JackRiddler » Thu Jan 26, 2017 1:35 am wrote:.
Very interesting piece in a true Ruppert mode, stillrobertpaulsen! Thank you.
Peak carbon, at least from every way it had been harvested until now, has actually happened. We can agree. That's why the resort to the ocean floor, blowing up mountaintops, fracking to the point of turning OK into an earthquake zone (bizarre!), the shale-oil atrocity, and the Arctic hopes. For the moment, this insane atmosphere-killing recklessness has flooded the market with cheap carbon energy, creating the illusion of plenty -- it will last forever, I tell you! This plunder has also slowed down the still so-gradual move to renewable alternative energies (which I do take seriously). It also juiced an enormous investment wave and thus a carbon bubble. Values here have been deflating for the last couple of years, but there has not yet been a big crash. And it is here that I see the thinking of the new gang in the executive.
You may be describing the long-term analytic thinking within the Deep State accurately. I doubt the Trumpians are seeing it exactly the same way. They are pirates with extremely short-term gratification windows. They want their service and their plunder now, always. My belief, based on the new cabinet, is that right now, their main preoccupation is to save the carbon market from the mid- to short-term threat of a devastating crash that would resume economic crisis (which soon enough will be blamed on them, as these things go). Yet when they guy says, "go back to Iraq and TAKE THE OIL," even he knows that a reoccupation cannot be sustained. In the meantime I've convinced myself I had a revelation with the thought that what they really mean is take the oil
off the market.
Unfortunately I agree that a Trumptag is in the works. It can't have too many moving parts, cannot be too staged and big and exotic. Unlike a certain CIA family and their extended network of long-time operators who had been in power already many times, these new guys are outsiders to the national security state. As we have seen they are in an antagonistic position with some of its factions (although if Trump falls all would be harmony on that end). We have also seen that in the post-truth/post-factual/post-reality environment, it is easier than ever to blow up any event to mountainous proportions, assuming you control the government and its amplifying Wurlitzer. Really any bombing attack, including outside the U.S., might suffice for use as the trigger of an "enabling" process. (Do these motherfuckers really need more enabling? They can't have enough of it, I figure.)
The narrative of eradicating radical Islamic terrorism is there. I would expect the "event" to be ISIS related, and the response to be in the form of massive intervention (but still mostly air attacks and our troops in the rear) in Syria and Iraq, causing a renewed meltdown of the latter. Middle Eastern oil supply falls for an indefinite period: Japan and China and the tigers are hit hardest. The oil price goes up: this helps Russia as well rescuing values on the endangered carbon investment market. The new war budget swallows everything in sight, making MIC & Co. happy. The borders close, an attempt is made to boost the patriotic devotion (for the first time I think it's an open question whether that will actually work). The jackboots and 24/7/360-degree surveillance tools go wild, of course. Perhaps even the show of an infrastructure spending wave is justified.
Or as the man himself would say, you won't believe how much you are winning. As to more specific thinking I had today, on what the shape of the thing might be, it's highly speculative and inadvisable to post here.
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Thanks Jack, I really appreciate your thought and input on this.
You really nailed the current energy zeitgeist with that phrase "illusion of plenty." And yes, the vast majority is coming from sources where the EROEI is piddling. So having someone in the Executive Office willing to pull out all stops for deregulation is definitely someone the Deep State can get behind to stave off collapse. But there's a dual motive Trump and his minions have which dovetails with them, in spite of the fact that they are, as you accurate describe them, pirates wanting immediate gratification. For the first time ever, Russia beat Saudi Arabia as
China's top oil supplier. So ending Russian sanctions is a two-fer for Team Trump: they make money off of stalled deals like the Tillerson-Rosneft arrangement and woo them away from China, forcing them back to Saudi Arabia and the trickiness of transport through South China Sea.
Actually, it's a three-fer: it delays the crash of the carbon bubble, which puts them in the Deep State's favor. Your revelation about them taking the oil off the market works the same way. You may be logically correct that a reoccupation of Iraq to control (i.e. horde) their oil cannot be sustained, but I wouldn't put it past Trump to use a false-flag attack as a pretext for why such an illogical tactic must be employed. Either we're going back to Iraq to "do it right" or maybe Iran, if Old Guard voices like Bolton and Ledeen truly have the new administration's ear. If the new US/Russia oil alliance does go swimmingly, they'll be working together in Syria to protect shared interests.
So what kind of attack can we envision? I think you've made a good guess that it will be ISIS related and probably not too big compared to 9/11. I think it might be something like Paris, maybe in an enclosed area like a huge shopping mall. One thing I know for sure: Trump's response will dwarf the false-flag attack. Which means if he's responding to something like a dirty bomb attack or worse, all bets are off for civilization. I really hope I'm just being hyperbolic, but I doubt it.
"Huey Long once said, “Fascism will come to America in the name of anti-fascism.” I'm afraid, based on my own experience, that fascism will come to America in the name of national security."
-Jim Garrison 1967