New studies show people can anticipate future events

Moderators: Elvis, DrVolin, Jeff

New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby jingofever » Mon Oct 18, 2010 1:58 pm

Link. Though you may need to consider this. And tread carefully, this article is covering up the science of Keyword Hijacking with W.O.O.

... Dr. Bem, a social psychologist at Cornell University, conducted a series of studies that will soon be published in one of the most prestigious psychology journals (Journal of Personality and Social Psychology). Across nine experiments, Bem examined the idea that our brain has the ability to not only reflect on past experiences, but also anticipate future experiences. This ability for the brain to "see into the future" is often referred to as psi phenomena.

Although prior research has been conducted on the psi phenomena - we have all seen those movie images of people staring at Zener cards with a star or wavy lines on them - such studies often fail to meet the threshold of "scientific investigation." However, Bem's studies are unique in that they represent standard scientific methods and rely on well-established principles in psychology. Essentially, he took effects that are considered valid and reliable in psychology - studying improves memory, priming facilitates response times - and simply reversed their chronological order.

For example, we all know that rehearsing a set of words makes them easier to recall in the future, but what if the rehearsal occurs after the recall? In one of the studies, college students were given a list of words and after reading the list, were given a surprise recall test to see how many words they remembered. Next, a computer randomly selected some of the words on the list as practice words and the participants were asked to retype them several times. The results of the study showed that the students were better at recalling the words on the surprise recall test that they were later given, at random, to practice. According to Bem, practicing the words after the test somehow allowed the participants to "reach back in time to facilitate recall."

In another study, Bem examined whether the well-known priming effect could also be reversed. In a typical priming study, people are shown a photo and they have to quickly indicate if the photo represents a negative or positive image. If the photo is of a cuddly kitten, you press the "positive" button and if the photo is of maggots on rotting meat, you press the "negative" button. A wealth of research has examined how subliminal priming can speed up your ability to categorize these photos. Subliminal priming occurs when a word is flashed on the computer screen so quickly that your conscious brain doesn't recognize what you saw, but your nonconscious brain does. So you just see a flash, and if I asked you to tell me what you saw, you wouldn't be able to. But deep down, your nonconscious brain saw the word and processed it. In priming studies, we consistently find that people who are primed with a word consistent with the valence of the photo will categorize it quicker. So if I quickly flash the word "happy" before the kitten picture, you will click the "positive" button even quicker, but if I instead flash the word "ugly" before it, you will take longer to respond. This is because priming you with the word "happy" gets your mind ready to see happy things.

In Bem's retroactive priming study, he simply reversed the time sequence on this effect by flashing the primed word after the person categorized the photo. So I show you the kitten picture, you pick whether it is positive or negative, and then I randomly choose to prime you with a good or bad word. The results showed that people were quicker at categorizing photos when it was followed by a consistent prime. So not only will you categorize the kitten quicker when it is preceded by a good word, you will also categorize it quicker when it is followed by a good word. It was as if, while participants were categorizing the photo, their brain knew what word was coming next and this facilitated their decision.

These are just two examples of the studies that Bem conducted, but his other studies showed similar "retroactive" effects. The results clearly suggest that average "non-psychic" people seem to be able to anticipate future events.

One question you may be asking is how big of a difference was there? Does studying for a test after it has occurred, or priming you with a word after categorizing the photo make a dramatic change, or is it just a slight bump in performance? Essentially, these are questions of "effect size." It is true that the effect sizes in Bem's studies are small (e.g., only slightly larger than chance). However, there are several reasons why we shouldn't just disregard these results based on small, but highly consistent, effect sizes.

First, across his studies, Bem did find that certain people demonstrate stronger effects than others. In particular, people high in stimulus seeking - an aspect of extraversion where people respond more favorably to novel stimuli - showed effect sizes nearly twice the size of the average person. This suggests that some people are more sensitive to psi effects than others.

Second, small effect sizes are not that uncommon in psychology (and other sciences). For example, on average, the Bem studies showed an effect size of .20 (out of a possible range of 0-1). Although that is fairly small, it is as large as or larger than some well-established effects, including the link between aspirin and heart attack prevention, calcium intake and bone mass, second hand smoke and lung cancer, and condom use and HIV prevention (Bushman & Anderson, 2001). And as Cohen has pointed out, such small effect sizes are most likely to occur in the early stages of exploring a topic, when scientists are just starting to discover why the effect occurs and when it is most likely to occur...
User avatar
jingofever
 
Posts: 2814
Joined: Sun Oct 16, 2005 6:24 pm
Blog: View Blog (0)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby cptmarginal » Mon Oct 18, 2010 4:39 pm

cptmarginal
 
Posts: 2741
Joined: Tue Apr 10, 2007 8:32 pm
Location: Gordita Beach
Blog: View Blog (0)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby Wombaticus Rex » Mon Oct 18, 2010 7:30 pm

I read about this experiment in The Field and that shit was written in 03.
User avatar
Wombaticus Rex
 
Posts: 10896
Joined: Wed Nov 08, 2006 6:33 pm
Location: Vermontistan
Blog: View Blog (0)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby crikkett » Mon Oct 18, 2010 9:36 pm

Wombaticus Rex wrote:I read about this experiment in The Field and that shit was written in 03.


deja vu?
crikkett
 
Posts: 2206
Joined: Sun Sep 09, 2007 12:03 pm
Blog: View Blog (5)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby Wombaticus Rex » Tue Oct 19, 2010 1:37 am

I reckon the news is just consistent results and stronger data. It is wicked interesting material and I don't mean to slight the post. Yeah, it 100% reads like that in my earlier comment. Sorry.
User avatar
Wombaticus Rex
 
Posts: 10896
Joined: Wed Nov 08, 2006 6:33 pm
Location: Vermontistan
Blog: View Blog (0)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby 82_28 » Tue Oct 19, 2010 1:51 am

I can routinely call shit right before it happens as long as I am not thinking about it. It has to leap into my mind. Once you "try" it this "ability" goes away.
There is no me. There is no you. There is all. There is no you. There is no me. And that is all. A profound acceptance of an enormous pageantry. A haunting certainty that the unifying principle of this universe is love. -- Propagandhi
User avatar
82_28
 
Posts: 11194
Joined: Fri Nov 30, 2007 4:34 am
Location: North of Queen Anne
Blog: View Blog (0)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby Hammer of Los » Tue Oct 19, 2010 7:00 am

(T)his article is covering up the science of Keyword Hijacking with W.O.O.


I'm glad we got that out of the way.

Thanks for the article, though.

I wonder why we recall the past more easily than the future.

The fact that we appear to travel in time in a single direction, from the past into the future, has always seemed significant, yet puzzling.

In fact, both time and space appear as enigmas to me.

I daresay they represent deep structures within the mind, fundamental components of our thought. It'd be nice to transcend them a bit.
Hammer of Los
 
Posts: 3309
Joined: Sat Dec 23, 2006 4:48 pm
Blog: View Blog (0)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby Penguin » Wed Oct 20, 2010 3:07 pm

82_28 wrote:I can routinely call shit right before it happens as long as I am not thinking about it. It has to leap into my mind. Once you "try" it this "ability" goes away.


Yeah. Its a funny feeling. Sometimes its even been helpful in avoiding something or acting a little bit quicker when it does happen. Just a little bit ahead, in my experience. Though I wouldn't say routinely, it is not that common, but not uncommon either. A few times I have almost said something to warn of a possible occurrence, only to witness the very event just a little later and then regret not saying anything.
Penguin
 
Posts: 5089
Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2007 5:56 pm
Blog: View Blog (0)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby beeline » Wed Oct 20, 2010 3:35 pm

.

I've had a few of those moments. One time, when I was about 12 or so, I was at my friend Joe's house, and his 15 year-old dark grey cat was sitting in the driveway, it was almost the same color as the driveway, and I said to him, 'that cat's going to get run over someday.' Sure enough, not two hours later, his dad came home from work and ran the cat over.
User avatar
beeline
 
Posts: 2024
Joined: Wed May 21, 2008 4:10 pm
Location: Killadelphia, PA
Blog: View Blog (0)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby justdrew » Wed Oct 20, 2010 3:35 pm

the answer is 47
By 1964 there were 1.5 million mobile phone users in the US
User avatar
justdrew
 
Posts: 11966
Joined: Tue May 24, 2005 7:57 pm
Location: unknown
Blog: View Blog (11)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby JackRiddler » Wed Oct 20, 2010 3:45 pm

How often am I right for each time I'm wrong? - O, snap, you got it!
We meet at the borders of our being, we dream something of each others reality. - Harvey of R.I.

To Justice my maker from on high did incline:
I am by virtue of its might divine,
The highest Wisdom and the first Love.

TopSecret WallSt. Iraq & more
User avatar
JackRiddler
 
Posts: 16007
Joined: Wed Jan 02, 2008 2:59 pm
Location: New York City
Blog: View Blog (0)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby JackRiddler » Wed Oct 20, 2010 3:47 pm

I suspect this is a related thread:

viewtopic.php?f=8&t=27505
We meet at the borders of our being, we dream something of each others reality. - Harvey of R.I.

To Justice my maker from on high did incline:
I am by virtue of its might divine,
The highest Wisdom and the first Love.

TopSecret WallSt. Iraq & more
User avatar
JackRiddler
 
Posts: 16007
Joined: Wed Jan 02, 2008 2:59 pm
Location: New York City
Blog: View Blog (0)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby smoking since 1879 » Wed Oct 20, 2010 8:38 pm

erm... the answer is 42, no?

which incidentally is the sum of all the faces of two dice.
"Now that the assertive, the self-aggrandising, the arrogant and the self-opinionated have allowed their obnoxious foolishness to beggar us all I see no reason in listening to their drivelling nonsense any more." Stanilic
smoking since 1879
 
Posts: 509
Joined: Mon Apr 20, 2009 10:20 pm
Location: CZ
Blog: View Blog (0)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby justdrew » Wed Oct 20, 2010 8:51 pm

smoking since 1879 wrote:erm... the answer is 42, no?

which incidentally is the sum of all the faces of two dice.


yes, 42 is THE answer, but this answer was to have been 47, in prediction of Jack's remarkable accuracy rate.

and thanks I didn't realize that about 42, very cool, I wonder if Adams knew?
By 1964 there were 1.5 million mobile phone users in the US
User avatar
justdrew
 
Posts: 11966
Joined: Tue May 24, 2005 7:57 pm
Location: unknown
Blog: View Blog (11)

Re: New studies show people can anticipate future events

Postby Hugh Manatee Wins » Sat Oct 23, 2010 2:17 am

"New studies prove spook disinfo can fool many people much of the time using bogus science to hide social control science."

Bem is a spook-allied mind control researcher spewing smoke and mirrors since 1988.

Cornell and UMIchigan are CIA-Pentagon think tanks.
"PSI" is really the anchor of media conditioning, PARASOCIAL INTERACTION.

That's why the bogus 'ESP' nonsense is used as a cover version of psi.
And Bem is muddling the use of semantic priming with a nonsense version. For the National inSecurity State.
CIA runs mainstream media since WWII:
news rooms, movies/TV, publishing
...
Disney is CIA for kidz!
User avatar
Hugh Manatee Wins
 
Posts: 9869
Joined: Wed Nov 23, 2005 6:51 pm
Location: in context
Blog: View Blog (0)

Next

Return to General Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 178 guests