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Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Wed Aug 24, 2011 6:21 pm
by bks
By which I mean, of course, the I-95 corridor between Washington DC and Boston [you were perhaps expecting an Onion story?].

Have you ever noticed that any time something that happens lots of other places threatens to happen to the Northeastern US, it's a much bigger story than usual?
If you're alive and living in the US, of course you have. As this hurricane approaches, I won't be surprised to see new levels of breathlessness reached and new depths of faux concern plumbed [unless a Katrina-like situation unfolds, during which we might see, as we did then for awhile, some actual concern.]

No links yet; let's see what happens. I'm a resident of said corridor, and I want to extend best wishes for a safe weekend to the board's other residents of the World's Most Important Area [as well as the less important areas of the US South].

Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Wed Aug 24, 2011 6:34 pm
by Searcher08
Sorry old chap, one looked to see if there was a hurricane about to hit (inside the M-25 Greater London orbital road) and it seems there isnt.

Please could one amend the thread title to "Colonials Experience Wind"?

Thanks awfully, old bean


:hug1: Stay safe everyone :hug1:

Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Wed Aug 24, 2011 9:30 pm
by bks
Searcher wrote:

Please could one amend the thread title to "Colonials Experience Wind"?


Nearly spit my bourbon out with that one.

My media-directed smarminess notwithstanding, here's close to the latest:


Hurricane Irene: Major Northeast Threats
Updated: August 24, 2011 2:30 pm ET

It's not every day you see a hurricane forecast cone pointed into the Northeast.

In fact, the concern among meteorologists is high. National Hurricane Center Director Bill Read: "We are very concerned with what's going to happen in New England. The benchmark is the 1938 hurricane. I am very concerned with what will happen there."

The potential is real for the strongest hurricane hit on the Northeast in at least a couple decades this weekend!
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Let's lay out all the potential threats and timing involved with Hurricane Irene.


High winds

The 5 a.m. EDT forecast discussion Tuesday from Stacy Stewart, Sr. Hurricane Specialist at the National Hurricane Center mentioned Hurricane Irene is "forecast to become a larger than average hurricane."

This means its wind field, both of tropical storm-force and hurricane-force winds, will cover a large swath of real estate. Reason again not to focus solely on the path of the center of circulation, although it is around and especially east of the eye where the strongest winds will be.

Again, NHC Director Bill Read: "The storm will not lose much as it heads to New England." While the strongest winds would occur if Irene's center remains over water, possibly more confined to areas along and east of I-95, high winds would also occur and spread inland if Irene's center does move inland.

Our graphic below highlights the general area of wind threat from Hurricane Irene. As you can see, a large swath of the Northeast may see power outages and downed trees. The severity will be dictated by Irene's exact path and intensity, which remain uncertain at this time.

The Bottom Line: Wind threat

Timing: Conditions deteriorate Saturday night. Strongest winds Sunday. Lingering strong winds possible Sunday night into early Monday in New England.
Possible impacts: Widespread trees downed, power outages, particularly near the coast. Potential for some structural damage in strongest gusts near center of Irene.

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Heavy rain/flood threat

It's already been a wet August in the Northeast.

Philadelphia will likely have its wettest single month on record, breaking a record from Sep. 1999, which included heavy rain from Hurricane Floyd passing to the east.

New York City may also break their previous wettest month record dating back to 1882!

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More images and text at link . . .

http://www.weather.com/weather/hurrican ... 2011-08-23

Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Wed Aug 24, 2011 11:16 pm
by Joe Hillshoist
Take care RI crew.

Searcher, so funny.

Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:04 am
by seemslikeadream
This does not look good


Take care Easties :hug1:

get one of these...


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Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:34 am
by crikkett
Get bottled water and charcoal for some post-hurricane grilling afterwards, whether it be celebratory or damage control. My folks once lost a quarter side of beef after a hurricane knocked out power to the freezer.

Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:38 am
by beeline
.

I'm stocking up on milk, eggs and bread. French Toast!

Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Thu Aug 25, 2011 2:16 pm
by Stephen Morgan
Searcher08 wrote:Sorry old chap, one looked to see if there was a hurricane about to hit (inside the M-25 Greater London orbital road) and it seems there isnt.

Please could one amend the thread title to "Colonials Experience Wind"?

Thanks awfully, old bean


:hug1: Stay safe everyone :hug1:


My first thought was "aren't they called cyclones when they hit China?".

Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:01 pm
by ninakat
Irene: New York City, Mid-Atlantic Put on High Alert
By Kristina Pydynowski, Senior Meteorologist, Accuweather
Aug 25, 2011; 2:49 PM ET

Hurricane Irene is now on a path that could take it dangerously close to, if not over, the mid-Atlantic coastline and New York City on Sunday, posing a serious danger to millions of people.

Irene could be "once-in-50-year" hurricane for the Northeast.

The AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center is confident that Irene will strike the Outer Banks of North Carolina Saturday evening as a strong Category 3 or Category 4 hurricane.

Beyond that point, latest indications put Irene on a path extremely close to or over the mid-Atlantic coast and New York City before plowing into western New England. This could mean the worst effects from a hurricane in the region in 50 years.

Irene is expected to track near the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay and Delmarva coast Saturday night, then could pass within 30 miles of New York City Sunday evening as a weakening Category 2 hurricane.

Such a path would lead to severe impacts that could prompt officials to force evacuations. All residents and visitors in the path of Irene should heed these orders if issued and prepare homes and businesses for Irene's onslaught in the meantime.

(more)

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Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:11 pm
by Avalon
I'm finding some good explanations about how storm surges work, linked from this Jeff Masters blog on Wunderground. I'm inland, but it's starting to track too close to us for my comfort. Pray that the tree hanging over my house (that we haven't been able to afford to take down yet) stays intact.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1899

Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:29 pm
by ninakat
Thanks Avalon. Good luck with the tree. I was just about to post the Jeff Masters page as well.

Jeff Masters wrote:Irene is capable of inundating portions of the coast under 10 - 15 feet of water, to the highest storm surge depths ever recorded. I strongly recommend that all residents of the mid-Atlantic and New England coast familiarize themselves with their storm surge risk. The best source of that information is the National Hurricane Center's Interactive Storm Surge Risk Map, which allows one to pick a particular Category hurricane and zoom in to see the height above ground level a worst-case storm surge may go. If you prefer static images, use wunderground's Storm Surge Inundation Maps. If these tools indicate you may be at risk, consult your local or state emergency management office to determine if you are in a hurricane evacuation zone.


There's a whole lot more at that link, and he keeps it up to date regularly.

Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:36 pm
by seemslikeadream
thanks Avalon for posting that link

Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:21 pm
by ninakat

Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:31 pm
by Pele'sDaughter
Tomorrow I start my 4-day weekend and probably won't be on line so I want to take this opportunity to wish you east coasters an easy ride through this one. I grew up on the Gulf Coast and moved inland asap, because I hated those storms. :hug1:

Re: Hurricane Could Strike World's Most Important Area

PostPosted: Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:11 pm
by eyeno
Irene May Require Evacuations of Some New York City Areas, Bloomberg Says

New York officials preparing for Hurricane Irene this weekend will decide tomorrow whether to call for the evacuation of low-lying areas in downtown Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens and Staten Island, Mayor Michael Bloomberg said.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-2 ... -says.html