by JackRiddler » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:05 pm
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8-bit, you have such a decontextualized view of things in isolation that I am forced to speak the heartless reality in the vein of Stalin's evil but somehow true observation that "one man's death is a tragedy, a million is a statistic."
Syria is noticed because of its positioning and involvement of all of the empires and regional power clubs. It is a particularly dangerous situation for the probability of prompting a global conflagration, which is greater than zero but something a great deal less than 50-50 and probably less than 5%.
400,000 perhaps dead there, the country certainly destroyed, most of the population displaced, most internally with 4 to 5 million refugees outside its borders, and a lot of spillover of the suffering in Iraq (where it actually started, afaiac).
Not as big as what has happened in the Congo in the last 5 years, which were an extension of the last 19 years. More people were killed in Rwanda in three months in 1994.
Taking post-WW2 history in five-year sets, and looking at the world as a whole, the last 5 have not had more such conflicts or produced more casualties than any other five-year period since 1945. Most likely below average. World War III started on Aug. 6, 1945, has been hot in many places since then, and depending on how you want to periodize we may at this point already be in WW4 for more than a decade.
Again this is not to preclude chain-reaction cataclysms that have not happened until now, but may be more likely at present than they were in 1995, although probably not less likely than they were in 1955 or 1965. It's not to suggest this is a "natural" or acceptable state for humanity to find itself in. It's not to deny levels of responsibility for specific conflicts remote from us. But it is to question an orientation of our concern and action around some imminent teleological conflict that has been scheduled by invisible PTB.
To conclude with another heartless but true observation, conventional war is not a very effective global depopulation strategy beyond the region of the war during the period of hostilities, after which population usually goes back up within a generation. In case you have not noticed. Plague and famine is what that would take.
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We meet at the borders of our being, we dream something of each others reality. - Harvey of R.I.
To Justice my maker from on high did incline:
I am by virtue of its might divine,
The highest Wisdom and the first Love.
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