Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby Jeff » Sun Feb 13, 2011 4:28 pm

Such statements are a necessary precursor to any serious flight from justice.

Arab media reports: Mubarak seriously ill
By JPOST.COM STAFF
02/13/2011 15:50


Ousted Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak is seriously ill, according to sources quoted by Palestinian news agency Ma'ain on Sunday.

The sources said that Mubarak was suffering serious health problems, and that he had fainted before delivering his last speech on Thursday.

The report came two days after Mubarak stepped down and ceded power to the Egyptian armed forces, following 18 days of unprecedented popular protests.

Over the weekend, a Bahrain report claimed that Mubarak had fallen into a coma, while an Egyptian paper said that he was in Germany seeking medical treatment.


http://www.jpost.com/Headlines/Article.aspx?id=208020
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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby vanlose kid » Sun Feb 13, 2011 7:01 pm

back to business...

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Egypt's military rejects swift transfer of power and suspends constitution
Ruling military council intends to retain power for six months or longer while elections are scheduled and will rule by decree

Chris McGreal in Cairo
guardian.co.uk, Sunday 13 February 2011 20.28 GMT

The Egyptian military has rejected the demands of pro-democracy protesters for a swift transfer of power to a civilian administration, saying it intends to rule by martial law until elections are held.

The army's announcement, which included the suspending of the constitution, was a further rebuff to some pro-democracy activists after troops were sent to clear demonstrators from Cairo's Tahrir Square, the centre of the protests that brought down Hosni Mubarak. "We do not want any protesters to sit in the square after today," said the head of the military police, Mohamed Ibrahim Moustafa Ali. Many agreed to leave but a hardcore refused, saying they would remain until the army took a series of steps toward democratic reform including installing a civilian-led government and abolishing the repressive state of emergency.

The ruling military council said it intends to retain power for six months or longer while elections are scheduled and will rule by decree. It suspended the constitution and said a committee will draw up amendments that will be put to a referendum. It also dissolved the widely discredited parliament, elected in a tainted ballot last year.

In a sign that the army will only tolerate a limited challenge to its power, it is expected to issue a communique on Monday saying that it will crack down on those creating "chaos and disorder" as well as effectively banning strikes.

The moves were welcomed by some opposition figures including Ayman Nour, who was jailed after challenging Mubarak for the presidency in 2005. "It is a victory for the revolution," he told Reuters.

But others were disturbed by the army's failure to agree to a civilian-led interim government as well as to end the 30-year state of emergency and the release of political prisoners.

"We need heavy participation by the civilians," said Mohamed ElBaradei, the former nuclear inspector who has become an opposition spokesman. "It cannot be the army running the show."

Mahmoud Nassar, one of the organisers behind the Tahrir Square protests, said the demonstrations would go on. "The revolution is continuing. Its demands have not been met yet," he said. "The sit-in and protests are in constant activity until the demands are met. All are invited to join."

The military regime has also retained Mubarak's cabinet, to the frustration of some protesters.

"There is no change in the form, method or process of work. Matters are completely stable," said the prime minister, Ahmed Shafiq. "Our main concern now as a cabinet is security. We need to bring back a sense of security to the Egyptian citizen."

The Egyptian uprising, along with events in Tunisia, continues to have an impact across the region, prompting protests over the weekend in Algeria, Sudan and Yemen. Protests have also been called in Bahrain on Monday, where the king has tried to ease tensions by vowing to give £1,600 to each family.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/fe ... r-handover

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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby vanlose kid » Sun Feb 13, 2011 7:33 pm

Administration deals with strategy on Egypt
By Susan Page, Richard Wolf and Mimi Hall, USA TODAYUpdated 1h 43m ago | 83 | 3

WASHINGTON — President Obama is making calls to foreign leaders and dispatching U.S. officials across the Middle East as the White House accelerates efforts to put together a coherent strategy and consistent message for a region transformed.

The public uprising in Egypt that ousted President Hosni Mubarak also upended the strategic alliance that had anchored the United States in the Arab world for three decades. Now Obama must manage the most dramatic foreign developments of his presidency — turmoil that carries domestic political implications for him as well — and address a series of specific challenges ahead.

"Revolutions do open the door to all kinds of problems and all kinds of threats," says Kenneth Pollack, a National Security Council adviser to President Clinton who is now at the Brookings Institution. "But now that we're faced with a revolution, we've got to use it as an opportunity."

Complicating calculations by the president and his top aides are the uncertainties on the ground. It's not clear whether there will be elections in Egypt within months or only after a year or more. The military council that has taken control has suspended the constitution and hasn't indicated when Mubarak's emergency law will be lifted.

And while House Speaker John Boehner said on NBC's Meet the Press that the Obama administration had handled a difficult situation about as well as possible, Republicans who are weighing presidential bids in 2012 blasted the White House. Former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty on ABC's This Week called the administration's response "nearly incoherent," and former House speaker Newt Gingrich— speaking in Fruitland, Iowa, while on a swing through the state that holds the opening 2012 caucuses — said the president's handling of the crisis had been "clumsy" and "amateurish."

Meanwhile, the White House put on a full-court diplomatic press.

Obama was on the phone, conferring with Jordan's King Abdullah II and Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan as well as British Prime Minister David Cameron. Vice President Biden called Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki of Iraq, Emir Sheikh Sabah Al-Ahmed Al-Jaber Al-Sabah of Kuwait and Crown Prince Muhammad bin Zayid of the United Arab Emirates.

Undersecretary of State Bill Burns was in Amman on Saturday and Adm. Michael Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, met with officials in Israel and Jordan on Sunday. In Washington, National Security adviser Tom Donilon on Saturday castigated Iran for clamping down on demonstrators, and the State Department criticized Syria for jailing a blogger on espionage charges.


"These winds of change are blowing," Arizona Sen. John McCain said on CBS' Face the Nation, and not only in the Middle East. He said the leaders of Russia and China also should be watching. "It's going to spread throughout the world, in my view." [It might even reach the US, vk w/ fingers crossed.]

Now, Obama and his team must deal with several immediate concerns, among them forging ties with new power centers in Egypt, reassuring Israel about its security concerns, and dealing with the repercussions now rippling from Egypt through the most explosive region of the world.

On the White House agenda:

•Mend fences in Egypt.
Mubarak was the close ally of five American presidents. Now the United States needs to cement ties with the Egyptian people who pushed him from office. "We have to re-establish our own credibility with the Egyptians, and that means both the Egyptian authorities and the Egyptian people," says Robert Danin, a former Mideast negotiator who worked at the State Department and National Security Council in the George W. Bush administration.

When the demonstrations in Cairo's Tahrir Square began Jan. 25, the White House seemed to be siding more with the regime than the protesters. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton called Mubarak's government "stable" and Biden rejected the idea that the Egyptian president was a dictator.

Now Obama is stressing the U.S. commitment to provide support for what the White House calls "a credible and orderly transition to democracy" in Egypt.

That signals no cut-off in the $1.3 billion annual aid package from the United States, most of it military support, and raises the prospect of an increase in non-military aid to facilitate elections and boost democratic institutions.

The United States needs to tap its close ties with the Egyptian army to ensure democratic reforms actually take place, says Stephen Hadley, a national security adviser for George W. Bush, for a transition that will take some time: To revise the Egyptian constitution, allow once-banned political parties to organize and boost an economy rattled by revolution.

While the move to democracy in Egypt may be consistent with American values, it almost certainly will complicate U.S. strategic interests, says Aaron David Miller, a Middle East expert who has worked for six U.S. secretaries of State.

No matter who governs in Egypt, the United States almost certainly won't be able to claim as much support as it did from the Mubarak regime when it comes to containing Iran, cooperating on counter-terrorism, constraining Hamas and supporting Israel — all issues that had put the Egyptian president at odds with public opinion and contributed to his downfall.

A new, more democratic government in Cairo will have to incorporate more points of view, including those contrary to U.S. interests. Miller cautions: "We can't be the big brother any more."

•Reassure Israel.
Relations with Israel are being tested as well, including Washington's ability to protect a close ally now increasingly isolated in a strife-torn region.
Among Israel's concerns: the potential rise of the Muslim Brotherhood, an Islamist political group that had been banned in Egypt, and turmoil in Jordan. Under new democratic pressures, leaders in Cairo and Amman might feel compelled to increase pressure on Israel for concessions to reach a settlement with Palestinians.

"As far as Israel, there are a lot of uncertainties there," says Tom Malinowski of Human Rights Watch, one of the outside experts brought to the White House for consultations during the Egyptian protests. "We obviously didn't get very far pursuing peace in the last 20 years with the allies and partners we had in a region where the leaders are not at peace with their own people. If there is a democratic wave in the Arab world, which is not yet clear, that creates a new challenge for Israel and the U.S."

On Sunday, Adm. Mullen met in Israel with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and President Shimon Peres. In Cairo [Egypt]ian military leaders pledged to uphold the 1979 peace treaty with Israel that has been a bulwark against greater aggression in the region for decades.

Israeli Defense Minister [E]hud Barak said Sunday that he wasn't immediately concerned about Israel's relationship with its large and powerful neighbor. Appearing on ABC, he said he doesn't believe that "the relationship between Israel and Egypt is under any risk or that any kind of operational risk is waiting for us just behind the corner."

Over the longer term, however, he expressed concern about the Muslim Brotherhood. Although the Egypt-based branch of the Brotherhood has renounced violence and embraced democracy, "I tend not to believe radical Muslim movements," he said.

The White House notably has not reached out to Brotherhood representatives during the crisis, even as officials have talked with other groups.

•Deal with the region.
Egypt is probably only the beginning.

The democratic uprisings that already have changed the government in Tunisia and Egypt seem poised to sweep the region, a development that alters long-standing assumptions about U.S. policy and interests.

The U.S. response in Egypt has alarmed allies in Saudi Arabia, Jordan and elsewhere, who saw Washington turn in days from an ally of decades. "Jordan thinks we pushed" Mubarak, Edward Walker, a former U.S. ambassador to Israel and Egypt, said on CNN's State of the Union. Elliot Abrams, a veteran of the Reagan and Bush administrations, described Saudi's royal family as "angry" and urged the administration to send an emissary there.

U.S. officials, including Clinton, already are reaching out to other democracies such as Greece and India to discuss their experiences with government transitions and elections. The administration wants to make sure there is plenty of help available from around the globe if Egypt requests it, State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley says.

The payoff of success could be powerful.

"If we can pull this off, if the Egyptian people can create a democracy in the heart of the Arab world, it will be a more significant contribution to civilization than the Great Pyramids," South Carolina Sen. Lindsay Graham said on CNN. "It really will have a long-lasting effect."


The U.S. approach will be different in each country across the region, Pollack says — economic aid in some places, a commitment to deal with the Israeli-Palestinian conflict or Iran's nuclear ambitions in others. In all of them, he says, the administration should "make it clear to these countries that we want reform to happen, that we want to do it with them, not shove it down their throats."

Hadley agrees. Obama's message to leaders in such countries as Jordan and Saudi Arabia should be: " 'Get out ahead of it. Lead the reform process.' "

Or, like Mubarak, face the consequences.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington ... tegy_N.htm

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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby DrVolin » Sun Feb 13, 2011 7:37 pm

I would laugh if it wasn't so tragic.
all these dreams are swept aside
By bloody hands of the hypnotized
Who carry the cross of homicide
And history bears the scars of our civil wars

--Guns and Roses
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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby vanlose kid » Sun Feb 13, 2011 7:39 pm

Egypt: army consolidates, investors wait
February 13, 2011 11:06 pm by Stefan Wagstyl

Investors hoping that Hosni Mubarak’s resignation as Egypt’s president might bring an early resolution of the country’s political crisis will be disappointed.

As ft.com reports Egypt’s military over the weekend has taken firmer control of the country – while reassuring protestors of its commitment to democratic transition. But elections won’t come for six months – so there will be plenty of time for the ebbs and flow of political uncertainty. And those planning to trade on the Cairo bourse must wait a few more days. the re-opening of the stock exchange has been delayed until Wednesday.

In its first significant move since Mubarak’s resignation on Friday, the supreme council of the military, now the ruler of the land, on Sunday set a timetable for the transition and said a committee would be appointed to examine constitutional amendments, report FT correspondents in Cairo. The move met some but not all of the demands of the protest movement. ftcom said:

By maintaining the government that was brought in by Mr Mubarak before his ouster, it dampened hopes that it would create a presidential council, as many opposition figures have advised.

Instead, the head of the council and defence minister, Field Marshal Mohammed Hussein Tantawi, will be Egypt’s face, representing the country abroad, said the military spokesman.

Although many Egyptians are still anxious about the military’s long-term intentions, opposition leaders welcomed the changes late Sunday, giving the army that they had called upon to remove Mr Mubarak time and space to manage the transition.


For investors the immediate question will be how quickly commercial activity can return to normal. Beyond that there will be fundamental issues, chief among them how successfully the existing elite, including the military elite, will retain its wealth, including its extensive financial interests. The real struggle for power may be yet to begin.

http://blogs.ft.com/beyond-brics/2011/0 ... tors-wait/

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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby DrVolin » Sun Feb 13, 2011 7:43 pm

vanlose kid wrote:Investors hoping that Hosni Mubarak’s resignation as Egypt’s president might bring an early resolution of the country’s political crisis will be disappointed


Err, the entire point of the military take-over is to protect existing financial and industrial interests. My babblefish translates the above quote as "let me buy some cheap stuff before you get back in".
all these dreams are swept aside
By bloody hands of the hypnotized
Who carry the cross of homicide
And history bears the scars of our civil wars

--Guns and Roses
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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby vanlose kid » Sun Feb 13, 2011 7:44 pm

Gulf Stocks Gain as Growth Hopes Return
By TIM FALCONER

DUBAI—Stocks in the Persian Gulf region rose modestly as investors gave a thumbs-up to the resignation of Egypt's president amid hopes that improved political stability in the region will boost economic growth.

"We are now standing at a point where the chances of Egypt's violence spreading to other regional countries is low," said Joice Mathew, senior manager for research at United Securities in Muscat, Oman. "This could bring in more stability for regional economic growth."

Doha's market paced the gains Sunday, with the QE Index closing 0.7% higher at 9016.03. Abu Dhabi's main gauge climbed 0.6% to 2727.71, while stocks in Dubai rose 0.4% to 1604.19. Saudi Arabia's Tadawul Index inched 0.1% lower to 6626.89, having gained 0.4% Saturday.

Companies with operations in Egypt rose. Dubai-listed Air Arabia rose 0.9%, while in Abu Dhabi Dana Gas jumped 4.5%. Shares of telecom provider Etisalat, which has a unit in Egypt, climbed 0.9%.

Egypt's stock exchange will reopen Wednesday, three days later than planned, the bourse said Saturday. The political unrest forced it to shut Jan. 27 following a 16% plunge over a three-day period as protests intensified.

"Markets have cheered Mubarak's handing of power to the army in Egypt," said one U.K.-based fund manager. "Consensus seems to be that this will lead to a smooth transition of power, and it's worth noting the slide in oil prices that have been seen as a result," he said.

Analysts Sunday said that a mood of cautious optimism is likely to prevail on the Cairo exchange when it opens its doors again. Fears of a possible market crisis, due to no clear path for change having being established, intensified late last week before Mr. Mubarak's resignation.

To protect investors from any stock-market volatility, the Egyptian exchange said for one week it will suspend trading on all stocks for 30 minutes if the broader EGX 100, a price index more sensitive than the EGX 30, records a movement of more than 5%.

Exchange authorities already suspend trading in individual shares for 30 minutes if their price moves by more than 10%; individual share prices cannot move by more than 20% in one session.

Until the crisis broke in January, Egypt was one of the hottest emerging markets, drawing foreign investment that helped push up the benchmark EGX 30 index 15% in 2010.

"There are still a lot of gray areas regarding the long-term outlook on Egypt," said one analyst. "We do not anticipate a sudden change in the economic outlook, but will like to wait till September to see the election results. More would depend on the foreign and economic policies that would be adopted by the newly elected government," he said.


—Nikhil Lohade contributed to this article.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142 ... lenews_wsj

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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby vanlose kid » Sun Feb 13, 2011 7:45 pm

DrVolin wrote:
vanlose kid wrote:Investors hoping that Hosni Mubarak’s resignation as Egypt’s president might bring an early resolution of the country’s political crisis will be disappointed


Err, the entire point of the military take-over is to protect existing financial and industrial interests. My babblefish translates the above quote as "let me buy some cheap stuff before you get back in".


yep. 's what i'm saying. no disagreement here. at. all. viz:

For investors the immediate question will be how quickly commercial activity can return to normal. Beyond that there will be fundamental issues, chief among them how successfully the existing elite, including the military elite, will retain its wealth, including its extensive financial interests. The real struggle for power may be yet to begin.



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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby vanlose kid » Sun Feb 13, 2011 8:09 pm

Noam Chomsky: “This is the Most Remarkable Regional Uprising that I Can Remember”

In recent weeks, popular uprisings in the Arab world have led to the ouster of Tunisian dictator Zine El Abidine Ben Ali, the imminent end of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak’s regime, a new Jordanian government, and a pledge by Yemen’s longtime dictator to leave office at the end of his term. We speak to MIT Professor Noam Chomsky about what this means for the future of the Middle East and U.S. foreign policy in the region. When asked about President Obama’s remarks last night on Mubarak, Chomsky said: "Obama very carefully didn’t say anything... He’s doing what U.S. leaders regularly do. As I said, there is a playbook: whenever a favored dictator is in trouble, try to sustain him, hold on; if at some point it becomes impossible, switch sides." We continued the interview with Chomsky for 50 minutes after the live show. [includes rush transcript]

AMY GOODMAN: For analysis of the Egyptian uprising and its implications for the Middle East and beyond, we’re joined now by the world-renowned political dissident and linguist Noam Chomsky, Professor Emeritus at Massachusetts Institute of Technology, author of over a hundred books, including his latest, Hopes and Prospects.

Noam, welcome to Democracy Now! Your analysis of what’s happening now in Egypt and what it means for the Middle East?

NOAM CHOMSKY: Well, first of all, what’s happening is absolutely spectacular. The courage and determination and commitment of the demonstrators is remarkable. And whatever happens, these are moments that won’t be forgotten and are sure to have long-term consequences, as the fact that they overwhelmed the police, took Tahrir Square, are staying there in the face of organized pro-Mubarak mobs, organized by the government to try to either drive them out or to set up a situation in which the army will claim to have to move in to restore order and then to maybe install some kind of military rule, whatever. It’s very hard to predict what’s going to happen. But the events have been truly spectacular. And, of course, it’s all over the Middle East. In Yemen, in Jordan, just about everywhere, there are the major consequences.

The United States, so far, is essentially following the usual playbook. I mean, there have been many times when some favored dictator has lost control or is in danger of losing control. There’s a kind of a standard routine—Marcos, Duvalier, Ceausescu, strongly supported by the United States and Britain, Suharto: keep supporting them as long as possible; then, when it becomes unsustainable—typically, say, if the army shifts sides—switch 180 degrees, claim to have been on the side of the people all along, erase the past, and then make whatever moves are possible to restore the old system under new names. That succeeds or fails depending on the circumstances.

And I presume that’s what’s happening now. They’re waiting to see whether Mubarak can hang on, as it appears he’s intending to do, and as long as he can, say, "Well, we have to support law and order, regular constitutional change," and so on. If he cannot hang on, if the army, say, turns against him, then we’ll see the usual routine played out. Actually, the only leader who has been really forthright and is becoming the most—maybe already is—the most popular figure in the region is the Turkey’s Prime Minister Erdogan, who’s been very straight and outspoken.

AMY GOODMAN: Noam, I wanted to play for you what President Obama had to say yesterday.

PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA: We have spoken out on behalf of the need for change. After his speech tonight, I spoke directly to President Mubarak. He recognizes that the status quo is not sustainable and that a change must take place. Indeed, all of us who are privileged to serve in positions of political power do so at the will of our people. Through thousands of years, Egypt has known many moments of transformation. The voices of the Egyptian people tell us that this is one of those moments, this is one of those times. Now, it is not the role of any other country to determine Egypt’s leaders. Only the Egyptian people can do that. What is clear, and what I indicated tonight to President Mubarak, is my belief that an orderly transition must be meaningful, it must be peaceful, and it must begin now.


AMY GOODMAN: That was President Obama speaking yesterday in the White House. Noam Chomsky, your response to what President Obama said, the disappointment of many that he didn’t demand that Mubarak leave immediately? More importantly, the role of the United States, why the U.S. would have any say here, when it comes to how much it has supported the regime?

NOAM CHOMSKY: Well, Obama very carefully didn’t say anything. Mubarak would agree that there should be an orderly transition, but to what? A new cabinet, some minor rearrangement of the constitutional order—it’s empty. So he’s doing what U.S. leaders regularly do. As I said, there is a playbook: whenever a favored dictator is in trouble, try to sustain him, hold on; if at some point it becomes impossible, switch sides.

The U.S. has an overwhelmingly powerful role there. Egypt is the second-largest recipient over a long period of U.S. military and economic aid. Israel is first. Obama himself has been highly supportive of Mubarak. It’s worth remembering that on his way to that famous speech in Cairo, which was supposed to be a conciliatory speech towards the Arab world, he was asked by the press—I think it was the BBC—whether he was going to say anything about what they called Mubarak’s authoritarian government. And Obama said, no, he wouldn’t. He said, "I don’t like to use labels for folks. Mubarak is a good man. He has done good things. He has maintained stability. We will continue to support him. He is a friend." And so on. This is one of the most brutal dictators of the region, and how anyone could have taken Obama’s comments about human rights seriously after that is a bit of a mystery. But the support has been very powerful in diplomatic dimensions. Military—the planes flying over Tahrir Square are, of course, U.S. planes. The U.S. is the—has been the strongest, most solid, most important supporter of the regime. It’s not like Tunisia, where the main supporter was France. They’re the primary guilty party there. But in Egypt, it’s clearly the United States, and of course Israel. Israel is—of all the countries in the region, Israel, and I suppose Saudi Arabia, have been the most outspoken and supportive of the Mubarak regime. In fact, Israeli leaders were angry, at least expressed anger, that Obama hadn’t taken a stronger stand in support of their friend Mubarak.

AMY GOODMAN: Talk about what this means for the Middle East, Noam Chomsky. I mean, we’re talking about the massive protests that have taken place in Jordan, to the point where King Abdullah has now dismissed his cabinet, appointed a new prime minister. In Yemen there are major protests. There is a major protest called for Syria. What are the implications of this, the uprising from Tunisia to Egypt now?

NOAM CHOMSKY: Well, this is the most remarkable regional uprising that I can remember. I mean, it’s sometimes compared with Eastern Europe, but that’s not much of a comparison. For one thing, in this case, there’s no counterpart to Gorbachev among the—in the United States or other great powers supporting the dictatorships. That’s a huge difference. Another is that in the case of Eastern Europe, the United States and its allies followed the timeworn principle that democracy is fine, at least up to a point, if it accords with strategic and economic objectives, so therefore acceptable in enemy domains, but not in our own. That’s a well-established principle, and of course that sharply differentiates these two cases. In fact, about the only moderately reasonable comparison would be to Romania, where Ceausescu, the most vicious of the dictators of the region, was very strongly supported by the United States right up ’til the end. And then, when he—the last days, when he was overthrown and killed, the first Bush administration followed the usual rules: postured about being on the side of the people, opposed to dictatorship, tried to arrange for a continuation of close relations.

But this is completely different. Where it’s going to lead, nobody knows. I mean, the problems that the protesters are trying to address are extremely deep-seated, and they’re not going to be solved easily. There is a tremendous poverty, repression, a lack of not just democracy, but serious development. Egypt and other countries of the region have just been through a neoliberal period, which has led to growth on paper, but with the usual consequences: high concentration of extreme wealth and privilege, tremendous impoverishment and dismay for most of the population. And that’s not easily changed. We should also remember that, as far as the United States is concerned, what’s happening is a very old story. As far back as the 1950s, President Eisenhower was

AMY GOODMAN: Ten seconds in the segment, Noam.

NOAM CHOMSKY: Pardon?

AMY GOODMAN: Ten seconds left in the segment.

NOAM CHOMSKY: Oh.

AMY GOODMAN: Make your point on Eisenhower.

NOAM CHOMSKY: Yeah, shall I go on?

AMY GOODMAN: Five seconds. If you could—we’ll save that for our web exclusive right afterwards. We’ve been speaking with Noam Chomsky. You can go to our website at democracynow.org, and we’ll play more of our interview with him tomorrow on Democracy Now!

http://www.democracynow.org/2011/2/2/no ... s_the_most

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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby vanlose kid » Sun Feb 13, 2011 8:39 pm

Noam Chomsky: Why The Egyptian Uprising is a Big Threat To The American Empire
Posted on 03 February 2011

AMY GOODMAN: Noam Chomsky, you were just talking about the significance of what’s happening in the Middle East, and you were bringing it back to President Dwight Eisenhower.

NOAM CHOMSKY: Well, in 1958, Eisenhower–this is in internal discussions, since declassified–Eisenhower expressed his concern for what he called the “campaign of hatred against us” in the Arab world, not by the governments, but by the people. Remember, 1958, this was a rather striking moment. Just two years before, Eisenhower had intervened forcefully to compel Israel, Britain and France to withdraw from their invasion of Egyptian territory. And you would have expected enormous enthusiasm and support for the United States at that moment, and there was, briefly, but it didn’t last, because policies returned to the norm. So when he was speaking two years later, there was, as he said, a “campaign of hatred against us.” And he was naturally concerned why. Well, the National Security Council, the highest planning body, had in fact just come out with a report on exactly this issue. They concluded that, yes, indeed, there’s a campaign of hatred. They said there’s a perception in the Arab world that the United States supports harsh and brutal dictators and blocks democracy and development, and does so because we’re interested in–we’re concerned to control their energy resources.

AMY GOODMAN: Noam, I wanted to go for a minute to that famous address of the general, of the Republican president, of the president of the United States, Dwight D. Eisenhower.

PRESIDENT DWIGHT D. EISENHOWER: My fellow Americans, this evening I come to you with a message of leave-taking and farewell and to share a few final thoughts with you, my countrymen. We have been compelled to create a permanent armaments industry of vast proportions. Three-and-a-half million men and women are directly engaged in the defense establishment. The total–economic, political, even spiritual–is felt in every city, every state house, every office of the federal government. We recognize the imperative need for this development, yet we must not fail to comprehend its grave implications. In the councils of government, we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex. The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists and will persist.


AMY GOODMAN: That was President Dwight D. Eisenhower in his farewell address in 1961. Special thanks to Eugene Jarecki and his film Why We Fight, that brought it to us in the 21st century. Noam Chomsky, with us on the phone from his home near Boston, Noam, continue with the significance of what Eisenhower was saying and what the times were there and what they have to teach us today about this Middle East uprising.

NOAM CHOMSKY: Yeah, the military-industrial complex speech, the famous one, was after what I’ve just been talking about. That was as he was leaving office and an important speech, of course. Needless to say, the situation he described not only persists but indeed has amplified.

It should be mentioned that there’s another element to the military-industrial complex issue, which he didn’t bring up. At that time, in the 1950s, as he certainly knew, the Pentagon was funding what became–a lot of Pentagon funding was going into creating what became the next phase of the high-tech economy at that time: computers, micro-electronics, shortly after, the internet. Much of this developed through a Pentagon subsidy funding procurement, other mechanisms. So it was a kind of a cover for shifting–for a basic theme of contemporary economic development. That is, the public pays the costs and takes the risks, and eventual profit is privatized, in the case of computers and the internet, after decades. So that’s another aspect of the military-industrial complex which is worth keeping in mind.

But Eisenhower was speaking particularly about the military aspect, what’s called “defense,” though in fact it’s mostly aggression, intervention, subversion. It doesn’t defend the country; it harms it, most of the time. But that’s separate from the–not, of course, unrelated, but distinct from the Middle East problem. There, what Eisenhower and the National Security Council were describing is a persistent pattern. He was describing–they were describing it in 1950. And I’ll repeat the basic conclusion: the United States does support brutal and harsh dictatorships, blocks democracy and development; the goal is to maintain control over the incomparable energy resources of the region–incidentally, not to use them. The U.S.–one of the things that Eisenhower was doing at exactly the same time was pursuing a program to exhaust U.S. energy reserves, rather than using much cheaper Middle East energy, for the benefit of Texas oil producers. That’s a program that went on from the late ’50s for about 15 years. So, at the time, it was not a matter of importing oil from Saudi Arabia, but just ensuring the maintenance of control over the world’s major energy resources. And that, as the National Security Council concluded correctly, was leading to the campaign of hatred against us, the support for dictators, for repression, for violence and the blocking of democracy and development.

Now, that was the 1950s. And those words could be written today. You take a look at what’s happening in the Middle East today. There’s a campaign of hatred against the United States, in Tunisia against France, against Britain, for supporting brutal, harsh dictators, repressive, vicious, imposing poverty and suffering in the midst of great wealth, blocking democracy and development, and doing so because of the primary goal, which remains to maintain control over the energy resources of the region. What the National Security Council wrote in 1958 could be restated today in almost the same words.

Right after 9/11, the Wall Street Journal, to its credit, did a–ran a poll in the Muslim world, not of the general population, of the kind of people they are interested in, I think what they called the moneyed Muslims or some phrase like that–professionals, directors of multinational corporations, bankers, people deeply embedded in the whole U.S.-dominated neoliberal project there–so not what’s called anti-American. And it was an interesting poll. In fact, the results were very much like those that were described in 1958. There was tremendous–there wasn’t a campaign of hatred against the U.S. among these people, but there was tremendous antagonism to U.S. policies. And the reasons were pretty much the same: the U.S. is blocking democracy and development; it’s supporting dictators. By that time, there were salient issues that–some of which didn’t exist in 1958. For example, there was a tremendous opposition in these groups to the murderous sanctions in Iraq, which didn’t arouse much attention here, but they certainly did in the region. Hundreds of thousands of people were being killed. The civilian society was being destroyed. The dictator was being strengthened. And that did cause tremendous anger. And, of course, there was great anger about U.S. support for Israeli crimes, atrocities, illegal takeover of occupied territories and so on, settlement programs. Those were other issues, which also, to a limited extent, existed in ’58, but not like 2001.

So that–and in fact, right now, we have direct evidence about attitudes of the Arab population. I think I mentioned this on an earlier broadcast, strikingly not reported, but extremely significant. Now, last August, the Brookings Institute released a major poll of Arab opinion, done by prestigious and respected polling agencies, one of them. They do it regularly. And the results were extremely significant. They reveal that there is again, still, a campaign of hatred against the United States. When asked about threats to the region, the ones that were picked, near unanimously, were Israel and the United States–88 percent Israel, about 77 percent the United States, regarded as the threats to the region. Of course, they asked about Iran. Ten percent of the population thought Iran was a threat. In the list of respected personalities, Erdogan was first. I think there were about 10. Neither Obama or any other Western figure was even mentioned. Saddam Hussein had higher respect.

Now, this is quite striking, especially in the light of the WikiLeaks revelations. The most–the one that won the headlines and that was–led to great enthusiasm and euphoria was the revelation, whether accurate or not–we don’t know–but the claim, at least, by diplomats that the Arab dictators were supporting the U.S. in its confrontation with Iran. And, you know, enthusiastic headlines about how Arab states support–the Arabs support the United States. That’s very revealing. What the commentators and the diplomats were saying is the Arab dictators support us, even though the population is overwhelming opposed, everything’s fine, everything’s under control, it’s quiet, they’re passive, and the dictators support us, so what could be a problem? In fact, Arab opinion was so antagonistic to the United States in this–as revealed in this poll, that a majority of the Arab population, 57 percent, actually thought the region would be better off if Iran had nuclear weapons. Nevertheless, the conclusion here, and in England and the continent, was it’s all wonderful. The dictators support us. We can disregard the population, because they’re quiet. As long as they’re quiet, who cares? People don’t matter. Actually, there’s an analog of that internal to the United States. And it’s of course the same policy elsewhere in the world. All of that reveals a contempt for democracy and for public opinion which is really profound. And one has to listen with jaws dropping when Obama, in the clip you ran, talks about how, of course, governments depend on the people. Our policy is the exact opposite.

AMY GOODMAN: Noam Chomsky, I wanted to read to you what Robert Fisk has written from the streets of Cairo today. Robert Fisk, the well-known reporter from The Independent of London. He said, “One of the blights of history will now involve a U.S. president who held out his hand to the Islamic world and then clenched his fist when it fought a dictatorship and demanded democracy.” Noam Chomsky, your response?

NOAM CHOMSKY: Well, Fisk’s reporting, as usual, has been inspiring and phenomenal. And yeah, he’s exactly right. And it is the old pattern. As I say, it goes back 50 years right there in Egypt and the region, and it’s the same elsewhere. As long as the population is passive and obedient, it doesn’t matter if there’s a campaign of hatred against us. It doesn’t matter if they believe that our official enemy can perhaps save them from our attacks. In fact, nothing matters, as long as the dictators support us. That’s the view here.

We should remember there’s an analog here. I mean, it’s not the same, of course, but the population in the United States is angry, frustrated, full of fear and irrational hatreds. And the folks not far from you on Wall Street are just doing fine. They’re the ones who created the current crisis. They’re the ones who were called upon to deal with it. They’re coming out stronger and richer than ever. But everything’s fine, as long as the population is passive. If one-tenth of one percent of the population is gaining a preponderant amount of the wealth that’s produced, while for the rest there 30 years of stagnation, just fine, as long as everyone’s quiet. That’s the scenario that has been unfolding in the Middle East, as well, just as it did in Central America and other domains.

AMY GOODMAN: Noam, I wanted to ask you if you think the revelations from WikiLeaks,–right?–the U.S. diplomatic cables, before that, Iraq and Afghan war logs, this massive trove of documents that have been released, Julian Assange talking about the critical issue of transparency–have played a key role here. I mean, in terms of Tunisia, a young university graduate who ended up, because there were no jobs, just selling vegetables in a market, being harassed by police, immolates himself–that was the spark. But also, the documents that came out on Tunisia confirming the U.S. knowledge, while it supported the Tunisian regime, that it was wholly corrupt, and what this means from one country to another, Yemen, as well. Do you think there is a direct relationship?

NOAM CHOMSKY: Well, actually, the fact of the matter is that WikiLeaks are not really telling us anything dramatically new. They’re providing confirmation, often, of reasonable surmises. Tunisia was a very interesting case. So the ambassador did have a–one of the leaks comes from the ambassador, July 2009, and he describes Tunisia. He says it’s a police state with little freedom of expression or association, serious human rights problems, ruled by a dictator whose family is despised for their corruption, robbery of the population and so on. That’s the assessment of the ambassador. Not long after that, the U.S. singled out Tunisia for an extra shipment of military aid. Not just Tunisia, also two other Arab dictatorships–Egypt and Jordan–and of course Israel–it’s routine–and one other country, namely Colombia, the country with the worst human rights record in the western hemisphere for years and the leading recipient of U.S. military aid for years, two elements that correlate quite closely, it’s been shown.

Well, this tells you what the understanding was about Tunisia–namely, police state, a bitterly hated dictator and so on. But we send them more arms afterwards, because the population is quiet, so everything’s fine. Actually, there was a description by–a very succinct account of all of this by a former high Jordanian official who’s now director of Middle East research for the Carnegie Endowment, Marwan Muasher. He said, “This is the principle.” He said, “There is nothing wrong. Everything is under control.” Meaning, as long as the population is quiet, acquiescent–maybe fuming with rage, but doing nothing about it–everything’s fine, there’s nothing wrong, it’s all under control. That’s the operative principle.

AMY GOODMAN: He’s a former Jordanian diplomat.

NOAM CHOMSKY: Former Jordanian official, high official.

AMY GOODMAN: What about what’s happening now in Jordan, what you think is going to happen, and also in Saudi Arabia, how much it drives this and what you feel Obama needs to do and what you think he actually is doing?

NOAM CHOMSKY: Well, Jordan, the prime minister was just replaced. He was replaced with an ex-general who seems to be–is claimed to be moderately popular, at least not hated by the population. But essentially nothing changed. There are changes of the Jordanian cabinet frequently, and the basic system remains. Whether the population will accept that, whether the Muasher principle will work–nothing’s wrong, everything’s under control–that, we don’t know.

Saudi Arabia is an interesting case. Saudi Arabia–the king of Saudi Arabia has been, along with Israel, the strongest supporter, most outspoken supporter of Mubarak. And the Saudi Arabian case should remind us of something about the regular commentary on this issue. The standard line and commentary is that, of course, we love democracy, but for pragmatic reasons we must sometimes reluctantly oppose it, in this case because of the threat of radical Islamists, the Muslim Brotherhood. Well, you know, there’s maybe some–whatever one thinks of that. Take a look at Saudi Arabia. That’s the leading center of radical Islamist ideology. That’s been the source of it for years. The United States has–it’s also the support of Islamic terror, the source for Islamic terror or the ideology that supports it. That’s the leading U.S. ally, and has been for a long, long time. The U.S. supported–U.S. relations, close relations, with Israel, incidentally, after the 1967 war, escalated because Israel had struck a serious blow against secular Arab nationalism, the real enemy, Nasser’s Egypt, and in defense of radical Islam, Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia and Egypt had been in a proxy war just before that, and there was a major conflict. And that’s quite typical.

Probably the most–going back to WikiLeaks, maybe the most significant revelation has to do with Pakistan. In Pakistan, the WikiLeaks cables show that the ambassador, Ambassador Patterson, is pretty much on top of what’s going on. There’s enormous–the phrase “campaign of hatred against the United States” is an understatement. The population is passionately anti-American, increasingly so, largely, as she points out, as a result of U.S. actions in both Afghanistan and Pakistan, the pressure on the Pakistani military to invade the tribal zones, the drone attacks and so on. And she goes on to say that this may even lead to the–what is in fact the ultimate nightmare, that Pakistan’s enormous nuclear facilities, which incidentally are being increased faster than anywhere else in the world, that these–there might be leakage of fissile materials into the hands of the radical Islamists, who are growing in strength and gaining popular support as a result of–in part, as a result of actions that we’re taking.

Well, this goes back to–this didn’t happen overnight. The major factor behind this is the rule of the dictator Zia-ul-Haq back in the 1980s. He was the one who carried out radical Islamization of Pakistan, with Saudi funding. He set up these extremist madrassas. The young lawyers who were in the streets recently shouting their support for the assassin of the political figure who opposed the blasphemy laws, they’re a product of those madrassas. Who supported him? Ronald Reagan. He was Reagan’s favorite dictator in the region. Well, you know, events have consequences. You support radical Islamization, and there are consequences. But the talk about concern about the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, whatever its reality, is a little bit ironic, when you observe that the U.S. and, I should say, Britain, as well, have traditionally supported radical Islam, in part, sometimes as a barrier to secular nationalism.
What’s the real concern is not Islam or radicalism; it’s independence. If the radical Islamists are independent, well, they’re an enemy. If secular nationalists are independent, they are an enemy. In Latin America, for decades, when the Catholic Church, elements of the Catholic Church, were becoming independent, the liberation theology movement, they were an enemy. We carried out a major war against the church. Independence is what’s intolerable, and pretty much for the reasons that the National Security Council described in the case of the Arab world 50 years ago.

AMY GOODMAN: Noam Chomsky, I wanted to read to you what two people are writing. One is Ethan Bronner in the New York Times, saying, “Despite [Mr.] Mubarak’s supportive relations with Israel, many Israelis on both the left and right are sympathetic [to] the Egyptians’ desire to rid themselves of his autocracy and build a democracy. But they fear what will follow if things move too quickly.” He quotes a top Israeli official saying, “We know this has to do with the desire for freedom, prosperity and opportunity, and we support people who don’t want to live under tyranny, but who will take advantage of what is happening in its wake?” The official goes on to say, “The prevailing sense here is that you need a certain stability followed by reform. Snap elections are likely to bring a very different outcome,” the official said.

And then there’s Richard Cohen, who’s writing in the Washington Post. And Richard Cohen writes–and let me see if I can find this clip. Richard Cohen writes that–let’s see if I can find it–”Things are about to go from bad to worse in the Middle East. An Israeli-Palestinian peace agreement is nowhere in sight.”
Noam Chomsky, your response?

NOAM CHOMSKY: The comment of the Israeli official is standard boilerplate. Stalin could have said it. Yes, of course, the people want peace and freedom, democracy; we’re all in favor of that. But not now, please. Because we don’t like what the outcome will be. In fact, it’s worth bearing–in the case–it’s the same with Obama. It’s more or less the same comment. On the other hand, the Israeli officials have been vociferous and outspoken in support of Mubarak and denunciation of the popular movement and the demonstrations. Perhaps only Saudi Arabia has been so outspoken in this regard. And the reason is the same. They very much fear what democracy would bring in Egypt.

After all, they’ve just seen it in Palestine. There has been one free election in the Arab world, exactly one really free election–namely, in Palestine, January 2006, carefully monitored, recognized to be free, fair, open and so on. And right after the election, within days, the United States and Israel announced publicly and implemented policies of harsh attack against the Palestinian people to punish them for running a free election. Why? The wrong people won. Elections are just fine, if they come out the way we want them to.

So, if in, say, Poland under Russian rule, popular movements were calling for freedom, we cheer. On the other hand, if popular movements in Central America are trying to get rid of brutal dictatorships, we send–we arm the military and carry out massive terrorist wars to crush it. We will cheer Vaclav Havel in Czechoslovakia standing up against the enemy, and at the very same moment, elite forces, fresh from renewed training at Fort Bragg, North Carolina, under command of the military, blow the brains out of six leading Latin American intellectuals, Jesuit priests, in El Salvador. That passes in silence. But those are the–that’s exactly the pattern that we see replicated over and over again.

And it’s even recognized by conservative scholarship. The leading studies of–scholarly studies of what’s called “democracy promotion” happen to be by a good, careful scholar, Thomas Carruthers, who’s a neo-Reaganite. He was in Reagan’s State Department working on programs of democracy promotion, and he thinks it’s a wonderful thing. But he concludes from his studies, ruefully, that the U.S. supports democracy, if and only if it accords with strategic and economic objectives. Now, he regards this as a paradox. And it is a paradox if you believe the rhetoric of leaders. He even says that all American leaders are somehow schizophrenic. But there’s a much simpler analysis: people with power want to retain and maximize their power. So, democracy is fine if it accords with that, and it’s unacceptable if it doesn’t.

AMY GOODMAN: Noam, there’s a sign, a big banner that people are holding in the square, in Tahrir, that says, “Yes, we can, too.”

NOAM CHOMSKY: Let’s what? I’m sorry, I didn’t hear.

AMY GOODMAN: The banner says, “Yes, we can, too.”

NOAM CHOMSKY: Oh, “Yes, we can, too.” Yeah. You know where they got that from. Well, except that they mean it. Whether they can or not, no one knows. I mean, the situation has–we should recognize, has ominous aspects. The dispatch of pro-Mubarak thugs to the square is dangerous and frightening. Mubarak, presumably with U.S. backing, feels that–clearly feels that he can reestablish control. They’ve opened the internet again. The army is sitting by. We don’t know what they’ll do. But they might very well use the conflicts in the streets, caused by the pro-Mubarak gangs that have been sent in, to say, “Well, we have to establish military control,” and they’ll be another form of the military dictatorships that have been, you know, the effective power in Egypt for a long time.

Another crucial is how long the demonstrators can sustain themselves, not only against terror and violence, but also just against economic crisis. Within a short time, maybe beginning already, there isn’t going to be bread, water. The economy is collapsing. They have shown absolutely incredible courage and determination, but, you know, there’s a limit to what human flesh can bear. So, amazing as all this is, there’s no guarantee of success.

If the United States, the population of the United States, Europe–if there is substantial vocal, outspoken support, that could make a difference. Now, remember the Muasher principle: as long as everyone’s quiet, everything’s under control, it’s all fine. But when they break those bonds, it’s not fine. You have to do something.

AMY GOODMAN: If you were president today, what would you do right now, president of the United States?

NOAM CHOMSKY: Well, if I were–if I had made it to the presidency, meaning with the kind of constituency and support that’s required to be a president in the United States, I’d probably do what Obama’s doing. But what ought to be done is what Erdogan is doing. Turkey is becoming the most significant country in the region, and it’s recognized. Erdogan is far and away the most popular figure. And they’ve taken a pretty constructive role on many issues. And in this case, he is the one leading public figure, leader, who has been frank, outspoken, clear, and says Mubarak must go now. Now is when we must have change. That’s the right stand. Nothing like that in Europe, and nothing like that here.

AMY GOODMAN: And what do you think of the role of the U.S. corporations? We spoke to Bill Hartung, who wrote this book, Prophets of Power, P-R-O-P-H-E-T-S, about Lockheed Martin. The overwhelming amount of money, the billions, that have gone to Egypt, haven’t really gone to Egypt; they’ve gone to U.S. weapons manufacturers, like General Dynamics, like Lockheed Martin, like Boeing, etc. In fact, Boeing owns Narus, which is the digital technology that’s involved with surveillance of the cell phone, of the internet system there, where they can find dissident voices for the Egyptian regime. And who knows what they will do with those voices, just among others? But these corporations that have made such a killing off the repression, where are they standing right now in terms of U.S. policy?

NOAM CHOMSKY: Well, they don’t issue press releases, so we have to speculate. But it’s pretty obvious that they have a major stake in the dictatorships, not just Egypt. So, for example, a couple of months ago, Obama announced the biggest military sale in history to Saudi Arabia, $60 billion worth of jet planes, helicopters, armored vehicles and so on and so forth. The pretext is that we have to defend Saudi Arabia against Iran. Remember that among the population, if anyone cares about them, 10 percent regard Iran as a threat, and a majority think the region would be better off if Iran had nuclear weapons. But we have to defend them against Iran by sending them military equipment, which would do them absolutely no good in any confrontation with Iran. But it does a lot of good for the American military-industrial complex that Eisenhower was referring to in that clip you ran a while back. So, yes, William Hartung was quite right about this.

In fact, a part of the reason why there is such strong support for Israel in the military lobby, in the military-industrial lobby in the United States, is that the massive arms transfers to Israel, which, whatever they’re called, end up essentially being gifts, they go from the U.S.–the pocket of the U.S. taxpayer into the pocket of military industry. But there’s also a secondary effect, which is well understood. They’re a kind of a teaser. When the U.S. sends, you know, the most advanced jet aircraft, F-35s, to Israel, then Saudi Arabia says, “Well, we want a hundred times as much second-rate equipment,” which is a huge bonanza for military industry, and it also recycles petrodollars, which is an important–a necessity for the U.S. economy. So these things are quite closely tied together.

And it’s not just military industry. Construction projects, development, telecommunications–in the case of Israel, high-tech industry. So, Intel Corporation, the major–the world’s major chip producer, has announced a new generation of chips, which they hope will be the next generation of chips, and they’re building their main factory in Israel. Just announced an expansion of it. The relations are very close and intimate all the way through–again, in the Arab world, certainly not among the people, but we have the Muasher principle. As long as they’re quiet, who cares? We can disregard them.

AMY GOODMAN: And the significance of Mubarak in the Israel-Palestine-Egypt axis? I mean, going back to 1979, if you could briefly remind people why he’s so important, as the media keeps saying he has meant peace and stability with Israel, he gives the U.S. access to their air space, he guarantees access to the Suez Canal. Talk about that and what the change would mean.

NOAM CHOMSKY: We should actually go back a little further. In 1971, President Sadat of Egypt offered Israel a full peace treaty in return for withdrawal from the Occupied Territories. He cared about the Sinai, not–but Israel considered it, rejected it. Henry Kissinger, national security adviser, supported the rejection. State Department then supported Sadat. And Israel–it was a fateful decision. That’s the point at which Israel quite explicitly chose expansion over security. They were then expanding into the Sinai, planning to build a city of a million people, Egyptian Sinai, settlements driving farmers out into the desert and so on. Well, that was the background for the 1973 war, which made it clear that Egypt can’t simply be dismissed. Then we move on to the negotiations which led, in 1979, to the U.S. and Israel pretty much accepting Sadat’s offer of 1971: withdrawal from the Sinai in return for a peace treaty. That’s called a great diplomatic triumph. In fact, it was a diplomatic catastrophe. The failure to accept it in 1971 led to a very dangerous war, suffering, brutality and so on. And finally, the U.S. and Israel essentially, more or less, accepted it.

Now, as soon as that settlement was made, 1979, Israeli strategic analysts–the main one was Avner Yaniv, but others, too–recognized right away that now that Egypt is excluded from the confrontation, Israel is free to use force in other areas. And indeed, it very soon after that attacked Lebanon, didn’t have to worry about an Egyptian deterrent. Now, that was gone, so we can attack Lebanon. And that was a brutal, vicious attack, killed 15,000, 20,000 people, led finally to the Sabra-Shatila massacre, destroyed lots of–most of southern Lebanon. And no defensive rationale. In fact, it wasn’t even pretended. It was an effort to–as it was said, it was a war for the West Bank. It was an effort to block embarrassing Palestinian negotiation, diplomatic offers, and move forward on integrating the Occupied Territories. Well, they were free to do that once the Egyptian deterrent was gone. And that continues. Egypt is the major Arab state, the biggest military force by far, and neutralizing Egypt does free Israel–and when I say Israel, I mean the United States and Israel, because they work in tandem–it frees them to carry out the crimes of the occupation, attacks on Lebanon–there have been five invasions already, there might be another one–and Egypt does not interfere.

Furthermore, Egypt cooperates in the crushing of Gaza. That terrible free election in January 2006 not only frightened the U.S. and Israel–they didn’t like the outcome, so turned instantly to punishing the Palestinians–but the same in Egypt. The victor in the election was Hamas, which is an offshoot of the Muslim Brotherhood. That was very much feared by the Egyptian dictatorship, because if they ever allowed anything like a free election, the Muslim Brotherhood would no doubt make out quite well, maybe not a majority, but it would be a substantial political force. And they don’t want that, so therefore they cooperate. Egypt, under Mubarak, cooperates with Israel in crushing [Gaza], built a huge fence on the Egyptian border, with U.S. engineering help, and it sort of monitors the flow of goods in and out of Gaza on the Egyptian side. It essentially completes the siege that the U.S. and Israel have imposed. Well, all of that could erode if there was a democratic movement that gained influence in Egypt, just as it did in Palestine.

I should mention that there’s one other semi-democratic election in the Arab world, regularly. Now, that’s in Lebanon. Lebanon is a complex story. It’s a confessional democracy, so the Shiite population, which is the largest of the sects, is significantly underrepresented under the confessional system. But nevertheless the elections are not just state elections under dictatorships. And they have outcomes, too, which are suppressed here. So, for example, in the last election, the majority, a popular majority, was the Hezbollah-led coalition. They were the popular majority in the last election. I think about 53 percent. Well, that’s not the way it was described here. If you read, say, Thomas Friedman, he wrote an ode about the election about–he was practically shedding tears of joy at free elections, in which Obama won over Ahmadinejad. Well, you know, what he meant is that in the representation under the confessional system, which seriously underrepresents the Shiite population, the pro-U.S. coalition won the most seats. That again reflects the standard contempt for democracy. All we care–we don’t care that the majority of the population went the other way, as long as they’re quiet and passive. And interestingly, Hezbollah quietly accepted the outcome, didn’t protest about it at the time. But since then, their power has increased, and now there’s a serious threat in Lebanon, which we should not overlook.

AMY GOODMAN: Noam, finally, as we wrap up, I’ve asked you a lot about what this means for the Middle East, this rolling revolution, from Tunisia to Egypt, what we’re seeing in Jordan, in Yemen and beyond. But what about what these mass protests mean for people in the United States?

NOAM CHOMSKY: I think they mean a lot, and I’ve been trying to hint about that. The doctrine that everything is fine as long as the population is quiet, that applies in the Middle East, applies in Central America, it applies in the United States. For the last 30 years, we have had state-corporate policies specifically designed–specifically designed, not accidentally–to enrich and empower a tiny sector of the population, one percent–in fact, one-tenth of one percent. That’s the basic source of the extreme inequality. Tax policies, rules of corporate governance, a whole mass of policies, have been very explicitly designed to achieve this end–deregulation and so on. Well, for most of the population, that’s meant pretty much stagnation over a long period. Now, people have been getting by, by sharply increasing the number of work hours, far beyond Europe, by debt, by asset inflation like the recent housing bubble. But those things can’t last.

And as soon as Obama came into office, he came in in the midst of the worst crisis since the Depression. In fact, Ben Bernanke, we know from recent testimony that was released, head of the Fed, said it was even worse than the banking crisis in 1929. So there was a real crisis. Who did he pick to patch up the crisis? The people who had created it, the Robert Rubin gang, Larry Summers, Timothy Geithner, basically the people who were responsible for the policies that led to the crisis. And it’s not surprising. I mean, Obama’s primary constituency was financial institutions. They were the core of the funding for his campaign. They expect to be paid back. And they were. They were paid back by coming out richer and more powerful than they were before the crisis that they created.

Meanwhile, the population, much of the population, is literally in depression. If you look at the unemployment figures, among the top few percent, maybe 10, 20 percent, unemployment is not particularly high. In fact, it’s rather low. When you go down to the bottom of the income ladder, you know, the lower quintiles, unemployment is at Depression levels. In manufacturing industry, it is at Depression levels.

And it’s different from the Depression. In the Depression, which I’m old enough to remember, it was very severe. My own family was mostly unemployed working class. But there was a sense of hopefulness. Something is–we can do something. There’s CIO organizing. There’s sitdown strikes, that compelled New Deal measures, which were helpful and hopeful. And there was a sense that somehow we’ll get out of this, that we’re in it together, we can work together, we can get out of it. That’s not true now. Now there’s a general atmosphere of hopelessness, despair, anger and deep irrationality. That’s a very dangerous mix. Hatred of foreigners, you know, a mix of attitudes which is volatile and dangerous, quite different from the mood in the Depression.

But the same governing principle applies: as long as the population is–accepts what’s going on, is directing their anger against teachers, you know, firemen, policemen, pensions and so on, as long as they’re directing their anger there, and not against us, the rulers, everything’s under control, everything’s fine. Until it erupts. Well, it hasn’t erupted here yet, and if it does erupt, it might not be at a constructive direction, given the nature of what’s happening in the country now. But yes, those Egyptian lessons should be taken to heart. We can see clearly what people can do under conditions of serious duress and repression far beyond anything that we face, but they’re doing it. If we don’t do it, the outcome could be quite ugly.

AMY GOODMAN: Noam Chomsky, I want to thank you very much for being with us. Noam, author, Institute Professor Emeritus at MIT, and most recent book, Hopes and Prospects, has written more than a hundred books.

http://www.politicalarticles.net/blog/2 ... an-empire/

*
"Teach them to think. Work against the government." – Wittgenstein.
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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby vanlose kid » Sun Feb 13, 2011 9:01 pm

nevermind the Sex Pistols, here's the Clash.

*



Hey, hey!
Ooh!
The kingdom is ransacked
the jewels all taken back
and the chopper descends
they're hidden in the back
with a message on a half-baked tape
with the spool going round
saying I'm back here in this place
and I could cry
and there's smoke you could click on

What are we gonna do now?
Taking off his turban, they said, is this man a Jew?
'Cause they're working for the clampdown
They put up a poster saying we earn more than you!
When we're working for the clampdown
We will teach our twisted speech
To the young believers
We will train our blue-eyed men
To be young believers

The judge said five to ten, but I say double that again
I'm not working for the clampdown
No man born with a living soul
Can be working for the clampdown
Kick over the wall 'cause government's to fall
How can you refuse it?
Let fury have the hour, anger can be power
D'you know that you can use it?

The voices in your head are calling
Stop wasting your time, there's nothing coming
Only a fool would think someone could save you
The men at the factory are old and cunning
You don't owe nothing, so boy get running
It's the best years of your life they want to steal

You grow up and you calm down
You're working for the clampdown
You start wearing the blue and brown
You're working for the clampdown
So you got someone to boss around
It makes you feel big now
You drift until you brutalize
You made your first kill now

In these days of evil presidentes
Working for the clampdown
But lately one or two has fully paid their due
For working for the clampdown
Ha! Gitalong! Gitalong!
Working for the clampdown
Ha! Gitalong! Gitalong!
Working for the clampdown

Yeah I'm working hard in Harrisburg
Working hard in Petersburg
Working for the clampdown
Working for the clampdown
Ha! Gitalong! Gitalong
Begging to be melted down
Gitalong, gitalong
(Work)
(Work)
(Work) And I've given away no secrets - ha!
(Work)
(Work)
(More work)
(More work)
(Work)
(Work)
(Work)
(Work)
Who's barmy now?

*
"Teach them to think. Work against the government." – Wittgenstein.
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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby Joe Hillshoist » Mon Feb 14, 2011 4:37 am

AlicetheKurious wrote:
The fact is, you can't force well-informed, unified and determined people to accept something they don't want, unless you're willing to use brute force, something that the army cannot afford to do. Instead, it's procrastinating, but the people are on their backs. The key is to keep pushing to have these demands met immediately, before the dark forces can regroup and come up with a subversive plan of their own.


Yeah too right, and thats the key too.

Alice, is there anything we can do to help with that?
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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby AlicetheKurious » Mon Feb 14, 2011 5:41 am

Kate wrote:My sense, from everything I've watched and read, is that many of the protesters (especially those who've been out in the streets since the very first day) have really thoroughly studied research and case studies of successful nonviolent resistance, and thought of how to tailor methods to the unique Egyptian situation. It all seemed so cohesive, disciplined, unfolding with a plan (such as drawing and inviting into the movement ever-widening circles of segments of society along the way, with each step). And I find it hard to believe that it wasn't a conscious choice for the movement to remain "leaderless" -- the setting aside of "ego" or a desire to be known personally by the public as "leading the charge."

It seems to me (from so far away) that this enabled each new participant joining the protest community to feel equally empowered to contribute, allowing for much creativity! -- and it also prevented the regime from targetting a specific hit-list of leaders. Although I'm aware of how bloggers and others already known to be dissidents were snatched by the Mubarak thugs (and I pray many have survived the brutal treatment and torture) -- but in a more general sense, I never got the feeling that there was any jockeying for position, to make a name for oneself or one's specific group. My hunch is that there was at least an initial group or groups that had already contemplated, long and hard, the wisest methods and approaches.

It's just a hunch of mine, but if it's a mere fantasy I harbor (with me so far away from your country, and so ignorant of so much), I'd be happy for you to set me to rights if you have knowledge -- or even just an opinion -- on the matter.


You're asking the $64,000 question, but there's no way of knowing the answer. As far as everybody knows, there was no leadership, no plan: on January 25, the national "Police Day" holiday decreed last year by Mubarak, a few thousand Egyptians came out to march in the streets, hand out flowers to the police and demand very limited "reforms". Those who participated that first day, including those who are now the revolution's most prominent and articulate spokespersons like Nawara Negm, expected it would be like every other time: around 20-50 lonely demonstrators surrounded by 500 state security soldiers. Some, like the dissident journalist Hamdy Qandil, showed up at noon and seeing how few people there were, felt overwhelmed by a sense of futility and headed home.

That first day, the marches grew into the largest demonstrations since Mubarak had come to power, and the largest peaceful demonstrations in the 40 years since Gamal Abdelnasser died. That accomplishment alone, under the 30-year State of Emergency, represented a success beyond anybody's expectations. Even the government was praising the demonstrators, albeit in a very patronizing and condescending way. By late afternoon, however, the regime had had enough and police were using tear gas and sticks against demonstrators to disperse them.

That's when something truly unprecedented and unpredictable, even inconceivable, occurred: instead of dispersing, by nightfall the demonstrations had grown larger and more determined and the demands became focused on one chant: "The people/want/the regime to fall". I don't think it's possible to understand the significance of such a statement for someone who hasn't lived in a police state where this is the reddest and most inviolable of red lines, and that it was said so loudly, so openly, by so many!

From that moment on, the demonstrators broke down all the seemingly impregnable mental barriers, one by one. The regime, in turn, unleashed its full fury against them: everything it could do, it did. Demonstrators were beaten, shot, tear-gassed, water-cannoned, kidnapped and tortured. Telephone communications were cut. The internet was shut off. Buildings were set on fire. Maximum-security prisons all over the country were opened and tens of thousands of hardened criminals invited to go on a rampage, to loot and destroy and terrorize ("Go ahead, do your worst, it's all yours and nobody will stand in your way.") The media was mobilized to terrorize people; state-owned and even "independent" tv and radio aired telephone calls from government agents posing as "citizens" screaming and crying for help, and issued reports about armed Hizbullah and Mossad and Iranian and "Al Qaeda" agents posing as demonstrators. Newspapers blared about billions of dollars in losses to the economy for each day the demonstrations continued. Food shops were looted and burned. Banks were closed. Reporters were beaten up and their cameras destroyed or stolen. In at least one city, Suez, electricity and water were cut off. The Egyptian Museum of Antiquities was attacked. Mubarak made some changes in his cabinet and promised "reforms". Later he promised he wouldn't run again for president after his term finished in September.

And this is the part that gets me: somehow, the harder the regime hit, the stronger the revolution (because that is what it turned into) became. No matter how ingenious and deadly the regime's tools, even more ingenious and effective tools were rapidly mobilized to counteract them. Just to name one example: within minutes of Al Jazeera's report that the Egyptian museum and shops were being looted, nearly 10,000 young people were surrounding the museum with their bodies to protect it, had caught the looters, tied them up and identified them as police. Across Egypt, young people had armed themselves with sticks and organized themselves into "people's committees" to defend their streets and the buildings and shops. There was a remarkable uniformity in their methods: all were extremely polite, all blocked off entrances to each street and searched cars for weapons, and when they caught vandals or thieves, they tied them up and phoned the army to send someone to take them away. Remember: there was no cell-phone service and no internet (more Egyptians by far rely on cell-phones than on land-lines). Similarly, when the demonstrators, apparently spontaneously, decided to set up a camp in Tahrir Square despite the bitter cold, thousands of people "spontaneously" showed up, marching in carrying blankets and tents and water and food.

Early on, a document was circulated among demonstrators, providing concise and very practical instructions on dealing with tear gas and avoiding getting hurt or caught by police.

In Suez, where the police crack-down was deadliest in the early stages, where electricity and water were cut and no journalists were allowed, somehow Al Jazeera managed to have a correspondent in place, armed with a satellite phone, who reported that the demonstrators were led by the revered 90-year old Hafez Salama, a war-hero who led the citizens' resistance against Israel's deadly siege of Suez in 1973, and Al Jazeera even managed to broadcast video footage of the fighting. There were intriguing reports that the demonstrators in Suez were in contact with their counterparts in Tunis, via satellite phones. When the government shut down Al Jazeera on the Nilesat and Hotbird and on all other satellites, Al Jazeera almost immediately began broadcasting through NBC Lebanon, a business channel and at least 10 others.

Furthermore, somehow throughout the chaos and terror and the massive propaganda campaign, it became gradually clear to all that the violence was being orchestrated by the regime against its own people and that it was the regime's opponents who were heroically using peaceful means to fight for people's rights. The moral line was drawn, between a conspiracy of vicious, corrupt old men desperate to hold on to power, backed by the world's superpowers, and young men and women fighting with their bare hands to free their nation. The harder they hit, the weaker their hold on power became.

The regime was not out of tricks yet: Mubarak appointed a vice president, whom the media portrayed as a wise, decent and reasonable man. Then the vice president invited representatives of the "opposition" to engage in "dialogue". A so-called "Council of Wise Men" suddenly emerged, as well as a group of young demonstrators purportedly speaking for the revolutionaries. The key word became "negotiations".

Somehow this attempt to divide and defuse the revolution didn't work either. Those who fell for it and accepted the regime's invitation discredited themselves. Every attempt to designate a leader or leaders, to give the revolutionaries a particular identity beyond "Egyptian", to defame them or to associate them with an ideology or religion or any agenda beyond freeing all Egyptian citizens, has failed.

As a consequence, Phase I of the revolution succeeded, and Mubarak's regime fell.

The people -- collectively -- established themselves as the sole source of legitimacy for any future government. The army took over, but while forced to admit that it has no right to rule -- that this revolution was heroically fought and won by the civilians, for the civilians and that the army's role is that of a servant and defender.

We're not kidding ourselves: we know that the army's top brass represents a remnant of the regime, that it is beholden to the same American and Israeli "patrons" that Mubarak served so faithfully, and that it will do everything possible to subvert and coopt the revolution in order to pour the same old wine in new bottles.

Yet, given everything we've seen and experienced since January 25, is it possible that those who carried out such a miraculous (no other word will do) transformation, who have demonstrated such ingenuity, resourcefulness, flexibility and determination (whoever they are) will now reveal themselves to be naive, weak, easily deceived and demoralized? Was this revolution planned and carried out by a secret core group of brilliant strategists, or is the genius simply a product of the "hive mind"? Is there a supernatural or divine element that needs to be acknowledged before the events can be understood? I have no idea.

The old men at the top certainly seem to think that they can still salvage something of the old regime, and probably the Americans and Israelis too, but when have they ever been right?

Mubarak is Egypt's Berlin Wall. Its fall is exhilarating, but the revolution is far from done. Like I said before, keep watching.
"If you're not careful the newspapers will have you hating the oppressed and loving the people doing the oppressing." - Malcolm X
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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby AlicetheKurious » Mon Feb 14, 2011 5:53 am

Joe Hillshoist wrote:Alice, is there anything we can do to help with that?


YES! Joe, freedom is indivisible: until you are free, we are all not free. The same forces that are aligned against us are also aligned against you. You can best help to defeat those who are oppressing us is by fighting against those who oppress you.

They use: lies, hatred, divisions, double standards and fear-mongering.

The most effective weapons against them are: truth, love, solidarity, justice and courage.

Charity (and true change) begins at home.
"If you're not careful the newspapers will have you hating the oppressed and loving the people doing the oppressing." - Malcolm X
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Re: Live: Al Jazeera coverage of Egypt’s growing revolution

Postby Joe Hillshoist » Mon Feb 14, 2011 6:38 am

AlicetheKurious wrote:
Joe Hillshoist wrote:Alice, is there anything we can do to help with that?


YES! Joe, freedom is indivisible: until you are free, we are all not free. The same forces that are aligned against us are also aligned against you. You can best help to defeat those who are oppressing us is by fighting against those who oppress you.

They use: lies, hatred, divisions, double standards and fear-mongering.

The most effective weapons against them are: truth, love, solidarity, justice and courage.

Charity (and true change) begins at home.


I'm actually very "free", (although one bunch of our local "oppressors" are due this week). Reason being I don't own much and live a long way from cities in a bit of an "outlaw" community. I'm really rich in social capital tho.

I'm only able to live like this cos our society is so rich in resources that people throw perfectly good stuff away and get new stuff. Thats the only reason I'm "talking" on this computer.

Alot of what seemed to be happening in Tahrir reminds me alot of my life and many of my neighbours. Amazing stuff on that scale tho. Inspiring. Don't worry, its like we've all had a kick up the backside and are young again.
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