lupercal wrote:barracuda wrote:There are literally hundreds of witnesses to this crime (if you believe, as I do, that it happened at all), so I assume those witnesses have seen the images of Breivik and concur that he is the shooter.
I believe there were 76 assassinations, yes, but as to who carried them out, I'd like to see some actual evidence before making any assumptions. That's about as politely as I can think to put it.
I want to contrast two events - one is the Japanese tsunami
There was a very large amount of high quality pictures and video -
Why?
Because people knew the phenomenon that was taking place - it wasnt an 'unknown'. Much of the footage was also taken from 'islands of stability' - places of perceived stability like the fourth floor of a building providing shelter. There was
very little footage of people when they were running. These people were fixed in a place and it
made no difference to their safety whether they kept a record or not.
The situation on the island was very different.
There was not a constant, clearly visible external threat like a tsunami rushing towards you -
You were on a wooded island,
Your friends were hiding in terror,
You did not know which friends were located where,
Your communication was sporadic -
Your call could give someones location away and result in a friend being killed
Receiving a call could get you killed
There was an ambigously camoflaged gunman present
He, the threat, was moving was in an uncertain, mobile pattern , not static.
When outside, it can be very difficult to determine WHERE a sound comes from due to sound reflection. I personally have been in a forest and was SURE a friend was approaching from BEHIND, then they arrived IN FRONT of me.
In short, the information of the people being hunted has to be added together.
It is diametrically opposite shared perception of a clear external theat from a position of (relative) safety.
However in doing that, I see a very clear, unambiguous picture of one person engaging systematically in a very evil act.
Regarding the bomb in Oslo - the damage was EXACTLY what I would have expected from a big IRA fertiliser bomb, like the ones in Bishopsgate. Blast waves can go round corners, appear to 'jump' a street and then flatten the next one.
I am loathe to have a pop at lupercal or stickdog. The skepticism regarding Libya for example is well brought out (BTW did you read that one of the FIRST things the 'REBELS' did was set up...... a fucking Central Bank?????? and discuss joining the BIS (the b o s s of the FED and Bank of England etc???)
Back to topic
I think in this case however, that your mental models are avoiding the sheer 'banality of evil', not to mention that a combination of detailed planning ability, schitzophrenia and semi-automatic weaponry is not good thing to be around.
The delays in police response if anything reminded me of the UK police resposnse to
during the Hillsborough disaster.
Didnt this guy decide to blow several thousand £££ on a "high class hooker"? This speaks to me of extreme narcisism / insipient schizophrenia. I worked once with a guy who vanished - one week later he turned up clothed head to foot in Armani (not usual for a systems engineer!!!), stinking of sweat, unshaved for days, telling me excitedly how traffic lights were speaking to him and he had worked out the code of how to talk back, how he had blown his life savings in a week of high class whores and casinos in London. It was a different time - we chatted with him and wished him well as he gave individual bizarre presents to people; there was no security with the paramedics of the 'sectioning' ambulance crew and off he went.
I think it is important to look at information as 'cleanly' as possible and to factor in what often happens in large organisations / groups of people in crisis, which is communication breakdown, delay, rumour and crossed wires.
If I was a cop I wouldnt have gone NEAR that island until the army were there - if that meant he shot every child on the island FINE.
Why?
Because in the scenario of someone doing that, they would be a prime candidate for
releasing a
Bio-weapon
Dirty bomb
Suitcase nuke
Are you two such great Risk Analysts that you would go in there, guns blazing like John Wayne, in THOSE scenarios? When you dont even know WHO is doing it?
If you try to kill the sitting Government, that is getting into possible coup de etat territory. That means you wouldnt know WHO to trust.
It is a tricky thing this - sometimes what is present
looks clear and it is NOT, the 'clarity' is manipulated; at other times a situation looks UNCLEAR but it
isnt, the unclarity is brought by one's own way of looking.
The only videos I would expect to see would be "Goodbye Mummy Goodbye Daddy".