Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

[stickdog99]

source

[stickdog99]

DR DREW: "Australia has a 17% increase in all cause Mortality...WHY isn't that an emergency in that Country???"

Good fricken question

[stickdog99]

We now are up to page 400 on this thread.

What will it take for those who previously led the cheers for mRNA COVID injections to wake up to the reality that getting these untested shots (using an untested medicine delivery platform that retreated to delivering vaccines because of its incredibly high fatality rates in animal studies) every few months for the rest of their now shortened lives just might not be the greatest idea?

Has anybody who got these injections changed his or her mind on this issue? Has anyone even gotten beyond the "Please, sir, may I have another?" stage?

Or, even with the lack of efficacy, the "recharge your immune system like a cell phone battery" ads, Pfizer's recent announcement to now sell this shit at a 10,000% mark up, and the across the board increases in COVID case rates, death rates and especially all-cause mortality rates since these injections were mandated, is that still too much to ask?

[stickdog99]

[Joe Hillshoist]

DR DREW: "Australia has a 17% increase in all cause Mortality...WHY isn't that an emergency in that Country???"

Good fricken question

You only want to hear the answer that reflects your bias tho don't you.

in Australia the medical system is on the verge of collapse as staff resign from stress and overwork. You get paid better in areas like disability care than if you are clinical nurse.

The nurses that are left are forced to endure 12-18 shifts regularly, where the levels of exhaustion leave them unable to function at a level they find acceptable. People can't access medical care and waiting lists for all sorts of consultations and surgery are skyrocketing because of lack of staff and personnel available and the stress means another 20% of the workforce have plans to find other work over the next twelve months.

We've had insane levels of flooding. Record levels of repeated flooding throughout populated area leaving plenty of older more vulnerable people subject to repeated evacuations and sometimes those people are unable to return to their homes for months. On top of the actual flooding the effects on the economy of apocalyptic fires then covid then insane flooding has destroyed the economy. Its staggering and out on its feet.

The excess death rates among vulnerable people and lower income groups or disadvantaged groups is significantly higher than among the people who haven't been effected by all this stress.

The increase in death rates are primarily among people with diabetes, dementia and chronic lung conditions that don't include pneumonia and flu.

Lung issues are probably attributable to the fall out from 2019/2020. Many people still haven't recovered from the dry coughs etc they developed during that fire season, when air quality across the entire east coast was really bad. We knew this would be a risk afterward and coupled with already high rates of asthma and other lung conditions (like fibrosis) it seems that its starting to happen.

Diabetes and Dementia - well hard to tell. Levels of care aren't what they were before the pandemic so that has something to do with it re dementia.

What's interesting is that heart diease and C/V disease haven't shown an increase in death rates. If they had that would certainly cast some doubt over the safety of the vaccines, but they don't seem to be the issue here. There is alot going on in this country now. We've had nearly 15 years of ongoing climate disasters and they keep getting worse. We used to have one of the best health systems in the world. It would keep people alive when they were likely to have been long dead.

Now its struggling and not delivering those results any more.

[Belligerent Savant]

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What are your sources for the above bits of info, Joe?

There are numerous recent studies indicating excess mortality among working age groups, particularly since 2021.

Welcome your thoughts -- or specific refutation of the points raised -- in the following:

https://theethicalskeptic.com/2022/10/2 ... rt-2-of-3/

Excerpts:

CDC MMWR Reporting Problem-Indicator Flags

The principal concerns with regard to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Weekly Provisional Counts of Deaths by State and Select Causes and Wonder: Provisional Mortality Statistics are that the reports have begun to exhibit two primary apparent goals on the part of the CDC and its agency:

- concealing excess deaths potentially caused by the mRNA vaccines, and
- attempting to make mRNA vaccines falsely appear as uber-effective in saving lives.

Please note that we will not resolve an answer to either of these issues in this article, rather herein we will only outline the efforts in disinformation, misinformation, and deception on the part of the CDC which are foisted in an attempt to achieve both goals.

Accordingly, four key issues are entailed inside this two-sided-coin deception:

The National Vital Statistics System Upgrade (hereinafter referred to as the ‘NVSS System Upgrade’) afforded the CDC a timeframe inside which it could alter 22 weeks of NCHS-MMWR data. During this window of opportunity the CDC surreptitiously removed excess death records from its database, and adjusted the policies and techniques as to how ICD-10 mortality codes were populated with state death certificate data thereafter.

We outline herein that a new policy was enacted during the NVSS System Upgrade break, one which centered around two categorical gaming practices. The CDC is employing categorical gaming techniques to conceal dramatic Excess Non-Covid Natural Cause Mortality. If these excess deaths are not Covid deaths and are not vaccine related, as is commonly claimed through appeals to authority, credential, and ignorance, then there should also be no reason to conceal their associated records. Yet, that is exactly what is occurring.

Excess Cancer Mortality is being concealed through Cancer Multiple Cause of Death (hereinafter referred to as ‘MCoD’) categorical reassignment to Covid-19 Underlying Cause of Death (hereinafter referred to as ‘UCoD’).

Sudden Adult Deaths are being concealed by holding Pericarditis-Myocarditis-Conductive heart related deaths inside the R00-R99 temporary disposition bucket, far longer than per historical practice, thereby falsely depleting the associated ICD-10 mortality trend for these related deaths.

Finally, the CDC is using the exact opposite technique, exploiting Multiple Cause of Death attributions and adding in completely fictitious deaths as well, in order to make its mRNA vaccines appear to be performing better than they are.

The CDC is using Multiple Cause of Death categorical gaming, and is creating novel death counts, in order to counterfeit an appearance that the unvaccinated are dying at a rate twelve times that of the vaccinated.
These four issues are detailed as follows.

1. The NVSS System Upgrade Provided an Opportunity to Short and Reassign Death Records

The upgrade of the National Vital Statistics System (hereinafter, NVSS System Upgrade) was Machiavellian in its timing and opportunistic focus. In fact, as of October 2022 the entire evolution appears to have been a charade, crafted merely to obfuscate the set of warning indicators and activities outlined in this article. The NVSS System Upgrade provided an opportunity for the CDC to develop mechanisms to conceal Sudden Adult Deaths and Cancer Deaths (see Exhibit 1B below), and ironically only served to degrade the externally observable overall function and performance of the NCHS/State to CDC reporting process. Ostensibly, the process of final ICD-10 state death certificate record classification was to become tighter as a result of this upgrade. In the end, such benefit failed to manifest, as only Cancer Mortality reporting classification-lag actually appeared to improve. Yet even this ‘improvement’ in lag time turned out to be nothing more than the result of the CDC working to quickly hide cancer deaths in the first place (as documented in Exhibits 2A through 2D below). Overall, the NVSS System Upgrade was a failure – and only served to provide cover for surreptitious activity on someone’s part.

(snip)
...............

In the end, it is this last chart depicted in Exhibit 6 which serves to confirm the claims made in Sections 1 through 4 of this article. The level of excess natural cause death which is not Covid itself, is around 13.3% to the excess of where it should be – even given a 1.1% baseline growth inside an aging demographic (see Exhibit 6, dark orange baseline ‘annual growth’).



Exhibit 6 – Excess Non-Covid Natural Cause Mortality as a metric, serves to filter out the distractions of Covid-19 as well as mortality from accidents, overdoses, and assault – all of which serve to cloud one’s ability to observe the entailed alarming signal. As of MMWR Week 40 2022, the US has experienced an additional 385,000 natural cause deaths above and beyond what we should have seen for this period of time. Couple this with 80,000 non-natural deaths during the same timeframe, and one finds an excess of 465,000 deaths which have occurred since MMWR Week 14 of 2021. A pandemic all unto itself.

While no other public health entity appears able to or interested in tracking this critical epidemiological metric, we not only track its anomalous magnitude, but we at The Ethical Skeptic believe we know what is causing these excess deaths as well. In fact, the data by ICD-10 sub-sub-code and by US County is starkly indicative, as well as condemning. No wonder the CDC is attempting to obfuscate it – as it will serve to infuriate those whom the CDC serves. Yes, organizations of this type operate under extreme levels of conflict of interest and agency.

We choose to stand in the gap for those who cannot defend themselves. Such unequivocal inference regarding the cause of these 385,000 excess natural cause deaths will be the subject of our third article in this series, ‘Houston, We Realize the Problem (Part 3 of 3)’. A problem which is rising at 7,340 deaths per week as of 8 October 2022 – and more importantly, does not appear to be abating any time soon.

Here's another piece, which also references prior analysis by 'Ethical Skeptic', but this is from back in July, so not as recent as the content above:

Excerpt:

so how COULD we go about assessing this?

we need a control group and the best control group to use in a case like this is the states themselves, or better still, the counties so that we can get better granularity.

their ages, demographics, incomes, seasonality, etc all remain fairly constant.

before doing a huge pile of work on such issues, it always pays to first see if someone else has already done it and as fortune would have it, they had.

first we go to this wonderful analysis by longtime gatopal™ and idea vetting amigo ethical skeptic whom i suspect many of you know.

here’s what a real analysis of this topic looks like.

(spoiler alert, it’s not supportive of the “vaccines saved lives” thesis.)



the premise is simple: vaccine effects cannot travel back in time so if we take 2020 and plot it we can get a baseline by county for the US covid deaths. as can be readily seen (dashed line), they were already much lower in the counties that wound up high vaxx even before the vaccine was released. (and a lot of the very lowest vaxx counties are likely affected by data artifacts of low overall reporting)

so that is our baseline. it aligns quite well with the expectation generated from the obesity and income dispersions.

the solid line is the post vaccination period. two very noticeable things emerge from that:

1. the covid deaths outcomes are worse post vaccine

2. the extent of it being worse rises as vaxx rates increase (this can be seen by the widening distance between the two curves)

micah will doubtless try to argue that this is because they were “compliant” and therefore did better because they masked up, locked down, etc. but this is a bad branch to climb out upon as there is no evidence that any of those mitigations worked and quite a lot that they did not so this argument relies both upon the presumption of a disproven premise, fails to account for intrinsic factors like obesity, wealth, and underlying health that are clearly material, and if true, would undermine his own vaccine claims in any event.

so he’s into a real zugzwang there.

now, one might argue that just mapping to covid deaths is inapt because we’re looking for an all cause deaths signal. this is not without merit, so let’s tag in another gatopal™ our old friend ben who produced this chart looking at peak covid seasons (q4-q1) in 2020-1 (pre vaxx) shown as A and 2021-2 (post vaxx) shown as B.



but where this gets really interesting is panel C which looks at the year over year change by state from A to B.

this again uses states as their own controls and therefore takes out seasonal and demographic signals to hone in on vaccines as a variable. it’s just a “before and after” analysis.

and this inverts pollak’s claims.

high vaxx is having worse all cause mortality relative to prior year than low vaxx which not only contradicts the “vaccines helped” claim but may well invert it. it also finds alignment with ethical skeptic’s chart and so the mosaic effect begins to pile up.

we find further alignment with the raw RCT data which helps us avoid the spurious associative traps and false correlations that plague data mining.

Tracy Høeg, MD, PhD
@TracyBethHoeg

Important new preprint by @StabellBenn et al

"Based on the RCTs...mRNA vaccines had no effect on overall mortality despite protecting against fatal COVID-19. On the other hand, the adenovirus-vector vaccines were associated with lower overall mortality"

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm ... id=4072489



Apr 7, 2022

the three together are deeply damaging to the idea that vaccines are saving lives and i have a suspicion that the outcome variance here will be even worse in Q2 and Q3 2022 because by vaccine driven viral evolution looks to making the BA variants of omicron into highly vaccine advantaged strains that are upping hospital rates vs a year ago in highly vaxxed places and making the vaccinated into superspreaders.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/high ... iated-with

that data is starting to look more than a little ominous.

compare last year to this year:



and it looks like case counts are up so much vs a year ago that it’s starting to swamp the milder outcomes of omicron. that which is half as serious but 4X as prevalent still leads to twice the deaths.

https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/are- ... medium=web

the data on covid is low quality and notoriously a bit of a mess. it’s also incredibly complex and riddled with simpson’s paradoxes, cross correlations, and seasonal issues just to name a few.

this is difficult data in which to be a tourist, but even so, making the sort of rudimentary foundational data handling error that “assuming one simple correlation proves causality without establishing a baseline or controlling for exogenous variables” is not one an “expert” ought be making or encouraging others to make.

no only is it bad methodology and does it fail to fit with the broader data mosaic, but when you do control for the underlying factors claims of VE for ACM not only disappear, they look to invert.

so, i think we can consign such uncorrected correlation driven claims to the epidemiological rubbish heap and move on.

https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/lyin ... -all-cause

Time will tell, as always. Let's see how this plays out in ~6 months or so (and then in a year's time, and then in ~3 years, etc.), when we may have a better sense for which assessment presents a more accurate picture of the reality of the harms -- or temporary, if any, benefit -- associated with these mRNA products.

I suspect there will still be a percentage of humans insisting the actions by govts and bureaucrats over the last ~2 yrs were defensible. But likely far less than today's (largely dwindling) percentage of the dogmatic faithful still defending the actions of those currently in power.

[Belligerent Savant]

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While I'm here, may as well add this important update from the Courts:

NY Supreme Court reinstates fired sanitation workers who did not comply with NYC vaccine mandate

CNNWire
Tuesday, October 25, 2022 3:08PM

NEW YORK -- A New York State judge reinstated 16 fired sanitation workers who did not comply with New York City's vaccination mandate issued in October 2021, deciding they should also get back pay.

The judge found the New York City Commissioner of Health and Mental Hygiene's order requiring vaccination of city workers violated the New York Constitution's separation of powers doctrine, was arbitrary and capricious and violated the fired workers' equal protection and due process rights.

In a ruling Monday, Judge Ralph Porzio wrote, "There is nothing in the record to support the rationality of keeping a vaccination mandate for public employees, while vacating the mandate for private sector employees or creating a carveout for certain professions, like athletes, artists and performers. This is clearly an arbitrary and capricious action because we are dealing with identical unvaccinated people being treated differently by the same administrative agency."

Chad LaVeglia, an attorney for the plaintiffs, called the ruling, "a remarkable victory for all the hard-working men and women who have dedicated their lives to serving the public. It is also a great victory for individual rights and equality for all New Yorkers."

A spokesman with the law department released the following statement to CNN saying, "The city strongly disagrees with this ruling as the mandate is firmly grounded in law and is critical to New Yorkers' public health. We have already filed an appeal. In the meantime, the mandate remains in place as this ruling pertains solely to the individual petitioners in this case. We continue to review the court's decision, which conflicts with numerous other rulings already upholding the mandate."

In his order, Judge Porzio also found the health commissioners' order on December 13, 2021, as well as the mayor's Executive Order 62, to be "arbitrary and capricious."

"We have learned through the course of the pandemic that the vaccine against Covid-19 is not absolute. Breakthrough cases occur, even for those who have been vaccinated against Covid-19 is not absolute. President Joseph Biden has said that the pandemic is over. The State of New York ended the Covid-19 state of emergency over a month ago," Judge Porzio wrote.

CNN has reached out to the mayor's office and the NYC sanitation department for comment on Judge Porzio's ruling.

The-CNN-Wire

https://abc7chicago.com/new-york-suprem ... /12376645/

New York City's COVID vaccination mandate for municipal workers was "arbitrary and capricious," and those who were fired over it should be reinstated, according to a judge's ruling made public on Tuesday.

In a decision published today a NY State Supreme Court ruled that ~all unvaccinated NYC employees are “reinstated to their full employment” and are “entitled to back pay in salary from the date of termination.”

“Being vaccinated does not prevent an individual from contracting or transmitting Covid-19. As of the day of this Decision, CDC guidelines regarding quarantine and isolation are the same for vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals.” -Hon. Ralph J. Porzio

https://iapps.courts.state.ny.us/fbem/D ... dd0eb0260b

[Grizzly]

https://iapps.courts.state.ny.us/fbem/DocumentDisplayServlet?documentId=JK5E3gx5XV1/ku37jnWR_PLUS_w==&system=prod
pdf

NY Supreme Court reinstates all fired unvaccinated employees, orders backpay

[Belligerent Savant]

Add heart related RXX Abnormal Clinical & Lab Findings Mortality back into IXX ICD-10 Heart related mortality, and

You find the hidden Heart Related Deaths.

Despite Covid at a VERY low level, we are at an all time peak in heart related deaths.

https://twitter.com/EthicalSkeptic/stat ... K8X94oi8sQ

[stickdog99]

DR DREW: "Australia has a 17% increase in all cause Mortality...WHY isn't that an emergency in that Country???"

Good fricken question

You only want to hear the answer that reflects your bias tho don't you.

No, I want to see official data. Do you have any?

And I want to see an official inquiry. Has one been commissioned?

And I want to see the results of the autopsies for all recent sudden deaths of young people. Why don't you?

[stickdog99]

[stickdog99]

BTW, has Australia hired back any of the nurses and other healthcare practitioners that it fired due to its absurd COVID-19 vaccine mandates?

[stickdog99]

https://www.insurancebusinessmag.com/au ... 23143.aspx

Meanwhile, the non-COVID-19 excess deaths for the six months to June 2022 include:

Ischaemic heart disease (900 more deaths than expected);
Cerebrovascular disease (320 more);
Diabetes (300 more);
Dementia (760 more);
Doctor-certified deaths due to causes not specified by the ABS (2,430 more); and
Coroner-referred deaths (610 more).

Joe??? Are you still with us, Joe?

[stickdog99]

https://joannenova.com.au/2022/10/10000 ... alk-about/

You’d think it would be big news? Deaths in Australia are running a lot higher than expected. After ticking like a metronome for years, they’ve suddenly jumped 12% or even higher. This is above and beyond normal deaths and deaths listed as “Covid”. Something mysterious or new has killed around 10,000 Australians in the first half of this year last twelve months*. This is eight times worse than the national road toll, yet this phenomenon has barely rated a mention in our news reports.

When a car crash kills three people, we hear about it on the six o’clock news. But when 10,000 lose their lives… crickets.

Total media interest on this mystery killer amounts to three tangential mentions out of 100 media outlets. One, in the Australian Financial Review called it a “marked” change and “helpfully” said it wasn’t due to suicide. The Guardian, meanwhile wondered if Covid was really killing more people than we realize. The third, NewsGP for doctors was the only serious discussion, yet even it was all questions and no answers. The word vaccine was only mentioned so that we knew that unnamed analysts believe “the probable influence of vaccine-related deaths … is ‘negligible’. Not that they had any reasons.

Actuaries Australia estimate the increase in deaths in the first five months of the year was 12% higher than expected. They are the most conservative. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) though calculates that so far in the first half of 2022 there were some 13,500 deaths more than the historical average. If they are correct that would be 17% above normal.

Of the excess deaths, 5,292 were Covid positive deaths, many in the peak of the first major wave of widespread Covid in Australia in January 2022. But sometime around September last year there was a large rise in unexpected deaths that are not officially due to Covid. This group (marked in yellow) was far above the normal range expected and stayed higher ever since.

*UPDATE: To clarify, of the 10,300 excess deaths from Jan to June about 5,300 were due to Covid. So there were 5,000 unexplained mystery deaths, which is 830 Australians dying each month (in the most conservative actuaries estimate, and more in the ABS numbers). In the last twelve months that works out to be 10,000 people. Obviously numbers can’t be confirmed for a few more months.

...

Actuaries Australia essentially declares that most of the excess deaths are probably due to longer ongoing risks after a Covid infection. Some of the excess may be a “bounce” from the reduction in deaths caused in 2020 when influenza was gone. (But why did that “bounce” wait until Sept 2021 to start?) Some of the excess could be because doctors and hospitals and emergency wards were overwhelmed, and people didn’t get check ups. But it definitely wasn’t due to vaccines because, wait for it, Australia has a good vaccine approval process. (Yes, we sign secret contracts, and use secret data. How could anyone disagree?)

Amazingly they even quote the Australian vaccine safety report which includes 931 deaths reported after vaccination. This is nearly 10% of the mystery deaths tally, and if it were under-reported 10 to 1 (as is the case in the UK — see Ref 39/40 in the Malhotra paper) then the true tally could easily be nearly all the mystery deaths. Instead, the actuaries are comfortable ignoring 918 of those 931 reported deaths. Only 13 deaths were found “to be caused” by a vaccine. Amazing the power of faceless bureaucrats to delete all those people. Cancelled, even after death.

So why the total mass media silence on all of these excess deaths, Joe?

[Belligerent Savant]

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This following is also noteworthy.

Unfortunately, as far as I know there is no data out there that clearly identifies cardiac arrest among the mRNA 'vaccinated' vs un-'vaccinated', particularly among younger age groups (or any age group, for that matter).

Such data would go a long way towards helping to resolve this unprecedented uptick in cardiac arrest deaths since 2021. Perhaps in a year or two we'll have 'confirmation' of some sort. In the meantime, more will unfortunately succumb to this. The hope is that younger age groups are NOT getting injected with these products anymore, but clearly, especially in the "blue" states here in the U.S., that's not the case. Colleges in the U.S. -- especially the Ivy leagues -- are still MANDATING these products. Grotesque and despicable.

The dogma of this new secular religion requires recurring sacrifice, it seems; ideology is set firm. It will get worse before it begins to get better.

https://unglossed.substack.com/p/notes- ... iac-deaths

Notes on sudden cardiac deaths

Children are dropping dead without warning. Determining if it's because of the vaccines or the virus may be the most important question humanity faces - and might be unknowable.

Brian Mowrey
15 hr ago

The New (Cardiac) Abnormal

Children — teens, at least — are mysteriously dropping dead. Deciphering why might be the most important question of the present era. Interestingly, the media has not escalated efforts to blame random environmental factors for these aberrant deaths; unlike last fall, when the public was warned that climate change and cannabis would start giving infants heart disease, the news seems uninterested in remarking on the trend of sudden child deaths now that it has actually materialized.

Meanwhile, as Sage Hana documented yesterday, un-censored comment threads now regularly lead to the crowd-sourced promotion of the theory that the experimental Covid vaccines are the cause of sudden onset deaths; while in censored threads the injections cast an obvious negative space.

A 15-Year Old Collapsed and Died in a Liverpool Restaurant Yesterday. Daily Mail is Pre-Moderating Comments. Guess What You Won't See Discussed.

https://sagehana.substack.com/p/a-15-ye ... medium=web

In a way, I would say that the injections should be considered guilty until proven innocent: If your daughter dies in her sleep after she takes part in a reckless medical experiment, this should be taken as an experiment-associated outcome at the least.

But at the same time, the vocal “Covid Is Not Over” contingent of twitter has taken not only to crediting the virus for these sudden deaths, but using them as a justification for their continued insistence that normal life is untenable.

Sadly, they may be right even if they are wrong — millions of children have been injected; and so even if the others are not at risk, society is potentially careening toward a crisis that has never been experienced. A sort of famine of human health.

The following is thus a loose, out-of-office post to consolidate some cardiac arrest related commentary; sans the normal amount of supporting citations.

On the docket:

1. There is no such thing as “sudden cardiac arrhythmia.”

2. (Anecdotally common) non-recovery after sudden cardiac death means these are not arrhythmia arrests. Hearts are just stopping (asystole or PEA). Possible reasons related to spike protein:

a. Post-acute myocarditis sudden cardiac arrest.

b. “Circulatory arrest” - blood is no longer pump-able?

c. Tolerance of SARS-CoV-2 leading to viral cardiac destruction?

3. No uptick in cardiac / circulatory deaths in children or teens before vaccines suggests virus can’t be blamed here; but Brian sucks at working with data.


I. No Such Thing as “Sudden Cardiac Arrhythmia”

Earlier this month, Illinois representative Sean Casten published the results of the investigation into the death of his daughter:

This past June, our daughter, Gwen Casten, died of a sudden cardiac arrythmia. In layman’s terms, she was fine, and then her heart stopped.

We don’t know what caused the arrhythmia, and likely never will.

Gwen was a healthy 2022 teenager[?]. She ate well, exercised, got regular check-ups, didn’t suffer from any behavioral health issues, and had close relationships with family and friends. She was fully vaccinated, and quarantined after occasional positive, asymptomatic COVID tests during the omicron wave. She had just come home from an evening with friends, went to bed and didn’t wake up.

We are heartbroken, but we are not unique. Sudden, unexplained heart-failure among young, healthy people is rare but real.

—@teamcasten (instagram.com), October 7, 2022

Cardiac arrhythmia may, in fact, be “sudden,” but as it cannot be reliably diagnosed after death, this diagnosis is meaningless for someone found to have died in their sleep.

So either Casten’s pathologist got creative with microscopic ischemia patterns, or the cause of death was actually determined as “sudden cardiac arrest” and Sean Casten misunderstood. This comment is just to clarify that Gwen Casten’s death is therefore at least possibly, if not likely, consistent with the remarks in the next comment.

II. Non-Recovery Means Sudden Deaths Are Not Arrhythmia

One of the features that seems to distinguish sudden cardiac deaths from prior medical maladies is, well, death — very few of these stories are of the “collapsed, recovered” variety. Those who collapse are not revived.

What this suggests is that the normal most common form of arrest, cardiac arrhythmia, is not driving these events — they are either asystole or pulseless electrical activity arrests.

Cardiac arrest

Unconsciousness, collapse, and pulse-less-ness due to cessation of circulation. Types:

Arrhythmia: Uncoordinated electrical signals cause the “pump” of the heart to jam, like an engine where pistons do not fire in coordination.

Pulseless electrical activity (PEA): Normal electrical signals without action. Here, an electrocardiogram will look normal, but the heart is still not doing anything. Example causes: Traumatic blood-loss, drugs.

Asystole: Cessation of electrical signals, aka “flatline.” This is, essentially, another word for death — the heart is no longer alive. Example cause: Hypoxia (strangulation, etc.)

(All of this is as opposed to a “heart attack,” where the coronary arteries suddenly fail to deliver required amounts of blood to some part of the heart muscle, but pulse and consciousness are not immediately lost.)

And so, when lay-directed medical literature makes claims like the following:

If you see someone collapse from sudden cardiac arrest, call 9-1-1 and begin CPR immediately until an EMS crew arrives. The American Heart Association recommends hands-only CPR, asking people to perform chest compressions to the beat of the classic Bee Gees song “Stayin’ Alive.” This technique may double or triple a person’s chance of survival.

What they aren’t mentioning is that CPR is useless for asystole and many types of PEA. In fact, despite the name, CPR does not “resuscitate” anyone — all it does is delay damage from ischemia (lack of oxygen) in the brain and heart. With that delay, the outlook for revival and functional recovery after defibrillation is higher. But defibrillation only works with arrhythmia. It is useless for PEA and asystole. And so CPR doesn’t help anything with those two, except if it turns out that the PEA in question is caused by drugs, in which case different drugs can restore a pulse.

But the reason you are told by the literature that CPR is so effective, is that most cardiac arrests outside of the hospital in the “Before Vaccine Era” (BVE) were from arrhythmia.

The apparent, anecdotal permanency of these sudden onset deaths therefore suggests that the dead are going from being conscious one moment, straight to asystole or PEA. This provides a clue for the etiology. To my mind, it suggests three possibilities:
1. Post-acute myocarditis sudden cardiac arrest.

Furthermore, myocarditis is an important cause of sudden death,23 as well as childhood cardiomyopathy.24 A recent long-term study of pediatric myocarditis demonstrated that the greatest burden of myocarditis may not be apparent for 6 to 12 years after diagnosis when children die or need to undergo cardiac transplantation for chronic dilated cardiomyopathy."

— https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5814110/

Since we know subclinical myocarditis may affect ~3.5% of Covid-vaccinated teen boys (per dose?), the only question is if previous prognoses for myocarditis (which might be more skewed toward severe, clinical cases) translates to this entire 3.5%. Fortunately, at least this seems to be a true Russian Roulette outcome from injection, with the other 96.5% not showing markers of myocarditis:

https://unglossed.substack.com/p/thaila ... medium=web

2. “Circulatory arrest” - the goopy blood thing.

More concerning are ECG results from that same study, which suggest vastly more widespread cardiac harm after injection (18% of 202 male and 99 female teen Pfizer/BioNTech recipients had ECG abnormalities after the 2nd dose). These rampant abnormalities, and the sudden deaths of teens and others, may be cardiac distress caused by blood thickening. Whether one attributes the disturbing reports of amyloid, string-y white clots to the spike protein or to immune-mediated endothelial perforation, it seems plausible that these giant clots could sabotage the engine of the heart by blocking the “fuel injection system.” Either this or more widespread defects in blood viscosity can plausibly result in PEA just as occurs from traumatic blood-loss: The blood is still in the body, but the heart cannot mount the required pressure to pump it.

3. Tolerance-assisted viral cardiac destruction.

The last proposed mechanism reflects the apparent correlation of sudden deaths with the recent BA.4/5 summer wave. It may be that IgG4-mediated tolerance of the spike protein results in long-term “smoldering” of the virus after infection. While these antibodies still neutralize the virus, they lead to T Cells ignoring infected cells, which ultimately may result in the virus eating away at the heart. This theory was in fact proposed by Igor Chudov early this summer:

Tolerance ultimately makes deaths “from Covid” look like deaths “with Covid”. If a spike-tolerant boosted person dies from a heart attack that happens due to overexpression of the virus, it may seem unrelated. But it is NOT unrelated.

https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/boost ... medium=web

Igor’s remarks build off of my post reporting on IgG4 tolerance and some discussion in the comments. And, as always, credit for first proposing that the Covid vaccines will induce tolerance goes to Markael Luterra, who writes at Dendroica Project and his blog.https://dendroica.substack.com/

III. Brian Doesn’t See an Uptick in Teen Cardiac Deaths in 2020/2021 (But he sucks at data-ing)

For reasons elaborated further in the appendix below, I attempted to compare CDC statistics for deaths due to diseases of the “circulatory system” by age group. These death codes correspond both to cardiac arrest and stroke, among other things.

It is clear that “The Pandemic™” drove an increase from baseline for younger and middle-aged adults. One thing I will note about this increase is that “sudden cardiac arrest” isn’t really a pathological diagnosis at all. As discussed in segment I, pathologists can’t usually make sense of why hearts stop after the fact. So the virus may have indeed caused an increase here, but only because I00-I99 codes may have been a default for undefined deaths after enough time went by to process them and find no other obvious cause. An easy demonstration of this generic misdiagnosis potential is that in prior years, “circulatory system”-coded deaths surge every winter.

Delineating whether the I00-I99 increases recorded for 2020-2021 are realistically describing “cardiac deaths” as opposed to out-of-hospital infection deaths (with extra diagnostic ambiguity potentially driven by deaths in homeless), would essentially require modeling a comparison with other potentially flawed data, like the “VA long Covid” series. The reliability of the CDC’s stats showing increased cardiac deaths in The Pandemic™ era, in other words, might well be unknowable.

What is clear, however, is that no such trend appears in the 0 - 19 age group. The virus therefor does not seem to explain this summer’s trend of sudden deaths in teens (a period which won’t really be reflected in the CDC’s stats for a few more months, due to lags in death classification).

Both of the following graphs come with a strong User Assumes Risk disclaimer. Due to my ineptitude at working with spreadsheets, I had to manually cut and paste all of the CDC’s numbers to produce an age-stratified plotting. If I made any mistakes, then the graphs are wrong. My resulting spreadsheets are linked for each graph.


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing

If this summer, after the current data lag passes, shows a clear uptick in I00-I99 deaths in the 0-19 group, there isn’t really any way to cite the “Pandemic” as precedent. It will be a truly new abnormal.

Appendix: Rationale for this post

(I wrote the following to more adequately contextualize why I am presenting these three comments in a half-cooked form.)

Since reading and reporting on Carolyn Barber’s Fortune article, I have been paying more attention to the feed of user “@MeetJess” and the “Covid Is Not Over” segment of twitter generally.

Though too much of a newcomer to this strange culture to provide insightful anthropology (and I hope to cease observation before the point where I can decipher whether “adenodog” is self-parody or not), my impression is that @MeetJess is spear-heading a desperate attempt in this quarter of mentally ill shut-ins to fashion a reality where the new normal of sudden deaths everywhere isn’t “vaccine-new,” but “virus-new.”

@MeetJess posts daily threads re-compiling the same news posts that re-report the Veterans Affairs database analyses by Yan Xie and Ziyad Al-Aly, or ancient studies from spring, 2020 that focus exclusively on poorly-treated severe infections, or anything else that can exaggerate the risk for casual encounter with the virus. Today she retweeted a funny-looking graph by @greg_travis:



Travis then posted the numbers for 0-24. This is reproduced in the reply screen-grabbed here in order to summarize the way the denizens of C Is Not O World would like to weaponize this type of data:


source: @sleepyknave (twitter.com)

What’s funny about “Prof Jeffery S Morris”’s comment, of course, is that the black lines don’t correspond to the change in trend in this age group: It doesn’t occur until injections become available to younger adults in May, 2021 (what is Morris the professor of, self-owns?).

However, Travis’s data doesn’t seem to be quite accurately collected or labeled, so I wanted to verify it myself.

All the same, the question of whether the ongoing tsunami of sudden deaths is being driven by the Covid vaccines alone, or along with the virus, is of course incredibly difficult to answer. The current phenomenon of teens and young adults dropping dead in the middle of mundane daily activities, from choir recital to dinner at a restaurant, is unlike anything in human experience. Is the virus also turning young people’s hearts into a “ticking time bomb”?

If this is the case, the delay between the declaration of a Pandemic™ and May, 2021 doesn’t in fact mean the virus is not driving these young deaths: The statistics simply take time to manifest after infection.

The mislabeling of Travis’s 0-44 chart was pointed out by @cineburk, who derived the following plot by accessing the CDC Wonder data herself:


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... ue&sd=true

This still supports Travis’s point, however. But it leaves his graph for the 0-24 set unreliable for further analysis here. Therefore, I attempted to compile the CDC Wonder data with my own clumsy, database-illiterate fingers.