MacCruiskeen » Tue Mar 17, 2020 11:06 am wrote:C'mon, bph, this is just nitpicking. Let's not get bogged down in futile attempts to precisely define the term "the rich & powerful". You know what I mean, I already stated the kind of people I mean in that thread (add generals and admirals, btw.) and even named half-a-dozen individuals as examples. I also went out of my way to say "from any country", so these people needn't necessarily be global household names. If, say, a Finnish or Norwegian Health Minister or Foreign Minister or the CEO of the biggest Brazilian airline dies "of" (sic) CORVID-9/11, then by all means record those events in that thread, even if most people here have never even heard of that individual. They needn't be Beyoncé-level famous or Buffett-level rich or Merkel-or Macron-level powerful.brainpanhandler wrote:What rough percentage of the total population do you consider to fall within this category of rich/famous/powerful personages?
Sorry. I should have elaborated more. I am not interested in nitpicking definitions (although my question does require you to roughly consider the parameters of the population you are interested in). Rather I am wondering, all else being equal (huge qualification), what total number of deaths among the elites would we expect if data from official sources is accurate. I'm just looking to find some way of measuring whether your hypothesis that none or almost none of the elites will die of C19 is more or less likely than what we would expect. But honestly there are so many other mitigating factors I'm not sure how useful that is anyway, some of which you have already noted.
Personally I think it is unlikely that many elites at all will die of C19. For just the reasons you might think.
I have asked and am trying to answer the question for myself, "Who benefits?". And I am having a hard time as so many actors stand to gain and lose from this. Presumably such scenarios have been thoroughly modeled. And no doubt every scrap of useful data is being hoovered up into the algorithm for further analysis, refinement and exploitation.