Belligerent Savant » 28 Apr 2021 12:44 wrote:.
I'm not the author, Joe.
And what do you mean, "Why?" Oh, I see -- covid is the silent killer, is that it? a patient may display no covid symptoms, but covid will still be the
primary reason for a death of, say, a terminally ill cancer patient, is that your position? How many that were listed as asymptomatic --
and with NO OTHER AILMENTS OR MORBIDITIES -- died?
Is my answer to the "Why"
question going to dispel all the other points raised by the author? What's your position on the other points the author raised? Do they have any merit? If not, WHY not?
Other points raised by the author. Here we go:
Under the paragraph
Age Standardised MortalityThere is nothing in that paragraph that recognises the change in trend that led to a massive increase (the biggest since 1951 according to the figures the author provides) in the ASMR.
ASMR's were in continual decline throughout the post war period. That decline stopped abruptly in 2009 as the economic impact of the global financial crisis took its toll on public health. Thereafter it showed a marginal rise to 2019. Mortality in 2020 and 2021 should be seen in the context of a global financial crisis that dwarfs the credit crunch of 2008.My question to you, or the author, re the bolded is again "Why"? (If you can't answer this why are you taking it on face value?)
As far as I can see there is no logic to that statement, its just a form of priming.
The increases the author refers to match pandemics or local epidemics in 1951, '58 and '68-9 (1970 spike). no mention of this which does make me question the authors integrity.
2020 not only didn’t have the highest mortality rate in the post war period, it didn't have the highest mortality rate in the 21st century either. 2020 ranked 9th, out of 20 consecutive years, for all cause mortality in England and Wales. It was the 11th least dangerous year in the last 50.No it didn't. What it did have is the largest rate spike in 70 years ie a generation.
Under the paragraph headed
PCR Does Not Mean COVID:
SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 are not the same thing. The detected presence of SARS-CoV-2 does not mean the person has or will develop COVID-19.
Therefore the attribution of mortality based solely upon a positive test result in no way proves the person died of COVID-19.This is disingenuous at best.
Regardless of their SARS-CoV-2 test status, without a very accurate diagnosis of symptoms, suspected COVID-19 patients could be suffering from one among a range of ILI's. Again, a positive test result does not mean the patient died from COVID-19, even if they had corresponding symptoms.What? A positive test shows the presence of the virus. There is nothing to that point to suggest otherwise. A positive test of what? He's only talked about signs and symptoms at this stage apart from referencing the PCR test. There is nothing in the writing under the heading to support the heading. Its just priming again.
Under
Notifications of Infectious Diseases:
This is not credible. While it is true that people were told not to go to a doctor if they suspected they had COVID-19, a diagnosis by a doctor was still necessary at some point. Self diagnosis doesn't usually afford access to hospital treatment. The suggestion by FullFact that doctors unilaterally decided not to bother with their statutory obligations is ridiculous.
What this massive difference between claimed cases, subsequent COVID-19 mortality and NOIDS indicates, is that Doctors were largely reliant upon laboratory testing to fulfil the duty to notify the authorities. This adds considerable weight to the notion that laboratory testing was the leading determinant in the overwhelming majority of COVID-19 diagnosis.This is the process. If a lab notifies, especially if its after a test at a fever clinic or whatever the UK equivalent is that is the Dr notifiying but the notification is still made. And yeah i know, this is sposed to be the set up for "Oh Noes PCR tests are all Rong."
BTW When the government lowers estimates of COVID deaths based on changing methodology that is a good thing because better accuracy.
From this we learned that 91.1% of alleged COVID deaths had at least 1 serious additional comorbidity. The mean number of comorbidities for a those under 70 was 2.1 and for the vast majority over 70 it was 2.3.
It is preposterous to claim that a decedent who had cancer, pneumonia and had just had surgery, but tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 four weeks earlier, could reasonably be categorised as a COVID-19 death. Yet that is precisely what happened, and continues to happen to this day.This isn't every case tho ius it? Its just priming you to think it is. Co morbidities include diabetes and obesity - that don't mean people are gonna die soon from them. Its also not preposterous to claim that COVID was responsible for post surgery death if most people don't die post surgery but covid can be shown to impinge on someone's recovery.
Under
Covid-19 Cures the Flu:
Of course it does. Well what it actually does is slow the spread of flu. Well technically promoted responses to it do that -
Washing your hands, covering your mouth when you cough or sneeze and social distancing (ie standing a metre and a half away from someone and talking to them instead of right in their face) are all things that were promoted in response to covid. They are coincidentally the very things my parents taught me as a kid because their parents lived thru the Spanish Flu epidemic and that was how people dealt with it.
Not to mention not going out in public if you have flu like symptoms. Which is what people should have done prior to 2020 anyway but business doesn't like that sort of disruption to "productivity".
How can flu and pneumonia possibly be on more death certificates than COVID-19 if, as the media and PHE allege, it has been wiped out? It seems the medical profession didn't get the memo.COVID causes pneumonia. The reason people noticed it in the first place in China was because of unporedented increase in rates of pneumonia and associated deaths.
A "confirmed case" was dependent solely upon a positive test result and was given the code U07.1. Observable symptoms were not necessary for U07.1 code to be recorded on a death certificate.
A suspected COVID-19 case was coded as U07.2. A decedent known to have had contact with a SARS-CoV-2 positive person who, while neither testing positive nor having any symptoms themselves, was deemed a suspected/probable COVID-19 case and given the code U07.2.
Neither the U07.1 nor the U07.2 codes required any evidence that the decedent had COVID-19.JFC. A positive test result
is evidence FFS.
If a doctor was uncertain and merely suspected a probable COVID-19 case, they were clearly advised to record it on the MCCD as a confirmed case (U07.1 and not U07.2). Again, ensuring it would be reported as the "underlying cause."Suspected probable case does not mean just make it up as you go along. That statement is the exact opposite of the WHO guidance directly above it:
Although both categories, U07.1...and U07.2 ....are suitable for cause of death coding......it is recommended, for mortality purposes only, to code COVID-19 provisionally to U07.1 unless it is stated as probable or suspected.
When the ONS reports covid deaths are they stated "confirmed or probable" cos if so that whole point is a waste of space and irrelevant.
In the circumstances of there being no swab, it is satisfactory to apply clinical judgement.
This does not mean Drs just make it up .... or is the author questioning their clinical judgement? Ie saying they are too incompetent to be Doctors. despite not knowing every single doctor or example of this happening.
NHS staff and carers who may have been uncomfortable with all this have been under no illusions. The use of draconian Hospital Trust gagging orders (non disclosure agreements) are widely reported. Carers who have spoken out have been sacked.
See the bolded? That is a link. The link states:
Five carers who lost their jobs in the past fortnight after raising concerns about understaffing and personal protective equipment shortages at homes are considering taking legal action, according to a charity that is warning more whistleblowers face being sacked before the end of the Covid-19 crisis.Understaffing and PPE shortages ... nothing about speaking out about reporting guidelines.
Under
What was the Cause of Death?:
False negative PCR tests are more common than false positive and nearly a year ago (as the link shows) systems were put in place to deal with false positives (and false negatives.) If false negatives are more common then the error rate from RT PCR testing actually underestimates the number of cases, not the other way around.
It seems highly likely that these deaths were wrongly recorded as COVID-19.Wrongly recorded or did COVID kill them earlier than those other cause would have? They are different.
Finally...
If there are no symptoms, then the disease cannot have contributed towards a death.Why not?
That's two hours of my life I won't get back.