The Wikileaks Question

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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby JackRiddler » Sun Dec 12, 2010 2:39 am

.

8bit, agreed on History Commons. The difference is they didn't orchestrate (or have orchestrated for them) a PR strategy as clever as that of Wikileaks. They've worked with declassified and FOIA material, rather than stolen stuff. I want to see convergence and multiplication of such efforts, rather than seeing them in competition.

(ON EDIT: Also agreed with barracuda's answer. Though HC is not merely an annotated history book. They do get their hands on important stuff, but only as willingly released by the state.)

.

Just bumped the older thread on "Top Secret America," the Wash Post expose and partial geography of the spook caste back in August (the slow news month!).

viewtopic.php?f=8&t=28897

Estimate of 865,000 people with a Top Secret clearance, above those you need for the State Department cables. Not only on the level above, but a level surely covert but omnipresent in the cables. Remember, half of all embassy personnel worldwide are intel, posing as State Department or representatives of the Department of Whatever. How many of the cables authors are intel? The State Department has been colonized by the CIA since the beginning. No doubt which side of the symbiote has the power, when one can operate in secret and the other plays at being a civilian bureaucracy.

I liked this post from that thread, from MinM quoting Douglas Valentine, for the taste it gives:

http://rigorousintuition.ca/board2/view ... 03#p310603

The parallel universe
By Douglas Valentine
Online Journal Guest Writer

As a result of Dana Priest’s three-part article, Top-Secret America, published in the Washington Post, pundits have been falling all over themselves in their rush to describe the size and implications of the elephant in the living room. Forget that none of these pundits has seen fit to write about the elephant before. More important is the fact that the elephant has dimensions Dana Priest never even touched upon.

Let me tell you a story.

In 1985, I was contacted by Larry, a CIA officer who had had a breakdown and wanted to talk to me. He had served as a deep cover agent overseas for over 15 years at that point. He had been recruited from the Marines in Vietnam, and given a fake life in which his father had been an Australian soldier in World War II, and his mother a Filipino who died in childbirth. The Australian soldier had abandoned the mother before she gave birth. The father had later died in World War II, and Larry, having been brought up in an orphanage, was adopted as an infant by a couple in the United States.

In the legend created by the CIA, Larry’s foster parents told him about his real parents while he was a Marine in Vietnam. Larry took advantage of his proximity to the Philippines to travel there and claim his right to Filipino citizenship. In this way the CIA established an agent in the Philippines, with impeccable credentials. Larry eventually was even elected to public office.

To make a long story short, after Larry’s breakdown, the CIA got him a job as a manager of a Playboy club in Detroit. Later they transferred him to Washington, DC, as manager of the Four Ways restaurant. When I met him there, his Filipino wife and entourage were staffing the facility, along with his CIA hand-holder, who handled finances.

This was the fanciest place I had never been in my life. It was a place where State Department officials, foreign dignitaries and business tycoons enjoyed the finest wines and the most haute cuisine.


And all under the watchful eye...

Each lavishly appointed room had its own dining table and waiter. As I sat in a leather booth in the wood-paneled basement bar with Larry, he explained that each room was bugged by the CIA.

As we were talking, a group of well-dressed younger people in the company of one older man took occupied the booth next to us. The rest of the basement bar was empty. They ordered drinks, but remained silent and alert as Larry explained the ins and outs of his CIA experience to me. At one point, he nodded to the older man at the other table; then he informed me that the young people were junior officer trainees from Langley, who were also listening to his lecture.

Again, to make a very long story short, Larry explained that the CIA manages a parallel society to American society, where deep cover agents like him, as well as retired CIA officers and their agents, are provided with comfortable employment in their retirement years, or when they otherwise need recompense for their service. Many of these agents have no resume that is suitable in the modern professional world. So there is this parallel universe that they are folded into, as managers of the local Ford dealership, or Chinese restaurant, or hotel, or in hundreds and thousands of other jobs.

Think of it as a sort a witness protection program. Since 1985 it has grown substantially. It is, of course, another facet of Top-Secret America, but the ex-spooks in this dimension are not your average every day wingnut ideologue informant or strong-arm man. They know how to burn down buildings, which is what the CIA does.

As John Lennon said, “Imagine.”


Doug Valentine is the author of “The Phoenix Program” and his latest book is “The Strength of the Pack: The Personalities, Politics and Espionage Intrigues That Shaped The DEA.” Please visit his website at http://www.members.authorsguild.net/valentine/bio.htm.

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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby thatsmystory » Sun Dec 12, 2010 3:17 am

8bitagent wrote:Folks, is it me or is History Commons.org way more "ballsier" and on the vanguard of revelations than wikileaks?

IF ONLY the media made a big hoopla about History Commons. To me this is probably the biggest smoking gun of 9/11:
http://www.historycommons.org/news.jsp? ... 393703-423

Has that foppish assange or wikileaks release one single mention on 9/11 related matters? I think the closest was some bit on Saudi individuals being Sunni terrorists biggest financiers


Wikileaks is exposing the authoritarian worldview of the political/media establishment. The 9/11 cover up is a good theoretical example of what Wikileaks is concerned with:

1) Excessive government secrecy.

2) Fawning mainstream media coverage.

3) Authoritarian accusations against anyone who dares to challenge the low standard of political/media establishment conduct.

4) Authoritarian apologists who gleefully accept the low standard of conduct and rail against anyone who dares to question authority.
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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby justdrew » Sun Dec 12, 2010 3:33 am

Image

from the WaPo TopSecretAmerica map...

Image
Image
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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby AlicetheKurious » Sun Dec 12, 2010 6:04 am

JackRiddler wrote:Remember, half of all embassy personnel worldwide are intel, posing as State Department or representatives of the Department of Whatever. How many of the cables authors are intel? The State Department has been colonized by the CIA since the beginning. No doubt which side of the symbiote has the power, when one can operate in secret and the other plays at being a civilian bureaucracy.


Yeah, but there's another gorilla in the room, an even bigger one yet it's completely invisible to your eyes. The State Department and the Departments of Whatever have for decades been systematically 'colonized' by agents whose allegiance is to Israel. This is not irrelevant, no matter how hard some people here pretend that it is.

Links in original:

WikiLeaks: Advancing an Israeli Agenda?

by Maidhc Ó Cathail / December 11th, 2010

Like 9/11, WikiLeaks has been singularly good for Israel.


Asked on the night of September 11, 2001 what the terrorist attacks meant for U.S.-Israel relations, Benjamin Netanyahu, the then former prime minister, tactlessly but accurately replied, “It’s very good.” And on the day after WikiLeaks’ publication of U.S. diplomatic cables, Netanyahu “strode” into a press conference at the Israeli Journalists Association, looking “undoubtedly delighted” with the group’s latest embarrassment of U.S. President Barack Obama.

“Thanks to WikiLeaks,” Aluf Benn wrote in Haaretz, “there is now no fear Washington will exert heavy pressure on Israel to freeze settlement construction or to accelerate negotiations on a withdrawal from the territories.” Instead, also courtesy of WikiLeaks, the world’s attention had been shifted exactly where a “vindicated” Netanyahu wanted it – toward Iran’s non-existent nuclear weapons programme.

“Our region has been hostage to a narrative that is the result of 60 years of propaganda, which paints Israel as the greatest threat,” Netanyahu told the assembled journalists. “In reality leaders understand that that view is bankrupt. For the first time in history there is agreement that Iran is the threat.” While there is considerable dispute about the extent to which Arab leaders share Netanyahu’s understanding of “the Iranian threat,” the Arab public overwhelmingly considers Israel to be a far greater threat.

Nevertheless, according to Haaretz columnist Ari Shavit, Julian Assange “has shattered the accepted dogma on the understanding in the Middle East in the 21st century.” WikiLeaks, crowed Shavit, “proved” that the Israeli occupation and colonisation of Palestine was not the main cause of instability in the Middle East. Instead, the secret cables “revealed” that “the entire Arab world” is concerned about “one problem only — Iran, Iran, Iran.” Thus, Shavit concluded, the only way to bring peace to the region was to deal with “Iran first.”

Strangely, the WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange seems to accept the Israeli vision of “war is peace” in the Middle East. In an interview with Time magazine, Assange singled out Netanyahu as an example of a world leader who believed the publication of Arab leaders’ provocative privately expressed comments “will lead to some kind of increase in the peace process in the Middle East and particularly in relation to Iran.”

Even more puzzling, Assange had an op-ed piece in Rupert Murdoch’s The Australian, in which he quoted something the media mogul had written in 1958: “In the race between secrecy and truth, it seems inevitable that truth will always win.” In choosing another pro-Israel apologist as a model of transparency, is it possible that Assange is ignorant of the key role played by Murdoch’s media empire in propagating the lies that led the New York Times to dub the war in Iraq “Mr. Murdoch’s War”?


Assange seems equally oblivious to the significant contribution made by the New York Times itself to the war whose conduct he now claims to oppose. On September 8, 2002, the paper of record led with a front-page story by Judith Miller and Michael Gordon, which falsely claimed that Saddam Hussein was seeking to buy aluminium tubes as part of its “worldwide hunt for materials to make an atomic bomb.” As Michael Massing later wrote, “In the following months, the tubes would become a key prop in the administration’s case for war, and the Times played a critical part in legitimizing it.” Chosen by Assange to publish its leaked documents because it is one of “the best newspapers in the world for investigative research,” the pro-Israel Times is now busily spinning the leaks to push America into an equally unnecessary but even more disastrous war with Iran.

Given that the WikiLeaks revelations have been such an unexpected “diplomatic coup” for Israel, its American lobby appears to be strangely divided over the issue. On one side, there are those like David Frum, Jeffrey Goldberg, and Michael Ledeen who delight in being able henceforth to cloak their incessant Iran warmongering behind a specious Arab cover. “Those who suggest that it’s some ‘Israel lobby’ or Jewish cabal that is driving the confrontation with Iran” should be embarrassed by the leaks, writes Frum. “WikiLeaks confirms that the region’s Arab governments express even more anxiety than Israel about the Iranian nuclear weapons program.”

Meanwhile, the most virulent attacks on WikiLeaks have come from some of Israel’s staunchest supporters. William Kristol, editor of Rupert Murdoch’s Weekly Standard, wants Congress to enable Obama to “Whack WikiLeaks.” Dianne Feinstein, chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, and Joe Lieberman, chairman of the Senate Homeland Security Committee, appear only too willing to oblige. Both senators have called for the prosecution of Assange under the 1917 Espionage Act. Feinstein is also working with Senator Charles Schumer on media legislation that would allow the prosecution of organizations like WikiLeaks.

How do we reconcile the Israel lobby’s apparently schizophrenic reaction to WikiLeaks? Could it be that Julian Assange has killed two birds for Israel with one document dump?

Thanks to WikiLeaks, the well-publicised remarks of a few Arab leaders provide much-needed cover for pro-Israelis as they relentlessly press America to whack Iran. At the same time, the disclosure of U.S. diplomatic secrets has given the likes of Joe Lieberman another excuse to “kill the internet” — to prevent Americans from ever finding out how they got into such a mess in the Middle East.

But just like 9/11, no matter how much WikiLeaks has benefited Israel, most observers still seem loath to consider the Tel Aviv connection. Link
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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby 8bitagent » Sun Dec 12, 2010 6:09 am

@Alice: Actually it seems Netanyahu continues to gloat about how wonderful and beneficial 9/11 was(as well as Iraq's invasion and toppling) to Israel:
http://www.haaretz.com/news/report-neta ... l-1.244044 (from 2008)

I'm surprised more people aren't curious why Assange and wikileaks nary a peep about the crimes, coverups and bad deeds of Israel. Surely, just the 2006 unjustified blitz of Southern Lebanon, the 2009 blitz of Gaza Strip, and all the secret dialogue with the neocons under Bush about provoking a war with Iran would have tons of documents to explore.
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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby Ben D » Sun Dec 12, 2010 6:40 am

8bitagent wrote:I'm surprised more people aren't curious why Assange and wikileaks nary a peep about the crimes, coverups and bad deeds of Israel. Surely, just the 2006 unjustified blitz of Southern Lebanon, the 2009 blitz of Gaza Strip, and all the secret dialogue with the neocons under Bush about provoking a war with Iran would have tons of documents to explore.


Yes, I'm also waiting for some leaked material along those lines, but until now the Wikileaks supporters will probably point out that only a fraction of the leaked documents have been released and even of these, not all has yet been published.
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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby AhabsOtherLeg » Sun Dec 12, 2010 7:05 am

Montag wrote:Did you see what Pravda posted on the magnetic vortex? Perhaps that's the sort thing that the PTB fears that is waiting in the insurance file.


Nothing in the Pravda article is true, Montag, except that 27 countries have ships somewhere around Somalia. Another Pravda journalist admits in the comments that it is not supposed to be taken as fact - "What you people do not understand is that a newspaper can have a mix of factual reporting and also pieces like this, which provides a different read." It's in the Opinion section of the paper, and the story is sourced almost entirely from Sorcha Faal's website... It's just not true.

I'm sure you know that, though. Are you just making the point that believing stories from the NYT or WaPo or Guardian is the same as believing a propaganda rag like Pravda? If so, I agree.
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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby AhabsOtherLeg » Sun Dec 12, 2010 7:26 am

Ben D wrote:
8bitagent wrote:I'm surprised more people aren't curious why Assange and wikileaks nary a peep about the crimes, coverups and bad deeds of Israel. Surely, just the 2006 unjustified blitz of Southern Lebanon, the 2009 blitz of Gaza Strip, and all the secret dialogue with the neocons under Bush about provoking a war with Iran would have tons of documents to explore.


Yes, I'm also waiting for some leaked material along those lines, but until now the Wikileaks supporters will probably point out that only a fraction of the leaked documents have been released and even of these, not all has yet been published.


According to Wikileaks, the documents they have in the current batch of releases only go up to Secret clearance. Most of the worst, most sensitive material (especially when it comes to Israel) would be Top Secret or above. Seeing the fate of Bradley Manning (and Assange, to an extent), potential whistleblowers on that level might decide to stick with the well-paid job and the approval of their peers rather than risk leaking anything. I can see how that could make Wikileaks a psy-op - the current story is a great way to dissuade people on the inside from doing the right thing.

It's also possible, with Israel in particular, that a lot of things are not put in writing, or at least don't get routed through standard diplomatic channels. I'd be surprised if they were.

We just don't know what's still to come out, or what will happen next (or what's in the insurance file).
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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby barracuda » Sun Dec 12, 2010 11:52 am

AlicetheKurious wrote:Israel

8bitagent wrote:Israel

BenD wrote:Israel


Some things never get old.

8bitagent wrote:2006 unjustified blitz of Southern Lebanon


Apparently you haven't read the cable about Murr. Too bad, it's pretty juicy, but it might not satisfy your particular narrative desires. Reality seldom will.
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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby JackRiddler » Sun Dec 12, 2010 1:20 pm

8bitagent wrote:I'm surprised more people aren't curious why Assange and wikileaks nary a peep about the crimes, coverups and bad deeds of Israel. Surely, just the 2006 unjustified blitz of Southern Lebanon, the 2009 blitz of Gaza Strip, and all the secret dialogue with the neocons under Bush about provoking a war with Iran would have tons of documents to explore.


For an empirical test, why don't you just get your own hands on some of those tons of documents, forward them to Wikileaks, and if they don't publish, you can still publish them yourself and have the side bonus of exposing Assange for covering it all up. Surely it's a self-service system where anyone could do that, so why aren't you doing it? I don't know about you. You're making my Spidey Sense tingle.

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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby Montag » Sun Dec 12, 2010 2:41 pm

8bitagent wrote:@Alice: Actually it seems Netanyahu continues to gloat about how wonderful and beneficial 9/11 was(as well as Iraq's invasion and toppling) to Israel:
http://www.haaretz.com/news/report-neta ... l-1.244044 (from 2008)

I'm surprised more people aren't curious why Assange and wikileaks nary a peep about the crimes, coverups and bad deeds of Israel. Surely, just the 2006 unjustified blitz of Southern Lebanon, the 2009 blitz of Gaza Strip, and all the secret dialogue with the neocons under Bush about provoking a war with Iran would have tons of documents to explore.


8bit that's all gossip and crumbs... We need hard evidence from reputable "truthseeking" papers like the New York Times in this forum!

p.s. Not to mention Jules's favorites, long known intelligence bastions like the Guardian and Der Spiegel.
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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby Montag » Sun Dec 12, 2010 2:46 pm

AhabsOtherLeg wrote:
Nothing in the Pravda article is true, Montag, except that 27 countries have ships somewhere around Somalia. Another Pravda journalist admits in the comments that it is not supposed to be taken as fact - "What you people do not understand is that a newspaper can have a mix of factual reporting and also pieces like this, which provides a different read." It's in the Opinion section of the paper, and the story is sourced almost entirely from Sorcha Faal's website... It's just not true.

I'm sure you know that, though. Are you just making the point that believing stories from the NYT or WaPo or Guardian is the same as believing a propaganda rag like Pravda? If so, I agree.


If you don't know that the New York Times is in lockstep with the U.S. State Department, I then I don't know what to tell you. As for papers outside of the West I don't know what their journalistic standards are. I think Al Jazeera is about the most credible of all of them. Putting that aside the non-Western media IMO is a lot more realistic about how the world works. I've gotten the sense that a lot of people haven't ventured outside of the Western media on RI. It is major mistake to not do that IMO. You will certainly see speculative stuff and even lunatic things too, but you get exposed to a lot of perspectives that aren't present at all in the Western media.
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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby nathan28 » Sun Dec 12, 2010 2:52 pm

Ben D wrote:
8bitagent wrote:I'm surprised more people aren't curious why Assange and wikileaks nary a peep about the crimes, coverups and bad deeds of Israel. Surely, just the 2006 unjustified blitz of Southern Lebanon, the 2009 blitz of Gaza Strip, and all the secret dialogue with the neocons under Bush about provoking a war with Iran would have tons of documents to explore.


Yes, I'm also waiting for some leaked material along those lines, but until now the Wikileaks supporters will probably point out that only a fraction of the leaked documents have been released and even of these, not all has yet been published.



Is this laziness, "confirmation bias" or simple dishonesty?

To be clear, I cannot find the cable barracuda mentions on Wikileaks but it does have some mention in the press, apparently having been leaked to Now in Lebanon.

Prior to the latest WikiLeaks "dump", the Washington Post had at least two unnamed officials who said that Israel tends to avoid using the State Dep't to call up Papa Bear.

Israeli officials have long preferred to bypass the State Department and peace envoys, and deal directly with a senior official in the White House. Former officials from Bill Clinton's and George W. Bush's administrations said the Israelis think that the White House ultimately makes foreign policy and are convinced that the State Department is too pro-Arab.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/10/05/AR2010100506225.html

Although to be honest I will lulz myself when I see the 2006 cable titled "BREATHLESS, CRYING TEL AVIV CALL ASKS HOW HEZBOLLAH DESTROYED A MERKAVA, KILLS FIVE IDF WITHIN TEN SECONDS OF INVASION. 'IS GOD DEAD?'" Its release will probably be followed by a GlennBeckitorial about how "bunkers" represent a dangerous new threat to America.

This, of course, leads me back to that initial question. Since you all wondered why there was no cable about Israel's misdeeds, here's one... Are you even reading the cables?


http://213.251.145.96/cable/2009/05/09TELAVIV1098.html

16. (SBU) It is not entirely clear to what extent OC elements have
penetrated the Israeli establishment and corrupted public officials.
The INP insists that such instances are rare, despite the
occasional revelation of crooked police officers in the press.
Nevertheless, there have been several dramatic revelations in recent
years that indicate a growing problem. In 2004, former government
minister Gonen Segev was arrested for trying to smuggle thousands of
ecstasy pills into Israel,
a case that produced considerable
circumstantial evidence of his involvement in OC. The election of
Inbal Gavrieli to the Knesset in 2003 as a member of Likud raised
concerns about OC influence in the party's Central Committee.
Gavrieli is the daughter of a suspected crime boss, and she
attempted to use her parliamentary immunity to block investigations
into her father's business.
(Gavrieli is no longer a member of the
Knesset.) Just last month, Israeli politicos and OC figures came
together for the funeral of Likud party activist Shlomi Oz
, who
served time in prison in the 1990s for extortion on behalf of the
Alperon family. Among those in attendance was Omri Sharon, son of
former Prime Minister Ariel Sharon
, who was himself convicted in
2006 on illegal fundraising charges unrelated to OC.



I'm pretty sure that "not entirely clear" means "uh, boss, there's this problem". This memo unequivocally indicates that organized crime routinely penetrates into the highest levels of Israeli gov't to such extent that it even makes efforts to influence policy and protect its assets. Of course, it's not that big of a deal if some loan sharks and contract skimmers are doing this, but it's worse humans than that:

¶9. (SBU) Israeli OC now plays a significant role in the global drug
trade
, providing both a local consumer market and an important
transit point to Europe and the United States...

¶10. (SBU) The prostitution business has also grown beyond the
neighborhood brothel. In March 2009, the INP arrested twelve
suspects in what is believed to be the largest Israeli-led human
trafficking network unearthed to date. Ring leader Rami Saban and
his associates were charged with smuggling thousands of women...



As those of you with memories longer than a goldfish swimming in a bowl of whiskey will have, you may recall that certain comments have been made about the connection between drugs and terror from everyone to Sibel Edmonds to Michael Chertoff.


Press Release SOC/CP/311
UN WARNS ABOUT NEXUS BETWEEN DRUGS, CRIME AND TERRORISM
(Reissued as received.)

VIENNA, 1 October (UN Information Service) -- Antonio Maria Costa, Executive Director of the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC), will address an international audience in Rome on Friday, 1 October, outlining the links between illicit drugs, organized crime, and international terrorism.

“Drug trafficking has always meant untold suffering and death for addicts. Today, drug trafficking is also the source of a different and very urgent problem: the financing of terrorism. The revenue generated by organized crime offers terrorist groups a steady flow of funding, making the effort to eliminate drug trafficking and to reduce drug abuse critical strategies in the global fight against terrorism.”


http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2004/soccp311.doc.htm

"Frankly, we can't differentiate between terrorism and organized crime and drug dealing," Assistant Attorney General Michael Chertoff told the banking committee.


http://premium.edition.cnn.com/2001/US/09/26/inv.drug.money/index.html


Also, this juicy tidbit:

¶12. (SBU) Following Alperon's assassination, the INP initiated a
series of raids that led to the arrests of a number of leading crime
figures. Among their targets were Aviv and Adam Abutbul, sons of
crime-family head Charlie Abutbul, both charged with possession of
illegal weapons. (A third brother, Francois, is already facing
murder charges for a nightclub killing in 2004.) Police also
arrested gangland figure Amir Mulner for weapons possession and
conspiracy to commit a crime. Mulner is known to be an explosives
expert
by army training, and is a suspect in Yaakov Alperon's
murder. He is also believed to be managing affairs for Rosenstein
while the latter serves his sentence in the United States...


A rogue "explosives expert"? This is an instance where your paranoid pattern-seeking brain may be helpful.
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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby Montag » Sun Dec 12, 2010 3:06 pm

Ahab,
I think I heard of Pravda from Paul Craig Roberts (economist, Assistant security of the treasury Reagan administration, regular contributor to Antiwar.com, Counterpunch, Information Clearing House and many others).

Here's an article he wrote on the U.S. media, where he recommends Russia Today (I consider Russia Today, Ria Novosti, Pravda to be all very similar):
http://www.vdare.com/roberts/090107_informed.htm

I thought I had once read an article by him where he recommended that people read Pravda, but I can't seem to locate that. Here's a piece though -- that I did find -- where he cites an article from Pravda: http://www.chroniclesmagazine.org/2009/ ... interests/
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Re: The Wikileaks Question

Postby barracuda » Sun Dec 12, 2010 3:10 pm

nathan28 wrote:To be clear, I cannot find the cable barracuda mentions on Wikileaks but it does have some mention in the press, apparently having been leaked to Now in Lebanon.


It was actually published by Al Akhbar around December 1st, though good luck getting through to the site, as it has been under rather constant attacks since it began publishing the cables.

Here is a google search for the Murr cable which has caused a great deal of conversations in Lebanon and elsewhere. Take your pick of the various sources available. Apparently none of these sources have been available to 8bitagent, unfortunately.

Here are the juicy parts which detail Lebanon's Minister of Defense attempting to sell out Hezbollah to the Israelis:

S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 04 BEIRUT
NSC FOR ABRAMS/SINGH/YERGER
2. (S) Charge, Defense Attache and ODC Chief met with Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Defense Elias Murr on March 10 at his home in Rabieh. The atmosphere of the meeting was cordial and friendly.

5. (S) As for the areas further north in Lebanon such as Keserwan and the Metn, Murr confirmed that Shia are renting in high numbers there because they feel that Israel is going to attack soon. Such action could take place as early as April 2008, he warned. ....Murr also told us that Hassan Nasrallah's cousin has moved his family out of the southern suburbs, the Dahiyya, and rented a chalet in the resort town of Farayya for a year. According to Murr, this means that Nasrallah is on high alert. In addition to renting homes in these areas, Hizballah is making many concessions to the Christians who live in these areas. In a meeting three weeks ago between top Hizballah officials such as Wafiq Safa and March 14 members at MoD Headquarters in Yarze, Hizballah agreed to all of the Christians demands. The two most notable concessions were that Hizballah will not place any signage with Nabih Berri or Hassan Nasrallah's image in these locations and that Hizballah will not have a visible presence in these areas...... During this same meeting, March 14 members learned that Hizballah has rockets that can fly over 200 kilometers.

7. (S) Murr told us that Hizballah is not "internally convinced" that it can win this time. It was internally convinced that it could win in 2006. Murr predicted that Hizballah's war with Israel will not be like 2006 .... Murr harbors no illusion that they will not get bogged down in the village a second time. Instead, Murr thinks they will bypass strongholds in villages and pursue the main forces, the rockets. "I am sure Hizballah is scared and they are preparing for a severe lesson this time," Murr said. ...... (S) Murr related that Saudi journalist Ghassan Charbel of the Al-Hayat newspaper recently returned to Beirut from Damascus where he met with Bashar Al-Assad. .....He does not see anything at all happening this year in Lebanon, Charbel had said. Murr seemed to think otherwise, reporting that Syria has recalled 250,000 migrant agricultural workers from Lebanon who also serve in the Syrian military reserves....... Returning to the theme of a wary Hizballah, Murr told us that "they (Hizballah) are scared, terrorized. They know the Israelis will not lose again." Murr thinks that Ehud Barak is a very different Minister of Defense... Additionally, President Bush is coming to Israel in May, so they think that this new war must be completed by that time.

13. (S) When asked what role Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun is playing right now, Murr deadpanned that he is "going insane." Retired BG Fouad Ashkar, an Aoun advisor dating to Aoun's time as Lebanese Army Commander, came to see Murr on March 9 to discuss weapons permits for Aoun's bodyguards. Murr told Ashkar that he was authorized only ten permits. Aoun had recently contacted Murr's father to try and pressure the MinDef into agreeing to fifty weapons permits. A defiant Murr told Ashkar to "go get some of your Hizballah suicide bombers to serve as bodyguards," the sub-context being that perhaps Michel Aoun would get blown up along the way......

18. (S) Making clear that he was not responsible for passing messages to Israel, Murr told us,...if Israel has to bomb all of these places in the Shia areas as a matter of operational concern, that is Hizballah's problem. According to Murr, this war is not with Lebanon, it is will Hizballah. ..... As such, Murr is trying to ascertain how long an offensive would be required to clean out Hizballah in the Beka'a. The LAF will move to pre-position food, money, and water with these units so they can stay on their bases when Israel comes for Hizballah--discreetly, Murr added. (S) Murr also gave guidance to Sleiman that the LAF should not get involved "when Israel comes." .... that he promised Sleiman the political cover for LAF inaction. .....For Murr, the LAF's strategic objective was to survive a three week war "completely intact" and able to take over once Hizballah's militia has been destroyed. ......
The most dangerous traps are the ones you set for yourself. - Phillip Marlowe
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