Honduras Coup: Soldiers kidnap VZ, Cuba, Nicaragua envoys

Moderators: Elvis, DrVolin, Jeff

Postby John Schröder » Tue Dec 01, 2009 10:02 pm

http://www.borev.net/2009/11/livebloggi ... elect.html

Liveblogging the Pretend Elections in Honduras!

Are you ready to press the do-over button, people? Today's fake presidential "election" in Honduras is underway. Marked by brutality and fear, boycotted by half the political parties and overseen by a military junta backed by global business elites, Kissinger's dream of the perfect Latin American democracy may finally be realized!

We'll keep you posted through the day, with all the quality you've come to expect from a half-assed hobby blog thousands of miles away from the action, so CONSTANTLY HIT REFRESH!

    * Here's the official U.S. policy on all this: "'What are we going to do, sit for four years and just condemn the coup?" a senior U.S. official, speaking on the condition of anonymity, told reporters in Washington."
    Awesome.

    * Hey DC-area slacker: Hondurans for Democracy have organized a peaceful demonstration in Mt. Pleasant today. Why don't you pry yourself away from your computer screen for a change and join 'em?

    * FYI Al Giordano has rounded up and translated the decrees that Honduran coup leaders issued in the past week to ensure this vote is as insanely undemocratic as possible. Good times.

    * Basically everybody in Latin America hates the U.S. again over this: "They really thought he was different," said Julia Sweig of the Council on Foreign Relations, referring to Latin America's view of Mr. Obama, adding, "But those hopes were dashed over the course of the summer."

    * The Quixote Center just published its first live update from Tegucigalpa: "'I don't know how they are going to legitimate these elections,' Bertha Oliva just told me, as she arrived to the COFADEH office. 'The polling places are empty.'"

    * The Real News just posted a creepy segment on the elections. Honduras is so fucked.

    * Oh, naturally: "Israel became the fifth country to officially announce that it would recognize the results of Sunday's elections in Honduras..." The others are Colombia, Peru, Costa Rica and the U.S.

    * Tanks and teargas break up peaceful protests in Honduras' 2nd largest city. A Quixote Center delegation is on the scene.

    * You know how the entire world (minus 5 countries) refuses to recognize the fake elections? Yesterday the WaPo ed board explained the important lesson here: "The lesson of the Honduran crisis is that the United States cannot always pursue such multilateralism and also support democracy." (The WaPo stylesheet recognizes "democracy," "capitalism" & "U.S. Interests" as interchangeable terms.)

    * Breaking! Mary Anastasia O'Whatzit has filed her report! And OMG HUGO CHAVEZ IS NO LONGER THE PRESIDENT OF HONDURAS. She also mentions the "almost 400 foreign observers from Japan, Europe, Latin America and the U.S.." Naturally at least 300 hundred of them are these Miami wingnuts.

    * Check it out: right-wing "election observers" are employing a "blog strategy" to promote their message--to comical results!

    * Pepe Lobo "wins" fake election, with no word yet on how many people actually voted. Orwellian think tank "anaylsis" begins: "'The average Honduran doesn't care one way or the other about the coup, it was a battle of political elites,' said Heather Berkman, a political risk analyst at the Eurasia Group in New York." Let that shit sink in.

    * Naturally the turnout figures are in dispute. As of Monday morning the junta claims it to be over 60% (higher than any other presidential election in Honduran history!) and the resistance sets abstention at an illegitimizing 65%.

    * WaPo Monday morning: "Turnout was 47.6 percent, several points less than the total in the last presidential election in 2005, according to projections released by the country's electoral tribunal. In addition, there appeared to be an unusually high number of null and blank ballots -- about 6 percent, according to projections."
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Tue Dec 01, 2009 10:03 pm

http://www.commondreams.org/view/2009/11/29-3

Published on Sunday, November 29, 2009 by AlterNet

Selling Out Democracy in Honduras: The U.S. and the Honduran Election

Honduras' November 29 election has been rightfully scorned as a sham by political leaders across the hemisphere. With the exception, that is, of President Obama.

by Isabel Macdonald

The June 28 military coup d'etat that overthrew Honduras' democratically elected president provided President Obama with "a golden opportunity...to make a clear break with the past and show that he is unequivocally siding with democracy," as Costa Rica's former vice president put it. However, the U.S.'s recognition of the sham election Honduras' de facto regime is staging on Sunday makes it quite clear that Obama is choosing instead to side with the far-right Republicans who support the coup.

In the wake of the coup that overthrew Honduran president Jose Manuel Zelaya Rosales, the Guardian's Calvin Tucker observes that there had been some promising signs that Obama was going to remain true to his pledge to "seek a new chapter of engagement" in Latin America. Despite some initial waffling by the State Department, Obama spoke out in strong terms against Zelaya's overthrow, saying that "it would be a terrible precedent if we start moving backwards into the era in which we are seeing military coups as a means of political transition, rather than democratic elections." The U.S. backed a Costa Rican-brokered compromise that would have seen Zelaya returned to office, at the helm of a "unity government." All non-humanitarian U.S. aid was suspended to the de facto regime, as were the U.S. visas of the coup leaders. The State Department indicated that the US would "not be able to support" the outcome of the elections out of concern that they would not be "free, fair and transparent." And finally, during a visit to Honduras by Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in late October, the coup leaders agreed to sign the U.S. backed agreement providing for Zelaya's return.

This firm U.S. reaction apparently "privately stunned" the coup leaders, who were sure "this would never have happened if the Republicans had still been in power," according to the New Yorker's William Finnegan.

Indeed, the coup leaders, who along with their allies such as the Latin American Business Council have spent at least six hundred thousand dollars on Washington lobbyists and lawyers, count amongst their supporters several prominent congressional Republicans, including South Carolina Senator Jim DeMint.

DeMint had been leading efforts to block key diplomatic appointments in Latin America, and earlier this month, the Obama administration succumbed to this pro-coup Republican pressure, announcing that it will after all recognize Sunday's election, and not insist on the return of the legitimate president. On November 4, Assistant Secretary of State Thomas Shannon announced on CNN that "the formation of the National Unity Government is apart from the reinstatement of President Zelaya" and that the Honduran Congress will decide when and if Zelaya is reinstated.

DeMint took credit for the change in U.S. policy, releasing a press statement declaring "Senator secures commitment for U.S. to back Nov. 29 elections even if Zelaya is not reinstated." In the statement, DeMint said he was

    happy to report the Obama Administration has finally reversed its misguided Honduran policy and will fully recognize the November 29th elections... Secretary Clinton and Assistant Secretary Shannon have assured me that the U.S. will recognize the outcome of the Honduran elections regardless of whether Manuel Zelaya is reinstated.
The 23 Latin American and Caribbean nations of the Rio Group do not recognize Sunday's election. However the Obama administration is now going ahead in recognizing the vote held in the midst of what Amnesty International has characterized as a "human rights crisis," marked by an"increasingly disproportionate and excessive use of force being used by the police and military to repress legitimate and peaceful protests across the country." Since Zelaya's overthrow, over 3,500 people have been illegally detained, over 600 have been beaten and dozens have been killed, according to the Committee of Families of the Disappeared (COFADEH), with media workers, human rights defenders and female protesters particularly targeted, according to Amnesty.

The only two presidential candidates on the ballot supported the coup that ousted the elected president. The leading opposition candidate, Carlos Reyes, recently withdrew his nomination for the presidency, calling the election fraudulent, and hundreds of candidates for congressional and municipal seats have also withdrawn from the election.

And Tucker notes that

    Trade unions and social movements calling for a boycott of the election are facing mafia-style threats, with the regime's chief of police boasting that he has compiled a blacklist of "all those of the left".

At the same time, Honduras' big business federation, which supported the coup, is reportedly offering "cash discounts" to Hondurans for voting in the election.

The fact that such an election has won the support of the Obama administration does not bode well for the president's "new chapter" of U.S.-Latin America relations.

© 2009 Independent Media Institute

Isabel Macdonald is AlterNet's NYC-based publicist. Before joining AlterNet, she was the communications director at the media watch-dog group Fairness & Accuracy In Reporting, and her writing has appeared in Extra Magazine, Huffington Post, the Indypendent and Z Magazine.
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Tue Dec 01, 2009 10:03 pm

http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0911/S00340.htm

The Honduran Resistance Wins the Elections!

Monday, 30 November 2009, 3:17 pm
Article: Julie Webb-Pullman


As the polling booths closed this evening in Honduras, there didn't need to be a vote-count to declare the winners. With an abstention rate of at least 65%, the people in resistance have the overwhelming majority.

The National Resistance Front Against the Coup said in a press conference at 4.30pm that the dictatorship has been soundly defeated by such a small turnout that the Supreme Electoral Tribunal had to extend the voting by one hour in an attempt to get more votes.

"They were raffling off home appliances such as fridges, and even houses, for those who voted in an attempt to get them into the booths," informed Rafael Alegria of Via Campesino.

Monitoring by the National Resistance showed the level of abstention was at least 65%, the highest level of abstention in the history of Honduras.

"In this way the Honduran people have punished both the candidates and the dictatorship, who are now in a tight spot to try to demonstrate a mandate that doesn't exist," said Rodil Rivera Rodil, lawyer and member of the Nationa Resistance Front who read the press release.

Contrary to coup-sponsored electoral observer reports of a peaceful election, the days leading up to, and of, the 'electoral farce' were characterised by repression and violence in many places, particularly resistance strongholds such as San Pedro Sula where resistance members were beaten, injured, and detained, and one is reported to be disappeared. Among the injured is a Reuters reporter, and two religious workers from the Latin American Council of Churches working as human rights observers were detained.

There have also been reports of rapes, beatings and detentions from other districts, which human rights groups will be following up in the days to come.

"They have put civilian clowns in office to put a clean face on the military coup," commented Bertha Oliva, Director of the Centre for Families of the Disappeared and Detained of Honduras (COFADEH).

Despite protestations to the contrary by the international corporate media, there is a wealth of photographic and first hand accounts from the polls - including documents shown to international observers by polling booth staff - that the turnout was considerably less than 50%, and in the northern part of the country, less than 20%.

The only winners in this electoral circus are the Honduran people and the resistance movement, who intend to celebrate with a victory march in Tegucigalpa tomorrow, 30 November.
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Tue Dec 01, 2009 10:03 pm

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/no ... a-porfirio

Victory declared in controversial poll that was already a win-win for Honduras's wealthy elite

• Rancher Porfirio Lobo takes presidential election
• While some party, others vow to fight on for Zelaya

Within hours of the polls closing the celebrations began. Cavalcades of honking cars raced up and down Boulevard Morazan. The Hotel Maya filled with cheering people in blue T-shirts. The media fell into paroxysms of delight.

A wealthy rancher named Porfirio Lobo had just won Honduras's presidential election, heralding a "democratic fiesta". By dawn today the revellers were heading home, perhaps stopping for breakfast at one of Tegucigalpa's myriad Pizza Huts, Burger Kings and Wendy's.

"This is a wonderful day. The country has regained its equilibrium," beamed Ana Gomez, 29. After days of grey skies even the tropical sunshine returned.

But not everyone was minded to party. Honduras is in crisis: internationally isolated, shunned by investors and aid agencies. The president ousted in a June coup, Manuel Zelaya, is besieged in the Brazilian embassy, the compound ringed by barbed wire, police and soldiers. "These elections are illegitimate," he said.

Foreign governments lined up to condemn the vote as a whitewash. Many boycotted it and vowed "continued resistance". The homeless children who sleep on rubbish dumps in Tegucigalpa's slums were too hungry or high on glue to care.

How did it come to this? How did a sleepy central American backwater known for coffee and Maya ruins become a dangerously polarised international pariah?

Miguel Alonzo, sifting through the debris of his office, had an answer. "We are run by an oligarchy, that's how." The root of the crisis, he said, was the fact that an elite made up of little more than 10 families runs Honduras. "They control the economy and they control politics."

On Saturday Alonzo's civic association, Comal, paid the price of backing Zelaya's boycott campaign. Police and soldiers stormed the office and carted away computers, cash and documents. They said they were looking for weapons.

That, and the violent crackdowns on pro-Zelaya rallies, seemed anachronistic. Latin America had supposedly left repression behind in the 1980s and embraced progressive democratic governments.

"Honduras is different!" Roberto Micheletti, the de facto president, boasted last week. He was talking about its defiance of international pressure to restore Zelaya to power, but was right in other ways. From the late 19th century Honduras was turned into a giant banana plantation by US fruit corporations. They dominated the economy and made and broke governments. US marines intervened in central America more than 30 times, and in Honduras seven times, between 1900 and 1934. The US supported friendly despots on and off until 1981, when democracy replaced military rule. Power alternated between the National and Liberal parties, but an Americanised conservative elite pulled the strings.

The 10 most powerful families, many descended from Palestinian and Jewish immigrants, dominate banking, insurance, manufacturing, telecommunications and media, including TV and newspapers.

Half the population of 7.6 million still lives on less than $2 a day. "Hondurans are not being well served by their institutions," Julia Sweig of the Council on Foreign Relations thinktank said with understatement. Slums such as Cementerio, a fetid sprawl of shacks with human scavengers and mangy dogs, resemble a Hogarth sketch. Armed gangs make it one of the deadliest places in Latin America.

Unlike the rest of central America, however, during the cold war no leftist insurgency arose in Honduras, a placidness which neighbours mocked as doziness.

Zelaya changed that. Elected in 2005, he was an improbable revolutionary. A wealthy logger and part of the ruling elite, in 2007 he veered left and embraced Venezuela's socialist president, Hugo Chávez. An ideological conversion or tactical ploy, depending who you ask.

Mel, as he is universally known, lowered school fees and raised the minimum wage. The implementation was clumsy and in some cases backfired, costing jobs, but the poor embraced Zelaya.

The constitution constrained him: to avoid lapsing back into authoritarian rule Honduras limited the executive to one term. It was the "world's worst constitution", according to Costa Rica's president, Óscar Arias. Zelaya tried to change it by holding a non-binding referendum in June. The elite and middle class, already alarmed by the president's leftist shift, revolted. "He was going to perpetuate himself in power, just like Chávez, we had to stop him," said Romero Alguilera, owner of a taxi fleet.

With the blessing of congress, the supreme court and Zelaya's own party, masked soldiers seized and exiled him on 28 June. The world condemned the coup – even the Obama administration, which had no love for a Chávez ally. Governments withdrew ambassadors, aid was frozen and investment evaporated. The de facto rulers seemed unaware that coups were no longer acceptable: the US resisted full-blown sanctions but cut aid and visas for the elite.

The 10 families, with Micheletti as their frontman, fought back. They hired Washington lobbyists to woo Republicans and Democrats. The tactic was to run down the clock until Sunday's election, intended to cement Zelaya's loss of power.

The authorities closed pro-Zelaya media and curbed civil liberties. Security forces snuffed out protests with teargas, clubs and in some cases live rounds, leaving hundreds injured and several dead.

Zelaya sneaked back into the country in September but failed to rally mass support. Local media, controlled by the ruling elite, ran false stories that Cubans, Iranians and Venezuelans were hiding in the Brazilian embassy. One newspaper even reported there were Martians.

"Resistance" rallies dwindled and the ubiquitous grafitti – "Mel is coming!" – looked ever more wishful. As the elections loomed, the White House broke ranks with the region and hinted it would recognise the result, emboldening Costa Rica, Panama, Peru and Colombia to follow suit. Canada and the EU are expected to do the same.

Lobo, the president-elect, ran on a slogan of change, but the well-heeled revellers in the Hotel Maya spoke of equilibrium restored. "Things will get back to normal," smiled Luis Gomez, a business graduate. Honduran normal, that is.

The victor

Porfirio Lobo, a wealthy rancher from the ruling elite, is a veteran congressman and member of the opposition National party. He lost to Manuel Zelaya, right, in 2005 but bounced back on Sunday to claim 55% of the vote, well ahead of his nearest rival. Zelaya, who is in the Brazilian embassy in Tegucigalpa, was not on the ballot.

Lobo voted in favour of his predecessor's removal in June, but distanced himself from the coup and presented himself as the man who could persuade the international community – notably Brazil – to recognise the election and restore aid and investment.

"We ask them to see that they are punishing the people who went to vote, do so every four years and have nothing to do with what happened on 28 June," he told journalists.

Officials said the turnout was above 60%, but sceptics wondered if it was inflated to bolster the poll's legitimacy.

Lobo – which means wolf in Spanish – is known by his nickname, Pepe. Sixty-one and married three times, he is father to 11 children and practices tae kwon do. Like Zelaya, he hails from Olancho province, where men have a reputation for machismo.

Rory Carroll
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Tue Dec 01, 2009 10:04 pm

http://quotha.net/node/59

The Greatest Elections Ever Held, and more golpista BS

Note CNN's insanely deceptive triumphalism, announcing well before the close of the polls a "High turnout for Honduras election." What does this really mean?

    Deposed President Jose Manuel Zelaya had called for a boycott of Sunday's vote, yet electoral observers said that a turnout of more than 60 percent was expected.
Who are these observers? Golpistas, of course, looking to justify the continuation of the military dictatorship with their electoral farce. And what are the real numbers? Reports from international observers in San Pedro Sula right now (now that the polls have closed) are that around 35% of the electorate appear to have voted. Not massive abstention, but quite significant--well below anything that could lend legitimacy to the process.
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Tue Dec 01, 2009 10:04 pm

http://upsidedownworld.org/main/content/view/2234/46/

Live From Honduras: Electoral Observations

Written by Belén Fernández
Tuesday, 01 December 2009


On the evening of November 29, the Honduran Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) announced that a technical error had impeded the “second verification of data” in the tallying of the day’s election results. The error had occurred despite repeated TSE claims that the efficiency of its tallying process would enable Honduras and the world to become acquainted with the country’s next president within hours of the closing of the polls; not explained was the reason for urgency, as Honduras and the world already had two Honduran presidents to keep track of—one elected (Mel Zelaya) and the other the product of the June 28 coup (Roberto Micheletti).

In a televised presentation at the Marriott Hotel in Tegucigalpa, TSE President Saúl Escobar declared that, instead of concealing the day’s technical error, the institution had “made the decision to [reveal] exactly what had happened.” Whether this triumph in TSE transparency was intended to serve as compensation for the lack of transparent election results was not clear, nor was why transparency did not extend to a revelation of what exactly the “second verification of data” consisted of or why it was not possible.

Other attempts to pass off failure as victory in the Honduran context included coup regime glorification of elections as the remedy to all political, social, and economic ills. During the Marriott presentation, TSE magistrate Enrique Ortez impassionedly decreed that the elections had been won by the “Honduran people” and that November 29 would be a date “recorded in gold letters.”

As for inferior records, TSE vote tallies for the presidential race were for the moment replaced with results offered by the TSE-approved association Hagamos Democracia, which assigned 55.77 percent of the vote to National Party candidate Porfirio (Pepe) Lobo and 38.58 percent to Liberal Party candidate Elvin Santos. Additional technical failures on the part of the TSE were observed on its website, which I visited the morning following the elections only to find that the link to “VOTE COUNTING AND THE TRANSMISSION OF PRELIMINARY RESULTS” did not exist.

Of the links that did exist, the one entitled “Virtual Observer: Watch the elections online” consisted of three live video options featuring different electoral scenes such as a desk with a scanner. The Virtual Observer had been advertised by the TSE as a way for the international community to witness Honduran democracy; as for non-virtual election observers, these included Israeli Ambassador to Guatemala and non-resident Ambassador to Honduras Eliyahu López and organizations such as the International Republican Institute, which in addition to supporting the 2002 coup against Hugo Chávez happens to have also cooperated in election-related projects in Venezuela and Nicaragua with Hagamos Democracia.

When I initially clicked on the Virtual Observer link I found not only the three videos but also election results for the five presidential candidates, although the figures listed for the total number of votes counted and the overall percentage of voter participation were both 0. A subsequent visit to the site revealed that the tallies had been removed and that only the videos remained; other technical inconsistencies included the TSE’s announcement that voter participation had been over 61 percent despite Hagamos Democracia’s calculation of 47.6.

The Virtual Observer section did not include an option to watch oral cellular phone transmission of electoral data, which was the process that had been hyped by the TSE and the Honduran media as enabling rapid determination of the next president and that was based on the distribution of 20,000 specially-purchased phones to electoral tables around the country. Rapidity was less of a priority among other organs of the Honduran state such as the National Congress, which had postponed consideration of Zelaya’s restitution until December and thus underscored the illegitimacy of the elections; as for the effectiveness of cellular transmissions of critical data, this was called into question by the frequency with which Honduran cell phone communications were reduced to such phrases as: “Can you hear me?”

The system lost further credibility yesterday at one of the electoral tables at the Tegucigalpa polling station of Iglesia Vida Abundante, where the woman in charge of reporting the results to the main TSE computing center proved less than certain as to reporting protocol but agreed that numbers involving multiple digits would probably be reported one digit at a time. She additionally assured me that whatever she reported would be recorded and shrugged at the possibility of a lack of cell phone reception at the time of recording; other technical obstacles were identified at a voting station in the lower-class neighborhood of El Pedregal, where the cell phones at several electoral tables were not functioning.

TSE President Escobar’s declaration that there was “absolutely nothing to doubt about these elections” was aided by Honduran media traditions of obsequiousness, manifestations of which included radio commentators vying to provide the most euphoric fabrication of Honduran hordes descending upon voting centers and the daily El Heraldo’s “minute by minute” election updates such as: “9.41 p.m.: Day of glory. Honduras is one big carnival.” Not explained was whether Honduran carnivals always entailed military and police repression of peaceful election day protests in San Pedro Sula.

A citizen at one of the voting centers claimed that past elections had been more celebratory in nature and cited the current absence of vehicular caravans—an absence that persisted until the following day when the Resistance proved its adeptness at organizing large numbers of like-minded automobiles. As for TSE magistrate Ortez’ proclamation that the countries of the world had the moral obligation to recognize the Honduran electoral process, it would seem that moral obligations might also be assigned to electoral magistrates claiming to speak for 7 million Hondurans.
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Tue Dec 01, 2009 10:04 pm

http://hondurasoye.wordpress.com/2009/1 ... y-suspect/

Joke Elections in Honduras (Get out the word that election results are “highly suspect”)

These comments are by the author of the article that follows - Emile Schepers.

COMMENTS:

There have been developments since I wrote the following article. One is that President Zelaya did a quick calculation and figured out that if the coup electoral authorities are telling the truth, i.e. that 1.7 million votes had been counted and this corresponded to 61.3 percent of the total voters, then a 100% turnout would have corresponded to 2.8 million voters, 600,000 more than were registered.

The vote totals are all up in the air because as they were being “verified” the computerized system “crashed” or some such thing. Some of us remember the famous Mexican elections of 1988 where something suspiciously similar happened, stealing a certain victory from left-center candidate Cuauhtemoc Cardenas and giving the presidency to the PRI’s Carlos Salinas de Gortari.

I lived in Chicago for 35 years and participated in one way or another in almost every election in that period, often as a poll watcher, and I have seen some funky elections over that time, but crashing computer systems followed by announcements of huge jumps in turnout, would not pass muster even in the city of the big shoulders and hog butcher to the world.

It is all noxious nonsense but tonight I watched the Spanish-language news on cable TV in the Washington DC area and they are praising this farrago as a triumph of democracy.

It is extremely important that we get out the word that the election was NOT clean, that the results announced by the Honduran coup election authorities are not only NOT reliable but are HIGHLY SUSPECT, and that one can NOT solve a political problem by means of FRAUDULENT elections followed by a political and media snow job. I urge readers to confront and challenge your local press and media when they make such claims, and get the other side into the public record.

Emile Schepers

=============================

Honduras election raises questions on turnout, international recognition

by: Emile Schepers
November 30 2009

Regarding the controversial elections in Honduras on Sunday, November 29, all are agreed on one thing: National Party presidential candidate Pepe Lobo got the most votes, probably around 56 percent.

However, hopes that the Honduras crisis,which began when the elected President, Manuel Zelaya, was overthrown by a right-wing coup on June 28, would be “solved” by the election seem premature.

That Lobo got the most votes, far more than the Liberal Party candidate, is probably due to the fact that the Liberal Party to which both Zelaya and coup leader Roberto Micheletti belong, went into the election deeply divided and discredited in the eyes of the voters because of the instability and economic damage caused by the coup.

But the question of turnout is vitally important, because supporters of President Zelaya and most of the resistance to the coup had called for an election boycott if Zelaya and constitutional normality were not restored in time for the election. One left-wing presidential candidate, Carlos Reyes, withdrew his candidacy, as did the left-leaning Liberal Party candidate for vice president, the incumbent mayor of San Pedro Sula, and several dozen candidates for Congress and local offices, after the collapse of an October 30 agreement that it had been hoped would solve the crisis.

However another left-wing presidential candidate, Cesar Ham of the Democratic Unification Party, decided to stay in the race, giving the
reason that his party’s surveys indicated that it would pick up
congressional seats. (We have not yet seen results for Mr. Ham, nor
figures on the number of blank ballots cast as a protest).

The Micheletti coup regime threatened to prosecute anyone who advocated an electoral boycott, and there were reports of military and police raiding homes of people who were suspected of being pro-boycott. On Election Day, police and military suppressed a rally in Honduras’ second largest city, San Pedro Sula, with reports of one death plus injuries and arrests. There were also reports that employees of government agencies and private businesses were being told that they would be fired if they did not vote.

The government election agency quickly announced a very high turnout of 61.3%.

But President Zelaya, in refuge in the Brazilian embassy in the Honduran capital, Tegucigalpa, announced a turnout of as low as 21%. Zelaya based his projection on reports from members of the anti-coup resistance who were monitoring the vote. To add to the confusion, the coup government’s electoral agency gave the 61.3 percent figure “only tentatively”, due to a “breakdown” in the computer system that did not allow the data to be “verified”. But another agency contracted by the government to do exit polls showed the turnout to be 47.6 percent. Various reports indicate that the turnout was much lower in poor urban neighborhoods where Zelaya and the left have most of their support.

Turnout in Honduras is usually low, about 50%.

The election campaign began, by law, on September 1. For all three months of the campaign, the Micheletti regime installed by the coup was in power, repressing pro-Zelaya mobilizations and periodically shutting down the opposition press and media. The usual groups that send observers to controversial elections (The Organization of American States, the European Union, the United Nations and the non-profit Carter Center) all refused, saying that the basic conditions for a fair election were not present.

However, the International Republican Institute (an agency of the G.O.P., which has been enthusiastically backing the coup), plus a contingent of “monitors” organized by ultra-right Cuban exile U.S. Congresswoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, joined observers from the National Democratic Institute in going down to do “election monitoring”. Their reports are not in yet, but it is to be doubted that they will contain surprises.

The Colombian government quickly recognized the results of the election as clean and fair, and it is likely that other right-wing governments in the area, such as those of Peru, Panama and Costa Rica, will do so also. The Obama administration has not given a definitive statement but seems to be trending that way. On the other hand, the governments of Brazil, Argentina, Venezuela and other left-wing governments in the area have made it clear that they do not recognize the results, and are angry with the Obama administration for waffling on its original support for Zelaya’s restoration.

President Zelaya’s term ends on January 27 and it is improbable that he will be restored to power as a lame duck. But he is still besieged in the Brazilian embassy, and there may now be increased danger of a violent move to get at him.
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Tue Dec 01, 2009 10:05 pm

http://www.marxist.com/honduras-electio ... stance.htm

Honduras “election”: repression, boycott and resistance

Written by Jorge Martín Monday, 30 November 2009

The elections called by the Honduran coup regime on November 29 saw a significant increase in abstention, despite the harsh repression by the military and the police. But the regime has not been able to crush the movement of workers, peasants and youth. On the contrary, they are now more politically aware, better organised and ready to struggle against the oligarchy.

The elections called by the Honduran coup regime on November 29 saw a significant increase in abstention, despite the harsh repression by the military and the police.

Supporters of Zelaya raise their painted hands calling the people not to vote in the November 29 “election”, during a demonstration in Tegucigalpa.Legitimate president Mel Zelaya, from his refuge in the Brazilian embassy, announced that abstention had reached 65% of the electorate (well above the 44% abstention in the 2005 election), with peaks of up to 75% in some districts in the north of the country. An official statement from the National Front of Resistance Against the Coup put the number of voters abstaining at between 65% and 75% of the 4.6 million registered voters.

The official figures released by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal cannot be taken seriously, as they talk of a voter turnout of 61%, which would be higher than the 56% who participated in the previous election in 2005. Just to make sure they would get the results they wanted, after the closing of the poll the official count was “interrupted by a technical glitch” for more than three hours.

Brutal repression

This level of abstention takes place despite the heavy repression in the country in the days leading up to November 29 and on “election” day itself. Some commentators noted that on Sunday there were “more boots than votes”, given the amount of police and soldiers on the streets. The Micheletti regime had reinstated the “state of emergency” decree, which severely curtails constitutional rights.

Many of the poor and working class neighbourhoods in the capital Tegucigalpa, and in other cities where the resistance movement is stronger, were practically militarised during the day. This was the case at the colonias Kennedy, La Paz, El Sitio, 3 de Mayo, 15 de Septiembre, El Pedregal, Río Grande, etc.

In a phone conversation Saturday night, left wing member of parliament and leading resistance activist, Tomas Andino, reported that dozens if not hundreds of resistance activists had been arrested during the week. Police entered the houses of ordinary people looking for anti-election material and seized paint and paint sprays. Many of those arrested had been accused of “illegal association”.

Andino explained how the army raided the offices of different trade union and community organisations in search of anti-election publicity. This was the case with the church based organisation INESCO in San Juan Opoa, Copan. The offices of Red Comal in Siguatepeque were also raided on Saturday and the army seized computers and money. On election day itself, a bomb went off outside the offices of the Women’s Rights Centre in San Pedro Sula. The headquarters of STIBYS, the trade union of beverage workers that has been the backbone of the Resistance Front, were attacked with machine gun fire in a drive by shooting.

Regarding opposition radio station Canal 36, Andino reported that “80% of the time is off the air, because the Army is broadcasting a powerful signal on the same wavelength, particularly when the station is broadcasting news or opinions against the de facto government”.

Andino told us how the Resistance had called for what they called a “peoples’ curfew”, so that people would stay home and not go out to vote. Even in these difficult conditions a Resistance demonstration took place in San Pedro Sula, which came under heavy police repression, leaving two people seriously wounded and 49 arrested. Also injured by police repression at this demo was a Reuters reporter who was trying to cover the news.

According to Resistance Front sources there have been more than 74 police and army searches without warrant in houses of different activists, and more than 100 people arrested on election day alone. This is hardly the climate in which a democratic election can take place.

It is worth mentioning that the right wing of the Unificacion Democratica party, led by Cesar Ham, finally decided to participate in the elections, sealing its betrayal of the resistance movement and their own fate as a legitimate left wing force. UD has split down the middle on this issue, with Tomas Andino and others leading a fraction firmly opposing the elections.

The movement of the people has not been crushed

A comrade who visited Honduras a few days before the fraudulent “election” reported on the mood in the working class areas of the capital:

    “The tide of the struggle has obviously subsided a bit, but the revolutionary process has not been smashed. Everywhere you go you see election propaganda which has been torn off. The resistance is organising the boycott in every neighbourhood, in most of them there is no election propaganda at all. The ruling class has threatened workers with making them redundant unless they come back to work on Monday with the ink stain in their finger, proving they have voted. A number of large supermarkets are giving discounts and offers to anyone who can show ink in their fingers. The night before I left the country, the hierarchy of the Catholic Church issued a statement to the effect that not voting was a mortal sin.

    “On the other hand there have been constant provocations. The day I arrived a number of explosives went off at Grupo Ama car dealerships, and other small bombs exploded near the place where ballot boxes are being kept. They are preparing the mood to justify and even larger Army presence in the street”.

It is clear that the movement of the Honduran masses has not been smashed. They have not yet been able to overthrow the dictatorship, but on the other hand the regime has not been able to crush the movement of workers, peasants and youth. On the contrary, the last five months of struggle have been an intense political education full of rich lessons for the Honduran people. They are now more politically aware, better organised and ready to struggle against the oligarchy.

The Micheletti regime wanted to use this election to legitimise itself, to acquire “democratic” respectability. They managed to get Zelaya into a negotiating process which was a farce and which in the end gave the United States the excuse it needed in order to recognise the November 29 elections. They have partially achieved their aims, as now a series of countries (Peru, Colombia, the US and others) will recognise the “legitimacy” of these elections, and the new “President”, National Party candidate Pepe Lobo. This will give the regime a certain breathing space, as it will mean the resumption of aid from the United States on which the country is heavily reliant. Still, Brazil, the ALBA countries and others seem firm in not recognising these elections.

One of the most important tasks of the Resistance Front activists now is to open a discussion to draw the main lessons of the last five months of struggle. The high abstention levels show the real strength of the mass movement and sets the basis for the continuation of the struggle against the oligarchy and capitalism. The Honduran masses have given an example of heroism, resilience and willingness to fight. Armed with the correct ideas and strategy they can defeat the Honduran ruling class as a first step towards spreading the revolution throughout Central America.

What has been made clear by the events since the June 28 coup is that the Honduran ruling class cannot allow even the most basic reforms in favour of ordinary working people. Faced with a mobilised and conscious population they can only defend their capitalist system through brutal repression. At the same time this means that the struggle for health care, education, jobs and agrarian reform can only be successful if it is fought as a struggle to expropriate the holdings of the 12 families that compose the Honduran oligarchy as well as the interests of imperialist companies. This cannot be done though illusions in Obama, but only through the struggle of workers and peasants themselves. Only they can transform society and only through struggle.
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Tue Dec 01, 2009 10:05 pm

http://www.prensa-latina.cu/index.php?o ... 8&Itemid=1

Honduran Resistance to Ignore Next Government

The National Front against the Coup d’Etat in Honduras stated that it will ignore the government that will take office in January and continue fighting until the country has restituted constitutional order.

That alliance of peoples’ forces stressed in a release it will continue the resistance against the military coup until achieving a call for a national constituent assembly.

The total failure of the electoral farce orchestrated by oligarchy on November 29 in dictatorship conditions, confirms our statement of declaring elections and results illegal and illegitimate, the Front stated.

The organization also called “governments and honest, democratic and social movements worldwide to reject results of the electoral farce and ignore the government that will start on January 27.”

Constitutional President Manuel Zelaya, against the June 28 military coup, said he will not return to office if the Congress, which will debate his restitution in a special session on Wednesday, agrees to reinstate him.

“Neither restitution to legitimate the coup nor to approve them a process that is totally tainted,” Zelaya told Radio Globo station from the Brazilian embassy, where he has been staying since his return to the country on September 21.

The statesman stated that the Sunday elections, whose abstentionism surpassed 65 percent, were held with a terrified population without freedom of speech under soldiers’ threat.

Zelaya also confirmed his decision of impugning elections legally.

The Supreme Electoral Court reported an extensive lead of presidential candidate from the conservative National Party Porfirio Lobo, over his closest rival Elvin Santos, from the Liberal Party.

Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, Chile, Ecuador, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Paraguay, Uruguay, Venezuela and other countries stated that they will not recognize results of the elections.

Meanwhile, the United States and its closest allies in the region, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama and Peru, announced their support to the electoral process and results.
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Tue Dec 01, 2009 10:05 pm

http://www.amnestyusa.org/document.php? ... 429&lang=e

Amnesty International today urged the Honduran authorities to reveal the identities, whereabouts and charges against all people detained on the eve and day of the presidential elections.

In one of the most worrying cases, the whereabouts of Jensys Mario Umanzor Gutierrez remains unknown. He was last seen at 2:30am this morning in the custody of a Police Patrol whose identification number was recorded by witnesses.

After finding about the case, the Amnesty International delegation in Honduras assisted in the filing of an habeas corpus – a legal procedure to find the whereabouts and well being of someone detained by police — at the Juzgado Penal Francisco Morazan.

The Supreme Court, amongst several other courts, was closed and noone was available by phone either to receive the petition. The court should have a judge or other court appointed official always available to deal with such urgent matters.

“Filling a petition to find where a detainee has been taken is an almost impossible task in Honduras ,” said Javier Zuñiga, head of the Amnesty International delegation in Honduras . “The delays and barriers imposed by the authorities to find even basic information goes to show the extent of violations taken place in Honduras today, and how vulnerable Honduran citizens are to abuses by the police and security forces,” said Javier Zuñiga.

Habeas Corpus is a legal procedure by which a judge is required to demand the police reveal the whereabouts of a person who is believed to have been detained and allow the judge to see the detainee. This is a basic guarantee needed to protect people from torture, ill-treatment and enforced disappearance.

“When someone is taken by the police and nobody knows where to, that person is at serious risk of abuse such as torture. Habeas Corpus is an essential protection mechanism which cannot be suspended or denied even during a war or state of emergency,” Javier Zuñiga.

The Amnesty International delegates also met with two men who were arrested today under terrorism charges. The men alleged they were beaten and forced to sign statements which they did not agree with. It is unclear what will happen to them.

“We are very worried about the way these two men were arrested and for their wellbeing,” said Javier Zuñiga. “We have very serious doubts over the allegations made against the individuals and their chances of fair trial.”

In a separate incident, today at 12.30 a local human rights organization discovered 14 minors detained at Jefatura Metropolitana No.3, police station in Tegucigalpa . The minors had been arrested while they were chatting in small groups on street corners near polling stations.

During two of the multiple arrests the police asked the minors: “Why are you here meeting in groups of more than four people when there is a decree which prohibits you from doing so?”. The police were referring to a decree issued last September which was officially annulled on 19 October. All fourteen were released without charge.
Amnesty International also received information that several people have been detained across the country. In San Pedro Sula , people have reported having been beaten while participating in a demonstration and subsequently taken into detention. In one instance, demonstrators threw stones at the police, causing a journalist to be injured.

In other parts of the country, human rights organizations suffered attacks and acts of intimidation. On 28 November, Red Comal, a collective of farmers and small scale agricultural producers in Siguatepeque had their offices raided, computers and cash seized

“Justice seems to have been absent also on Election Day in Honduras electoral,” said Javier Zuñiga. “It is therefore essential the whereabouts of all people detained are made public and all incidents of abuse, investigated. The rule of law must fully be restored.”
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Tue Dec 01, 2009 10:05 pm

http://hondurascoup2009.blogspot.com/20 ... razil.html

On recognition and Brazil

As the vote count continues, with the official report of the final count now delayed until December 29, the question of recognition of the election faces those countries that said they would not do so, as well as those that said they would.

The US continues to express its position in the murkiest of language.

Brazil, in contrast, is crystal clear, yet today we see others suggesting a softening of the Brazilian position.

The stated Brazilian position remains that voting this Sunday was conducted under conditions that make it impossible to recognize the results, and that the restoral of the constitutional government illegally overthrown June 28 is non-negotiable.

So where are commentators seing room to negotiate the non-negotiable? in the suggestion that perhaps Zelaya can be forced into a nominal restoral just long enough to participate in the inauguration of Pepe Lobo.

Coverage of what Lula actually said at the Iberoamerican Summit doesn't support that interpretation: in fact, he restated that Brazil will not recognize the elections in Honduras or talk to the winner.

For this, it is best to look at original Portugese reporting. So here, I translate Lula's direct quotes from the Portugese.

Rejecting the attempt by Oscar Arias to put pressure on him by comparing recognizing the Honduran elections to recognizing those of Iran, Lula says:

    Iran's president participated in the elections and won 62% of the votes, the Constitution was not violated. It is different from a person who committed a coup d'etat repudiated by all countries, by the OAS, which placed conditions set by the very same President of Costa Rica, which was the return to power of President Zelaya.

    Show romanization

    The coup worked cynically, convened elections for which it did not have a right. [They could have done things with greater normalcy, returned the president, called elections. The return to normality in Honduras all we want. The rest is this:]* You can not make concessions to a coup.

    It is a matter of common sense, a matter of principle, we can not condone the politics of vandalism in Latin America.

    *[material in brackets was not included in the source cited above, but was contained in the fuller version of these remarks published by Brazil's O Globo]
Commenting specifically on the situation of President Zelaya, Lula said he hoped Honduras would take the decision that would allow Zelaya to return to normalcy, adding

    The best thing would be Zelaya back home, but you must have constitutional guarantees, of the government, of the OAS, and this has to happen rapidly.
    [emphasis added]
Other analysts may try to spin Lula's remarks by taking note of the following comment while ignoring the rest of the statements, reported above:

    This citizen [Pepe Lobo] has the right to take the steps he deems necessary. If something new happens, let's see, we'll wait. The problem now is much more of Honduras than of Brazil...
What does this mean?

First, Lula is clearly trying to keep separate Pepe Lobo and the authors of the coup d'etat. The election is illegitimate because it was convened by the coup government, which had no legal right to oversee this (and which cannot actually guarantee a free and fair election). But he is not condemning Lobo for participating in the election.

Second, by pointedly calling Lobo a "citizen" (which is the form of address the de facto regime uses in its references to President Zelaya, as a continual refusal to recognize his continued constitutional status) Lula is explicitly refusing to recognize him as president-elect. Lobo can do what he thinks necessary, he says, but we will wait. We'll see.

The problem is Honduras' problem because, as Lula's earlier statements make clear, unless there is rapid action to restore President Zelaya, he is not changing his position. To quote his response to questions at the Iberamerican summit:

    Não, não, não, não. Peremptoriamente, não.

    [No, no, no, no. Absolutely, no.]
In longer accounts of his comments in Brazilian media, Lula is very clear:

    I can not decide now for what may happen next month or in two, three or four months
he said, asked specifically about "new things" that might affect his position,

    But for now, the Brazilian position is not to accept the electoral process
Pretty clear, right?

Yet otherwise reliable commentators have suggested a modification, based on a statement attributed to Lula by Reuters UK:
Show romaniza

    If something new happens, we can discuss it. For now, the (Brazilian) position is not to accept the electoral process in Honduras. A new thing (we could discuss) is for Zelaya to take over for the inauguration of the new president.

I could not find the original of this in Portugese, even in the longest interviews on the topic I have found reproduced, in which Lula emphatically reiterates that recognizing this election opens the door to future coups in Latin America. It should come right after the statements I reproduce and translate above.

I don't doubt Lula said this, or something close to it, perhaps in response to questioning. But it would seem like such a major change of position would have been featured in some of the original Portugese-language reporting.

And it is interesting that Reuters UK (now reproduced by the New York Times) left out all the rest of Lula's remarks that I translated above, in which he emphatically and repeatedly rejected recognition and called for the restoral of President Zelaya. And there is more in the same vein that I don't have time to collate and translate-- and you, dear reader, probably wouldn't have the patience to review.

What precisely Lula might have meant by Zelaya taking over for the inauguration of the new president is the question, one that for me requires the original language quote. A one-word error in translation could have changed a statement from "take over until the inauguration of the new president" ["for" is de; "until" is até, so this is an easy transcription error from spoken Portugege]. Calling for Zelaya to take over until the inauguration-- e.g. for the rest of his original term-- would be consistent with all the rest of the quotes from, supposedly, the very same interview.

Indeed, given that Lula is in this passage clarifying what might be a "new thing" that would change Brazil's firm position, I suspent whatever statement Reuters is translating followed closely from where he said "If something new happens, let's see, we'll wait". The implication there is clear: something "new" would be movement in Honduras to restore the President to office.

Watch for the storyline now to become some sort of brief restoration. But don't believe everything you read.
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Tue Dec 01, 2009 10:06 pm

http://www.democracynow.org/2009/12/1/h ... acker_wins

Hondurans Divided After Coup Backer Wins Presidential Election Boycotted by Zelaya Supporters

The Obama administration is moving further away from its stated support for the reinstatement of the ousted President Manuel Zelaya. On Monday, the State Department praised this weekend’s Honduran elections, which saw coup backer and wealthy landowner Porfirio Lobo emerge victorious with 55 percent of the vote. Zelaya’s supporters boycotted the election, and many Latin American countries have refused to recognize its outcome.[includes rush transcript]

Guests:

    Sergio Moncada, co-founder of Hondurans for Democracy.

    Patricia Adams, co-coordinator of the Honduras Accompaniment Project for the Quixote Center.

    Andres Conteris, Program on the Americas director for Nonviolence International. He also works at Democracy Now! en Espanol.
AMY GOODMAN: As we turn now to Honduras where the Obama administration is moving further away from its stated support for reinstatement the ousted President Manuel Zelaya. On Monday the State Department praised this weekend’s Honduran elections which saw coup backer and wealthy landowner, Porfirio Lobo, emerge victorious with 55% of the vote. Zelaya supporters boycotted the election and many Latin American countries have refused to recognized its outcome. Speaking in Washington, D.C., Assistant Secretary of State for Western Hemisphere affairs, Arturo Valenzuela, called the vote a significant first step.

    ARTURO VALENZUELA: While the election is a significant step in Honduras’ return to democratic and constitutional order after the 28 June coup, it’s just that, it is only a step and it’s not the last step. Given the gravity of the coup d’etat and the polarization that Honduras has undergone, both before and after the coup d’etat, it is extremely important Honduran leadership moving forward in the next few months attempt to follow the overall broad frameworks of the Tegucigalpa – San Jose Accord. By that I mean, what are the additional steps that need to be taken? A government of national unity needs to be formed. The Congress has to take a vote on the return of President Zelaya to office, and another element of the San Jose Accords that I think it would be very very important as Honduras moves forward to try to re-establish the democratic and constitutional order is the formation and the structuring of a truth commission which was also contemplated in the original Tegucigalpa framework.

    AMY GOODMAN: The Honduran coup regime says turnout was relatively high at 62, but independent estimates put it at 47. Speaking in Portugal, Zelaya’s foreign minister, Patricia Roda, said most Hondurans see the vote as illegitimate.

    PATRICIA RODA: What has happened is an attempt to wipe clean a military coup, which clearly could not be wiped clean. The Honduran people know what it was—a crime, and as a crime they recognize it and yesterday decided not to take part and become accomplices.

AMY GOODMAN: The Honduran Congress is scheduled to vote tomorrow on whether to accept a deal that would allow Zelaya to serve out the remainder of his term which ends next month. Lawmakers are expected to reject a proposal, further complicating the prospects for resolving the Honduran political crisis. For more, I’m joined here in Washington by Sergio Moncada. He is co-founder of the group Hondurans for Democracy. On the telephone from Honduras is Patricia Adams. She is co-coordinator for the Honduras Accompaniment Project for the Quixote Center which organized an international human rights delegation to Honduras that arrived last week. Patricia, let’s begin with you. Describe what you saw, what happened with these elections and why you are in Honduras.

PATRICIA ADAMS: We’re in Honduras because it’s important that there be international presence, not officially recognizing and sanctioning the election, but rather a presence on the streets and in the communities and alongside the grass roots in order to witness and observe their experience of the elections, the elector process and the entire climate in which the elections are taking place. What I saw in Tegucigalpa was very empty streets and incredibly overwhelming calm manifested by the fact that most people were observing the popular curfew that the National Front organized and called for the people to stay inside their homes. Many did not vote. All the polling places I drove past the hour Tegucigalpa on Sunday were pretty much empty. Much greater number of police, military and poll organizers than actual voters. The reports that we had from the 3 teams that we had in other parts of the country confirm that, that the people observed the popular curfew and that there were very few people voting, with the exception of San Pedro Sula where they took to the streets, and as you probably saw, their protest was violently repressed.

AMY GOODMAN: We are also joined by Sergio Moncada, co-founder of Honduran’s for Democracy. He is here with me in Washington, D.C. Sergio, your response to these elections and what happens now?

SERGIO MONCADA: Thank you for having me here. The response is the same as many Hondurans. We believe these are illegitimate elections being held in an atmosphere of fear and intimidation. Just to give you some examples, the democratically elected president of Honduras right now is housed in the Brazilian embassy where snipers have guns pointed at him throughout the day. He has been for two months there subject to constant harassment, nightly marches of the military that surround the compound, not to mention what is happening to the people of Honduras. As was mentioned before, on the day of the elections around 500-1000 protesters took to the streets peacefully and they were violently repressed by the military and police. In addition to that, the day prior to that we had many instances, one of the most visible of repression was the ransacking of the offices of an agricultural co-op in central Honduras and on the day of the election the group that I lead with other Hondurans here in the Washington area staged a protest in front of the D.C. voting site, one of five voting sites in the U.S. One of the protesters that joined us had her sister arrested by the military the day prior to the elections simply for participating in a protest. The State Department claims these were free and fair elections and our group and many other groups in the U.S. beg to disagree. This could not be further from the truth.

AMY GOODMAN: Sergio, what you think the United States should be doing right now?

SERGIO MONCADA: From reading between the lines, U.S. Department wants to have it both ways with the statements of Mr. Arturo Valenzuela yesterday. I think we’ll be hearing for the next couple of days more reports about the actual number of voters that turned out. the discrepancies between the official numbers and, for example the numbers that are being provided by the company that was hired to do exit polls. And I believe the state department will keep playing this game of recognizing this and we want Hondurans to move ahead, but the state department will really have to play a much, much more aggressive role in actually healing the divisions within the country. Hondurans are so divided right now that it is impossible–impossible to achieve peace. In fact, there are many factions within Honduras in both camps are speaking of the very tangible possibility of a civil war happening and what’s happening in the region.

AMY GOODMAN: I want to turn right now to Andrés Conteris who is inside the Brazilian embassy in Tegucigalpa where the elected president, Manuel Zelaya, has been holed up now since he snuck back into the country. Andres from what is the response of the president inside?

ANDRES CONTERIS: Amy, President Zelaya clearly says this election has to be rescinded. It cannot be justified in any legitimate way because of the very poor participation by the electorate. It is to be reprogrammed and that is the only way that democracy can return to this country because this election was an instrument of the coup regime to cover up the repression that they have been doing and to try reach out to the international community, and that is why it needs to be completely reversed, both the coup and the election itself.

AMY GOODMAN: And the response to the election of Porfirio Lobo, who is he, and this issue of what will happen in this legislature? Would President Zelaya under any circumstances take office again before his end of term in January?

ANDRES CONTERIS: Porfirio Lobo, known as Pepe Lobo, is a very wealthy businessman who has been in congress for a while. He is part of the National Party. He has totally tried to ignore the coup itself in his campaign so as not to be basically blamed for it and not to get involved with that messy issue. In terms of what President Zelaya will do, he will remain here as long as he can in the Brazilian embassy and he will continue to get the pressure from both the domestic resistance as well as the international community in trying to reject the election and in trying to reprogram it to call for new elections. If the Congress votes this week to restore him, he will not accept that unless those who committed crimes in the coup itself will face justice. That is the only way he would return to office, is what he has said.

AMY GOODMAN: Let me put that question to you and what the response inside the Brazilian embassy of what should the U.S. be doing right now and the role it has played.

ANDRES CONTERIS: The U.S. has been complicit in the coup itself and has used the accord signed between the Zelaya and the Micheletti camps as a way to move forward without really restoring democracy. The United States, when the accord was signed, Thomas Shannon, the Assistant Secretary, immediately went to the media and said that the U.S. would recognize the election in spite of the fact that Zelaya would be restored or not. This was a violation the spirit and the word of the accord. The United States had no justified reason to do that whatsoever. And so the U.S. has been part of the problem here in not restoring democracy and the U.S. now really if it is to wash its hands of this, if it is to come clean, it must also reject the election because it has had such low participation and must go along with what President Zelaya says, to reprogram it so that democracy can be returned.

AMY GOODMAN: Thank you all for being with us, Andrés Contreris speaking to us from inside the Brazilian embassy where he has been holed up the president and several dozen others, the elected president of Honduras Manuel Zelaya. I want to also thank our guests here in New York as well as in Honduras. Sergio Mancada is the coordinator or co-founder of Hondurans for Democracy and Patricia Adams, coordinator of the Honduras Accompaniment Project for the Quixote Center
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:20 am

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/ ... n-Honduras

Whom the gods would destroy, part 1: the crisis in Honduras

Introduction: Antecedents. The expulsion of President Zelaya of Honduras and the "politics of destruction" deployed against Bill Clinton both represented illegitimate attempts to remove popular progressive political leaders. In each case, a few very wealthy men employed a campaign of defamation, amplified by media under their influence or control, to weaken the Executive. The attacks were characterized by wild accusations against the Presidents of involvement in drugs, financial crimes, and lust for power, as well as by a tone of exaggerated anti-communism.
Using control of the Congress and highly-politicized courts, a pseudo-legal process was used to accuse the Presidents of civil crimes and eventually to initiate proceedings to remove them from office. In the case of Honduras, a military coup was used to complete the process of usurpation of power. This politics of seizing power by creating a furor based on falsehoods has rendered both nations incapable of solving major problems that are tending toward economic, social, and ecological collapse.
This diary is the first of a well-documented multi-part series.

Whom the gods would destroy, part 1

By Charles Utwater II


    "[O]ur power grows through its prudent use; our security emanates from the justness of our cause, the force of our example, the tempering qualities of humility and restraint."
    – Barack Obama, inaugural address [1]
Antecedents to the Coup. As Barack Obama took office, we were told that he would replace the clumsy unilateralism of George W. Bush with "smart power" [2], in which military power would serve as a last resort to the use of diplomatic and economic soft power [3]. According to Joseph Nye, Jr., a bipartisan consensus had developed that "the U.S. had to move from exporting fear to inspiring optimism and hope." And yet the United States has now blindly plunged into a dangerous and hubris-drenched adventure in Honduras that will damage US credibility and power for a generation.

Most Americans could not locate Honduras on a map. A small and desperately poor nation of almost 8 million, its GDP is about $14B, much of that derived from humanitarian assistance and remittances from abroad [4]. It borders Guatemala, El Salvador, and Nicaragua, and relies on bananas, coffee, and sweatshop labor for most of its internally-generated GDP. The population is young, with a median age of 20. A substantial population of African descent arrived as slaves, and intermarried primarily with indigenous peoples to form what are called Garifunas or Black Caribs [5]. Polarization of wealth in Honduras is extreme. [6] Poverty and corruption make all of Mexico and Central America vulnerable to control by narcotics traffickers, and Honduras is no exception. Honduras was a transit point in the guns-for-narcotics trade of Iran Contra, with Oliver North stating openly in his diary, "Honduran DC-6 which is being used for runs out of New Orleans is probably being used for drug runs into U.S." [7]

Honduras became known as America’s unsinkable aircraft carrier during the Contra Wars of the 1980s [8], having served as the site for repeated US interventions in the region. From Soto Cano air base, known as Palmerola to Hondurans, Contra attacks into Nicaragua caused 30,000 deaths. Many Hondurans died, were kidnapped, or were tortured at the hands of paramilitaries. Presently, Palmerola is operated as a joint US-Honduran operation, with approximately 500 troops on-site. One of the points of contention between President Manuel Zelaya and the US, as will be discussed later, had to do with the president’s plan to close Palmerola and offer the US a base in the Mosquitia area, a major transit site of much of the drug trade.

The militarization of Central America under American direction undermined the strength of civil society. As recently as 1991, Stephen Van Evera (presently at MIT, Department of Political Science) wrote [9],

    "American ambivalence toward Third World democracy is also revealed by the thuggish character of many American Third World clients.

    America's client regimes in Central America are illustrative. The U.S.-backed governments of El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras hold regular elections, but none pass the first test of democracy—that those elected control government policy. Instead, the army and police effectively rule all three countries; the civilian governments are hood ornaments on military vehicles of state. Civilian officials who defied the military would promptly be removed by assassination or coup. Knowing this, they obey the military. Moreover, the preconditions for fair elections-free speech, a free press, and freedom to vote, organize, and run for office-are denied by government death squads that systematically murder critics of the government."
Subsequently, however, there was a dramatic shift. Governments of the extreme right were replaced by leftists in Nicaragua and El Salvador, and by centrists in Honduras and Guatemala. Much has been made by the likes of the Wall Street Journal editorial pages on the role of Venezuela’s Hugo Chavez in this swing to the left, but the reality is more complicated. The nations of Central America are intensely nationalistic.

In Honduras, at least, Chavez is extremely unpopular, with 83% of respondents rating him unfavorably [10]. So, more likely the swing to the left has been driven by a combination of disaffection with the right and a loss of prestige of the US and its typically right-leaning allies. The US has provided mediocre leadership in disaster relief and economic development, is the proximate cause of the economic meltdown in the region, and continues to emit racially-charged rhetoric that rings loudly in Latin American ears.

José Manuel Zelaya Rosales, the President of Honduras, was never much of a leftist. Born the son of a prosperous rancher in the state of Olancho, he joined the Liberal Party in 1970[11]. In 1985, he was elected to Congress, and re-elected in 1989 and 1993. He served in a post with ministerial rank as Executive Director of the Social Investment Fund in the administration of President Carlos Roberto Reina Idiáquez. In 1997, he was elected to the Congress from the state of Francisco Morazán, and served beginning in 1998 in the cabinet of President Carlos Roberto Flores Facussé. Facussé had sufficient confidence in Zelaya to name him to serve as a special advisor on dealing with the devastation of Hurricane Mitch.

In 1999, Zelaya left office to work in the private sector, but also to work internally in the party for the 2001 election, for which he hoped to be the candidate. Instead, Rafael Pineda Ponce was chosen and lost. In 2005, Zelaya was nominated. An indifferent, though charismatic orator, he ran on the slogan "Citizen Power" and other platitudes, promising to be tough on corruption. He did promise to cut the budget by 5-10%, create 400,000 private sector jobs, build 200,000 homes, get computers into schools, make graduation free for students, eliminate dengue and malaria, and stop the pillage of the forest. Zelaya won with a plurality of 49.9% of votes against National Party leader Porfirio Lobo Sosa, with turnout an abysmal 46%. The Liberal Party held a near-majority in the unicameral Congress, with 62 of 128 seats.

A critical point to understand is that the slogan "Citizen Power" was an element of a broader discussion in the 2005 election of the need to revise the Constitution. Costa Rican President and diplomat Oscar Arias famously described the Honduran Constitution as a "monstrosity" [12], "the worst in the world [13]."

In a little-noticed but extremely important article [14], former Defense Minister Edmundo Orellana, who is also a long-time public servant and professor of constitutional law at the National University, described the situation as follows:

    "The need to review the Constitution in its entirety was put forward during the electoral campaign, because the present Constitution is a poor copy of the Constitutions of 1957 and 1965. Contradictions within it are abundant, many of its articles are written in stone, it does not allow the effective participation of citizens in the processes of deciding and solving local and national problems and, most importantly, it is not responsive to the national reality of the Twenty First Century."

While the Honduran Constitution is indeed a mess, the disgust with it masked a broader distress with the structure of Honduran society. Polarization of wealth is so extreme that just a dozen families control almost all business in Honduras. According to Leticia Salomon [15, 16] of the University of Honduras, who has researched the matter, ten of the twelve families of the oligarchy supported the coup. Media concentration is high, and diversity of opinion slight.

Foreign multinationals also exert considerable power. Chief among these is Chiquita [17], which was infamous in its previous incarnation as United Fruit for its role in Central American interventions. A number of oil companies and mining companies are interested in Honduras, and sweatshop operators are also major players.

In government, critical reforms were essentially impossible to address, since the Constitution—comprised of 378 Articles—created a nearly-impassable legal thicket. The effect was not dissimilar to that of the rules of the US Senate which, at least in the hands of Democrats, make it impossible to legislate clean elections, reform the health insurance system, or punish massive fraud by investment banks. One of the central problems in the Honduran Constitution is that the Supreme Court is appointed by the Congress, so there is no real judicial independence [18]. The nominating committee is a laundry list of every special interest in Honduras.

And yet, Zelaya received fairly high marks for governance from the US government [19, 20], with most scores being above median. He also was found to be especially cooperative in the war on drugs by the U.S. State Department [21]. Contrary to reports in the pro-coup media, both in Honduras and in the U.S., Zelaya was moderately popular. In the above-mentioned Greenburg-Quinlan-Rosner poll, as of October 2009, 67% said that he had done a good or excellent job, versus 31% who said bad or poor; 60% disapproved of the coup. This is actually higher than popularity polls conducted by CID-Gallup before the coup. The June 2008 poll, for example, showed him with 48% favorable [22] to 46% unfavorable, pretty decent for an incumbent late in his term. In February of 2007, he was at 57% (he did dip lower in approval briefly early in 2009, which is the poll cited by those who want to argue he was unpopular).

So, why was a popular and effective president forced out of office just months from the normal conclusion of his term?
_____________________________________________________________________
Blogs you should be reading and probably aren’t:

http://www.hondurascoup2009.blogspot.com
http://www.quotha.net

Both are written by experts with good academic credentials, extensive experience in country, contacts throughout Honduran society, and—perhaps most important—a knowledge of history.
______________________________________________________________________
References

1. Barack Obama, Inaugural Address, 1/21/09, http://www.whitehouse.gov/...

2. The phrase was probably coined by Suzanne Nossel. Laura Rozen, Foreign Policy: The Cable 1/14/09, The Origins of Smart Power, http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/...

3. Joseph S. Nye, Jr., LA Times, 1/21/09, The US Can Reclaim Smart Power, http://www.latimes.com/...

4. CIA Factbook, https://www.cia.gov/...

5. Garifuna website http://www.garifuna.com/

6. UN Human Development Reports, http://hdr.undp.org/...

7. The Oliver North File, National Security Archive, 2/26/04, http://www.gwu.edu/...

8. Alex Sánchez, Honduras Becomes U.S. Military Foothold in Central America, NACLA, 11/16/06, https://nacla.org/...

9. Stephen Van Evera, American Intervention in the Third World. Less would be better, Boston Review, 1991, http://bostonreview.net/...

10. Greenburg-Quinlan-Rosner, Honduras Frequency Questionnaire (October 9-13, 2009), 10/09, http://www.gqrr.com/...

11. Centro de Estudios Internacionales de Barcelona, 1/3/09 updated 9/1/09, (Roberto Ortiz de Zárate, ed.) http://www.cidob.org/... (This paragraph and the one that follows are drawn essentially entirely from this source).

12. Unsigned, Candidatos desilusionados con declaraciones de Arias, Tiempo, 10/3/09, http://www.tiempo.hn/...

13. Greg Grandin, Honduran Coup Regime in Crisis, 10/8/09, The Nation, http://www.thenation.com/...

14. Edmundo Orellana, Coup D’état in Honduras. A Juridical Analysis, http://quotha.net/...

15. Unsigned, ¡Conozca las diez familias que financiaron el golpe de Estado en Honduras!, El Libertador, 8/6/09 http://ellibertador.hn/...

16. Decio Machado interview, Quiénes apoyan al gobierno ilegítimo de Roberto Micheletti, 9/30/09, Rebelion http://www.rebelion.org/...

17. Larry Rohter, Honduras Journal: Where Banana Was King, Workers Fight Evictions, New York Times, 22 July 1996, http://www.nytimes.com/...

18. See Article 311 of the Constitution. Honduran Political Constitution of 1982 through 2005 reforms, http://pdba.georgetown.edu/...

19. Bill Conroy, Honduran President Zelaya earns high marks for governance, U.S. agency scorecard shows, 11/21/09, Narconews, http://narcosphere.narconews.com/...

20. Millenium Challenge Corp. Country Indicator Data for 2010 http://www.mcc.gov/...

21. Peter J. Meyer and Mark P. Sullivan, Honduran-U.S. Relations, 6/8/09, Congressional Research Service RL34027, http://fpc.state.gov/...

22. Unsigned, President Zelaya Keeps Positive Balance, CID-Gallup Poll, 6/08, http://www.cidgallup.com/...
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:21 am

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2009/11/2 ... n-Honduras.

Whom the gods would destroy, part 2: The crisis in Honduras.

Introduction. The Timetable and the Motives behind the Honduran Coup. This, the second of a multi-part series on the Honduran coup against Manuel Zelaya, seeks to understand how it was viewed by both supporters and opponents of Zelaya, develop a clear timeline of events, and examine the legal issues, including both Honduran and international law. While conclusions are left to the final section, this analysis does make it clear that the removal of Zelaya violated the Honduran Constitution, which was the threshold event triggering international involvement.

Also in this section, troubling questions of US involvement in the coup are surfaced. Additionally, politicization of the Library of Congress, which produces key research reports on which the US Congress depends, is demonstrated. Just as corrupt intelligence from the Office of Special Plans led the US into an unnecessary war and occupation in Iraq, research written with an agenda can deceive the Congress and the Administration into disastrous foreign policy decisions.

Whom the gods would destroy, part 2 (continued from part 1): The crisis in Honduras

By Charles Utwater II

The Timetable and the Motives behind the Coup.

a. Charges and countercharges. Reconstructing the causes, actors, and motives behind the coup is extraordinarily difficult. A number of theories have been put forward on why Zelaya was forced from office. Those in favor of the coup generally claim one or more of the following (and deny that Zelaya’s removal was a coup):

    • Zelaya was trying to succeed himself in office, either by re-election or by seizing power, specifically by having a referendum (note the term) on whether to hold a Constitutional Convention
    • Zelaya was mentally ill
    • Zelaya had broken one or more "set-in-stone" articles of the Constitution, whose punishment is immediate removal from office
    • Zelaya had committed numerous civil crimes and had to be removed from office
    • Zelaya was a communist or, at least, an acolyte of Hugo Chavez, who wanted to turn Honduras into a new Venezuela or a new Cuba.
To see a good example, consult Mary Anastasia O’Grady of the Wall Street Journal [24], who has served as the standard bearer of those who support the coup. Setting aside its veracity, that article makes the last four of the claims.

Those who oppose the coup generally ascribe the coup to one or more of the following:

    • Zelaya had raised the minimum wage from about $1.20 per hour to $1.70 per hour, angering sweatshop owners, the restaurant owners, Chiquita, and others who rely on low wages (Honduran minimum wage laws are complex, and beyond the scope of the present work.)
    • Zelaya had refused to illegalize the "morning after" pill, angering the Roman Catholic hierarchy, as well as most evangelicals
    • Zelaya had resisted privatization of the electrical and phone companies, angering those who hoped to profit from privatization
    • Zelaya had ended the Byzantine regulation of gasoline, which had boosted prices, obtaining cheap gas through Petrocaribe, and angering international oil companies and those who profited from the existing system
    • Zelaya had joined the Bolivaran organization ALBA, which includes Cuba and Venezuela, providing a pretext to anti-communists to accuse him of communist sympathies
    • Zelaya wanted to convert Palmerola airbase to civilian use (the runway at Toncontin airport is too short for civilian aircraft to safely land), angering the US military
    • Zelaya wanted to fulfill the campaign rhetoric on an Asamblea Nacional Constituyente (Constitutional Convention), and was laying the framework by holding a non-binding poll to put political pressure on Congress to act. Since the power of the oligarchy requires that the political system frustrate any possible reform, this threatened their interests
A good example of the coup opponent’s arguments is given by Gonzalo Sánchez [25], who lists military bases, ALBA, and the Constitutional Convention as the proximate causes of the coup. Additional information is found in a piece by Zelaya’s Minister of Culture [26], which adds these interesting allegations:

    Already by late September of 2008, there were rumors of a Coup. General Romeo Vasquez appeared on a popular TV talk show and confessed he had been approached with the suggestion that he lead a Coup, but not by President Zelaya, as the opposition argued, in order to prolong his mandate, but by members of the opposition.
and

    Things came to a head clearly by January of this year when President Zelaya, availing himself of the "Law for the Minimum Salary...decided that minimum wage increases should ... cover the basic cost of living (canasta básica) of the ordinary family, and decreed a 60% + increase, which then came to be $280 per month, and was still one of the lowest in the region...

    All hell broke loose, and a very consistent theory came to the forefront of the pro-coup "national" press. President Zelaya was said to be an irresponsible populist who was fueling the fire of class division. He was an instrument of Hugo Chavez.
and

    And then the last chapter opened.... There had been wide agreement, even since the 2005 campaign, that the Constitution guaranteed a monopoly of political representation to traditional parties and that it was in fact conceived as a straight jacket to assure privilege rather than as guideline of principles. But his political enemies immediately interpreted President Zelaya had only his continuity or reelection in mind. It was said again that he was imitating Chavez, and that he was betraying his mandate.

    The President insisted many times every time that elections would be held as scheduled, but that a referendum should be held simultaneously, to see if people wanted to convene a new Constitutional Assembly, during the next presidential term. Since our present Constitution did not contemplate any solution to the predicament, he announced first a popular "consultation."
b. The events immediately prior to the coup.

Taking the timeline presented by the Honduran Supreme Court [27], supplementing it with the writings of former Defense Minister Ángel Edmundo Orellana Mercado [14] and other sources, one can construct a timeline of how the rationale for the coup emerged. In this regard, a number of posts by HondurasCoup2009 are very helpful [28]. Eva Golinger’s blog (http://www.chavezcode.com) is also very much worth reading.

In this, it should be understood that Article 5 of the Constitution indirectly, through the definition of process, reserves to the Congress the formulation of the consulta (ballot question), which may take the form of a referéndum (dealing with ordinary laws) or a plebiscito (dealing with Constitutional provisions). However, the President, Congressmen, or the citizens through petition may propose a consulta. Why the Congress would ever use a consulta when it already has the power necessary to amend laws or the Constitution is a mystery reserved to the elect.

It should be noted that there is nothing in the Constitution to forbid the taking of an encuesta (non-binding poll or survey), although presumably the Congress could refuse to fund it. Finally, it should be understood that Zelaya, from the beginning, proposed to ask whether, in the general elections of 2009, there should be a ballot question on convening a Constitutional Convention. What he proposed clearly did not legally bind the country to convene a Constitutional Convention, only to holding a vote on whether to do so. In other words, what a coup prevented was not a Constitutional Convention, but letting people express their opinion on whether they wanted one.

Timeline of the coup

September, 2008: According to Rodolfo Pastor Fasquelle [26], there are rumors of a coup, including a statement by General Romeo Vasquez Velasquez that he had been approached by opponents of Zelaya to conduct a coup.

November, 2008: By this time, a press campaign of defamation is in progress. To take two examples: La Prensa in a news article accuses Zelaya of "continuing in the footsteps of... Hugo Chávez, Evo Morales and Rafael Correa," then using Juan Ramón Martínez to question whether this was a "conspiracy against the country’s democratic institutions," and that there was an obvious danger that the constitutional order would be broken (a euphemism for a coup). He accused Zelaya of having claimed to have won through fraud and accused Chancellor Patricia Rodas of having claimed that it would be better to live in a dictatorship [29]. The accusation against Zelaya is, at best, tendentious [Zelaya said that there was fraud in the election of 2005, not that he was committing it]. I haven’t encountered the Rodas statement. Former President Rafael Leonardo Callejas accused Zelaya and Rodas of having invented a meeting with him to discuss the Constitutional Convention, and suggested that Zelaya was mentally ill [30]. Micheletti implied that Zelaya was planning a coup.

March 23, 2009: Presidential Decree PCM-05-2009 [31] is issued (but never officially enacted by publication in La Gaceta), ordering a "consulta" on whether to have a vote on whether to hold a Constitutional Convention. This is promptly challenged by the Public Minister.

May 26: A new decree PCM-19-2009 [32] is issued. This decree, which became effective on June 25, 2009 by publication in La Gaceta, revoked Decree PCM-05-2009, even though that PCM-05-2009 had never become effective. A separate decree on the same date, PCM-20-2009 [33] orders an encuesta (non-binding survey) on whether to have a vote on whether to hold a Constitutional Convention.

May 27: The Juzgado de Letras de lo Contencioso Administrativo (Court of First Instance of Administrative Disputes) orders a stay delaying the effectuation of the consulta, but not ruling on its legality.

May 29: The same court "clarifies" the stay by banning any conceivable action that might result in a consulta.

June 3: The same court wrote to the President to order him to follow their directives of May 27th and May 29th.

June 4: El Heraldo reports that US Ambassador to Honduras Hugo Llorens is (inexplicably) weighing in on the issue of a Constitutional Convention. Noting that it is a Honduran internal matter, he says, "...whatever you do, it should be within the law, do it within the law, within the Constitution. One cannot violate the Constitution to create a Constitution, because if one doesn’t have a Constitution, one is living by the law of the jungle." He then refers to the 1980s, when Honduras was savaged by paramilitaries and death squads, as a happy time when the Honduran people’s love of democracy saved them all the sorrow suffered by El Salvador and Nicaragua, and closes with a paean to the democracy-loving Honduran military [34].

June 16: The Corte de Apelaciones de lo Contencioso Administrativo (Appellate Court superior to the preceding court) upholds the actions of the lower court.

June 18: The Court of First Instance of Administrative Disputes writes to the President again reiterating its order not to proceed toward a consulta and, separately, to direct that within 5 days the Executive respond as to what measures it had taken to comply.

June 24: President Zelaya dismisses his military Chief of Staff, General Romeo Orlando Vásquez Velásquez, who refused to carry out orders regarding the encuesta. The resignation of Defense Minister Ángel Edmundo Orellana Mercado was accepted, and the resignations of the Commanders of the Air Force, Naval Force, and Army were requested.

June 25: Zelaya leads a group of people to the military base where the opinion survey forms are stored. Without violence of any kind, the forms are retrieved. Ironically, unarmed protestors confronting heavily armed troops is characterized by the American press as "mob violence."

The Supreme Court of Justice refuses to accept the firing of General Romeo Orlando Vásquez Velásquez. It does not mention the consulta.

Separately, a complaint is issued by the Attorney General accusing Zelaya of :

    • crimes against the form of government
    • treason
    • abuse of authority, and
    • usurpation of functions.
Also, La Gaceta prints PCM-19-2009 (repealing the call for a consulta) and PCM-20-2009 calling for an encuesta.

Also, the full Congress was convened to discuss removing Zelaya. A number of Congressmen protested and were excluded from the meeting of June 28th in which Zelaya was actually removed [35].

June 26: The Supreme Court appoints a magistrate to review the process of indictment in its preparatory and intermediate stages. He apparently accepted the warrant and ordered the capture and raid, all on the same day. The raid is ordered to be only during the hours of 6AM and 6PM, as ordered by Article 99 of the Constitution, and—consistent with Articles 28 and 102—did not order his expatriation. Rather, the orders given to Lieutenant Colonel Rene Antonio Hepburn Bueso specify that Zelaya be delivered to the appropriate authority for the political crimes enumerated above.
Oddly, a separate authorization is given to General Romeo Vásquez Velásquez.

Also, the Court of First Instance of Administrative Disputes ordered the military not to take part in any consulta or encuesta. Members of the Central American Judicial Council were notified by the President of the Council and by the Supreme Court of the illegality of holding an encuesta (note the shift in language from consulta to encuesta).

June 28: Zelaya is seized at about 5 AM. While the details of the raid are difficult to document, Zelaya alleges that a large contingent of commandos machine-gunned the presidential palace, seized him while he was still in his bedclothes and bundled him into an airplane. Film available on the Internet generally supports this account. According to Palmerola commander Gen. Douglas Fraser, Zelaya was flown to the Palmerola airbase before being dumped on the tarmac in Costa Rica [36].

Also, the Supreme Court affirms that the seizure at gunpoint of Zelaya and his expulsion were based on legal orders.

Finally, in the Congress, a resignation letter, dated 6/25, supposedly from Zelaya but widely believed (including by the US State Department [37]) to be a forgery was read aloud. Bypassing the Constitutional requirement that the vice-president replace the President and in a session not legally convened, the Congress cited Constitutional articles 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 40 (4), 205 (20), and 218 (3), 242, 321, 322, and 323 in Legislative Decree No. 141-2009 to censure Zelaya and replace him with Roberto Micheletti, who was head of the Congess. Not mentioned in the Decree is article 239 of the Constitution, which forbids anyone who has served as President to serve more than the allotted term, and allows for the immediate removal from office of anyone who even proposes to reform Article 239. Also not mentioned in the resolution is the letter of resignation.

June 30. The Supreme Court removes the seal of secrecy from the arrest warrant.

July 2: The Supreme Court of Justice releases documentation of its acts [27]. There are numerous peculiarities to the documentation [28, 38] (one minor peculiarity is the fact that the letter from the Supreme Court is undated; the date of July 2 is provided under the PDF properties tab).

Certain important questions remain unanswered. Helene Cooper and Marc Lacey of The New York Times reported that [39]:

    The White House and the State Department had Mr. Llorens "talk with the parties involved, to tell them, ‘You have to talk your way through this,’ " a senior administration official said Monday. " ‘You can’t do anything outside the bounds of your constitution.’

    Still, administration officials said that they did not expect that the military would go so far as to carry out a coup. "There was talk of how they might remove the president from office, how he could be arrested, on whose authority they could do that," the administration official said. But the official said that the speculation had focused on legal maneuvers to remove the president, not a coup.
The first paragraph apparently refers to the El Heraldo report of June 4th. Presumably, then, Llorens had these talks on June 3rd or earlier. The second paragraph presumably refers to events after June 4th. Despite the denials, the implication that the State Department may have been involved in the coup is inescapable.

Another question that remains unanswered is the role of the US military in the coup. General Fraser’s denial of knowledge that Zelaya passed through Palmerola is not credible. If he really didn’t know, there are serious problems with US intelligence. But read carefully this press briefing from August 17th [40]:

    QUESTION: There have been some charges that the U.S. knew about the planned coup of President Zelaya because the plane that was carrying him stopped at the air base that houses U.S. troops. Can you respond to those charges?

    MR. CROWLEY: Soto Cano Air Base belongs to Honduras. It was run by and operated by the Honduran Air Force, and they make decisions about its use. Military personnel were not involved in the flight that carried President Zelaya to Costa Rica on June 28th. Task Force Bravo members had no knowledge of or any part in the decisions made for the plane to land, refuel, or take off.

    In light of the June 20th coup, the 600 American soldiers, sailors, and airmen based at Soto Cano as part of JTF Bravo have ceased conducting joint operations and exercises with the Honduran military.

    QUESTION: So you – so the U.S. troops on the air base didn’t – and the Administration didn’t know about the flight until after President Zelaya had already taken off from the air base?

    MR. CROWLEY: I think that to the extent that we were concerned about the emerging crisis in Honduras, I think at the ambassadorial level we expressed our concerns to Honduran authorities prior to the coup. I don’t think we had any advance knowledge of what took place.
First, it’s a plain admission that Zelaya was flown through Palmerola (Soto Cano) and an admission that the US government believed that a coup was likely (Crowley only denies advance knowledge). Second, the assertion that the "Honduran Air Force ... make[s] decisions about its [Palmerola’s] use," is misleading to the point of being false. Clearly the United States also makes decision about its use.

Also, the specification of which unit "had no knowledge of or any part in the decisions" is disingenuous. Task Force Bravo is not the only unit at Palmerola. According to the Joint Task Force Bravo website, the 1st Batallion of the 228th Aviation Regiment is also stationed there as a support unit [41], as doubtless are certain other military or CIA units that JTF-B doesn’t advertise. The statement that "Military personnel were not involved in the flight..." is as close to definitive as the statement gets, but even there, there it does not deny knowledge. If General Fraser did not know that Manuel Zelaya was being flown through Palmerola, it was almost certainly because the Ambassador or someone of higher rank ordered him not to know what was going on.

There are questions about whether certain documents may have been forged or backdated. Certainly the letter of resignation is a forgery, since it would make no sense for the Congress to remove Zelaya if he had previously resigned. But some of the documents released by the Supreme Court are questionable as well [38, 42, 43]. For example, why are there two separate orders to seize Zelaya? Why does the order directed to Col. Bueso lack a typed signature? Has that order been backdated?

Finally, there are also legal questions, the chief of which is whether the Juzgado de Letras de lo Contencioso Administrativo overreached by banning any conceivable action by Zelaya. Was there not an appeal above the level of the Corte de Apelaciones de lo Contencioso Administrativo?,If so, where is it? Why were the Congress, and especially the courts, usually the most leisurely branch of government, suddenly in a rush after May 29th? Why remove Zelaya rather than indict him and try him or wait him out? These are some of many questions that would have been asked had there been proper due process.

c. International Law and the Expulsion of Zelaya. International law is perhaps best viewed in a different light than conventional criminal and civil law. Ordinary lawbreakers are under the direct power of the courts of the nations in which they reside. Nations, however, are not usually under the direct power of other nations. Nations cannot be imprisoned or executed. So, international law is concerned primarily with defining accepted norms of behavior, so that when nations cease to abide by those norms, it is easier to organize the international community in the imposition of sanctions. Granted, international law may be "honored more in the breach than in the observance," as Hamlet puts it, but it is also our highest expression of universal human values. Like our own Constitution once was for nations aspiring to become democratic, international law is a lamp to the nations.

International involvement was triggered by Zelaya’s expulsion. Expulsion was a direct violation of Article 102 of the Honduran Constitution ("No Honduran may be expatriated or sent by authorities to a foreign state" without due process.) This article of the Honduran Constitution is, as it must be, in harmony with the international treaties to which Honduras is a signatory, notably Article 9 of the UN Universal Declaration of Human Rights [44] ("No one shall be subjected to arbitrary arrest, detention or exile") and Article 20 of the American Convention of Human Rights "Pact of San Jose, Costa Rica" [45] ("Every person has the right to a nationality.") Accordingly, both the OAS and the UN had jurisdiction over the matter, and the OAS took the point on setting it right. By defining the removal of Zelaya as a coup, the OAS defined the Micheletti government as a dictatorship, a designation that has been confirmed by the United Nations.

In the course of the just the first three months of the crisis, the Honduran dictatorship managed to break numerous other points of international law, but for the moment, let us focus on an analysis of the situation as of the completion of the coup presented by Doug Cassel, Professor of Law and Director of the Center for Civil and Human Rights at Notre Dame Law School [46]. Cassel points out that the appearance of some sort of legalistic process made it problematic for the OAS to invoke Article 9 of the OAS Charter [47], dealing with the overthrow of a government by force, but Article 21 of the Inter-American Democratic Charter [48] allows for the situation in which there has been "unconstitutional alteration of the constitutional regime that seriously impairs the democratic order in a member state." The OAS therefore must interpret whether a country has obeyed its own constitution.

The operative portion of the Legislative Decree purporting to replace Zelaya after the fact reads as follows [14]:

    ARTICLE 1. The National Congress in applying Articles 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 40 number 4, 205 number 20, and 218 number 3, 242, 321, 322, and 323 of the Constitution of the Republic agrees:

      1. To censure the conduct of the President of the Republic, citizen JOSE MANUEL ZELAYA ROSALES, for repeated violations of the Constitution of the Republic and the laws and failure to observe the resolutions and verdicts of the organs of legal authority, and

      2. to separate citizen JOSE MANUEL ZELAYA ROSALES from the post of Constitutional President of the Republic of Honduras.
    ARTICLE 2. To promote citizen ROBERTO MICHELETTI BAIN, currently President of the National Congress, to the post of Constitutional President of the Republic, for the time which remains to complete the term of office and which expires on the 27th of January 2010.

    ARTICLE 3. The present decree becomes effective at the end of the approval of two-thirds of the vote of members who belong to the National Congress and thereupon the execution is immediate.
Cassel cites four examples of how Congress’s expulsion of Zelaya breached the Honduran constitution:

    • The Honduran Constitution lacks a provision for impeachment by Congress, one of its many defects.
    • The resignation letter was, apparently, "no more than an embarrassing ploy" and therefore a fraud committed by the Congress,
    • There was an absence of due process,
    • The expulsion of Zelaya from the territory of Honduras directly violated the Constitution
By declaring in the resolution that Zelaya had committed treason, an apparent reference to Articles 2 (usurpation of powers) and 4 (extending the term of office beyond one term) of the Constitution, the Congress made it a matter for the Supreme Court, which has jurisdiction to try allegations of treason; Congress does not. Article 205(20) permits the Congress to censure but not to remove the president. Article 242 allows the Congress to replace a president who is permanently absent. It has nothing to do with impeachment.

Edmundo Orellana [14], a legal scholar and a reasonably neutral voice, confirms many of the points raised by Cassel and delves even more deeply. The provision that the Congress might have invoked without entangling itself too deeply in the need for due process was Article 239 ("anyone who proposes to reform the constitutional ban on re-election of a president, and those who help him, ‘will cease immediately in the exercise of their respective positions.’"). The Congress specifically did not cite this. Similarly, there is a provision of the penal code that they might have mentioned—but then their intrusion into sitting in the place of judges might have been too obvious.

The legal recourse open to Congress was to accuse Zelaya of crimes and ask the Supreme Court to try him. Indeed, the Supreme Court did begin the process of indictment. However, their process did not proceed beyond the indictment stage, and even that is clouded by questions regarding the backdating of one of the two orders to seize Zelaya. To achieve even the semblance of due process, the Court would have had to hale Zelaya before it and allow him to tell his side of the story before arriving at a judgment. Even such a minimal show of respect for the law was denied by the impatience of the directors of the coup.

The Congress was also caught in its own web by the designation of succession indicated in the Constitution. Zelaya could not be declared to be permanently absent without being convicted of a crime. In a temporary absence, the President’s designee would be placed in office. Rather than execute due process—accuse Zelaya of crimes and try him—the Congress simply broke the law.

d. The scandalous Law Library Report: the Library of Congress corrupted

In August of 2009, Norma C. Gutiérrez, a researcher at the Law Library in the Library of Congress, released to Congressman Aaron Schock report LL File No. 2009-002965 titled Honduras: Constitutional Law Issues [49]. This became the basis for right-wing claims that the removal of Zelaya from office, though not his expulsion from Honduras, was legal.

It is not an exaggeration to call this report an offense to scholarship and a disgrace to the Library of Congress. One need not be a legal scholar to appreciate the fact that conclusions for key issues need to be based on diverse, objective, and verifiable sources. This is especially true for controversial issues, and triply so when the reputation of the Library of Congress would be jeopardized by reckless disregard for scholarly principles. Gutiérrez is a seasoned researcher, who has capably handled issues as politically explosive as the case of Elian, and she knows this.

But legal scholars have also eviscerated Gutiérrez’s conclusions, independent of her sourcing. Since the Library of Congress has, to the best of my knowledge, not acted to clean up this mess, despite the request of Representative Howard Berman and Senator John Kerry that the report be withdrawn [50], it is not unreasonable to suspect that the institution has become politicized. Just as with the Iraq intelligence, concocted by the Office of Special Plans, corrupt research is feeding misguided policy.

The Gutiérrez report arrives at two conclusions:

    Available sources indicate that the judicial and legislative branches applied constitutional and statutory law in the case against President Zelaya in a manner that was judged by the Honduran authorities from both branches of the government to be in accordance with the Honduran legal system.

    However, removal of President Zelaya from the country by the military is in direct violation of the Article 102 of the Constitution, and apparently this action is currently under investigation by the Honduran authorities
The latter conclusion is self-evident. The fact that no report has been issued by the Honduran government is telling. So it is the former conclusion that is at issue. Parse it: who were the Honduran authorities who judged that the judicial and legislative branches applied the law properly? Why, the same ones who executed the coup!

And who are the "available sources" that Gutiérrez used? It turns out that there is only one primary source: "Guillermo Pérez-Cadalso, a Honduran attorney who formerly served as Supreme Court Justice and Secretary of Foreign Relations." This is the Guillermo Pérez-Cadalso who served as a lobbyist for the coup [51]! He is cited in one-tenth of the footnotes (#25, #38, #40, #43, and #50). Almost a third of the other footnotes are to the Honduran Constitution. Not one of the remaining footnotes is to Cassel, Orellana, or the other many good sources that were available at the time that Gutiérrez wrote her report. And did Pérez-Cadalso prepare a legal brief or any form of writing for her? No. This was all done by telephone!

The indispensable item that Pérez-Cadalso supplied was a bizarre legal theory as to what the Honduran Congress was thinking as it voted to remove Zelaya:

    A systematic reading of the different constitutional provisions dealing with the right of Congress to interpret the Constitution (such as Article 205, Section 10 and Article 218, Section 9) also indicates that the Honduran National Congress has the power to interpret the Constitution with general effect. This task is performed through interpretative laws, decrees, or other acts. One may conclude that the National Congress implicitly exercised its power of constitutional interpretation in the case of Zelaya when it decided that its power to "disapprove" the President’s actions encompassed the power to remove him. [emphasis added]
This arrogation of the powers of the courts to interpret the laws to the Congress is not legal even in Honduras. As Krsticevic and Mendez [52], lawyers both, tartly replied:

    Dubious legal reasoning aside, it is doubtful that the Honduran Congress has the power to interpret the country's constitution. In fact, one of the provisions the report cites to support the existence of such authority does not exist. The provision in question--Article 218, section 9 of the constitution--was struck down by the Honduran Supreme Court more than six years ago.

    Citing the U.S. Supreme Court's seminal Marbury v. Madison decision, the Honduran Supreme Court affirmed the rather basic principle that for true separation of powers to exist, the courts--rather than the legislature--must have ultimate authority to interpret the constitution. This principle is further enshrined in the 2004 Law on Constitutional Justice.

They add that Gutiérrez managed to miss all of the violations of basic due process inherent in using commandos to seize a man at 5AM, bundle him into a plane, and summarily deport him.

As a coda to this sorry tale of mis/malfeasance at the Library of Congress, a very interesting interchange took place on HondurasCoup2009 with a defender of impeachment that served to expose the issues of Honduran law involved in the separations of powers question [53]. Article 205(10) of the Constitution, which eventually replaced Article 218(9) claims for the Congress the power to interpret laws. This was proposed in 2002 (Decreto 276-2002), and ratified in 2004 (Decreto 241-2003), entering the Constitution on March 10, 2004 by publication in La Gaceta. Alas, on May 7, 2003, the Honduran Supreme Court had very appropriately declared this to be unconstitutional. The Congress refused to allow the Court’s rebuke to be published, creating the illusion that it had a right to interpret law, and thereby arrogated unto itself powers that no democracy can permit it to have: the power to both make and interpret the law.

This illustrates a useful point. In not submitting meekly to the courts, Manuel Zelaya clearly did push the envelope. In Honduran politics, pushing the envelope is not unusual. For that matter, there was once a president of the United States who pretended to make laws through signing statements and Executive Orders, ignored court orders, and otherwise pushed the envelope. As far as I am aware, no American recommended that he be seized by the military and deported. So, perhaps we could apply a little humility in judging President Zelaya.

The next section will review the State Department response, human rights violations by the dictatorship, and the present situation.
____________________________________________________
Blogs that you probably aren't reading and should be:

http://www.hondurascoup2009.blogspot.com
http://www.quotha.net

_____________________________________________________
Errata. 1. "Adam" Schock corrected to Aaron Schock. Thanks to 4jkb4ia of The Seminal for catching this.

References
...

14. Edmundo Orellana, Coup D’état in Honduras. A Juridical Analysis, http://quotha.net/...

...

25. Gonzalo Sánchez, Historia del golpe de estado, desde la llegada de Zelaya al gobierno hasta la reunión del presidente legítimo con los golpistas. De la cuarta urna al genocidio en Honduras, 11/7/09, Rebelión, http://www.rebelion.org/...

26. Rodolfo Pastor Fasquelle, The short story of the Coup (a lecture presented at Harvard), 10/3/09, http://quotha.net/...

27. Honduran Supreme Court, Special Communique, http://www.poderjudicial.gob.hn/...

28. RAJ, What the Honduran Supreme Court Authorized..., 7/8/09, http://www.hondurascoup2009.blogspot...

29. Unsigned, Mel propone plebiscito para instalar Constituyente. El presidente Manuel Zelaya sigue los mismo pasos de la extrema izquierda de Suramérica, La Prensa , 11/21/08, http://www.laprensahn.com/...

30. Unsigned, "Ésa es la mayor imbecilidad que oí"Callejas niega haberse reunido con Zelaya para hablar de una Constituyente, La Prensa, 11/21/08, http://www.laprensahn.com/...

31. unofficial copy of PCM-005-2009 Presidential Decree of March 30, 2009 http://www.elsoca.org/...

32. A partial copy of this is available at http://www.laverdadenhonduras.com/...

33. Presidential decree PCM-020-2009 http://www.latribuna.hn/... and ~/gaceta-2-1000.jpg

34. Agustín Lagos, Lo que se haga debe ser legal y constitucional, 6/4/09, El Heraldo, http://www.elheraldo.hn/...

35. M. Valente, El Parlamento no convocó a todos los diputados para destituir a Zelaya, Diario Vasco, 7/6/09 http://www.diariovasco.com/...

36. Tiempo, Avión que llevaba secuestrado a Mel Zelaya se aterrizó en Palmerola, 9/3/09, http://www.tiempo.hn/...

37. State Department briefing, 6/29/09, http://www.state.gov/...

38. RAJ, The Honduran Supreme Court: In its own words, 7/29, http://hondurascoup2009.blogspot.com...

39. Helene Cooper and Marc Lacey, In a Coup in Honduras, Ghosts of Past U.S. Policies, 6/30/09, New York Times, http://www.nytimes.com/...

40. Philip J. Crowley, State Department Press Briefing, 8/17/09, http://www.state.gov/...

41. Joint Task Force Bravo/Southcom Website, viewed 11/25/09, http://www.jtfb.southcom.mil/...

42. RAJ, The Public Prosecutor’s Accusations of President Zelaya, 8/4/09, http://hondurascoup2009.blogspot.com...

43. RAJ, A Supreme Exit? 9/18/09, http://hondurascoup2009.blogspot.com...

44. The Universal Declaration of Human Rights, http://www.un.org/...

45. American Convention on Human Rights Pact of San Jose, Costa Rica http://www.oas.org/...

46. By Doug Cassel, Honduras: Coup d’Etat in Constitutional Clothing, 7/29/09, American Society of International Law, 13(9) 2009.

http://www.asil.org/...

47. Charter of the Organization of American States, http://www.oas.org/...

48. Inter-American Democratic Charter, Lima, 9/11/2001, http://www.oas.org/...

49. Norma C. Gutiérrez, Honduras: Constitutional Law Issues, 8/09, Library of Congress, LL File No. 2009-002965, http://schock.house.gov/...

50. Letter, Senator John Kerry, http://hondurascoup2009.blogspot.com...

51. Kevin Bogardus, Hondurans lobby against deposed leader The Hill, 7/9/09, http://thehill.com/...

52. Viviana Krsticevic and Juan Mendez, Was the presidential ouster legal?, 10/22/09, Forbes Magazine, http://www.forbes.com/...

53. RAJ, Congress versus the Supreme Court (a long story), 10/3/09, http://hondurascoup2009.blogspot.com...
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

Postby John Schröder » Wed Dec 02, 2009 10:21 am

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/ ... n-Honduras.

Whom the gods would destroy, part 3: The crisis in Honduras.

Introduction: 3. Responses to the coup: This section of the multi-part series examines responses to the coup by the US government. The documentary record, as well as actions taken by the US government suggest that either the United States was complicit in the coup either before or after the fact. Alternatively, perhaps the State Department is so incompetent that it poses a clear and present danger to the United States.

This section also looks at the causes of violence in Honduras. While it's very difficult to get an exact read on what is going on, there is a serious concern about the presence of paramilitary troops, many of them from Colombia. There's an outside chance that they are being funded by USAID/Plan Colombia money. What is not at doubt is that US money flowing through NED is being used to influence the elections.

Whom the gods would destroy

By Charles Utwater II

3. Responses to the coup


a. Recap In the previous section, it was established that there is reason to suspect that the decision to overthrow Zelaya was arrived at, perhaps in consultation with the US military and State Department, before Zelaya announced the Decree calling for a consulta. Also, certain documents, notably a letter purporting to represent Zelaya’s resignation but also perhaps some of the Supreme Court documents including the warrant for his arrest, may have been falsified. The international community intervened to reverse the coup not arbitrarily, but because the expulsion of Zelaya and other plain violations of Honduran law thrust the matter into its collective face. It was further shown that the legal theory raised by the Law Library of the Library of Congress in the defense of the proposition that Zelaya’s removal could be legitimate was based on laughably bad research.

It seems clear that the courts overstepped their bounds on several matters. First, as Edmundo Orellana [14] said:

    The court made an inexcusable error, to wit: to attempt that in the verdict would be included not only the Act that had been challenged, but also all future Acts of the defendant. With that, in practice, the clarification became a new verdict, which would rule on Acts which were not the object of the verdict and, additionally, which lacked physical reality, since it attempted to command regarding Acts which the judge imagined the Executive might order in the future.
But the court also overstepped in forbidding Zelaya’s dismissal of General Romeo Vásquez Velásquez. As HondurasCoup2009 dryly commented [54] in summarizing the Supreme Court’s ruling about the case, which directly flies in the face of Constitutional language giving the President absolute power to dismiss military commanders: "Zelaya apparently could fire the general, but he did it the wrong way."

Granted, the dismissal of the General could be viewed as defiance of the order forbidding a consulta. This is what coup supporters argue and it’s the reason that Edmundo Orellana resigned. As he said in his resignation letter to the Congress [55], the poll had not been declared illegal, but the Court had ordered in an act of "juridical idiocy" that it not be conducted, so he advised the President to abstain from pressing against the envelope.

However, Zelaya had shown respect for the Judiciary by modifying Decreto-05-2009 to remove the offending language and to make it clear that what he was attempting was a nonbinding opinion poll. The Armed Forces are not constitutionally responsible for conducting polls. Therefore, removing the survey forms from the Army base fell outside the Court’s order. Whether one agrees with this argument or not, the Court should have heard arguments on the matter rather than pressing forward with a "juridical idiocy." The fact that in the language in their cover letter describing their actions they were forced to shuffle, like a naughty child sneaking a cookie, from consulta in points 1-3 to consulta o encuesta in point 4 and to encuesta in point 5 illustrates their own disrespect for the law. One need not agree with Zelaya’s relentless determination to press forward toward a Constituyente to conclude that the Supreme Court acted arbitrarily, in a manner inconsistent with the Honduran Constitution.

In weighing these matters and understanding what the consequences of the coup will be, it’s important to understand the true situation in the country, the true attitude of the United States government, and the present attitude of the world. The following sub-sections review the actions and statements of the US government, as well as the thin evidence regarding the sources of violence in Honduras.

b. The State Department. The US government is not monolithic. In Haiti, for example, the CIA all but publicly opposed the efforts of President Clinton to stabilize Haiti when he sent peacekeeping troops in 1993. The State Department and the Administration do enunciate policy publicly. They can be judged by whether their actions match their words, and they choose their words exceptionally carefully. But the actions of the covert branches of the government such as the CIA are not reported as such. They must usually be inferred from events.

A complication occurs because a proliferation of agencies—governmental, non-profit (NGO), and quasi-nongovernmental (quango)—serve as conduits for covert money flowing through what looks like non-covert pipelines. For example, Hillary Clinton not only heads the State Department, she is Chairman of the Board of Millenium Challenge Corp.[56] a heretofore ineffectual quango that drinks from the State Department trough (see S.1434 for the most recent status of 2010 Foreign Aid appropriations). Millenium Challenge Corporation (MDC) supplies large amounts of money to projects in Honduras, the continuation of which has the effect of sustaining the dictatorship [57], including direct payments to companies owned by Liberal Party candidate, Elvin Santos [58]. The continued flow of money, and the grudging reduction of the volume of its flow by Clinton, supports the idea that the State Department supports the coup. However, there is an alternative interpretation to the money situation, namely that Clinton needed projects to be completed to justify the continuation of MDC in the face of increasing congressional asperity and was willing to sacrifice democracy in Honduras to achieve that end.

Another indicator that the US government is not serious about preventing the precedent established by a successful coup is that the CIA-linked International Republican Institute (IRI), an NGO receiving money from the (State Department-funded quango) National Endowment for Democracy (NED) [59, 60, 61], is going to Honduras as an "observer" of the elections, along with its faux-left counterpart, the National Democratic Institute [62].

Whether such groups are directed by the CIA or whether their actions are inspired by pure stupidity is unclear. What is clear is that their meddling generally backfires, sometimes as catastrophically as the intervention in Venezuela. Even their great success, Viktor Yuschenko of the Ukraine, is now under 10% approval in the polls, [63], regarded as incompetent and quarrelsome. Sending observers, widely believed to be tutored by the CIA but certainly not tutored in the complex politics of Honduras, to meddle in elections that most outsiders regard as a sham reinforces the notion that the State Department supports the coup. If a foreign government did this to us, we might well declare war.

The most unambiguous signal that the US was never serious about negotiating Zelaya’s return was its choice of Lewis Amselem, Deputy U.S. Permanent Representative to the Organization of American States, as representative to the OAS. There is no doubt that Amselem is a veteran, having joined the foreign service in 1978. Nor is there any question that he has relevant experience. One problem is his abrasive personality. After suffering the gratuitously rude remarks of Lewis Amselem for many months, Rodolfo Pastor Fasquelle said the following. As a post by a member of the government on the official website, it carries special force [64]:

    "Someone has to say it to the American people. The people of Honduras feel betrayed by the United States government and resent the bad joke played by American diplomats at its expense. We were led to believe first that the US government sympathized with our plight, only to discover gradually that it is willing to back and whitewash the dictatorship imposed on us."...

    "...there has never once been a sign of solidarity, much less of condemnation, from the US. We would not have US military intervention. And we are not asking for particular reprisals (those are sovereign decisions) but only that the US be consistent with the position to which it had committed itself, of working within regional multilateral organization"
    ...
    With no small insolence, insinuating that U.S. recognition will be enough in the end, U.S. Ambassador Amselem asked the OAS Assembly last week: "What does not recognizing the coming elections mean, not in the the world of magic realism, but in the real world?" Since diplomats won’t, let me explain to such a well-read man that it means that Honduras is headed toward a Revolution, with the backing of the peoples and governments of the continent and, that being the circumstance, perhaps it is not in the interest of the country he represents and which purports to back multilateralism, to stand in our way.
If only bad manners were the worst of Amselem’s problems. His real problem is that he is closely associated, at least in the minds of Central Americans, with the Guatemalan death squads. The following, presented here thanks to Al Giordano’s [65] good memory, is from Sister Dianna Ortiz’s account of her kidnapping, gang-rape. and torture by those death squads:

    "...after a U.S. doctor had counted 111 cigarette burns on my back alone, the story changed. In January 1990, the Guatemalan defense minister publicly announced that I was a lesbian and had staged my abduction to cover up a tryst. The minister of the interior echoed this statement and then said he had heard it first from the U.S. embassy. According to a congressional aide, the political affairs officer at the U.S. embassy, Lew Amselem, was indeed spreading the same rumor.

    "In the presence of Ambassador Thomas Stroock, this same human rights officer told a delegation of religious men and women concerned about my case that he was ‘tired of these lesbian nuns coming down to Guatemala.’ The story would undergo other permutations. According to the Guatemalan press, the ambassador came up with another version: he told the Guatemalan defense minister that I was not abducted and tortured but simply ‘had problems with [my] nerves.’" [66]
Lewis Amselem is the man that Hillary Clinton had at the table representing the United States of America in negotiations regarding a dictatorship that included at least one member of the Honduran death squads of the 1980s, Billy Joya Améndola [67, 68] and that showed every sign of going down the road of repression and murder that Central America had experienced then. Incredibly, Clinton had met with Sister Dianna in the 1990s and presumably knew of Amselem’s role in covering up American complicity in her ordeal. If, by some fluke she didn’t know about Amselem's past before the Honduran crisis, she has been reminded.

In addition to suspending some MDC funds, the US did, after a long delay, lift the visas of a few members of the coup membership. Among other actions that the US might have taken and did not were the following:

    • Declare the event a military coup
    • Withdraw the US Ambassador
    • Withdraw the US military
    • Refuse to include Honduras in scheduled Panamax military exercises
    • Enact a trade embargo
    • Freeze bank accounts of members of the dictatorship
    • Suspend all travel
While most of these are serious sanctions, not to be undertaken lightly, the failure to have any serious sanctions that would puncture the confidence of the dictatorship is, at best, incompetence. The coup media openly discussed the matter as evidence of US lack of seriousness or even of support.

As was noted by Arnold August [69], the very first statement of Hillary Clinton [70] failed even to call the coup a coup, calling it an "action." While one does not wish to over-interpret her choice of words, diplomatic language is very carefully chosen. Doubtless the Secretary discussed this phrase with her career advisors. Yet it’s a word that is unusual in diplomatic language, being used more usually in concert with an adjective, e.g., "military action" or "diplomatic action." "Actions" are things requiring a response, like a move in chess.

From that fog-beshrouded start, the State Department’s line only softened. Here are key excerpts from June and July, as well as a few additional excerpts from August-November.

6/29 (Monday) Press briefing [37]:

    Ian Kelly: "...we’re looking to do is make it clear to the various parties in Honduras that this is absolutely outside the bounds of democratic principles and constitutional norms, and it needs to be reversed."
    ...
    QUESTION: "Is that the only way constitutional order can be restored? The only way democratic rule is restored is if he is brought back to power?"
    MR. KELLY: "I think that’s the most important aspect of it that we are focused on now."
    ...
    QUESTION: "Is it fair to say that the Secretary said, look, as a practical matter, this is a coup, but we’re not yet making that formal legal determination, which would, of course, then trigger the cutoff of most aid."
    MR. KELLY: "Yeah."
6/30 (Tuesday) Press Briefing [71]:

    MR. KELLY: "Well, okay. You heard what the Secretary said yesterday. She said that there is a coup."
    QUESTION: "Well –"
    MR. KELLY: "The President said there’s a coup."
    QUESTION: "Right."
    MR. KELLY: "We do have some facts, of course, and the facts are that the constitutional order in Honduras has been overturned."
7/2 (Thursday) Press briefing [72]:

    MR. KELLY: "Well, of course, our goal is the restoration of constitutional – of the constitutional order in Tegucigalpa, which means the restoration of President Zelaya."
On July 5th, Zelaya attempted to return with President of the UN General Assembly Miguel d’Escoto to his homeland via Toncontin airport. The coup parked trucks on the runway to prevent the plane from landing.

7/6 (Monday) Press briefing [73]:

    QUESTION: "Have you figured out yet what – when you say you seek the restoration of democratic order, have you guys yet figured out exactly what that means?"
    MR. KELLY: "Well, I think it means – in the most immediate instance, it means the return of the democratically elected president to Tegucigalpa –.."
7/7 (Tuesday Press briefing [74]:

    MR. KELLY: "Well, I know I owe you guys an answer on what exactly we have decided to pause, what aid we’re not pushing through. So we’re still working on this. Basically, what we’re looking at is aid that would directly benefit the de facto regime down there, so obviously, that means military assistance programs. But we’re still – I mean, we’ve taken a policy decision to stop aid that might be subject to this – the statute. And so I think that’s kind of a broad definition. I mean, it’s still a fairly small percentage of our overall aid because most of our aid would not come under this statute. And this would be humanitarian aid, which goes directly to the people – it doesn’t go to the government – and any aid that would be construed as democracy promotion."
    ...
    QUESTION: "There is reports in Honduras that the money who is coming in from democracy and – you know, it’s getting in hands of the opposition guys who now are celebrating that Zelaya is out of power or out of government. Are you –"
    MR. KELLY: "No, I’m not –"
    QUESTION: "Will you review that situation? Is there at least any –"
    MR. KELLY: "I’m not aware of those reports. But as I say, we’re conducting a very thorough review of all our assistance right now."
7/10 (Friday) Press briefing[75]:

    QUESTION: "And your end game is – or the end result that you want to see is Zelaya return?"
    ASSISTANT SECRETARY CROWLEY: "We haven’t changed. That’s exactly right."
7/14 (Tuesday) Press briefing [76]:

    QUESTION: "And does that still entail his – Zelaya’s return?"
    MR. KELLY: "That’s – that yes – because that is – the restoration of the democratic order would mean the restoration of the democratically elected president."
    QUESTION: "Who is?"
    MR. KELLY: "President Zelaya."
7/20 (Monday) Press briefing [77]:

    QUESTION: "P.J., just to clarify that. You said that you told Zelaya that mediation is the way. But have you told him specifically, ‘Do not go back because it’s dangerous and it could create tension and violence’."
    MR. CROWLEY: "Yes."
    QUESTION: "Directly, you’ve said that?"
    MR. CROWLEY: "Yes."
    ...
    QUESTION: "Coming back to Honduras, we’re getting some reports out of the region that there might be some sort of rift now between Zelaya and the Venezuelan Government. Is that Washington’s understanding? And if so, is that something that can be leveraged as these negotiations move on? To put it another way, is Chavez out of the way, and does that make Washington happy?"
    MR. CROWLEY: "(Laughter.) We certainly think that if we were choosing a model government and a model leader for countries of the region to follow, that the current leadership in Venezuela would not be a particular model. If that is the lesson that President Zelaya has learned from this episode, that would be a good lesson."
    ...
    MR. CROWLEY: "I mean, right now, our focus is on the mediation efforts and trying to help President Arias find a way to bring this to a successful conclusion. I mean, this isn’t – it – we shouldn’t personalize this. We are committed to a return to democratic and constitutional order. We want to see President Zelaya finish his term. We want to see Honduras move forward with new elections and to put in place a new government that the Honduran people can support, and we’ll see as legitimate. We reject the – rejected the extra-constitutional way in which President Zelaya was removed from power. But these are about the – this is about our support for the principles that are laid out in the Inter-American Democratic Charter."

    "I think what you see here is that we have put in place a policy that reflects those principles. It’s why the Secretary went to the region last month and fought hard for those principles in the – when the issue came up over Cuba. It’s not about a particular leader. It’s about a trend that we’ve seen in the region, a very encouraging trend that we’ve seen in the region in recent decades. And we don’t want to see any backsliding from that trend."

    "Yes."

    QUESTION: "When you say that the Venezuelan Government is – should not be an example of government for any leader –"
    MR. CROWLEY: "I’m a believer in understatement."
    QUESTION: "Can you say that again? (Laughter.) It’s like – it’s justifying, sort of, the coup d’état, because if any government try to follow the socialist Government of Venezuela, then it’s fair, then, that somebody can try to make it – you know, defeat the government or something like that? Can you explain a little bit where we’re – what was your statement about Venezuela?"
On July 24th, Zelaya crossed briefly into Honduras from Nicaragua. Despite the dictatorship’s growls that he would be arrested for many crimes, again he was not.

July 27 (Monday) press briefing [78]:

    QUESTION: "Yeah. President Zelaya – not very happy with comments that Secretary Clinton made on Friday saying that his move was reckless, and he’s asking for the Administration to take – you know, put immediate sanctions on numerous people. What’s your reaction to that?"
    MR. KELLY: "Well, we’re continuing to urge President Zelaya to allow this political process to play out, this – these negotiations that are being spearheaded by Costa Rican President Arias. We are urging all sides to refrain from actions that would not further this process. And we see this attempt to enter Honduras, absent any kind of political agreement between the two sides that would allow for his return, as not helpful."

    "And what happened on Friday, as you heard, this going right up to the border point and even crossing over the border point, the Secretary termed, I think quite rightly, reckless. And I think that all sides have to focus on coming to a peaceful political resolution of this conflict."
    ...
    QUESTION: "Do you still believe that the return of democratic rule requires the restoration of President Zelaya as president?"
    MR. KELLY: "We – our policy remains the same, that we want the restoration of democratic order. And that includes the return by mutual agreement of the democratically elected president, and that’s President Zelaya."
7/28 (Tuesday) Press briefing [79]:

    MR. KELLY: "...The Department of State is currently reviewing the diplomatic visas or A visas of individuals who are members of the de facto regime in Honduras, as well as the derivative visas for family members of these individuals. We have already revoked diplomatic visas issued to four such individuals. These individuals received their diplomatic visas in connection with positions held prior to June 28th under the Zelaya Administration, but who now serve the de facto regime."
7/31 (Friday) Press briefing [80]:

    QUESTION: "But do you oppose Micheletti’s flat comments like these, that under no circumstances will Zelaya be allowed to return?"
    MR. CROWLEY: "Well, at various times in the last few days, you have heard conflicting reports. Our message to Micheletti and to Zelaya are clear: President Arias has put forward an effective resolution to the crisis, and we encourage both sides to accept it."
The State Department partially cut aid to Honduras on September 3rd.

9/3 (Thursday) Press Briefing [81]:

    QUESTION: "And then secondly, why not go the whole distance and make the determination that this is a coup, a legal determination?"
    MR. CROWLEY: "Well – "
    QUESTION: "A military coup."
    MR. CROWLEY: "Well, but the Secretary, in terminating the aid, did not have to reach that conclusion."
    QUESTION: "But why didn’t she reach that conclusion? Why, when the democratically elected president of a sovereign country gets bundled onto an airplane in his pajamas by the military and flown into exile, is that not a military coup?"

    MR. CROWLEY: "Well, let’s focus on what we are trying to do here. We are trying to see democratic, constitutional rule restored in Honduras. ..."
    ...
    QUESTION: "But why isn’t it a military coup?"
    MR. CROWLEY: "I’m not going to parse complex facts and judgments here. The Secretary did not have to make that determination to take the action that she has taken."
    ...
    QUESTION: "-- you’re sending a mixed message, because on one hand, yes, you’re suspending aid. You’re not definitively calling it a military coup. And this – and he charges that this Micheletti government is not taking you seriously, is not kind of respecting your will that if you were to be declarative about what you think this is, that you would – he would have a better leg to stand on."
    MR. CROWLEY: "Well, I think we’ve actually sent, Elise, a very clear message. The United States is sending a very clear and compelling message to the de facto regime: The status quo isn’t acceptable. They have, in fact, failed to sign on to the San Jose Accords. They have, in fact, failed to assure the international community they are willing to abide by the outlines of the Arias process – the international monitoring, the truth and reconciliation commission."

    "The United States is sending a very clear message here: We want to see democratic, constitutional rule restored to Honduras through peaceful means."
11/18/09 (Wednesday) Press briefing [82]:

    QUESTION: "Ian, on Honduras, the parliament seems to have put off until after the election a decision on whether Zelaya will be restored. What does that do for the possible credibility of these elections?"
    MR. KELLY: "Yeah. Well, let me give you kind of an update of where we are. Craig Kelly, of course, has been in Tegucigalpa. He’s been down there to help support the implementation of the accord. He held a series of meetings down there to support the OAS efforts to have it fully implemented. He’s met with President Zelaya and he met with the de facto leader Mr. Micheletti. He told us that these were very frank and open talks.

    Regarding the reports on the Honduran lawmakers will not decide on whether or not to restore Zelaya until after the elections, according to the accord, the – it called for the national congress to issue a pronouncement on the restoration of a democratically elected authority, Mr. Zelaya. As you know, it never stipulated a timetable for the congressional action. All along, we’ve called on the congress to act expeditiously in the spirit of the accord. We believe that steady steps towards the implementation of the accord will enhance the prospects for transparent, free, and open elections that will ultimately resolve this crisis and allow Honduras to rejoin the international community of nations.
    Another one of these important steps towards the implementation of the accord and resolving this crisis is the formation of the – of a government of national unity. So that’s also an important component to this.

    But since the accord never actually gave any kind of deadline by – to have this vote by the national congress, scheduling the vote on December 2nd doesn’t necessarily – isn’t necessarily inconsistent with the accord."
    QUESTION: "What – I’m sorry. That’s – you’ve just opened your – this is – they’re going to have a field day with this. So it’s okay with you if five years from now, they go and come back and say, all right, yeah, Zelaya can go – he’s restored, when you can’t – you can’t be restored after you’re voted out of office if you’re not – he’s not even running."
    MR. KELLY: "That’s right. I mean, he – his term ends the end of January."
    QUESTION: "Yeah. And so it’s okay – so it’s okay with you, and you’ll – it will be all right and you’ll accept the results of the election, if they – even if they don’t put him back in when you –"
    MR. KELLY: "Well, he’s not running. He’s not running for the election."
    QUESTION: "Yeah, but he’s going to be out – he’s effectively out of office. I mean, talk about – that’s the lamest of lame ducks. He’s not – he is – I’m confused. You no longer think that he has to be restored before he is voted out of office?"
    MR. KELLY: "Well, it has been a very strong principle of ours that in order for the country to be reconciled, there has to be a restoration of the democratically elected president. That implies that he has to be restored before the end of his term, okay?"
    QUESTION: "So basically –"
    QUESTION: "All right. So 10 minutes – 10 minutes before the end of his term?"
    QUESTION: "December – until the end of January it can be."
    MR. KELLY: "Look, I mean, clearly, he has to be restored in a timely way. And I don’t think we’ve ever said anything but that."
State Dept. briefing (Thursday), 11/19/09 [83]:

    QUESTION: "I believe last week, or maybe a little bit before then, you were asked about human rights abuses in Honduras, and reports from the same organization that Dave just mentioned as well as Amnesty International and local human rights groups who have catalogued 4,234 violations since the coup, including 21 murders, or executions as they call them."

    "There are growing calls from trade union movement here for the U.S. not to recognize the elections unless these things are corrected. Is this something of concern to you guys?"
    MR. KELLY: "It is. It has been and remains a concern. There have been a number of human rights violations since the coup, and we have consistently called on the regime to respect the rights of individual citizens. And we’ve been particularly concerned about some of the moves against the media. And the U.S. Embassy in Tegucigalpa is closely monitoring the situation. It has reported back to us about a number of allegations of arbitrary arrests, disproportionate use of force, and, in particular, restrictions on freedom of expression. So yeah, we are concerned about it."
    QUESTION: "Well, what are you doing about it?"
    MR. KELLY: "Well, I just laid out to you that we’re monitoring very, very closely and we’re engaged with the government of Mr. Micheletti to express our concerns."
    QUESTION: "Right, but do you think that this has any impact on whether the election can be free and fair?"
    MR. KELLY: "I mean, an election being recognized as free and fair has many different aspects. The lack of freedom of media, of course, is an important – would be an important indicator of this. But as I’ve said before, I think we need to look at exactly how the elections are conducted. But it is fair to say that we are concerned about the human rights situation."
    QUESTION: "All right. Well, I guess what I’m trying to get at is does this play any role in whether you will recognize the election, setting aside the whole Zelaya reinstitution? "
    MR. KELLY: "Well –"
    QUESTION: "Or is it a case where, "Well, there may be some abuses going on and it may – but it’s not going to – we’re still going to recognize the election?"
    MR. KELLY: "We’ll have to see how it – how they’re actually conducted. Part of it, of course, is the run-up to the elections themselves. It’s not just the day of the election. A big part of whether or not elections are free and fair –"
    QUESTION: "That’s exactly why I’m asking the question. In the run-up to the election, so it –"
    MR. KELLY: "Yeah, yeah. Well, sure, I mean, we’ll look at restrictions on the media, particularly restrictions of access to candidates in the campaign before the elections themselves."
Most interesting of these are the briefings of 7/7 (in which the State Department is informed that US appropriations through the democracy programs like the IRI are being misapplied to fund the dictatorship), and 7/20, in which Colonel Crowley says he hopes that Zelaya has learned a lesson, which certainly sounds like a threat. One of the press calls him out, saying that is sounds as if he is justifying the coup d’etat.

In the 9/28 briefing, the reporter astutely notes that State is sending a mixed message by not calling the coup a military coup, which has consequences in US law. The reporters sense the incoherence of the position that Crowley is defending and pummel him like a piñata. By 11/18, the State Department’s coherence has broken down so far that spokesman Ian Kelly is reduced to saying that Zelaya has to be restored in a timely way, even if that is 10 minutes before his term ends. On 11/19, the State Department finally recognizes that human rights violations have occurred, but only mentions freedom of the press specifically.

Another avenue into understanding the mindset at the State Department is found in a fascinating report from mid-November by anthropologist Adrienne Pine on a meeting with the Director of the Central American desk, Christopher Webster and his sidekick, Gabriela Zambrano [84]. What comes across is a bureaucrat, poorly-informed about the area he is in charge of, defensive, delusional about the prospects of restoring democracy, and yet aware that things are not really going to plan. Among the tidbits tucked into the report, Webster says that:

    "the implementation of the San Jose Accords has admittedly not been ideal."
    ...
    "...there have been problems with freedom of the press, but the two main radio stations are on the air, and we were happy to find out that last week's interruptions were just due to interference, not to the de facto government" [but, of course, the interference was due to the de facto government, at least in the case of Channel 36 [85]
    ...
    "The charges of president Zelaya and his supporters of widespread repression are also exaggerated, of military shooting into crowds, etc...." [as Pine says, film of these shootings is widely available]
    ...
    "We have seen some evidence of excessive force, arbitrary arrests" {in other words, he is unaware even of Elizabeth Malkin’s report in The New York Times [86]}
    ...
    [Pine paraphrases his response to her confronting him with evidence that the State Department coup] "By this point the director was shaking visibly, and had begun to stutter. He resented the implication, and begged to differ again, claiming that they did not recognize the de facto government and had done everything in their power to restore democratic order"
    ...
    "I'm not so sure the assassinations are well documented."
    ...
    [Pine paraphrases] "So here I got into the magical realism of the accords, saying that it was everyone's understanding that Zelaya would be reinstated before the elections, by November 5th in fact, and that the accords were worth nothing with that trust broken. At this point, Ms. Zambrano became more active than at any other point in the interview, vigorously and angrily shaking her head ‘no.’ Webster became a lawyer, smugly and aggressively pointing out that it was only the unity government that had to be agreed upon by that time. [which, of course, it wasn’t, because Zelaya as was his right reserved his support for a unity government until the coup demonstrated an inkling of good faith]."
    ...
    "...certainly we don't plan to support repression or repressive elections. We have taken measures against the repression and will take more."
To summarize, then, the State Department shifted its position gradually, shuffling from "[the coup] needs to be reversed" to "the return by mutual agreement of the democratically elected president" (emphasis added) on 7/27 to "We want to see democratic, constitutional rule restored to Honduras through peaceful means" on 9/3 to the last whimper: "...we’ll look at restrictions on the media..."

The major shift occurred in about mid-July. Colonel Crowley implicitly threatened Zelaya on July 20th by saying that he hoped that he’d learned a lesson regarding Chavez. On July 24th, Zelaya crossed into Nicaragua. Hillary Clinton accused him of being "reckless," though it was never clear why she did so. After that, the Administration never called unilaterally for Zelaya’s restoration even in the weak terms that it had been using in mid-July. Instead, they shifted to a formula saying was only by mutual agreement through the "San Jose Accords" that Zelaya could return. On July 28th, State imposed the very first real sanctions by suspending some visas, so perhaps Zelaya’s bit of theater at the Nicaraguan border had some effects. But State did not really sanction Honduras until September 3rd, when it cut aid. By that time, any chance of significantly affecting the course of events had fled.

c. The Administration. According to a search of the White House archives, there are only 22 documents in which Barack Obama has mentioned Honduras since the coup. Most of those are duplications, such as a press release followed by a press conference, or incidental, such as the nomination of a person to a post. On a few occasions, Obama has spoken clearly, but not boldly, and the limited force of the statements has abated with time. On 6/29, he did not declare the coup "illegal," calling it only "not legal," a far weaker designation. On 7/7, he spoke of the "restoration" of Zelaya. By 8/10, he stated that Zelaya "remains" the president of Honduras. And on 9/16, a joint press release said merely that the US and Canada sought a "peaceful restoration of democratic and constitutional order" without mentioning Zelaya at all. Since then, he has not mentioned the coup in any White House document. His spokesman, Robert Gibbs, was even less forthright. Here are Obama’s key statements:

    "President Zelaya was democratically elected. He had not yet completed his term. We believe that the coup was not legal and that President Zelaya remains the President of Honduras, the democratically elected President there. In that we have joined all the countries in the region, including Colombia and the Organization of American States." --Barack Obama, 6/29 [87]

    "Now let me be clear: America cannot and should not seek to impose any system of government on any other country, nor would we presume to choose which party or individual should run a country. And we haven't always done what we should have on that front. Even as we meet here today, America supports now the restoration of the democratically-elected President of Honduras, even though he has strongly opposed American policies. We do so not because we agree with him. We do so because we respect the universal principle that people should choose their own leaders, whether they are leaders we agree with or not." --Barack Obama, 7/7/09 [88]

    "And in particular, we discussed the coup in Honduras. As has been mentioned, our three nations stand united on this issue. President Zelaya remains the democratically elected president. For the sake of the Honduran people, democratic and constitutional order must be restored." --Barack Obama, 8/10/09 [89]

    "In particular, they reiterated their shared commitment to helping the Afghan government prevent Afghanistan from again becoming a base for terrorism and they restated U.S. and Canadian support for the peaceful restoration of democratic and constitutional order in Honduras and called on all parties to accept the San José Accord." --Joint Statement by Stephen Harper and Barack Obama, 9/16 [90]
d. Covert action, the paramilitaries, and allegations against the resistance

It’s impossible to know with any certainty what covert branches of the US government or other governments are doing in Honduras.This section covers issues that have been raised related to unlawful violence either by the resistance or by coup government.

As to violence by the resistance, there’s an awkward point. According to Article 3 of the Honduran Constitution, people have a right to insurrection against an illegitimate government [18]. It’s not a matter of settled law how far that goes. While many crimes that have been committed after the coup could not be characterized as crimes of insurrection, certainly graffiti, blocking highways, occupying buildings, and other non-violent crimes or even acts of violence committed in self-defense represent lawful actions. Most of the resistance members in prison would be released if that standard were used.

Still, it’s hard to extend insurrection to the case of arson against a Popeye’s restaurant on August 11th. The resistance claims that this was the work of police infiltrators [91]. Judge Maritza Arita Herrera judge apparently believed that those who had been arrested had some mitigating circumstance, because the young men were given suspended sentences by [92]. Judge Herrera was suspended for not having delivered the verdict that higher-ups wanted [93]. That suspension further deprived subsequent convictions of members of the resistance of legitimacy. Indeed, human rights organizations say that there have been 4,000 politically-motivated cases of imprisonment [94, 95].

Three other cases deserve brief mention. One is the destruction of electrical transmission towers. To the best of my knowledge, the motives and perpetrators are unknown. It certainly could be the work of the resistance, but they’re far from the only suspects. Those who are hurt worst by electrical outages are the less affluent, and the resistance has complained that one means by which the dictatorship controls the media is by electrical outages. The two other cases are murders that occurred at about the same time, Enzo Micheletti (a nephew of the Roberto Micheletti) and the other of Colonel Concepción Jiménez [96]. Authorities have discounted a political motive in both cases. The allegations by the pro-coup press of involvement by Cuba, Nicaragua or Venezuela in violence have never been substantiated.

Violence against the resistance is too extensive to review. About 20 assassinations have been documented, but most human rights observers think that the true numbers run into the hundreds. Especially recently, assassinations of resistance leaders have skyrocketed. Many hundreds have been severely beaten or shot. And, as indicated about, many thousands have been jailed, probably unjustly. One representative murder is that of Marco Antonio Vallecillos, who was a congressional candidate of the minor PINU party, who was murdered by gunmen on a motorcycle. He was the nephew of the owner of Radio Globo [97; see note by reference below].

One report of potential covert activity was of a Dutch Minister to the European Parliament, Hans van Baalen, who was said by Radio Netherlands to have been in Nicaragua to seek Army officers to overthrow President Daniel Ortega. After being invited to troll elsewhere, van Baalen then went to Honduras to consult with Roberto Micheletti Bain [98].

Another report that could represent covert activity was a report on August 2nd by René Andrés Pavón, President of the Honduran Human Rights Commission (CODEH), who told journalist Dick Emanuelsson that Israeli commandos were training Honduran forces, as they had trained Colombian paramilitaries previously [99]. To the best of my knowledge, no independent proof of this exists, but the allegation is specific enough that if there were any investigative reporters left in the US press, they could certainly prove or disprove it. And there’s this very odd point that the Honduran dictatorship keeps claiming that Israel supports it, even as Israel denies the same [100]. According to the coup press, they even provided what the pro-coup press described as very sophisticated technology, the "ultimate secret weapon," a LRAD sonic cannon, to the dictatorship [101].

Israeli mercenaries could, of course, be freelance operators. US mercenaries are found all over the world, often acting independently of or even against US interests. But for some reason, elements of the American couch potato press, notably Frances Robles of the Miami Herald [102], jumped on Zelaya’s mention of this story, presumably to tag Zelaya and therefore the resistance as nutty anti-Semites.

Now, there is anti-Semitism in Latin America. Indeed, the Catholic Church preached it from the pulpit until relatively recently [103]. Honduras is especially complicated, because the oligarchy is ethnically Middle Eastern—mostly of Palestinian Christian descent, but there are also some Jews. Anti-Semitism in Honduras or anywhere else is not to be taken lightly, although the more prevalent form of ethnic hatred is against the "turcos"—those of Arab descent. A shocking case of anti-Semitism was exhibited by David Romero of Radio Globo, himself of Jewish ancestry, who said that he wished that Hitler had succeeded, because (counterfactually) then the Honduran oligarchy would never have existed [104].

Al Giordano, aided by a reader put together a fairly convincing case that Robles may have been so energized by the thought of tagging the resistance as anti-Semitic as to sensationalize or perhaps even fabricate quotes [104]:

    In a September 24 story, headlined "They’re Torturing Me, Zelaya Claims," Robles typed the following lead paragraph:

    "It's been 89 days since Manuel Zelaya was booted from power. He's sleeping on chairs, and he claims his throat is sore from toxic gases and ‘Israeli mercenaries’ are torturing him with high-frequency radiation [102]."

    Normal journalistic procedure when lifting a sensationalist quotation like that reference to "Israeli mercenaries" in a first paragraph is to then, in a later paragraph, provide the full quote in its full context so that readers can judge for themselves what really was said.
    Robles did not do that, which raised the first red flag about her intentions.

    Asked six times by a reader, via email, to provide the full quote in its context, Robles kept replying via email to that reader with lengthy self-important defenses while still refusing to provide the exact quote from which she extracted the words "Israeli mercenaries" and put other words, not quoted, around them.
Other media reported this story and managed not to sensationalize it. And the readership of the Miami Herald, like that of the rest of the United States, still has no idea whether Israeli mercenaries are training Honduran troops, or not.

One reason why the question of Israeli mercenaries is so interesting is because of a story about which there is no question, namely the introduction of Colombian United Self-Defense Forces (AUC) paramilitaries into Honduras [105]:

    The AUC, essentially an umbrella organization of various right-wing death squads, many of which also collaborate with Colombian drug traffickers, is one of the region's most notorious paramilitary organizations and is classified as a terrorist group by the U.S. State Department. Supposedly "demobilized" in 2006, the AUC has largely continued to carry out its drug-dealing activities and campaign of violence and intimidation against campesinos, indigenous peoples, stigmatized social groups such as homosexuals and prostitutes, labor organizers, critical journalists, and human rights advocates.
Interestingly [106],

    Earlier this month [March, 2007], Chiquita, the international fruit corporation, admitted to funding a Colombian terrorist group and agreed to pay a $25 million fine. The Justice Department indictment, filed March 13 in D.C. Federal Court, states that Chiquita gave more than $1.7 million to the United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia (Autodefensas Unidas de Colombia - AUC), an illegal right-wing anti-guerrilla group tied to many of the country's most notorious civilian massacres.
That would be the Chiquita that is so influential in Honduras. Another interesting point is that USAID and Plan Colombia money is known to have leaked into the hands of Colombian paramilitaries, but not necessarily the same ones as those who went to Honduras [107].

e. Summary of responses to the coup

By its actions and its words, the US government looks as if it is supporting the coup in a number of ways:

    • By failing to impose serious sanctions on the dictatorship,
    • By signaling to the dictatorship that it will recognize elections and that elections will serve to wash away the stigma of dictatorship,
    • By using Lewis Amselem as a representative, signaling a support for death squads
    • By refusing to press the dictatorship on human rights issues,
    • By failing to genuinely cut ties to the Honduran military,
    • By continuing to inject money through normal channels such as MDC,
    • By injecting money and resources through quasi-covert channels such as NED/IRI/NDI and perhaps even through covert channels such as Colombian USAID or Plan Columbia money.

In addition, much of the technology used for repression probably originates in the United States.

The first statements by Barack Obama and by State Department spokesmen are moderately strong rejections of the coup, a position from which they slowly shifted away. That suggests that if there was complicity by the Administration with the coup, it probably began after the expulsion of Zelaya.

It’s of course certainly possible that the State Department is just incredibly incompetent. But the consequences of the coup are serious and lasting. They will be discussed in detail in the final section. The next section will look at the situation in the country at present, and how the elections are likely to play out.

To be continued in part 4

_____________________________________________________________________
Blogs you probably aren't reading and should be:

http://www.hondurascoup2009.blogspot.com
http://www.quotha.net

_____________________________________________________________________

References

14. Edmundo Orellana, Coup D’état in Honduras. A Juridical Analysis, http://quotha.net/...

18. Honduran Political Constitution of 1982 through 2005 reforms, http://pdba.georgetown.edu/...

37. State Department briefing, 6/29/09, http://www.state.gov/...

54. RAJ, The Honduran Supreme Court: In its own words, 7/29, http://hondurascoup2009.blogspot.com...

55. Edmundo Orellana, resignation letter to Congress, 6/29/09 http://twitpic.com/...

56. Millenium Challenge Corp. website http://www.mcc.gov/

57. Al Giordano and Bill Conroy, US Secretary of State Clinton’s Micro-Management of the Corporation that Funds the Honduras Coup Regime, 8/11/09, http://www.narconews.com/...

58. Al Giordano and Bill Conroy , Pro-Coup Honduras Presidential Candidate Elvin Santos Is a Key Beneficiary of Continued US Government Funding, 8/14/09, http://www.narconews.com/...

59. Mukoma Wa Ngugi , John McCain and the International Republican Institute, 6/27/08, http://www.fpif.org/...

60. Barbara Conry, Loose Cannon: The National Endowment for Democracy, Cato Institute Foreign Policy Briefing #27, 11/8/1993, http://www.cato.org/...

61. Nicholas Thompson. This Ain't Your Momma's CIA, 3/01, Washington Monthly, http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/...

62. Unsigned, U.S. Group That Supported Overthrows of Democratically Elected Governments in Haiti and Venezuela Will Observe Elections in Honduras, 11/23/09, http://www.quotha.net/...

63. Unsigned, New York Times, 6/23/09, http://topics.nytimes.com/...

64. Rodolfo Pastor Fasquelle, The joke and the jokers: Old Hawk Diplomacy and Multilateralism, 11/18/09, Honduran Embassy, http://hondurasemb.org/...

65. Al Giordano, US Ambassador Lew Amselem: A Ghoul from Horror Films Past, 9/29, http://narcosphere.narconews.com/...

66. Kerry Kennedy, Interview of Sister Diana Ortiz, undated, http://www.speaktruth.org/...

67. George Salzmann, The Honduran Miltary Coup, 7/29/09, Narconews, http://narcosphere.narconews.com/...

68. Carlos Fazio, Obama y el sátrapa Micheletti 11/27/09, La Jornada, http://www.jornada.unam.mx/...

69. Arnold August, Military coup or not military coup?, 8/15/09, VoltaireNet

70. Hillary Clinton, Statement, 6/28/09, http://www.state.gov/...

71. State Dept. briefing, 6/30/09, http://www.state.gov/...

72. State Dept. briefing, 7/2/09, http://www.state.gov/...

73. State Dept. briefing, 7/6/09, http://www.state.gov/...

74. State Dept. briefing, 7/7/09, http://www.state.gov/...

75. State Dept, briefing, 7/10/09, http://www.state.gov/...

76. State Dept. briefing, 7/14/09, http://www.state.gov/...

77. State Dept. briefing, 7/20/09, http://www.state.gov/...

78. State Dept. briefing, 7/27/09, http://www.state.gov/...

79. State Dept. briefing 7/28/09, http://www.state.gov/...

80. State Dept. briefing, 7/31/09, http://www.state.gov/...

81. State Dept. briefing, 9/3/09, http://www.state.gov/...

82. State Dept. briefing, 11/18/09, http://www.state.gov/...

83. State Dept. briefing, 11/19/09, http://www.state.gov/...

84. Adrienne Pine, Not Code Pink meets Not the D.O.D. (or, my encounter with Christopher Webster), 11/15/09, http://www.quotha.net/...

85. Unsigned, 11/25/09, Honduras: Minister defends 'ban' on broadcaster, IGN/Italy Global Nation, http://www.adnkronos.com/...

86. Elizabeth Malkin, Honduran Security Forces Accused of Abuse, 10/6/09, NY Times, http://www.nytimes.com/...

87. Barack Obama, 6/29/09, http://www.whitehouse.gov/...

88. Barack Obama, 7/7/09 http://www.whitehouse.gov/...

89. Barack Obama, 8/10/09 http://www.whitehouse.gov/...

90. Joint Statement by Stephen Harper and Barack Obama, 9/16, http://www.whitehouse.gov/...

91. Dick Emanuelsson, IRC Online, Military Forces Sow Terror and Fear in Honduras, Americas Policy Progream, 8/13/09, http://americas.irc-online.org/...

92. Unsigned, Suspenden audiencia en contra de acusados de terrorismo, La Tribuna, 8/17/09, http://www.latribuna.hn/...

93. Unsigned, Suspenden jueza que liberó a supuestos incendiarios, 8/17/09, La Tribuna, http://www.latribuna.hn/...

94. Calvin Tucker, Trampling on Honduran democracy, 11/26/09, The Guardian, http://www.guardian.co.uk/...

95. Unsigned, CIDH afirma que hubo violación de derechos, downloaded 8/22/09, Tiempo, http://www.tiempo.hn/...

96. Unsigned, Mataron al sobrino de Micheletti y a un oficial hondureño, 11/27/09, La Gaceta (Argentina), http://www.lagaceta.com.ar/...

97. This article, from about 9/26/09, has vanished from the Tiempo archives. The original link was http://www.tiempo.hn/... See Unsigned, Asesinan a candidato a diputado en Tegucigalpa, 9/26, La Prensa, http://www.laprensahn.com/...

98. Rick Rozoff, Coups And War: U.S., NATO Target Latin America, 11/24/09, The Scoop, http://www.scoop.co.nz/...

99. Dick Emanuelsson, Comandos israeles con experiencias de Palestina y Colombia capacitan a las FF.AA. de Honduras, 8/22/09, http://www.tlaxcala.es/...

100. Unsigned, Micheletti: "Honduras no tiene ninguna presión", 9/16/09, La Tribuna, http://www.latribuna.hn/...

101. Unsigned, "Cañón sónico" para revoltosos, 9/24, La Tribuna, http://www.latribuna.hn/...

102. Frances Robles, They're torturing me, Honduras' Manuel Zelaya claims, 9/14/09, Miami Herald, http://www.miamiherald.com/...

103. John Thavis, Jewish leaders fear anti-Semitism among Hispanic immigrants, 7/1/04, Catholic News Service, http://www.catholicnews.com/...

104. Al Giordano, Against Anti-Semitism: Right, Left, or Media-Induced, 10/4/09, http://narcosphere.narconews.com/...

105. Reed M. Kurtz, 10/21/09, The Plot Thickens: Honduran Coup Regime and Landowning Elites Enlist the Support of Foreign Paramilitaries, NACLA, https://nacla.org/...

106. Michael Evans, Documents Implicate Colombian Government in Chiquita Terror Scandal, 3/27/09, National Security Archive, http://www.gwu.edu/...

107. Unsigned, Verdad Abierta.com, Accessed 11/28/09, Platas de Usaid y Plan Colombia llegaron a manos de los paras, http://www.verdadabierta.com/...
User avatar
John Schröder
 
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Jan 24, 2009 3:01 pm
Location: Germany
Blog: View Blog (0)

PreviousNext

Return to General Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 163 guests