Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby alloneword » Mon Feb 07, 2022 7:23 pm



Prof. Norman Fenton was looking at this earlier:

(The original FOI request and response is on the Blackpool Teaching Hospital's Trust website so there is no reason to believe this additional reponse is not genuine). The letter exposes - on a small but important scale - much of what we have been saying about the misrepresentation and manipulation of data comparing vaccinated v unvaccinated.


How massively exaggerated are claims about unvaccinated dominating Covid hospitalizations. The original FOI request already revealed the extent to which widespread claims that 'the vast majority of patients with Covid are unvaccinated' are wrong: it stated that only 14 out of the 182 patients hospitalized with Covid in Blackpool Victoria on 22 Jan 2022 were unaccinated (i.e. over 92% were vaccinated).

How the data on the vaccinated is continually changed and manipulated. When it was pointed out that the data seemed to be suggesting that NONE of the vaccinated patients had been triple vaccinated, the hospital conceded that there had been '1 small error' which just happened to be the fact that 130 of those who had been previously classified as having 2 doses, had in fact had three doses (and there was indeed there were two other genuinely small errors, namely that 162 and not 161 as previously stated had at least 2 doses, while only 13 rather than 14 were unvaccinated). So in total 93% were vaccinated and:

7% were vaccine-free (a more accurate term than 'unvaccinated')

4% had one dose

17.6% had two doses

71.4% had 3 doses


Here is the Government's latest data today on proportion of people vaccinated in Blackpool:

Image

Note that this is dated 5 Feb, so the proportion of triple vaccinated on 22 Jan will have been lower that the 56.9% currently showing. Whichever way you look at it the vaccinated - and especially the triple vaccinated are disproportionately being hospitalized with Covid.


Now ideally the data need to be adjusted for age and ill health, especially as it may be the case that the triple vaccinated were the most vulnerable. Indeed we have always considered such confounders in our research. However, it is extremely important to point out that, after we revealed anomalies in the ONS vaccine surveillance data, the ONS curiously argued that the anomalies were explained by the fact that it was the MOST vulnerable who are LEAST LIKELY to be vaccinated (the so-called healthy vaccinee effect). See our report on this.
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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby Harvey » Mon Feb 07, 2022 7:36 pm



Wow. It's what I always thought. Win the hearts and minds of state servants and it's job done.
And while we spoke of many things, fools and kings
This he said to me
"The greatest thing
You'll ever learn
Is just to love
And be loved
In return"


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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby Joe Hillshoist » Mon Feb 07, 2022 8:49 pm

stickdog99 » 08 Feb 2022 08:37 wrote:Will any amount of data, discussion, and/or debate ever overcome the cognitive dissonance of those who have been so thoroughly conditioned to control their own fear of COVID-19 with the talismanic rituals of continual vaccination, masking, lockdowns, social distancing, hand washing, and disinfecting?

Will any amount of data, discussion, and/or debate ever overcome the cognitive dissonance of those who have been so thoroughly conditioned to express their heartfelt compassion for the victims of COVID-19 by continually performing the talismanic rituals of vaccination, masking, lockdowns, social distancing, hand washing, and disinfecting?

Just asking for some friends.



I often wonder the same thing. Did you notice that in that letter unvaccinated people re 4 times more likely to end up in hospital than vaccinated people?

That must be because these vaccines are completely useless and don't do anything. Is that right?
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...

Postby Harvey » Mon Feb 07, 2022 9:14 pm

Image
And while we spoke of many things, fools and kings
This he said to me
"The greatest thing
You'll ever learn
Is just to love
And be loved
In return"


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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby PufPuf93 » Mon Feb 07, 2022 9:51 pm

Joe Hillshoist » Mon Feb 07, 2022 5:49 pm wrote:
stickdog99 » 08 Feb 2022 08:37 wrote:Will any amount of data, discussion, and/or debate ever overcome the cognitive dissonance of those who have been so thoroughly conditioned to control their own fear of COVID-19 with the talismanic rituals of continual vaccination, masking, lockdowns, social distancing, hand washing, and disinfecting?

Will any amount of data, discussion, and/or debate ever overcome the cognitive dissonance of those who have been so thoroughly conditioned to express their heartfelt compassion for the victims of COVID-19 by continually performing the talismanic rituals of vaccination, masking, lockdowns, social distancing, hand washing, and disinfecting?

Just asking for some friends.



I often wonder the same thing. Did you notice that in that letter unvaccinated people re 4 times more likely to end up in hospital than vaccinated people?

That must be because these vaccines are completely useless and don't do anything. Is that right?


Graph below is from: https://kymkemp.com/2022/02/04/1-death- ... new-cases/

The many comments show the divergence of opinion in the county. Also many of the more questionable sources here at RI, show up in the RHBB comments. I do not post there (maybe made 10 posts when had different forum software, but do not want to be identified).

Here is current county covid "dashboard".

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... ingle=true

I would include that more people have been infected than reported because some people by nature are more likely to interact with medical system. Deaths and hospitalizations are much more solid numbers. We know the more confounding medical conditions, the more likely to be hospitalized and croak.

One thing I find misleading in the dashboard is the % of population tested for current infection and infection rate numbers in general. The dashboard shows over 100% for the county and about 350% for California. This has to be number of tests divided by number of people where some people by situation (job requirement or whatever) are repeatedly tested (number of tests per person); most tests are people who interact with medical community and are the suspected infected; and those that are medical interaction avoiders in general or maybe just for covid. A majority of the people I know have never been tested.

Looking at the graph, please realize that these are absolute numbers not rates. The non-vaccinated hospitalized / dead are about 36% of the population and 64% are vaccinated; this means that the spreads would be greater if on a percentage rate basis.

Image
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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby Belligerent Savant » Mon Feb 07, 2022 10:24 pm

.
How is "unvaccinated" and "fully vaccinated" defined in the above chart? Also: what is the age stratification? How many of the deaths had more than 2 comorbidities?

Some context from the link referenced above:

As depicted in the graph above for the period between May 30, 2021, and Jan. 23, 2022, 17 deaths of fully vaccinated Humboldt County residents from COVID-19 were reported. The average age of those deaths was 79. During that same period, 52 deaths of unvaccinated residents were reported. The average age of those deaths was 67. During that same period, 65 fully vaccinated residents were hospitalized with an average age of 73. An additional 266 unvaccinated individuals were hospitalized with an average age of 58. View a more detailed depiction of the hospitalization and death rates graph here.

The current seven-day average case rate in Humboldt County is approximately 91, meaning that for every 100,000 residents, approximately 91 tested positive daily over the last seven days. Case rates vary considerably by vaccination status, as illustrated in the graph below, which depicts average weekly case rates since January 2021 in unvaccinated and fully vaccinated residents.

...

The most recent seven-day average case rate for the period ending Jan. 23, for fully vaccinated individuals is 60 per 100,000 residents, while the case rate for unvaccinated individuals is 57 per 100,000 residents.

...

COVID-19 vaccines remain effective against the virus, but CDC data shows their effectiveness at preventing infection or severe illness wanes over time, especially in people aged 65 or older.


From an initial read, I see no mention for how "vaccinated" or "unvaccinated" is defined, or breakdown per dosage (1 dose, 2 doses, 3 doses, etc.). Also no reference to average count of comorbidities per individual, particularly given the average ages referenced above.

Such details provide added, and needed, context.

None of the above data points justify mandating mRNA products, especially for those under 60 and healthy.


Also, when you type:

many of the more questionable sources here at RI


Do you intend to cite these questionable sources, and what, exactly, makes them questionable? Or do you prefer to continue to cast broad aspersions without specificity?
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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby stickdog99 » Tue Feb 08, 2022 12:08 am

Obviously, skewed propaganda purposefully meant to make the vaccines look awesome are always unquestionable.

And anything else comes from a questionable source.

Have you ever been to Humboldt County? I have. There are three tiers to society. The rich land barons and carpetbagger, the poor hippies, and the poorer rednecks. Which of these do you think tend to die younger with or without COVID-19? And which of these do you think are most highly and lowly vaccinated?
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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby PufPuf93 » Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:06 am

Belligerent Savant » Mon Feb 07, 2022 7:24 pm wrote:.
How is "unvaccinated" and "fully vaccinated" defined in the above chart? Also: what is the age stratification? How many of the deaths had more than 2 comorbidities?

Some context from the link referenced above:

As depicted in the graph above for the period between May 30, 2021, and Jan. 23, 2022, 17 deaths of fully vaccinated Humboldt County residents from COVID-19 were reported. The average age of those deaths was 79. During that same period, 52 deaths of unvaccinated residents were reported. The average age of those deaths was 67. During that same period, 65 fully vaccinated residents were hospitalized with an average age of 73. An additional 266 unvaccinated individuals were hospitalized with an average age of 58. View a more detailed depiction of the hospitalization and death rates graph here.

The current seven-day average case rate in Humboldt County is approximately 91, meaning that for every 100,000 residents, approximately 91 tested positive daily over the last seven days. Case rates vary considerably by vaccination status, as illustrated in the graph below, which depicts average weekly case rates since January 2021 in unvaccinated and fully vaccinated residents.

...

The most recent seven-day average case rate for the period ending Jan. 23, for fully vaccinated individuals is 60 per 100,000 residents, while the case rate for unvaccinated individuals is 57 per 100,000 residents.

...

COVID-19 vaccines remain effective against the virus, but CDC data shows their effectiveness at preventing infection or severe illness wanes over time, especially in people aged 65 or older.


From an initial read, I see no mention for how "vaccinated" or "unvaccinated" is defined, or breakdown per dosage (1 dose, 2 doses, 3 doses, etc.). Also no reference to average count of comorbidities per individual, particularly given the average ages referenced above.

Such details provide added, and needed, context.

None of the above data points justify mandating mRNA products, especially for those under 60 and healthy.


Also, when you type:

many of the more questionable sources here at RI


Do you intend to cite these questionable sources, and what, exactly, makes them questionable? Or do you prefer to continue to cast broad aspersions without specificity?


Note in that vaccinated %, I was pointing out that there is no way more than 100% of the population are tested; (1) Just is not true, and (2) Did not specifically say but the numbers are all accounting numbers, not statistics. Statistics would be based upon a sample design, and one could compute confidence intervals.

There is info about what you ask in the dashboard. There are breakdowns by age and racial group but nothing about comorbidity, but one can assume, older equals more comorbidity. One should also note that comorbidity increases with age and that vaccination % also increases with age and is much lower for 30 years old and less. Note I was criticizing the dashboard as being misleading, that is not the only case.

I made no comment on mRNA products. Do not have the basis for comment.

Read that internet site every day for local news. Just like RI, what is posted varies in quality. Usually that dashboard and a thread is posted every working day, 5 days per week, but for some reason unknown to me, that thread is from Friday 2/4 and there is no new thread. I posted that graphic and the links because the graph shows hospitalization and death versus vaccination status in my small part of the globe. Read the comments. The woman who owns and runs the site is patient.

There are several hundred similarly structured and titled threads, averaging over 100 comments, at RHBB. Just like RI, the posts vary in quality, and those termed the anti-vaccers make any serious conversation impossible. I think that is the point. Read somewhere on the internet (probably DU) that there are 8 sites aggregating and feeding articles into the system. Some items are well-sourced, others are mysterious when one starts going into the "who are we" rabbit hole. Just tried on StickD's recent posts. Take Dr. Malone. Malone was drummed out of the research community and is a self-promoting fraud but gets the attention and no doubt money. Told RI, I am going more on intuition than rigor, but had decades of experience as part of or working with the research community granted nothing since the 20th century but that was how my brain was naturally wired (prior to fitzing out). My observation was that items would be posted here, at RHBB, and at a similar site in Shasta county, near simultaneously, with the appearance they were being fed into the system.

Folks are out there too willing to say that covid is over or never was. I agree about most of the bad stuff impending. Where we disagree is that I see induced chaos as the problem If anything, I am convinced that the USA does not have the social cohesion to address a crisis; be it virus, war, or natural disaster. We cannot even have a sane and civil conversation. Same old equation of pitting race against race or religion against religion. I think the elephant in the room is toxic religion.

anyhow I need a break.
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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby Joe Hillshoist » Tue Feb 08, 2022 3:14 am

stickdog99 » 08 Feb 2022 14:08 wrote:Obviously, skewed propaganda purposefully meant to make the vaccines look awesome are always unquestionable.

And anything else comes from a questionable source.

Have you ever been to Humboldt County? I have. Their are three tiers to society. The rich land barons and carpetbagger, the poor hippies, and the poorer rednecks. Which of these do you think tend to die younger with or without COVID-19? And which of these do you think are most highly and lowly vaccinated?


Doesn't he live there?
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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby PufPuf93 » Tue Feb 08, 2022 4:41 am

stickdog99 » Mon Feb 07, 2022 9:08 pm wrote:Obviously, skewed propaganda purposefully meant to make the vaccines look awesome are always unquestionable.

And anything else comes from a questionable source.

Have you ever been to Humboldt County? I have. There are three tiers to society. The rich land barons and carpetbagger, the poor hippies, and the poorer rednecks. Which of these do you think tend to die younger with or without COVID-19? And which of these do you think are most highly and lowly vaccinated?


The Native Americans are the population with the lowest vaccination rate in Humboldt County by far and lowest life expectancy. Born in Eureka. I live in far northeast Humboldt north and east of Yurok and Hupa Reservations, and within The Ancestral Territory of the Karuk (itself within 6Rivers National Forest) near Orleans on the Klamath River.

I am not Native American but I am a native of Humboldt County and have always maintained a place whether parents when young or my own once as adult.

You do not have a good handle on Humboldt leaving out NA, meth/fent heads, Libertarians (IMO most growers), rich hippies, old industry remnants, retired, artists, students (as of last week Humboldt State is Cal Poly Humboldt) ...
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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby drstrangelove » Tue Feb 08, 2022 6:27 am

Vaccine effectiveness (any vaccine) against SARS-CoV-2 infection of any severity in 842 974 vaccinated individuals matched to an equal number of unvaccinated individuals for up to 9 months of follow-up

Image
- https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(22)00089-7/fulltext

Invest in funeral homes.
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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby alloneword » Tue Feb 08, 2022 8:49 am

Belligerent Savant » Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:24 am wrote:.
How is "unvaccinated" and "fully vaccinated" defined in the above chart?


Image

https://humboldtgov.org/DocumentCenter/ ... source-PDF

Which matters because:

Image

etc.
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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby Belligerent Savant » Tue Feb 08, 2022 10:43 am

^^^^^^^

Bingo.

"unvaccinated" includes those partially vaccinated.

Yes, it does matter. As does # of comorbidities and age.

Plus: what the 'Doctor' posted above. The publicly-traded funeral homes and insurance companies will be posting results from the prior quarter by sometime next week. This will be telling, but it will only be the early stages of the wave of negative efficacy consequences. Hope to be wrong on this.
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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby Belligerent Savant » Tue Feb 08, 2022 11:30 am

PufPuf93 » Tue Feb 08, 2022 1:06 am wrote:
Belligerent Savant » Mon Feb 07, 2022 7:24 pm wrote:.
How is "unvaccinated" and "fully vaccinated" defined in the above chart? Also: what is the age stratification? How many of the deaths had more than 2 comorbidities?

Some context from the link referenced above:

As depicted in the graph above for the period between May 30, 2021, and Jan. 23, 2022, 17 deaths of fully vaccinated Humboldt County residents from COVID-19 were reported. The average age of those deaths was 79. During that same period, 52 deaths of unvaccinated residents were reported. The average age of those deaths was 67. During that same period, 65 fully vaccinated residents were hospitalized with an average age of 73. An additional 266 unvaccinated individuals were hospitalized with an average age of 58. View a more detailed depiction of the hospitalization and death rates graph here.

The current seven-day average case rate in Humboldt County is approximately 91, meaning that for every 100,000 residents, approximately 91 tested positive daily over the last seven days. Case rates vary considerably by vaccination status, as illustrated in the graph below, which depicts average weekly case rates since January 2021 in unvaccinated and fully vaccinated residents.

...

The most recent seven-day average case rate for the period ending Jan. 23, for fully vaccinated individuals is 60 per 100,000 residents, while the case rate for unvaccinated individuals is 57 per 100,000 residents.

...

COVID-19 vaccines remain effective against the virus, but CDC data shows their effectiveness at preventing infection or severe illness wanes over time, especially in people aged 65 or older.


From an initial read, I see no mention for how "vaccinated" or "unvaccinated" is defined, or breakdown per dosage (1 dose, 2 doses, 3 doses, etc.). Also no reference to average count of comorbidities per individual, particularly given the average ages referenced above.

Such details provide added, and needed, context.

None of the above data points justify mandating mRNA products, especially for those under 60 and healthy.


Also, when you type:

many of the more questionable sources here at RI


Do you intend to cite these questionable sources, and what, exactly, makes them questionable? Or do you prefer to continue to cast broad aspersions without specificity?


Note in that vaccinated %, I was pointing out that there is no way more than 100% of the population are tested; (1) Just is not true, and (2) Did not specifically say but the numbers are all accounting numbers, not statistics. Statistics would be based upon a sample design, and one could compute confidence intervals.

There is info about what you ask in the dashboard. There are breakdowns by age and racial group but nothing about comorbidity, but one can assume, older equals more comorbidity. One should also note that comorbidity increases with age and that vaccination % also increases with age and is much lower for 30 years old and less. Note I was criticizing the dashboard as being misleading, that is not the only case.

I made no comment on mRNA products. Do not have the basis for comment.

Read that internet site every day for local news. Just like RI, what is posted varies in quality. Usually that dashboard and a thread is posted every working day, 5 days per week, but for some reason unknown to me, that thread is from Friday 2/4 and there is no new thread. I posted that graphic and the links because the graph shows hospitalization and death versus vaccination status in my small part of the globe. Read the comments. The woman who owns and runs the site is patient.

There are several hundred similarly structured and titled threads, averaging over 100 comments, at RHBB. Just like RI, the posts vary in quality, and those termed the anti-vaccers make any serious conversation impossible. I think that is the point. Read somewhere on the internet (probably DU) that there are 8 sites aggregating and feeding articles into the system. Some items are well-sourced, others are mysterious when one starts going into the "who are we" rabbit hole. Just tried on StickD's recent posts. Take Dr. Malone. Malone was drummed out of the research community and is a self-promoting fraud but gets the attention and no doubt money. Told RI, I am going more on intuition than rigor, but had decades of experience as part of or working with the research community granted nothing since the 20th century but that was how my brain was naturally wired (prior to fitzing out). My observation was that items would be posted here, at RHBB, and at a similar site in Shasta county, near simultaneously, with the appearance they were being fed into the system.

Folks are out there too willing to say that covid is over or never was. I agree about most of the bad stuff impending. Where we disagree is that I see induced chaos as the problem If anything, I am convinced that the USA does not have the social cohesion to address a crisis; be it virus, war, or natural disaster. We cannot even have a sane and civil conversation. Same old equation of pitting race against race or religion against religion. I think the elephant in the room is toxic religion.

anyhow I need a break.


Puf, briefly chiming in here to type that I appreciate you articulating your thoughts on this. For whatever it's worth, we are in agreement on many of the points you raise, including the commentary on Malone. I included quite a bit of his content early on -- and as with most potential 'limited hangouts', there's ample useful/valuable data points presented by him, but I'm also increasingly leaning towards the premise that he is compromised, either for his own material gain (yet to be fully disclosed) or perhaps continued agreements with some of his historical 'friends' in the industry/intel agencies.

Where we disagree is that I see induced chaos as the problem If anything, I am convinced that the USA does not have the social cohesion to address a crisis; be it virus, war, or natural disaster. We cannot even have a sane and civil conversation. Same old equation of pitting race against race or religion against religion. I think the elephant in the room is toxic religion.

We don't disagree; yours is a reasoned assessment. Clearly, there's considerable volatility over the past ~2 years, with more to come -- as I've touched on previously as well -- outside of covid. This increasingly appears, to me at least, to have been part of a planned agenda, rather than a reactionary consequence of 'poor mitigation strategy'.
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Re: Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

Postby PufPuf93 » Tue Feb 08, 2022 12:44 pm

alloneword » Tue Feb 08, 2022 5:49 am wrote:
Belligerent Savant » Tue Feb 08, 2022 2:24 am wrote:.
How is "unvaccinated" and "fully vaccinated" defined in the above chart?


Image

https://humboldtgov.org/DocumentCenter/ ... source-PDF

Which matters because:

Image

etc.

Good AM

Thank you for clarifying.

That graph is rate per 100,000 not absolute numbers as discussed in one of my other recent posts. Also noted that on the graph of vaccinated versus unvaccinated and hospitalizations and deaths would show a greater spread on an absolute basis as 64% was vaccinated and 36% unvaccinated. Specifically looking at the dashboard, 63.85% are vaccinated and 6.65% are partially vaccinated. and the remainder unvaccinated. What I am doing here is amplifying your clarification. If the partially vaccinated were switched to an absolute basis, the green bar of the partially vaccinated would not be so prominent.

Can think of several reasons why the partially vaccinated would have higher rates of hospitalization and death. Spit balling, probably those that received partial vaccinated are those that have more interaction with the medical community and more comorbidity as a class? Recall how the vacs were rolled out to the more vulnerable first. One could suspect that a good portion may be more vulnerable to start with then did not follow through on the vaccination because they thought the vaccinations were not a good idea and other mitigation not beneficial.
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