsequent evidence of carbon market failures - de Place's injured tone is misplaced. As Annie did in fact acknowledge, 'Some of my friends who really care about our future support cap and trade. A lot of environmental groups that I respect do too. They know it's not a perfect solution and don't love the idea of turning our planet's future over to these guys, but they think that it is an important first step and that it's better than nothing.'

However, as the film demonstrates, carbon trading is not better than nothing, it's far worse than nothing. As the US's top climate scientist, James Hansen, insisted in the New York Times last week, a Senate bill or Copenhagen deal based on cap-and-trade are indeed worse than no bill, no deal: carbon trading 'actually perpetuates the pollution it is supposed to eliminate' (www.nytimes.com/2009/12/07/opinion/07hansen.html).

Ideologically, the market environmentalists risk sliding down a dangerous slope. For instance, amongst conservationists in both Southern Africa (where I live) and Seattle (where de Place lives) this question has been posed: should markets be relied upon to preserve threatened wildlife, even endangered species?

In our case, the challenge involves rhinos and elephants whose ivory tusks attract murderous poachers seeking riches in the East Asian aphrodisiac markets. Poachers have reduced the big animals' populations dramatically in recent decades. In the Pacific Northwest, instead of aphrodisiacs, macho trophy hunters seek coastal grizzly bears for their fireplace mantels.

Market-environmentalists react with a simple formula, which - to quote Robert Mugabe - reduces life to a commodity: 'They must pay to stay' (http://baraza.wildlifedirect.org/2008/0 ... in-africa/). Mugabe and his allies seduce hunters to visit Zimbabwe in order to maintain a 'sustainable' herd for the killing pleasure of rich tourists (not ordinary Zimbabweans' viewing pleasure).

De Place, too, defends the trophy industry: 'I'm not sure that hunting is bad for the species being hunted' (http://www.grist.org/article/to-save-a- ... shoot-here - and for a rebuttal by the Raincoast Conservation Foundation, see http://www.grist.org/article/raincoast- ... c-de-place ).

David Roberts of Grist (http://www.grist.org/article/2009-12-01 ... and-trade/) also suffers pro-trading panic, calling the film 'the perfect representation of all the confusion and misplaced focus that plagues the green left right now.' In contrast, he confesses, 'I'm generally viewed among greens as a defender of cap-and-trade-or, in the less charitable version, a defender of the "party line," a shill for the administration, a sell-out "insider," whatever.'

Quite. Roberts cannot defend the US and EU cap-and-trade systems' free pollution allowances and billions of tons of offsets, rebutting that we should criticize not carbon markets, simply prevailing legislation. But the dreadful Waxman-Markey and Kerry-Boxer carbon-trading bills were complemented in mid-December by Senator Joe Lieberman - 'This is the market-based system for punishing polluters previously known as "cap and trade"' - to now include offshore drilling for oil and natural gas, nuclear energy and 'clean coal' scamming.

Another new bill offered by Senators Maria Cantwell and Sue Collins last week was endorsed by de Place and his colleague Alan Durning even though it has only a 4% emissions reduction target for 2020 from 1990 levels. Go figure, the author of the great 1992 anti-consumption book How Much is Enough?, Durning, now calls this irresponsibly low target 'solid' (http://www.grist.org/article/2009-12-11 ... st-genius/).

Ideally Kerry, Lieberman et al will be punished by Washington's grid-lock, as the bills suffocate in Capitol Hill's corporate pollution - a good thing, since their death would at least preserve the existing Clean Air Act, which all the main legislators except Cantwell-Collins threaten to gut.

Roberts grows yet more defensive on matters of principle: 'I don't know why the green left has decided that markets are bad, in and of themselves, but it seems both politically unwise and substantively thin.' He *doesn't know why*? Only a year after the world's worst market failure in recorded history, with global trade and financial indicators far lower after eighteen months than a similar period in 1929-31?!

Aside from concern about the self-destructive tendency of financial markets which host carbon trading (witness the EU Emissions Trading Scheme collapses in April 2006 and October 2008), the green left offers many substantively thick arguments why business environmentalism is flawed, and why commodifying natural resources - like the air, in carbon trading - generates systemic market failures.

For example, Africa's greatest political economist, Samir Amin, has just penned a damning attack on environmental markets (http://seminario10anosdepois.wordpress. ... m/#more-37), as has University of Oregon professor John Bellamy Foster (http://sociology.uoregon.edu/faculty/foster.php): The Ecological Revolution: Making Peace with the Planet (http://www.monthlyreview.org/books/ecol ... lution.php). Either can assist Roberts to plug the gaping holes in his pro-market consciousness.

Roberts doesn't seem to understand the severe dangers associated with an anticipated $3 trillion in carbon trades by 2020, which will become the basis for further trade in financial derivatives, for he derides the film's warning about Wall Street speculation: 'Leonard et al. seem instead to have decided that "market Goldman Sachs derivatives bugga bugga!" suffices.'

But Roberts, de Place and NRDC policy director David Doniger (http://switchboard.nrdc.org/blogs/ddoni ... cap_a.html) dare not trash the film's proposed solutions, such as stronger EPA regulatory enforcement and citizen activism (e.g. West Virginia mountaintop defense). There is greater potential to push the EPA into action - in spite of misgivings by NewEnergyNews' Herman Trabish (http://newenergynews.blogspot.com/2009/ ... facts.html) - than to win legislation regulating carbon within ill-functioning, untransparent financial markets, in which 'too big to fail' deregulatory freedom was amplified by Bush-Obama's 2008-09 bailouts.

The third critical group includes green technocrats with financial self-interest. That may explain why at least one of them - Adam Stein from TerraPass - is so very cross, absurdly entitling his attack on the film, 'Why does Annie Leonard hate the environment?' (http://www.terrapass.com/blog/posts/why ... nvironment, and another is carbon consultant Gay Harley, http://carboncommentary.blogspot.com/20 ... hagen.html).

Stein claims, 'cap and trade and carbon taxes are functionally equivalent policies' - but they're not. As Hansen points out, carbon fees would easily withstand the scamming and price volatility so notorious in the carbon markets.

Ultimately, for Stein, 'one criterion clearly stands above all others: which policy actually stands a chance of passage in the US Congress?' Unmentioned, for obvious reasons (the Congress being a wholly-owned subsidiary of big business) is that a carbon trading policy only enjoys the 'strong support' of a meager 2% of the US voting population, who 'favor a carbon tax over cap-and-trade by nearly two-to-one,' according to a Hart Research survey (http://www.sustainablebusiness.com/inde ... y/id/19351).

But given Washington's adverse power relations, a genuine climate policy must avoid the corporate-ruled Congress for now, and instead focus on command/control by the EPA. (To be sure, a stronger EPA would also rule many of TerraPass's own projects - especially those methane-electricity landfill conversions that undermine zero-waste strategies - as unworthy of green investment.)

Of all the film's supposed errors, says Stein, 'my favorite for sheer chutzpah, if not for actual importance, is when Leonard dings Kyoto because "energy costs jumped for consumers."'

But Stein may want to look at what European consumers now see: no net emissions reductions on the one hand, and on the other, massive criminality in the EU's carbon trading scheme (Europol estimates five billion euros have been stolen in tax fraud, as just one example), alongside regressive energy price increases (the poorest suffer a much higher burden of expenses than the wealthy, and are least able to make the transition to the post-carbon economy).

So when the film refers to higher EU energy costs, this is not chutzpah, it's critical realism. No one more than Annie is committed to raising consumption costs appropriately so as to deter waste; Story of Stuff's viewers learned of unaccounted-for eco-social externalities that should be internalized in her $4.99 radio, for instance.

Actually, the most telling contribution to the critiques of our cap-and-trade critique comes from an unlikely source: Charles Krauthammer (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/co ... 03163.html). The despicable neocon columnist fused all three hostile narratives when he wrote, last Friday, against the EPA: 'Congress should not just resist this executive overreaching, but trump it: Amend clean-air laws and restore their original intent by excluding CO2 from EPA control and reserving that power for Congress and future legislation. Do it now. Do it soon. Because Big Brother isn't lurking in CIA cloak. He's knocking on your door, smiling under an EPA cap.'

Sorry, the big brother who so frightens Krauthammer is far bigger than a beleaguered Washington environmental agency and far more dangerous to corporate profits than pro-market 'green' critics of The Story of Cap and Trade actually comprehend: simply, a new global movement known as Climate Justice.


(Patrick Bond, a content advisor to The Story of Cap and Trade, has written widely on the climate crisis: http://www.ukzn.ac.za/ccs/default.asp?2,68,3,1887.)

From: Z Space - The Spirit Of Resistance Lives
URL: http://www.zmag.org/zspace/commentaries/4078
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Postby tazmic » Thu Dec 17, 2009 7:25 am

Chavez - it's all capitalism's fault.

(For reference, it's not a great speech):

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BDROoz_iONA

Monbiot's (ab)use of the word we reduces his piece to enjoyable rhetoric for me.

@wintler2, what do you think would be an optimum political trajectory for maximising the eventual 'meaningful outcome' potential of these meetings of the elites?

Does anyone have any hope over Copenhagen at all? And might it rest on something, or is it just hope?
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Postby tazmic » Thu Dec 17, 2009 10:16 am

Monckton breaks down Copenhagen

"In this installment, Lord Monckton explains how the current meeting in Copenhagen is a type of street theater designed to obscure the fact that the important decisions have already been made behind the scenes."
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Postby American Dream » Thu Dec 17, 2009 11:35 am

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Postby wintler2 » Fri Dec 18, 2009 6:00 am

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Postby American Dream » Fri Dec 18, 2009 11:13 am

New Copenhagen Draft Proposals Offer Subsidy for Forest Destruction and Land Grabs

Press release by Global Forest Coalition, Biofuelwatch, Gaia Foundation, Grupo de Reflexion Rural, Focus on the Global South, Noah (Friends of the Earth Denmark), Robin Wood, Campaign against Climate Change, Campaign against Climate Change Trade Union Group, Corporate, Ecologistas en Accion, Corporate European Observatory, Econexus, ETC Group.



17th December- New draft proposals made yesterday at the Copenhagen conference will lead to large scale destruction of ecosystems and unprecedented land grabs as spurious 'offsets' allow Northern countries to burn ever more fossil fuels, say civil society groups.

Proposals are expected to lead to large-scale carbon credits under the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) for tree and crop monocultures, including for biochar production, 'no-till' GM soya , and tree and shrub monocultures falsely classed as 'carbon sinks'. Details are to be worked out by a technical UNFCCC meeting next year.

Stella Semino from Grupo de Reflexion Rural, Argentina states: "If the new proposals are agreed on this week we will see a massive new boost for crop and tree plantations alike which, in the name of 'climate change mitigation' will speed up the destruction of forests and other vital ecosystems, the spread of industrial agriculture, and land-grabbing against small-farmers, indigenous peoples and forest communities. Industrial monocultures are already a major cause of climate change and their expansion will further destabilise the climate."

Under the current terms of the Kyoto Protocol, no CDM offsets are allowed for existing forests or soil carbon, although a very limited number of CDM credits can go towards industrial tree plantations. Current proposals for large-scale offsetting for 'carbon sinks' closely resemble those contained in the domestic US climate bill and also ones previously put forward by the US before their withdrawal from the Kyoto Protocol in 2001. At the time, the EU had refused large-scale 'offsetting' of greenhouse gas emissions with presumed 'carbon sinks', warning that this would render a climate change agreement completely ineffective.

Anne Maina of the African Biodiversity Network states: "The right kind of agriculture, such as organic and biodiversity-based farming, has the potential to store carbon in soils and increase resilience to climate change.

But realistically, small-scale organic farmers in Africa are not going to be the ones participating and benefiting in CDM or these large-scale UNFCCC market systems. They will be locked out of the process, and their livelihoods threatened by GM crops and biochar land grabbing, if this process goes ahead. The proposed language will lead to a destruction of the very same solutions we need to support."

Camila Moreno from Global Forest Coalition adds: "In Brazil we're seeing an obscene agribusiness lobby presenting themselves as the solution as they destroy Brazil's unique rainforest and savannah habitats and contribute massively to climate change. Yet they continue to ply their trade in the highest political circles with impunity. The new draft inclusions for the CDM will further mandate this ransacking of the global South."

Notes:
(1) The proposals can be found at http://unfccc.int/resource/doc...

(2) Biochar is fine-grained charcoal applied to soils. It is being promoted widely as a means of sequestering carbon even though there are major scientific uncertainties over the amount of carbon in charcoal which will remain in soils for different periods, over possible losses of existing soil carbon as a result of charcoal additions and over the potential of charcoal dust to worsen global warming in the same way as a black soot from fossil fuel and biomass burning does.

(3) Monsanto has promoted the inclusion of no-till agriculture into the CDM since the late 1990s and they have just been awarded the Angry Mermaid Award for their lobbying (www.angrymermaid.org/). Industrial no-till agriculture involves large-scale agro-chemical spraying to destroy weeds rather than ploughing the soil and herbicide-resistant GM crops are most commonly used with no-till, particularly in North and South America. The impacts on soil carbon are scientifically debated and uncertain, there is evidence that this method can lead to more emissions of the very powerful greenhouse gas nitrous oxide, and the introduction of no-till GM soya in Argentina has been shown to have accelerated the destruction of the Chaco forest.

(4) It is proposed that the 2010 SBSTA meeting of UNFCCC will recommend new CDM methodologies for example for tree plantations, 'forest management', a term widely used for industrial logging, and soil carbon management
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Postby American Dream » Fri Dec 18, 2009 6:05 pm

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Better to have no deal at Copenhagen than one that spells catastrophe
The only offer on the table in Copenhagen would condemn the developing world to poverty and suffering in perpetuity


Naomi Klein
guardian.co.uk, Thursday 17 December 2009
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On the ninth day of the Copenhagen climate summit, Africa was sacrificed. The position of the G77 negotiating bloc, including African states, had been clear: a 2C increase in average global temperatures translates into a 3–3.5C increase in Africa. That means, according to the Pan African Climate Justice Alliance, "an additional 55 million people could be at risk from hunger", and "water stress could affect between 350 and 600 million more people".

Archbishop Desmond Tutu puts it like this: "We are facing impending disaster on a monstrous scale … A global goal of about 2C is to condemn Africa to incineration and no modern development."

And yet that is precisely what Ethiopia's prime minister, Meles Zenawi, proposed to do when he stopped off in Paris on his way to Copenhagen: standing with President Nicolas Sarkozy, and claiming to speak on behalf of all of Africa (he is the head of the African climate-negotiating group), he unveiled a plan that includes the dreaded 2C increase and offers developing countries just $10bn a year to help pay for everything climate related, from sea walls to malaria treatment to fighting deforestation.

It's hard to believe this is the same man who only three months ago was saying this: "We will use our numbers to delegitimise any agreement that is not consistent with our minimal position … If need be, we are prepared to walk out of any negotiations that threaten to be another rape of our continent … What we are not prepared to live with is global warming above the minimum avoidable level."And this: "We will participate in the upcoming negotiations not as supplicants pleading for our case but as negotiators defending our views and interests."

We don't yet know what Zenawi got in exchange for so radically changing his tune or how, exactly, you go from a position calling for $400bn a year in financing (the Africa group's position) to a mere $10bn. Similarly, we do not know what happened when secretary of state Hillary Clinton met Philippine president Gloria Arroyo just weeks before the summit and all of a sudden the toughest Filipino negotiators were kicked off their delegation and the country, which had been demanding deep cuts from the rich world, suddenly fell in line.

We do know, from witnessing a series of these jarring about-faces, that the G8 powers are willing to do just about anything to get a deal in Copenhagen. The urgency does not flow from a burning desire to avert cataclysmic climate change, since the negotiators know full well that the paltry emissions cuts they are proposing are a guarantee that temperatures will rise a "Dantesque" 3.9C, as Bill McKibben puts it.

Matthew Stilwell of the Institute for Governance and Sustainable Development – one of the most influential advisers in these talks – says the negotiations are not really about averting climate change but are a pitched battle over a profoundly valuable resource: the right to the sky. There is a limited amount of carbon that can be emitted into the atmosphere. If the rich countries fail to radically cut their emissions, then they are actively gobbling up the already insufficient share available to the south. What is at stake, Stilwell argues, is nothing less than "the importance of sharing the sky".

Europe, he says, fully understands how much money will be made from carbon trading, since it has been using the mechanism for years. Developing countries, on the other hand, have never dealt with carbon restrictions, so many governments don't really grasp what they are losing. Contrasting the value of the carbon market – $1.2 trillion a year, according to leading British economist Nicholas Stern – with the paltry $10bn on the table for developing countries for the next three years, Stilwell says that rich countries are trying to exchange "beads and blankets for Manhattan". He adds: "This is a colonial moment. That's why no stone has been left unturned in getting heads of state here to sign off on this kind of deal … Then there's no going back. You've carved up the last remaining unowned resource and allocated it to the wealthy."

For months now NGOs have got behind a message that the goal of Copenhagen is to "seal the deal". Everywhere we look in the Bella Centre, clocks are ticking. But any old deal isn't good enough, especially because the only deal on offer won't solve the climate crisis and might make things much worse, taking current inequalities between north and south and locking them in indefinitely.

Augustine Njamnshi of the Pan African Climate Justice Alliance puts the 2C proposal in harsh terms: "You cannot say you are proposing a 'solution' to climate change if your solution will see millions of Africans die and if the poor not the polluters keep paying for climate change."

Stilwell says that the wrong kind of deal would "lock in the wrong approach all the way to 2020" – well past the deadline for peak emissions. But he insists that it's not too late to avert this worst-case scenario. "I'd rather wait six months or a year and get it right because the science is growing, the political will is growing, the understanding of civil society and affected communities is growing, and they'll be ready to hold their leaders to account to the right kind of a deal."

At the start of these negotiations the mere notion of delay was environmental heresy. But now many are seeing the value of slowing down and getting it right. Most significant, after describing what 2C would mean for Africa, Archbishop Tutu pronounced that it is "better to have no deal than to have a bad deal". That may well be the best we can hope for in Copenhagen. It would be a political disaster for some heads of state – but it could be one last chance to avert the real disaster for everyone else.
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