Coronavirus Crisis: Main Thread

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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby brainpanhandler » Tue Mar 17, 2020 1:24 pm

MacCruiskeen » Tue Mar 17, 2020 11:06 am wrote:
brainpanhandler wrote:What rough percentage of the total population do you consider to fall within this category of rich/famous/powerful personages?
C'mon, bph, this is just nitpicking. Let's not get bogged down in futile attempts to precisely define the term "the rich & powerful". You know what I mean, I already stated the kind of people I mean in that thread (add generals and admirals, btw.) and even named half-a-dozen individuals as examples. I also went out of my way to say "from any country", so these people needn't necessarily be global household names. If, say, a Finnish or Norwegian Health Minister or Foreign Minister or the CEO of the biggest Brazilian airline dies "of" (sic) CORVID-9/11, then by all means record those events in that thread, even if most people here have never even heard of that individual. They needn't be Beyoncé-level famous or Buffett-level rich or Merkel-or Macron-level powerful.


Sorry. I should have elaborated more. I am not interested in nitpicking definitions (although my question does require you to roughly consider the parameters of the population you are interested in). Rather I am wondering, all else being equal (huge qualification), what total number of deaths among the elites would we expect if data from official sources is accurate. I'm just looking to find some way of measuring whether your hypothesis that none or almost none of the elites will die of C19 is more or less likely than what we would expect. But honestly there are so many other mitigating factors I'm not sure how useful that is anyway, some of which you have already noted.

Personally I think it is unlikely that many elites at all will die of C19. For just the reasons you might think.

I have asked and am trying to answer the question for myself, "Who benefits?". And I am having a hard time as so many actors stand to gain and lose from this. Presumably such scenarios have been thoroughly modeled. And no doubt every scrap of useful data is being hoovered up into the algorithm for further analysis, refinement and exploitation.
"Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity." - Martin Luther King Jr.
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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby MacCruiskeen » Tue Mar 17, 2020 1:44 pm

brainpanhanler wrote:I have asked and am trying to answer the question for myself, "Who benefits?". And I am having a hard time as so many actors stand to gain and lose from this.


It was ever thus. It's the very nature of capitalism: small fry are eaten by bigger fish, and they in turn are gobbled up by Very Big Fish, until Behemoth swallows all of them and the end-times arrive, quite possibly sometime this year.

Image
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File ... e_Fish.JPG
Breugel the Elder, De grote vissen eten de kleine (pen and ink, 1556)

Jeff Bezos, for instance, is a Very Big Fish. For how many years did Amazon run at a huge annual loss? How long did it take Bezos to eat all those small independent bookshops? (And now innumerable other businesses too). He and his patient and powerful investors could afford to play the waiting-game. His now massively-profitable global business is going to be one of the major beneficiaries of this global lockdown. Non-virtual shops are unhygienic, don't you know. As is cash. As is human contact. As is ever leaving your house.
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"Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts." - Richard Feynman, NYC, 1966

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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby Iamwhomiam » Tue Mar 17, 2020 2:09 pm

MacCruiskeen wrote:IAWIA, re: that Boy Genius, spreading fearporn across the worldwide web: He'll be a millionaire, and a celebrity, before he's twenty.

But unless that website records the age, class status, housing situation, and previous state-of-health of every victim, it is worse than useless as a source of useful information for anyone concerned for their own or their family's health. It will just terrify them unnecessarily and thereby damage their immune systems. It will also encourage them to spend an unhealthy amount of time on (in?) the net, obsessively clicking on the Boy Wonder's website for the latest fearporn updates, as opposed to doing the kind of things that actually make people healthy and happy and strong, such as meeting and laughing with their friends and family, hugging their loved ones, and spending lots of time in nature, or at least outdoors.


Perhaps you missed Karmamatterz's remarks earlier in the thread? He asked for accurate figures on the fatality count. I provided him with the most accurate reporting available. It's a bit difficult to imagine the most accurate statistics being fear porn. He's certainly not forcing anyone to watch the tally grow, he's simply providing them with facts normally beyond one's own reach. In truth, you seem to be projecting.

Meeting with friends and family, especially if they're far apart, is one of the dumbest things I've yet read and it's poor advice at best, risky and at worst, potentially fatal advice. Ever hear of Skype? Take a walk in the woods is fine advice, though.

Btw, I don't recall you similarly criticizing our in-house physician after he offered us this quite similarly wonderful resource:
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html?fbclid=IwAR0zkPFSTYU37Pr-Cc1Gxe7bcpevgy2GfLXjsPgGScwexLn7ER27tJB5io0#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

Why is that, I wonder? Johns Hopkins spreading fear porn?

---------
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/17/podcasts/the-daily/italy-coronavirus.html (24:25 audio)

It's like a war

Italy has become the epicenter of the pandemic’s European migration, with nearly 30,000 infections and more than 2,000 deaths in just a few weeks. These numbers are soaring by the day, even after the government took extreme measures to lock down much of the country. Now, the U.S. surgeon general is warning that America is on a strikingly similar path. Today, we speak to one Italian doctor triaging patients north of Milan about the road that may lie ahead.

Dr. Fabiano Di Marco, a professor at the University of Milan who is also the head of the respiratory unit of the Hospital Papa Giovanni XXIII in Bergamo, a nearby town.
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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby MacCruiskeen » Tue Mar 17, 2020 2:41 pm

IAWIA, you didn't even begin to respond to anything I actually argued or reported, so kindly stop being so pissy. Of course I did not recommend that anyone take trips abroad. Stop putting words in my mouth, especially such wilfully misleading ones.

And yes, ffs, of course I have heard of Skype and even use it sometimes. See my remarks about Our Thrilling Online Future, courtesy of that nice Mr Bezos and his nice filthy-rich allies.

See also my comments (these too you ignored) about the actually easily-predictable disastrous health consequences of this global lockdown and media-fearporn propagandafest. Also, look up some studies about the measurable and measured catastrophic effects of fear, worry and isolation on the immune system.. If you won't grant me that courtesy, then at least grant a close reading to Catte Black's excellent (and justly angry) words about the "experts" in the Lancet and elsewhere.

In the meantime I wish you and all of us the best of health, and that includes mental and emotional health, no unnecessary worry or fear, plenty of fresh air and exercise and contact with loved ones, all of which boosts the immune system. This shitshow, by contrast, will kill us all sooner or later.
"Ich kann gar nicht so viel fressen, wie ich kotzen möchte." - Max Liebermann,, Berlin, 1933

"Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts." - Richard Feynman, NYC, 1966

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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby Gnomad » Tue Mar 17, 2020 4:02 pm

Yesterday evening I saw the most people ever on my route (by bike) home - walking, running, pushing baby carts, biking - on the gravel paths along the sea shore, as all the gyms and sports facilities had closed. People were told to rather go out but keep their distance to others. There were so many people that I am planning on changing my commute partially to avoid the evening loiterers...

Though I always commute via the route least traveled by others - goes through some woods and parklands for most of the trip.
Our shop stays open for now, and there is no shortage of bikes to fix. Seems everyone suddenly remembers their sadly out-of-repair old bikes in the basement now that the bus or metro does not seem like a very enticing option anymore.
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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby Belligerent Savant » Tue Mar 17, 2020 5:39 pm

.

brainpanhandler » Tue Mar 17, 2020 12:24 pm wrote:Presumably such scenarios have been thoroughly modeled. And no doubt every scrap of useful data is being hoovered up into the algorithm for further analysis, refinement and exploitation.


No doubt.


MacCruiskeen wrote:
...unless that website records the age, class status, housing situation, and previous state-of-health of every victim, it is worse than useless as a source of useful information for anyone concerned for their own or their family's health. It will just terrify them unnecessarily and thereby damage their immune systems. It will also encourage them to spend an unhealthy amount of time on (in?) the net, obsessively clicking on the Boy Wonder's website for the latest fearporn updates, as opposed to doing the kind of things that actually make people healthy and happy and strong, such as meeting and laughing with their friends and family, hugging their loved ones, and spending lots of time in nature, or at least outdoors.


The bolded bit is key, and offers necessary context and perspective to the 'death tally'. We are also relying on various, disparate sources for these figures, and particularly for the elderly, operating on the premise that COVID-19 was the primary, or sole, cause of death. How are these figures being vetted, if at all, etc.? Rhetorical.


MacCruiskeen » Tue Mar 17, 2020 1:41 pm wrote:

...easily-predictable disastrous health consequences of this global lockdown and media-fearporn propagandafest. Also, look up some studies about the measurable and measured catastrophic effects of fear, worry and isolation on the immune system...

In the meantime I wish you and all of us the best of health, and that includes mental and emotional health, no unnecessary worry or fear, plenty of fresh air and exercise and contact with loved ones, all of which boosts the immune system. This shitshow, by contrast, will kill us all sooner or later.


Sound, and sane, advice. Self-evident, one would presume, under other circumstances.
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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby chump » Tue Mar 17, 2020 9:26 pm



This is a test: How will the Constitution fare during a nationwide lockdown?

By John W. Whitehead
Posted on March 13, 2020
by John W. Whitehead

“It takes a remarkable force to keep nearly a million people quietly indoors for an entire day, home from work and school, from neighborhood errands and out-of-town travel. It takes a remarkable force to keep businesses closed and cars off the road, to keep playgrounds empty and porches unused across a densely populated place 125 square miles in size. This happened … not because armed officers went door-to-door, or imposed a curfew, or threatened martial law. All around the region, for 13 hours, people locked up their businesses and ‘sheltered in place’ out of a kind of collective will. The force that kept them there wasn’t external—there was virtually no active enforcement across the city of the governor’s plea that people stay indoors. Rather, the pressure was an internal one—expressed as concern, or helpfulness, or in some cases, fear—felt in thousands of individual homes.”—Journalist Emily Badger, “The Psychology of a Citywide Lockdown”

This is a test.

This is not a test of our commitment to basic hygiene or disaster preparedness or our ability to come together as a nation in times of crisis, although we’re not doing so well on any of those fronts.

No, what is about to unfold over the next few weeks is a test to see how well we have assimilated the government’s lessons in compliance, fear and police state tactics; a test to see how quickly we’ll march in lockstep with the government’s dictates, no questions asked; and a test to see how little resistance we offer up to the government’s power grabs when made in the name of national security.

Most critically of all, this is a test to see whether the Constitution—and our commitment to the principles enshrined in the Bill of Rights—can survive a national crisis and true state of emergency.

Here’s what we know: whatever the so-called threat to the nation—whether it’s civil unrest, school shootings, alleged acts of terrorism, or the threat of a global pandemic in the case of COVID-19—the government has a tendency to capitalize on the nation’s heightened emotions, confusion and fear as a means of extending the reach of the police state.

This coronavirus epidemic, which has brought China’s Orwellian surveillance out of the shadows and caused Italy to declare a nationwide lockdown, threatens to bring the American Police State out into the open on a scale we’ve not seen before.

If and when a nationwide lockdown finally hits—if and when we are forced to shelter in place— if and when militarized police are patrolling the streets—if and when security checkpoints have been established—if and when the media’s ability to broadcast the news has been curtailed by government censors—if and when public systems of communication (phone lines, internet, text messaging, etc.) have been restricted—if and when those FEMA camps the government has been surreptitiously building finally get used as quarantine detention centers for American citizens—if and when military “snatch and grab” teams are deployed on local, state, and federal levels as part of the activated Continuity of Government plans to isolate anyone suspected of being infected with COVID-19—and if and when martial law is enacted with little real outcry or resistance from the public—then we will truly understand the extent to which the government has fully succeeded in recalibrating our general distaste for anything that smacks too overtly of tyranny.

This is how it begins.

[… con’d with links at original]


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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby thrulookingglass » Wed Mar 18, 2020 8:35 am

Freedoms? Bill of Rights? Like you’ve ever exercised them anyhow! Free as the leash they sell you. This is how your freedoms are taken away? Sorry your coveting of banknotes got all fouled up. Perhaps your commute will clear up with this “thinning of the herd" and your oh so meaningful job will finally pay ample dividends so you can acquire that shimmering tropical island paradise where you and yours fiddle away the hours while others pick there belongings from the trash.

Corbett Report ain’t going to save you!

Libertarian, FEMA building death camps, hold tight your guns, circle the wagons right wing rhetoric DOESN'T BUILD COMMUNITY!

People stayed home because mass mind control is our disorder! It wasn't a sense of duty but submission to an empty-headed 'father figure' that might return life to its previous form of operation. Can’t wait ‘til the store shelves are bounteous again!

And all the right wing capitalist nationalist hegemonic bullshit we’ve been fed over the years, which is the primary reason our society is so foul and sick, just hit the Jewish inferno! Suddenly the republican bullshit artists have to admit that high healthcare premiums are rotten. That socialist reforms are necessary! This payout the US government plans is exactly that, a hand out from the tightest sphincter around, the Federal Reserve might actually have to admit that they conjure money out of thin air!

DO NOT BUILD UPON LIES!

The foundations of capitalism, a world gone mad with greed and flag waving pride, of military might cannot stop what we failed to answer to.

Life is precious. Certainly wasn’t made to be frittered away for some slave-labor farm of an iphone factory brimming with suicide nets.

WHICH ONE OF US DOESN’T DESERVE LOVE? WHICH ONE OF US DESERVES A ROTTEN LIFE? Point them out and I will smite them!

Pilfer the world to deluge your own manger in putrescence. This is the culmination of our inability to simply love and care for one another!

Freedoms?! Can you count any that you own? Freedoms, rights must be exercised to exist.

Just rule. America was supposed to be a new, cleansed, refined form of government where the workingman had a chance to build a life, unless of course you didn’t pray to the same god as the European gentry.

People can and do, on occasion, create just rule. That is all, just people. They decided to obey what the authoritarians asked of them because they felt it would work towards a greater good. Which is all people should ever work for, greater good, not federal reserve notes.

Shiny stones won’t save you this time. Don't build on lies. Build from a sound foundation, else your castles will crumble.

The Egyptians built many pyramids before they got the math right. Had to level the and compress the ground, make sure it was firm enough to support the weight of the mountain they had dissembled in order to erect one more pleasing to their sense of geometry. Accurately align its dimensions with that of the Earth’s, the cardinal points of the compass. Embedded sacred math within its shape: the speed of light, circumference of the Earth, moon and star.

Care.

What do we/YOU care for in this world, because it sure as shit hasn’t been each other, or more importantly, each other’s well being.

Armani ensembles aren’t Chem-7 suits. Ignoring the suffering of others doesn’t make it go away. Blinding yourselves to the truth that we can create a world where slave labor isn’t how the masses need wither away their lives is not progress. The prototypic jailbird in that caricatured prison cell of life knows, it’s not what they can take away that matters, but what they can’t.

Take a moment in these times to reflect upon your life and others. Peace is important. War is rotten.

“Love and be loved, all else is folly.” - Tolstoy

We are the contagion…and we are many.



Take out the theism/deism, and you might find me agreeing with these folk. My goddess is grace and she is comprehensively scared shitless of this place.

We don't need
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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby thrulookingglass » Wed Mar 18, 2020 9:13 am

And skip the Chinese bat soup! MYSQLI ERROR THAT MOTHER FUCKER!
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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby brainpanhandler » Wed Mar 18, 2020 9:37 am

Cross posting from Here

brainpanhandler » Wed Mar 18, 2020 7:53 am wrote: Why are there so few cases of C19 in Russia?

As of today 147 confirmed cases.

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboar ... 7b48e9ecf6

There are of course lots of reasons this might be true, not least of which they are discovering very few (for whatever reasons) and/or reporting very few.
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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby Belligerent Savant » Wed Mar 18, 2020 10:03 am

.




Wolfgang Wodarg (born March 2, 1947) is a German physician and politician for SPD.

As chairman of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe Health Committee Wodarg co-signed a proposed resolution[1] on December 18, 2009, which was briefly discussed in January 2010 in an emergency debate and he has called for an inquiry into alleged undue influence exerted by pharmaceutical companies on the World Health Organization’s global H1N1 flu campaign.[2]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wolfgang_Wodarg


The standard caveat lector applies.


http://Www.wodarg.com


by Wolfgang Wodarg

The corona hype is not based on any extraordinary public health danger. However, it causes considerable damage to our freedom and personal rights through frivolous and unjustified quarantine measures and restrictions. The images in the media are frightening and the traffic in China's cities seems to be regulated by the clinical thermometer.

Evidence based epidemiological assessment is drowning in the mainstream of fear mongers in labs, media and ministries.

The carnival in Venice was cancelled after an elderly dying hospital patient was tested positive. When a handful of people in Northern Italy also were tested positive, Austria immediately closed the Brenner Pass temporarily.
Due to a suspected case of coronavirus, more than 1000 people were not allowed to leave their hotel in Tenerife. On the cruise ship Diamond Princess 3700 passengers could not disembark., Congresses and touristic events are cancelled, economies suffer and schools in Italy have an extra holyday.

At the beginning of February, 126 people from Wuhan were brought to Germany by plane and remained there in quarantine two weeks in perfect health. Corona viruses were detected in two of the healthy individuals.
We have experienced similar alarmist actions by virologists in the last two decades. WHO's "swine flu pandemic" was in fact one of the mildest flu waves in history and it is not only migratory birds that are still waiting for "birds flu". Many institutions that are now again alerting us to the need for caution have let us down and failed us on several occasions. Far too often, they are institutionally corrupted by secondary interests from business and/or politics.

If we do not want to chase frivolous panic messages, but rather to responsibly assess the risk of a spreading infection, we must use solid epidemiological methodology. This includes looking at the "normal", the baseline, before you can speak of anything exceptional.
Until now, hardly anyone has paid attention to corona viruses. For example, in the annual reports of the Robert-Koch-Institute (RKI) they are only marginally mentioned because there was SARS in China in 2002 and because since 2012 some transmissions from dromedaries to humans have been observed in Arabia (MERS). There is nothing about a regularly recurring presence of corona viruses in dogs, cats, pigs, mice, bats and in humans, even in Germany. 
However, children's hospitals are usually well aware, that a considerable proportion of the often severe viral pneumonia is also regularly caused or accompanied by corona viruses worldwide.
 
In view of the well-known fact that in every "flu wave" 7-15% of acute respiratory illnesses (ARI) are coming along with coronaviruses, the case numbers that are now continuously added up are still completely within the normal range.
About one per thousand infected are expected to die during flu seasons. By selective application of PCR-tests - for example, only in clinics and medical outpatient clinics - this rate can easily be pushed up to frightening levels, because those, who need help there are usually worse off than those, who are recovering at home. The role of such s selection bias seems to be neglected in China and elsewhere.

Since the turn of the year, the focus of the public, of science and of health authorities has suddenly narrowed to some kind of blindness. Some doctors in Wuhan (12 million inhabitants) succeeded in attracting worldwide attention with initially less than 50 cases and some deaths in their clinic, in which they had identified corona viruses as the pathogen. 
The colourful maps that are now being shown to us on paper or screens are impressive, but they usually have less to do with disease than with the activity of skilled virologists and crowds of sensationalist reporters.

We are currently not measuring the incidence of coronavirus diseases, but the activity of the specialists searching for them.

Wherever such the new tests are carried out - there about 9000 tests per week availablein 38 laboratories throughout Europe on 13 February 2020 – there are at least single cases detected and every case becomes a self-sustaining media event. The fact alone that the discovery of a coronavirus infection is accompanied by a particularly intensive search in its vicinity explains many regional clustersi.

The horror reports from Wuhan were something, that virologists all over the world are waiting for. Immediately, the virus strains present in the refrigerators were scanned and compared feverishly with the reported newcomers from Wuhan. A laboratory at the Charité  won the race at the WHO and was the first to be allowed to market its in-house tests worldwide. Prof C. Drosten was interviewed on 23rd of january2020 and described how the Test was established. He said, that he cooperated with a Partner from China, who confirmed the specific sensitivity of the Charitè-Test for the Wuhan coronavirus. Other Tests from different Places followed soon and found their market.

However, it is better not to be tested for corona viruses. Even with a slight "flu-like" infection the risk of coronavirus detection would be 7% - 15% . This is, what a prospective monitoring in Scotland (from 2005 to 2013) may teach us. The scope, the possible hits and the significance of the new tests are not jet validated. It would be intersting to have soe tests not only on airports and cruising ships but on german or italian cats, mice or even bats.

If you find some new virus RNA in a Thai cave ore a Wuhan hospital, it takes a long time to map its prevalence in different hosts worldwide.

But if you want to give evidence to a spreading pandemic by using PCR-Tests only, this is what should have been done after a prospective cross sectional protocoll.


So beware of side effects. Nowadays positive PCR tests have tremendous consequences for the everyday life of the patient and his wider environment, as can be seen in all media without effort.

However, the finding itself has no clinical significance. It is just another name for acute respiratory illnesses (ARI), which as every year put 30% to 70% of all people in our countries more or less out of action for a week or two every winter.
According to a prospective ARI-virus monitoring in Scotland from 2005 to 2013, the most common pathogens of acute respiratory diseases were: 1. rhinoviruses, 2. influenza A viruses, 3. influenza B viruses, 4. RS viruses and 5. coronaviruses.
This order changed slightly from year to year. Even with viruses competing for our mucous membrane cells, there is apparently a changing quorum, as we know it from our intestines in the case of microorganisms and from the Bundestag in the case of political groups.

So if there is now to be an increasing number of "proven" coronavirus infections. in China or in Italy: Can anyone say how often such examinations were carried out in previous winters, by whom, for what reason and with which results? When someone claims that something is increasing, he must surely refer to something, that has been observed before.

It can be stunning, when an experienced disease control officer looks at the current turmoil, the panic and the suffering it causes. I'm sure many of those responsible public health officers would probably risk their jobs today, as they did with the "swine flu" back then, if they would follow their experience and oppose the mainstream.

Every winter we have a virus epidemic with thousands of deaths and with millions of infected people even in Germany. And coronaviruses always have their share.

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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby Gnomad » Wed Mar 18, 2020 1:58 pm

brainpanhandler » Wed Mar 18, 2020 4:37 pm wrote:Cross posting from Here

brainpanhandler » Wed Mar 18, 2020 7:53 am wrote: Why are there so few cases of C19 in Russia?

As of today 147 confirmed cases.

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboar ... 7b48e9ecf6

There are of course lots of reasons this might be true, not least of which they are discovering very few (for whatever reasons) and/or reporting very few.


In local (finnish - https://yle.fi/uutiset/3-11259478 ) news it was said that they are constructing a new hospital in Moscow, some higher education has closed down, and medical students are in quarantine after an italian student got sick. Border to China is closed, and flights restricted as well.

I would reckon they just haven´t tested much and would want to avoid taking the economical hit that would come with stronger measures. And living next door to Russia, I would take any official information from Russia with quite a large heaping of salt.
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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby Wombaticus Rex » Wed Mar 18, 2020 5:04 pm

Via: COVID-19 Response Plan - Mediafire link, PDF, 17 mb

Facts

Facts are statements of known data concerning the situation that can be substantiated. The
following facts assisted in the development of an operational environment for this plan.

1. State and local health departments and CDC are confirming COVID - 19 in the U.S. with
no links to travel history from the PRC, excluding the special administrative regions of
Hong Kong and Macau, or any other foreign country or jurisdiction impacted with
community COVID - 19 spread.

2. Travel advisories and travel health notices are being issued by the State Departmentand
the CDC in response to the COVID- 19 outbreak.

3. COVID 19 vaccine research, development, production, and distribution are under rapid
development and will take extended time to develop.

4. Clinical research of effectiveness of existing medications as COVID - 19 antivirals
requires extended time for U . S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) review and
Emergency Use Authorization (or other approval designation).

5. Department and agency continuity of operations (COOP) plans include succession
planning and procedures for performing essential functions. COOP planning and
capabilities also provide strategies for management and prioritization of function
performance during a pandemic.

Assumptions

In the absence of facts, planning assumptions represent information deemed true. They are
necessary to facilitate planning development efforts. Assumptions set a baseline for planning
purposes and do not take the place of specific activities or decision points that will occur during
a COVID- 19 outbreak. The following planning assumptions assisted in the development of an
operational environmentfor this plan.

1. Universal susceptibility and exposure will significantly degradethe timelines and
efficiency of response efforts.

2. A pandemic will last 18 monthsor longer and could include multiple waves of illness.

3. The spread and severity of COVID -19 willbe difficult to forecast and characterize.

4. Increasing COVID -19 suspected or confirmed cases inthe U .S. will result in increased
hospitalizations among at-risk individuals, straining the healthcare system .

5. States will request federal assistance when requirements exceed state, local, tribal, and
territorial (SLTT) capabilities to respond to COVID - 19. This may include requests for
assistance of HHS through the HHS Region based on the scope of assistance available
through an emergency supplemental appropriation and may include additional assistance
under the Stafford Act.

6. Supply chain and transportation impacts due to ongoing COVID - 19 outbreak will likely
result in significant shortages for government, private sector, and individual U . S .
consumers.

7. As the federal response to COVID - 19 evolves beyond a public health and medical
response, additional federal departments and agencies will be required to respond to the
outbreak and secondary impacts, thereby increasing the need for coordination to ensure a
unified, complete, and synchronized federal response.

Critical Considerations

Critical considerations are key elements of information that planners must take into account
when developing a plan. The following should be addressed when planning for COVID- 19.

1. COVID - 19 outbreaks or pandemic response require short-notice federalasset
coordination and response timelines and a national response that is scalable to the
severity of the incident and the needs ofthe affected jurisdictions ( e. g. , SLTT-level
critical infrastructure and government).

2. Response to COVID - 19 must involve vertical and horizontal integration between federal
interagency partners at the headquarters and regional levels and with SLTT public health,
emergency management officials, and the private sector.

3. Different regions of the U . S. are in different operational response phases depending upon
the COVID - 19 spread and illness severity in impacted communities.

4. Aggressive containment of exposed, suspected, and confirmed COVID -19 individuals
(both arriving from foreign locations and identified as part of domestic spread) may
continue while community mitigation efforts are implemented in the U.S.

5. Critical resources need to be prioritized and directed to meet evolving demands and to
maximize mission effectiveness.

6. Federal supply chain management should include prioritization and redirection of
essential critical resources to meet evolving demands and to facilitate USG mission
effectiveness, public health, and safety.

7. COVID-19 outbreaks or pandemic will require social distancing and telework to continue
government operations, lengthening execution times for some tasks. Workplace controls
will be implemented to the extent practical during a pandemic.

8 . Implementation of community mitigation measures may adversely impact sustained
operations of U.S. healthcare facilities, critical infrastructure, and government.

9 . Clear and coordinated messages to key audiences (e.g., public health authorities
healthcare providers, SLTT governments, and private sector partners) are important to
avoid confusion; to prompt customizable preventive measures at the SLTT and private
sector level; to minimize adverse impacts to critical structure and continuity of
operations; and to limit misinformation.

10. Revisions in the scenarios, modeling, and projections used to inform planning, and
consequent changes in planning, should be made to accommodate changes in knowledge
about COVID- 19 characteristics affecting the parameters used for the modeling.

11. A COVID -19 pandemic environment will require modification to concurrent disaster
response operations (e . g ., increased levels of personal protective equipment,
restricted interactions with survivors and stakeholders, resource prioritization).

12. Planning and response activities should address protective actions for older persons and
those with underlying medical conditions, who are particularly susceptible to the effects
of SARS-CoV- 2 during an outbreak.
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Re: Manufactured 'Contagion' - Coronavirus Edition

Postby Elvis » Thu Mar 19, 2020 12:20 am

Let's say Professor Boyle back on page four is correct (is he?) and the virus is a manufactured bioweapon available to China and the US and whoever else. And let's add that—as some say—it was deliberately released to produce more or less the effects we're seeing now.

Who would do that and why? It occurred to me that the crisis might be a way for neoliberal visionaries to:

- remove significant numbers of nonproductive elderly & others from the consumption rolls.

- institute a broad, deep social safety net paid by the federal government—but on elites' terms.

- consolidate corporate sector power because "this is an emergency."

- atomize/alienate the population from each other


I can't ascertain the validity of that scenario but it wouldn't surprise me.
“The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of ready-made answers to economic questions, but to learn how to avoid being deceived by economists.” ― Joan Robinson
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